PICKLES

Lucas Coutinho M

mens 19–15 · mixed 22–15

+2.2 (+0.4…+3.8)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#204
of 286 active men (within gender only)
41–30
career record · 58% wins, 52% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.1)2024-02 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.6 to +3.0)2024-03 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.6 to +3.0)2024-04 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.5 to +3.0)2024-05 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.9)2024-06 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.9)2024-07 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.8)2024-08 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.8)2024-09 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.8)2024-10 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.8)2024-11 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.8)2024-12 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.8)2025-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.8)2025-02 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.8)2025-03 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.8)2025-04 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.8)2025-05 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.8)2025-06 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.9)2025-07 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.0 to +3.0)2025-08 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.1 to +3.0)2025-09 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.1)2025-10 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.2)2025-11 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.2)2025-12 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.3)2026-01 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.3)2026-02 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.4)2026-03 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.5)2026-04 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.5)2026-05 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.5)2026-06 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.6)2026-07 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.6)2026-08 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.7)2026-09 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.7)2026-10 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.8)-2+0+2+4202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-08-21 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Perez/Jansen · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 50% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Perez/Jansen · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 50% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ayotte/Funemizu · w/ Billy Buchhauser · model expected 27% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 2-11 · vs Ayotte/Funemizu · w/ Billy Buchhauser · model expected 27% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 9-11 · vs Jr/Banada · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Jr/Banada · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Pelletier/Thul · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 51% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Pelletier/Thul · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 51% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 11-2 · vs Pelletier/Thul · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 51% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Radermacher/Mercado · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 47% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Radermacher/Mercado · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 47% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Radermacher/Mercado · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 47% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 8-15 · vs Smith/Case · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 48% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Iii/Nguyen · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 59% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Iii/Nguyen · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 59% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ness/Gonnering · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 55% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ness/Gonnering · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 55% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 11-8 · vs Yee/Wan · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 50% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Yee/Wan · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 50% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Yee/Wan · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 50% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 11-7 · vs Protzek/Bricker · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 41% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 0-11 · vs Protzek/Bricker · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 41% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 2-11 · vs Protzek/Bricker · w/ Nicholas Wade · model expected 41% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Khan/Perez · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Khan/Perez · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Khan/Perez · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hee/Jones · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 60% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hee/Jones · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 60% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Cosma/Jacobson · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 60% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Cosma/Jacobson · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 60% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 11-15 · vs Murray/Protzek · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 53% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 7-15 · vs Martinez/Varon · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 43% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 15-10 · vs Nguyen/Venkatesan · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 66% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rettke/Dy · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 54% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rettke/Dy · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 54% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 44% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 44% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 0-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 44% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 15-3 · vs Osher/Byun · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 65% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 2-11 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 46% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 11-8 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 46% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 46% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 46% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 46% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Almeida/Sacca · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 65% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Almeida/Sacca · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 65% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 11-5 · vs Almeida/Sacca · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 65% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 15-1 · vs Martinez/Hur · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 51% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Duarah/Lai · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 63% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 11-6 · vs Duarah/Lai · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 63% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 15-11 · vs Sonday/Newcombe · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Sikora/Mead · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 65% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 15-12 · vs Wasson/Goodman · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 55% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 15-8 · vs F/Clark · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 70% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Mercado/Dagnall · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 49% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 8-15 · vs Mawji/Steiner · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 46% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Mawji/Steiner · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 46% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Mawji/Steiner · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 46% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 15-9 · vs Edwards/Williams · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 48% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 15-11 · vs Inn/Warren · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 57% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Trifunovic/Mead · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 77% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Trifunovic/Mead · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 77% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 15-3 · vs Powell/Diskin · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ingram/Ayon · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Ingram/Ayon · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ingram/Ayon · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 15-10 · vs Mercado/Goodnow · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 53% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Powell/Diskin · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Powell/Diskin · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 52% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 15-9 · vs Cosma/Edwards · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 63% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 15-9 · vs Igleski/Harvey · w/ Marianna Petrei · model expected 50% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA0–40%5.5–11.2
2025PPA15–1256%8.7–8.2
2026PPA26–1465%10.4–8.8
4–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
5–1
overtime games (past the target)
14
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
10
longest win streak
+2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+1.0 (-0.7…+2.7)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
33 pro singles games
18–15
singles record · last 2026-06

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Marianna Petrei3722–1555%+0.06 ±0.50 (noise)
Kendall Kikkawa159–649%-0.11 ±0.48 (noise)
Nicholas Wade117–452%+0.05 ±0.52 (noise)
Jase Edwards63–352%+0.03 ±0.52 (noise)
Billy Buchhauser20–227%+0.00 ±0.48 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiIgleski/Harvey15-9+12%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiCosma/Edwards15-9-0%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiPowell/Diskin6-11-17%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiPowell/Diskin4-11-25%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiMercado/Goodnow15-10+7%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiIngram/Ayon11-5+16%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiIngram/Ayon1-11-44%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiIngram/Ayon11-7+9%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiPowell/Diskin15-3+31%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiTrifunovic/Mead11-2+7%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiTrifunovic/Mead11-1+14%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMarianna PetreiInn/Warren15-11+1%

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