Alex Guy M
mens 39–29 · mixed 15–14
+1.2 (-0.8…+2.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#244
of 286 active men (within gender only)
54–43
career record · 56% wins, 52% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.7) 2024-02 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.7) 2024-03 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.7) 2024-04 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.6) 2024-05 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.7) 2024-06 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.7) 2024-07 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.7) 2024-08 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.7) 2024-09 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.8) 2024-10 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.7) 2024-11 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.8) 2024-12 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.7) 2025-01 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.7) 2025-02 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.7) 2025-03 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.7) 2025-04 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.7) 2025-05 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.6) 2025-06 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.6) 2025-07 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.5) 2025-08 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.5) 2025-09 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.4) 2025-10 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.4) 2025-11 · +1.2 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.4) 2025-12 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.4) 2026-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.5) 2026-02 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.6) 2026-03 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.7) 2026-04 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.7) 2026-05 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.8) 2026-06 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.8) 2026-07 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.8) 2026-08 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.8) 2026-09 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.8) 2026-10 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.9) -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-04-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Haywood/Hart · w/ Audrey Banada · model expected 55% of points 2024-04-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Haywood/Hart · w/ Audrey Banada · model expected 55% of points 2024-04-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Williams/Terzian · w/ Audrey Banada · model expected 60% of points 2024-04-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Williams/Terzian · w/ Audrey Banada · model expected 60% of points 2024-04-02 PPA · 5-11 · vs Alda/Shekar · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 45% of points 2024-04-02 PPA · 3-11 · vs Alda/Shekar · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 45% of points 2024-04-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs Brascia/Vich · w/ Audrey Banada · model expected 27% of points 2024-04-02 PPA · 0-11 · vs Brascia/Vich · w/ Audrey Banada · model expected 27% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Blocker/Acob · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 46% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Blocker/Acob · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 46% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Blocker/Acob · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 46% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Kontar/Jr. · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 66% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kontar/Jr. · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 66% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Parker/Thompson · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 55% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Parker/Thompson · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 55% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Zeiler/Bertram · w/ David Bieger · model expected 54% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-9 · vs Zeiler/Bertram · w/ David Bieger · model expected 54% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 10-15 · vs Miron/Braham · w/ David Bieger · model expected 50% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ David Bieger · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ David Bieger · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ David Bieger · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ David Bieger · model expected 65% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ David Bieger · model expected 65% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Smith/Rosner · w/ David Bieger · model expected 54% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Smith/Rosner · w/ David Bieger · model expected 54% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-0 · vs Kohutova/Watson · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 77% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kohutova/Watson · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 77% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gordon/Gordon · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 65% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Gordon/Gordon · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 65% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hee/Berg · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 57% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hee/Berg · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 57% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Klaassen/Boyle · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 52% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Klaassen/Boyle · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 52% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Klaassen/Boyle · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 52% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 0-11 · vs Jansen/Delgado · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 45% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs Jansen/Delgado · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 45% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wade/Buchhauser · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 50% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Wade/Buchhauser · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 50% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Finnerty/Evans · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 60% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Finnerty/Evans · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 60% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Finnerty/Evans · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 60% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Almeida/Hall · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 48% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Almeida/Hall · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 48% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Almeida/Hall · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 48% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 27% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 27% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Sam Kim · model expected 27% of points 2025-07-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Tang/Wong · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 49% of points 2025-07-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Tang/Wong · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 49% of points 2025-07-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Tang/Wong · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 49% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Pejic/Randt · w/ Maria Ford · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Pejic/Randt · w/ Maria Ford · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Slive/Geminiani · w/ Johan Du Randt · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Slive/Geminiani · w/ Johan Du Randt · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Slive/Geminiani · w/ Johan Du Randt · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Tran/Grollman · w/ Johan Du Randt · model expected 57% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Tran/Grollman · w/ Johan Du Randt · model expected 57% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Young/Roddy · w/ Johan Du Randt · model expected 41% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Young/Roddy · w/ Johan Du Randt · model expected 41% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Young/Roddy · w/ Johan Du Randt · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 8-15 · vs Mody/Ruff · w/ Thomas Romano · model expected 49% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Couzens/Leonard · w/ Thomas Romano · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Couzens/Leonard · w/ Thomas Romano · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Couzens/Leonard · w/ Thomas Romano · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-2 · vs Copetti/Garcia-Sarraff · w/ Thomas Romano · model expected 64% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Copetti/Garcia-Sarraff · w/ Thomas Romano · model expected 64% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-7 · vs Copetti/Garcia-Sarraff · w/ Thomas Romano · model expected 64% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-6 · vs Mead/Nguyen · w/ Thomas Romano · model expected 57% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs III/Delgado · w/ Julian Slive · model expected 33% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs III/Delgado · w/ Julian Slive · model expected 33% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 2-11 · vs III/Delgado · w/ Julian Slive · model expected 33% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Denish/Tong · w/ Julian Slive · model expected 58% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Denish/Tong · w/ Julian Slive · model expected 58% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-15 · vs Naydenov/Berryman · w/ Julian Slive · model expected 44% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 1-15 · vs Laura/III · w/ Madison Turosinski · model expected 36% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Raugust/Ayotte · w/ Madison Turosinski · model expected 41% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Levkulich/Dugas · w/ Madison Turosinski · model expected 56% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Levkulich/Dugas · w/ Madison Turosinski · model expected 56% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 15-5 · vs Hilliard/Lanier · w/ Madison Turosinski · model expected 64% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Miron/Mody · w/ Jack Hared · model expected 41% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Miron/Mody · w/ Jack Hared · model expected 41% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 13-15 · vs Holloway/Gordon · w/ Jack Hared · model expected 43% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Vachhrajani/Vasaiwala · w/ Jack Hared · model expected 75% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 11-1 · vs Vachhrajani/Vasaiwala · w/ Jack Hared · model expected 75% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ferris/Robinson · w/ Natalie Kim · model expected 61% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ferris/Robinson · w/ Natalie Kim · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 11-3 · vs Payne/Turner · w/ Joshua Giannelli · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 11-4 · vs Payne/Turner · w/ Joshua Giannelli · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Powell/Braham · w/ Joshua Giannelli · model expected 34% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Jagtiani/Broker · w/ Joshua Giannelli · model expected 48% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 15-7 · vs Hoover/McCartney · w/ Joshua Giannelli · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 15-6 · vs Carrol/Carney · w/ Joshua Giannelli · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 5-15 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Thompson/Cooley · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 68% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Thompson/Cooley · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 68% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 9–6 60% 8.4–8.3 2025 PPA 39–32 55% 9.2–8.5 2026 PPA 6–5 55% 10.9–9.2
5–7
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
5–5
overtime games (past the target)
23
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-4.3 (-6.5…-1.1)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (6 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
2–4
singles record · last 2025-05
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Ting Chieh Wei 14 9–5 56% -0.03 ±0.47 (noise) Sam Kim 11 7–4 52% +0.12 ±0.50 (noise) David Bieger 10 7–3 58% +0.09 ±0.48 (noise) Johan Du Randt 8 5–3 53% +0.08 ±0.52 (noise) Thomas Romano 8 4–4 50% -0.08 ±0.51 (noise) Garrett Singletary 7 5–2 58% +0.09 ±0.51 (noise) Audrey Banada 6 4–2 49% -0.04 ±0.52 (noise) Julian Slive 6 3–3 51% +0.08 ±0.51 (noise) Joshua Giannelli 6 4–2 60% +0.21 ±0.51 (noise) Madison Turosinski 5 2–3 45% -0.05 ±0.53 (noise) Jack Hared 5 2–3 50% -0.02 ±0.53 (noise) Sanil Jagtiani 5 2–3 45% -0.14 ±0.50 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-08-29 PPA · mens Sanil Jagtiani Thompson/Cooley 11-8 -10% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Sanil Jagtiani Thompson/Cooley 11-3 +11% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Sanil Jagtiani Chi/Messinger 5-15 -23% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Sanil Jagtiani Burkhardt/Radermacher 7-11 -8% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Sanil Jagtiani Burkhardt/Radermacher 5-11 -16% 2026-05-23 PPA · mens Joshua Giannelli Carrol/Carney 15-6 +18% 2026-05-23 PPA · mens Joshua Giannelli Hoover/McCartney 15-7 +18% 2026-05-23 PPA · mens Joshua Giannelli Jagtiani/Broker 14-16 OT -2% 2026-05-23 PPA · mens Joshua Giannelli Powell/Braham 15-17 OT +13% 2026-05-23 PPA · mens Joshua Giannelli Payne/Turner 11-4 +6% 2026-05-23 PPA · mens Joshua Giannelli Payne/Turner 11-3 +11% 2025-12-14 PPA · mixed Natalie Kim Ferris/Robinson 6-11 -26%
Put Alex in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.