Stephen Madonia M
mens 46–69 · mixed 22–56
+2.0 (+0.2…+3.7)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#216
of 286 active men (within gender only)
68–125
career record · 35% wins, 42% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.6) 2024-02 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.6) 2024-03 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.7) 2024-04 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.7) 2024-05 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.7) 2024-06 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.7) 2024-07 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.7) 2024-08 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.7) 2024-09 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.7) 2024-10 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.7) 2024-11 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.6) 2024-12 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.5 to +2.6) 2025-01 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.5 to +2.5) 2025-02 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.6 to +2.5) 2025-03 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.7 to +2.5) 2025-04 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.7 to +2.4) 2025-05 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.7 to +2.4) 2025-06 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +2.4) 2025-07 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +2.4) 2025-08 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.7 to +2.3) 2025-09 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.7 to +2.4) 2025-10 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.8 to +2.5) 2025-11 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.9 to +2.7) 2025-12 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.9 to +2.8) 2026-01 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.9 to +2.9) 2026-02 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.0) 2026-03 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.1) 2026-04 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.2) 2026-05 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.3) 2026-06 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.4) 2026-07 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.4) 2026-08 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.5) 2026-09 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.6) 2026-10 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.7) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-01-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs McMakin/Lau · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 64% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs McMakin/Lau · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 64% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hammond/Akin · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 52% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hammond/Akin · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 52% of points 2024-04-10 PPA · 11-1 · vs Wang/Attar · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 60% of points 2024-04-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Wang/Attar · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 60% of points 2024-04-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Heckler/Berryman · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 73% of points 2024-04-10 PPA · 11-0 · vs Heckler/Berryman · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 73% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hewett/Howells · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 34% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hewett/Howells · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 34% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Duong/Duong · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 56% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 11-7 · vs Duong/Duong · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 56% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lim/Ferrer · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 60% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lim/Ferrer · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 60% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Tate/McCarthy · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 75% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Tate/McCarthy · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 75% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Barrientos/Taylor · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 43% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Barrientos/Taylor · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 43% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 11-1 · vs Park/Williams · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 54% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Park/Williams · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 54% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 0-11 · vs Park/Williams · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 54% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Acob/Zukeran · w/ Brandon Anandan · model expected 46% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Acob/Zukeran · w/ Brandon Anandan · model expected 46% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Murphy/Schiller · w/ Brandon Anandan · model expected 52% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Murphy/Schiller · w/ Brandon Anandan · model expected 52% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Fajardo/Torresin · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 52% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Fajardo/Torresin · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 52% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Fajardo/Torresin · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 52% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Perez/Jauschneg · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 64% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Perez/Jauschneg · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 64% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Graham/Lewis · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 64% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Graham/Lewis · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 64% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 27% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 27% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tamanaha/Byun · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 63% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Tamanaha/Byun · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 63% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Tamanaha/Byun · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 63% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 27% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 27% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Wasson/Burrows · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 53% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Wasson/Burrows · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 53% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Wasson/Burrows · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 53% of points 2025-02-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Trinh/Hovenier · w/ Yuta Funemizu · model expected 43% of points 2025-02-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Trinh/Hovenier · w/ Yuta Funemizu · model expected 43% of points 2025-02-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Yuta Funemizu · model expected 27% of points 2025-02-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Yuta Funemizu · model expected 27% of points 2025-03-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs McGuffin/Schneemann · w/ Hannah Blatt · model expected 24% of points 2025-03-07 PPA · 1-11 · vs McGuffin/Schneemann · w/ Hannah Blatt · model expected 24% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Blanco/Saez · w/ Yuta Funemizu · model expected 42% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Blanco/Saez · w/ Yuta Funemizu · model expected 42% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Johns/Khlif · w/ Yuta Funemizu · model expected 37% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Johns/Khlif · w/ Yuta Funemizu · model expected 37% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Staksrud · w/ Danna Funaro · model expected 20% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 0-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Staksrud · w/ Danna Funaro · model expected 20% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 11-9 · vs Luqur/Ayon · w/ Danna Funaro · model expected 43% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Luqur/Ayon · w/ Danna Funaro · model expected 43% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Luqur/Ayon · w/ Danna Funaro · model expected 43% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Dow/Scarpa · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 39% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 7-11 · vs Dow/Scarpa · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 39% of points 2025-03-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rosa/Emmrich · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 33% of points 2025-03-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Rosa/Emmrich · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 33% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Newman/Ge · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 29% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Newman/Ge · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 29% of points 2025-04-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 24% of points 2025-04-03 PPA · 1-11 · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 24% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Alvarez/Naydenov · w/ Mohaned Alhouni · model expected 49% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 11-9 · vs Alvarez/Naydenov · w/ Mohaned Alhouni · model expected 49% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 2-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Mohaned Alhouni · model expected 21% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Mohaned Alhouni · model expected 21% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Stanciu/Benitez · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Stanciu/Benitez · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Jhonnatan Medina Alvarez · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Jhonnatan Medina Alvarez · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Lewis/Durbin · w/ Harrison Gold · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 1-11 · vs Lewis/Durbin · w/ Harrison Gold · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 1-11 · vs Lewis/Durbin · w/ Harrison Gold · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 11-2 · vs Symkoviak/Russell · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 59% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 5-11 · vs Symkoviak/Russell · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 59% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 11-0 · vs Symkoviak/Russell · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 59% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 2-15 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 41% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 11-0 · vs Simon/Sitar · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 48% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Simon/Sitar · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 48% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Conard/Geminiani · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 41% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 2-11 · vs Conard/Geminiani · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 41% of points 2025-06-05 MLP · 7-11 · vs Loong/Erokhina · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 37% of points 2025-06-05 MLP · 1-11 · vs Loong/Garnett · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 31% of points 2025-06-06 MLP · 11-4 · vs Hovenier/Tereschenko · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 35% of points 2025-06-06 MLP · 9-11 · vs Ignatowich/Freeman · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 37% of points 2025-06-06 MLP · 2-11 · vs Ignatowich/Glozman · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 29% of points 2025-06-06 MLP · 4-11 · vs Fu/Hovenier · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 35% of points 2025-06-07 MLP · 4-11 · vs Alshon/Oncins · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 25% of points 2025-06-07 MLP · 4-11 · vs Alshon/Jansen · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 36% of points 2025-06-08 MLP · 11-9 · vs Howells/Navratil · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 30% of points 2025-06-08 MLP · 3-11 · vs Duong/Parenteau · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 24% of points 2025-06-08 MLP · 2-11 · vs Navratil/Dizon · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 28% of points 2025-06-08 MLP · 8-11 · vs Duong/Johnson · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 32% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 11-5 · vs Roddy/Sock · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 34% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 7-11 · vs Roddy/Sock · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 34% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 7-11 · vs Roddy/Sock · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 34% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 0-11 · vs Todd/Daescu · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 16% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Todd/Daescu · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 16% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Kim/Wei · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 33% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kim/Wei · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 33% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kim/Wei · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 33% of points 2025-07-10 MLP · 0-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 17% of points 2025-07-10 MLP · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Ge · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 25% of points 2025-07-11 MLP · 11-9 · vs Garnett/Johnson · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 34% of points 2025-07-11 MLP · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Erokhina · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 39% of points 2025-07-12 MLP · 11-7 · vs Bui/Funemizu · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 37% of points 2025-07-12 MLP · 4-11 · vs Khlif/Funemizu · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 29% of points 2025-07-24 MLP · 6-11 · vs Johns/Johnson · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 24% of points 2025-07-24 MLP · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Kawamoto · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 23% of points 2025-07-25 MLP · 4-11 · vs Patriquin/Tardio · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 20% of points 2025-07-25 MLP · 6-11 · vs Hovenier/Ingram · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 37% of points 2025-07-25 MLP · 1-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 17% of points 2025-07-25 MLP · 4-11 · vs Fu/Hovenier · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 32% of points 2025-07-26 MLP · 3-11 · vs Howells/Waters · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 13% of points 2025-07-26 MLP · 2-11 · vs Khlif/Howells · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 25% of points 2025-07-27 MLP · 4-11 · vs McGuffin/Irvine · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 27% of points 2025-07-27 MLP · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Ge · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 25% of points 2025-07-27 MLP · 3-11 · vs McGuffin/Sock · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 30% of points 2025-07-27 MLP · 2-11 · vs Black/Ge · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 22% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 32% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 32% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Taylor/Cincola · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Taylor/Cincola · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Trinh/III · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 45% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 0-11 · vs Trinh/III · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 45% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Trinh/III · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 45% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Slive/Shaffer · w/ James Delgado · model expected 57% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Slive/Shaffer · w/ James Delgado · model expected 57% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Davis/Carrol · w/ James Delgado · model expected 56% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Patel/Daland · w/ James Delgado · model expected 64% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Patel/Daland · w/ James Delgado · model expected 64% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-8 · vs Dickson/Woog · w/ James Delgado · model expected 56% of points 2025-09-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Bricker/Nsekpong · w/ Eric Roddy · model expected 46% of points 2025-09-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bricker/Nsekpong · w/ Eric Roddy · model expected 46% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 13-15 · vs Slattery/Giannelli · w/ Jesse Witten · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 15-2 · vs Wert/Sweeney · w/ Jesse Witten · model expected 70% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Matro/Bowe · w/ Jesse Witten · model expected 62% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Matro/Bowe · w/ Jesse Witten · model expected 62% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Protzek/Bricker · w/ Jesse Witten · model expected 32% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 0-11 · vs Protzek/Bricker · w/ Jesse Witten · model expected 32% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 9-15 · vs Rochefort/Giannelli · w/ Emma Van Hee · model expected 46% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 15-8 · vs Okelley/Woog · w/ Emma Van Hee · model expected 57% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Vitale/Hamaguchi · w/ Emma Van Hee · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Vitale/Hamaguchi · w/ Emma Van Hee · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 1-11 · vs Sleeth/Ignatowich · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 32% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Sleeth/Ignatowich · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 32% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Fahey/Khlif · w/ Samantha Parker · model expected 26% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Fahey/Khlif · w/ Samantha Parker · model expected 26% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 11-4 · vs Roderick/Mulenga · w/ Samantha Parker · model expected 74% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Roderick/Mulenga · w/ Samantha Parker · model expected 74% of points 2025-10-31 MLP · 3-11 · vs Patriquin/Tardio · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 19% of points 2025-10-31 MLP · 9-11 · vs Delgado/Tellez · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 35% of points 2025-10-31 MLP · 4-11 · vs Buckner/Tellez · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 24% of points 2025-11-01 MLP · 6-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 33% of points 2025-11-01 MLP · 5-11 · vs Staksrud/Frazier · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 27% of points 2025-11-01 MLP · 1-11 · vs Jones/Garnett · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 25% of points 2025-11-01 MLP · 4-11 · vs Rane/Staksrud · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 26% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wasson/Griffith · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 54% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wasson/Griffith · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 54% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wasson/Griffith · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 54% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs Lohani/Alhouni · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 41% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Lohani/Alhouni · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 41% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 32% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 11-7 · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 32% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 9-11 · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 32% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang/Tellez · w/ Lara Giltinan · model expected 27% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang/Tellez · w/ Lara Giltinan · model expected 27% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Crouch/Alvarez · w/ Eric Roddy · model expected 47% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Crouch/Alvarez · w/ Eric Roddy · model expected 47% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Crouch/Alvarez · w/ Eric Roddy · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-7 · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Grollman/Grollman · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 44% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-8 · vs Grollman/Grollman · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 44% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Grollman/Grollman · w/ Pierina Imparato · model expected 44% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Young/Loyd · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Young/Loyd · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Young/Loyd · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ge/Garnett · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ge/Garnett · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang/McGuffin · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 24% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wang/McGuffin · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 24% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Jacobson/Crouch · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Jacobson/Crouch · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hong/Laurente · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 49% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hong/Laurente · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 49% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hong/Laurente · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 49% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 1-11 · vs Alshon/Patriquin · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 24% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 5-11 · vs Alshon/Patriquin · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 24% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 21–13 62% 8.9–7.5 2025 MLP 4–33 11% 4.7–10.6 2025 PPA 34–68 33% 6.8–9.5 2026 PPA 9–11 45% 7.5–9.7
10–7
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
8–6
overtime games (past the target)
30
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+2.0 (+0.4…+3.4)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
69 pro singles games
28–41
singles record · last 2026-03
10–13
DreamBreaker rallies · 2 DBs, team 1–1
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-03-11 PPA · mens Connor Mogle Alshon/Patriquin 5-11 +8% 2026-03-11 PPA · mens Connor Mogle Alshon/Patriquin 1-11 -15% 2026-03-10 PPA · mixed Rachel Rettger Hong/Laurente 11-5 +20% 2026-03-10 PPA · mixed Rachel Rettger Hong/Laurente 11-5 +20% 2026-03-10 PPA · mixed Rachel Rettger Hong/Laurente 3-11 -27% 2026-03-10 PPA · mens Connor Mogle Jacobson/Crouch 12-10 OT+2% 2026-03-10 PPA · mens Connor Mogle Jacobson/Crouch 11-5 +16% 2026-03-10 PPA · mixed Rachel Rettger Wang/McGuffin 3-11 -2% 2026-03-10 PPA · mixed Rachel Rettger Wang/McGuffin 5-11 +8% 2026-01-15 PPA · mens Connor Mogle Ge/Garnett 7-11 +6% 2026-01-15 PPA · mens Connor Mogle Ge/Garnett 3-11 -11% 2026-01-14 PPA · mens Connor Mogle Young/Loyd 14-12 OT+13%
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Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.