PICKLES

Sergey Afanasenka M

mens 36–24 · mixed 5–2

+4.2 (+2.1…+5.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
—
of 286 active men (within gender only; no 2026 games)
41–26
career record · 61% wins, 56% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.6 to +5.1)2024-02 · +3.6 pts (90% band +1.7 to +5.1)2024-03 · +3.6 pts (90% band +1.8 to +5.1)2024-04 · +3.7 pts (90% band +1.9 to +5.2)2024-05 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.0 to +5.2)2024-06 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.1 to +5.2)2024-07 · +3.9 pts (90% band +2.2 to +5.3)2024-08 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.4 to +5.3)2024-09 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.5 to +5.3)2024-10 · +4.1 pts (90% band +2.6 to +5.3)2024-11 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.7 to +5.4)2024-12 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.8 to +5.4)2025-01 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.4)2025-02 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.4)2025-03 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.4)2025-04 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.4)2025-05 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.5)2025-06 · +4.4 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.5)2025-07 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.5)2025-08 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.5)2025-09 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.8 to +5.5)2025-10 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.7 to +5.5)2025-11 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.7 to +5.5)2025-12 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.6 to +5.6)2026-01 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.5 to +5.6)2026-02 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.5 to +5.7)2026-03 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.4 to +5.7)2026-04 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.3 to +5.7)2026-05 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.3 to +5.8)2026-06 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.2 to +5.8)2026-07 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.2 to +5.8)2026-08 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.2 to +5.8)2026-09 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.1 to +5.8)2026-10 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.1 to +5.9)+2+4+6202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-01-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Weller/Ness · w/ William Stults · model expected 41% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Weller/Ness · w/ William Stults · model expected 41% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Funemizu/Tavepholjalern · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 53% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Funemizu/Tavepholjalern · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 53% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 6-11 · vs Funemizu/Tavepholjalern · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 53% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Truong/Burl · w/ Allen W Wang · model expected 41% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Truong/Burl · w/ Allen W Wang · model expected 41% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Acob/Bryant · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 51% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Acob/Bryant · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 51% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Acob/Bryant · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 51% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Colon/Chikkalingaiah · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 58% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Colon/Chikkalingaiah · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 58% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Colon/Chikkalingaiah · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 58% of points2024-10-10 PPA · 11-1 · vs Case/Smith · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 47% of points2024-10-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Case/Smith · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 47% of points2024-10-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Case/Smith · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 47% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Burrows/Deakin · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 40% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Burrows/Deakin · w/ Mark Nahum · model expected 40% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Tomassi/Lee · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 40% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Tomassi/Lee · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 40% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jones/Ponder · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 70% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jones/Ponder · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 70% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tellez/Bar · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 28% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tellez/Bar · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 28% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Smith/Dagnall · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 51% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Smith/Dagnall · w/ Rob Hutchins · model expected 51% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Greenlaw/Astbury · w/ Andreas Siljestrom · model expected 78% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Greenlaw/Astbury · w/ Andreas Siljestrom · model expected 78% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs McCartney/Mason · w/ Andreas Siljestrom · model expected 74% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs McCartney/Mason · w/ Andreas Siljestrom · model expected 74% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-2 · vs Taylor/Benitez · w/ Andreas Siljestrom · model expected 61% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Taylor/Benitez · w/ Andreas Siljestrom · model expected 61% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Andreas Siljestrom · model expected 42% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 7-11 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Andreas Siljestrom · model expected 42% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Andreas Siljestrom · model expected 42% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Benassi/Lovrinovic · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 79% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Benassi/Lovrinovic · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 79% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 11-1 · vs Wilson/English · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 70% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wilson/English · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 70% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 11-1 · vs Phillips/Bivins · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 83% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Phillips/Bivins · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 83% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Koller/Jakovljevic · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 54% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Koller/Jakovljevic · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 54% of points2025-05-14 PPA · 13-15 (OT) · vs Devilliers/Ge · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 45% of points2025-05-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Devilliers/Ge · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 45% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nguyen/Tran · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 75% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Nguyen/Tran · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 75% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Yee/Shimabukuro · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 69% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Yee/Shimabukuro · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 69% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Nsekpong/Bricker · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 64% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Nsekpong/Bricker · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 64% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Young/Fought · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 59% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Young/Fought · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 59% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Young/Fought · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 59% of points2025-06-19 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Johnson/Ge · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 49% of points2025-06-19 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Johnson/Ge · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 49% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-4 · vs X/Sikora · w/ Nicole Conard · model expected 75% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-1 · vs X/Sikora · w/ Nicole Conard · model expected 75% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Culbert/Nichols · w/ Adair Garcia · model expected 70% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-4 · vs Culbert/Nichols · w/ Adair Garcia · model expected 70% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Berke/Kalhorn · w/ Nicole Conard · model expected 69% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-2 · vs Berke/Kalhorn · w/ Nicole Conard · model expected 69% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 4-11 · vs Garcia/Fajardo · w/ Adair Garcia · model expected 53% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 2-11 · vs Garcia/Fajardo · w/ Adair Garcia · model expected 53% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 11-3 · vs Yeh/Harvey · w/ Nicole Conard · model expected 51% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Yeh/Harvey · w/ Nicole Conard · model expected 51% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Yeh/Harvey · w/ Nicole Conard · model expected 51% of points0%25%50%75%100%20242025winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA11–1346%8.3–8.9
2025PPA30–1370%9.6–6.0
4–3
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–3
overtime games (past the target)
26
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
8
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+0.4 (-4.9…+5.4)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
projected
no singles record — projected from doubles, selection-corrected

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Alex Emery2116–564%+0.08 ±0.50 (noise)
Rob Hutchins115–649%+0.02 ±0.50 (noise)
Mark Nahum116–552%+0.00 ±0.49 (noise)
Andreas Siljestrom97–266%+0.15 ±0.49 (noise)
Nicole Conard75–262%+0.01 ±0.50 (noise)
Adair Garcia42–249%-0.11 ±0.49 (noise)
William Stults20–227%-0.06 ±0.47 (noise)
Allen W Wang20–233%-0.03 ±0.51 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2025-10-21PPA · mixedNicole ConardYeh/Harvey4-11-24%
2025-10-21PPA · mixedNicole ConardYeh/Harvey3-11-29%
2025-10-21PPA · mixedNicole ConardYeh/Harvey11-3+28%
2025-10-20PPA · mensAdair GarciaGarcia/Fajardo2-11-38%
2025-10-20PPA · mensAdair GarciaGarcia/Fajardo4-11-26%
2025-10-20PPA · mixedNicole ConardBerke/Kalhorn11-2+16%
2025-10-20PPA · mixedNicole ConardBerke/Kalhorn11-6-4%
2025-10-20PPA · mensAdair GarciaCulbert/Nichols11-4+4%
2025-10-20PPA · mensAdair GarciaCulbert/Nichols11-3+9%
2025-10-20PPA · mixedNicole ConardX/Sikora11-1+17%
2025-10-20PPA · mixedNicole ConardX/Sikora11-4-1%
2025-06-19PPA · mensAlex EmeryJohnson/Ge10-12 OT-3%

Put Sergey in the simulator →