Luke Williams M
mens 22–16 · mixed 16–13
+3.4 (+1.5…+4.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#120
of 286 active men (within gender only)
38–29
career record · 57% wins, 52% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.9) 2024-02 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.9) 2024-03 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.9) 2024-04 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.9) 2024-05 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.9) 2024-06 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.9) 2024-07 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-08 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-09 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-10 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-11 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9) 2024-12 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9) 2025-01 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.8) 2025-02 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9) 2025-03 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2025-04 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2025-05 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.8) 2025-06 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2025-07 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2025-08 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2025-09 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.9) 2025-10 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.9) 2025-11 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2025-12 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2026-01 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2026-02 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.8) 2026-03 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2026-04 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2026-05 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2026-06 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.8) 2026-07 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2026-08 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2026-09 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2026-10 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9) +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-06-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wert/Diaz · w/ Clayton Truex · model expected 56% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wert/Diaz · w/ Clayton Truex · model expected 56% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wert/Diaz · w/ Clayton Truex · model expected 56% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bramblett/Black · w/ Clayton Truex · model expected 58% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Bramblett/Black · w/ Clayton Truex · model expected 58% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Cincola/Loyd · w/ Clayton Truex · model expected 34% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Cincola/Loyd · w/ Clayton Truex · model expected 34% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Papariello/Weidmann · w/ Roman Kravchuk · model expected 75% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Papariello/Weidmann · w/ Roman Kravchuk · model expected 75% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Thorn/Kato · w/ Roman Kravchuk · model expected 52% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Thorn/Kato · w/ Roman Kravchuk · model expected 52% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Thorn/Kato · w/ Roman Kravchuk · model expected 52% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 11-8 · vs Presser/Taylor · w/ Roman Kravchuk · model expected 52% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Presser/Taylor · w/ Roman Kravchuk · model expected 52% of points 2024-06-26 PPA · 2-11 · vs Deakin/Cincola · w/ Roman Kravchuk · model expected 37% of points 2024-06-26 PPA · 2-11 · vs Deakin/Cincola · w/ Roman Kravchuk · model expected 37% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ng/Azhar · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 77% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ng/Azhar · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 77% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Crum/Maddox · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 46% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Crum/Maddox · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 46% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hoover/Wild · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 56% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hoover/Wild · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 56% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ng/Chen-An · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 73% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ng/Chen-An · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 73% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 1-11 · vs Chrysostom/Kaoma · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 54% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 7-11 · vs Chrysostom/Kaoma · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 54% of points 2025-06-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Whittaker/Alhouni · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 53% of points 2025-06-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Whittaker/Alhouni · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 53% of points 2025-06-19 PPA · 11-2 · vs Smith/Loong · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 44% of points 2025-06-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Smith/Loong · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 44% of points 2025-06-20 PPA · 4-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 26% of points 2025-06-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Riley Inn · model expected 26% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hoover/Burkhardt · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hoover/Burkhardt · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 15-13 · vs Gomez/Alhouni · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 9-15 · vs Coutinho/Kikkawa · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 52% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Powell/Harvey · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Powell/Harvey · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 6-15 · vs Ingram/Ayon · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 44% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Powell/Diskin · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 44% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Powell/Diskin · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 44% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Powell/Diskin · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 44% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Khalid/Nguyen · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 56% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Khalid/Nguyen · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 56% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hoover/Minniefield · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Hoover/Minniefield · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hoover/Minniefield · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 15-11 · vs Jacobson/Rasmusen · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 15-9 · vs Boydston/Caldarella · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-9 · vs Pham/Mawji · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Pham/Mawji · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 15-10 · vs Iii/Trevino · w/ William Gardner · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 1-11 · vs Steiner/Garretson · w/ William Gardner · model expected 38% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 6-11 · vs Steiner/Garretson · w/ William Gardner · model expected 38% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 9-15 · vs Kotnana/Hared · w/ William Gardner · model expected 46% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Ruiz/Varon · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 38% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ruiz/Varon · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 38% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 8-15 · vs Anderson/Grigoriu · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 15-5 · vs Pastrana/Betancourt · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 15-6 · vs Steiner/Rasmusen · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 11-9 · vs Mercado/Osher · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mercado/Osher · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 11-2 · vs Mercado/Osher · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 15-3 · vs Ticknor/Litvinov · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 3-11 · vs Courteau/Delgado · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 6-11 · vs Courteau/Delgado · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 11-15 · vs Torresin/Bui · w/ Cai Haught · model expected 38% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 10–6 62% 9.0–7.4 2025 PPA 10–6 62% 8.4–7.2 2026 PPA 18–17 51% 9.3–9.5
4–1
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
1–0
overtime games (past the target)
16
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-3
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+0.9 (-1.4…+3.1)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
16 pro singles games
8–8
singles record · last 2026-06
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Brianna Kemp 17 10–7 51% +0.03 ±0.46 (noise) Cai Haught 12 6–6 53% +0.04 ±0.51 (noise) Riley Inn 12 8–4 55% +0.09 ±0.51 (noise) Roman Kravchuk 9 6–3 55% +0.00 ±0.49 (noise) Clayton Truex 7 4–3 54% +0.07 ±0.51 (noise) Jase Edwards 6 3–3 47% -0.06 ±0.50 (noise) William Gardner 4 1–3 40% -0.07 ±0.49 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Cai Haught Torresin/Bui 11-15 +4% 2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Cai Haught Courteau/Delgado 6-11 -10% 2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Cai Haught Courteau/Delgado 3-11 -23% 2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Cai Haught Ticknor/Litvinov 15-3 +18% 2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Cai Haught Mercado/Osher 11-2 +30% 2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Cai Haught Mercado/Osher 9-11 -10% 2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Cai Haught Mercado/Osher 11-9 -0% 2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Cai Haught Steiner/Rasmusen 15-6 +25% 2026-08-16 PPA · mixed Brianna Kemp Pastrana/Betancourt 15-5 -1% 2026-08-16 PPA · mixed Brianna Kemp Anderson/Grigoriu 8-15 -12% 2026-08-16 PPA · mixed Brianna Kemp Ruiz/Varon 4-11 -11% 2026-08-16 PPA · mixed Brianna Kemp Ruiz/Varon 2-11 -22%
Put Luke in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.