Morgan Downing W
womens 3–18 · mixed 14–28
-0.4 (-2.6…+1.4)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#188
of 204 active women (within gender only)
17–46
career record · 27% wins, 39% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · -2.6 pts (90% band -5.1 to +0.4) 2024-02 · -2.6 pts (90% band -5.1 to +0.4) 2024-03 · -2.7 pts (90% band -5.1 to +0.3) 2024-04 · -2.7 pts (90% band -5.2 to +0.3) 2024-05 · -2.7 pts (90% band -5.2 to +0.3) 2024-06 · -2.7 pts (90% band -5.2 to +0.2) 2024-07 · -2.7 pts (90% band -5.2 to +0.2) 2024-08 · -2.7 pts (90% band -5.1 to +0.2) 2024-09 · -2.8 pts (90% band -5.1 to +0.2) 2024-10 · -2.7 pts (90% band -5.0 to +0.2) 2024-11 · -2.6 pts (90% band -4.9 to +0.1) 2024-12 · -2.6 pts (90% band -4.9 to +0.2) 2025-01 · -2.5 pts (90% band -4.8 to +0.2) 2025-02 · -2.5 pts (90% band -4.7 to +0.2) 2025-03 · -2.4 pts (90% band -4.7 to +0.2) 2025-04 · -2.3 pts (90% band -4.5 to +0.2) 2025-05 · -2.3 pts (90% band -4.5 to +0.2) 2025-06 · -2.2 pts (90% band -4.3 to +0.2) 2025-07 · -2.1 pts (90% band -4.2 to +0.2) 2025-08 · -2.0 pts (90% band -4.0 to +0.3) 2025-09 · -1.8 pts (90% band -3.8 to +0.3) 2025-10 · -1.7 pts (90% band -3.6 to +0.3) 2025-11 · -1.5 pts (90% band -3.4 to +0.4) 2025-12 · -1.3 pts (90% band -3.1 to +0.4) 2026-01 · -1.1 pts (90% band -2.9 to +0.5) 2026-02 · -1.0 pts (90% band -2.8 to +0.6) 2026-03 · -0.9 pts (90% band -2.7 to +0.7) 2026-04 · -0.8 pts (90% band -2.7 to +0.8) 2026-05 · -0.7 pts (90% band -2.6 to +0.9) 2026-06 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.6 to +1.0) 2026-07 · -0.5 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.1) 2026-08 · -0.4 pts (90% band -2.4 to +1.2) 2026-09 · -0.4 pts (90% band -2.6 to +1.3) 2026-10 · -0.4 pts (90% band -2.6 to +1.4) -4 -2 +0 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-05-13 PPA · 4-15 · vs Haymore/Gilbert · w/ Andrew Curtis · model expected 28% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Delgado/Aldridge · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 32% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Delgado/Aldridge · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 32% of points 2024-09-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Huynh/Lum · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 23% of points 2024-09-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Huynh/Lum · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 23% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 2-11 · vs Widdershoven/Ricardo · w/ Emily Anderson · model expected 26% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 0-11 · vs Widdershoven/Ricardo · w/ Emily Anderson · model expected 26% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Minniefield/Hamaguchi · w/ Paul Davis · model expected 37% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Minniefield/Hamaguchi · w/ Paul Davis · model expected 37% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Haywood/Hart · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 34% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Haywood/Hart · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 34% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 3-15 · vs Conard/Chaffin · w/ Garrett Singletary · model expected 25% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Okelley/Ferguson · w/ Katelyn Hilliard · model expected 44% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Dunlap/Conard · w/ Katelyn Hilliard · model expected 22% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 0-11 · vs Dunlap/Conard · w/ Katelyn Hilliard · model expected 22% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 4-15 · vs Protzek/Morelli · w/ Paul Davis · model expected 32% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Stanciu/Burrows · w/ Paul Davis · model expected 41% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 15-13 · vs Maalouf/Rios · w/ Paul Davis · model expected 64% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wang/Gordon · w/ Paul Davis · model expected 45% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wang/Gordon · w/ Paul Davis · model expected 45% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 15-10 · vs Marrero/Banada · w/ Paul Davis · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Lund/Perez · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 40% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lund/Perez · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 40% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Lund/Perez · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 40% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 7-15 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 39% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 5-15 · vs Ford/Ford · w/ Brendan Gallagher · model expected 40% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 15-5 · vs Slive/Bacalla · w/ Brendan Gallagher · model expected 56% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Goldberg/Goldberg · w/ Brendan Gallagher · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Goldberg/Goldberg · w/ Brendan Gallagher · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 6-11 · vs Goldberg/Goldberg · w/ Brendan Gallagher · model expected 41% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Okelley/Lund · w/ Chandra Kusuma · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Okelley/Lund · w/ Chandra Kusuma · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Okelley/Lund · w/ Chandra Kusuma · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hamaguchi/Ferguson · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 35% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hamaguchi/Ferguson · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 35% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bakalinsky/Jones · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Bakalinsky/Jones · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Tellez/Buckner · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 15% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tellez/Buckner · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 15% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Simson/Ganesh · w/ Nicolas Almeida · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Simson/Ganesh · w/ Nicolas Almeida · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Simson/Ganesh · w/ Nicolas Almeida · model expected 43% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 5-15 · vs Manzanares/Yrjanson · w/ Sharienne Ricardo · model expected 46% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs McGowan/Klaassen · w/ Sharienne Ricardo · model expected 31% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs McGowan/Klaassen · w/ Sharienne Ricardo · model expected 31% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs McGowan/Klaassen · w/ Sharienne Ricardo · model expected 31% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 15-8 · vs Brock/Aycock · w/ Kolton Youngblood · model expected 56% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ricardo/Plummer · w/ Kolton Youngblood · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ricardo/Plummer · w/ Kolton Youngblood · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ricardo/Plummer · w/ Kolton Youngblood · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 7-15 · vs Godwin/Ohrel · w/ Kolton Youngblood · model expected 38% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-15 · vs Nesbitt/Cook · w/ Kristen Van Dernoot · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 0-11 · vs Minniefield/Radzikowska · w/ Kristen Van Dernoot · model expected 13% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Minniefield/Radzikowska · w/ Kristen Van Dernoot · model expected 13% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Safdar/Arnold · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 36% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 13-15 (OT) · vs Safdar/Arnold · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 36% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Safdar/Arnold · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 36% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Marrero/Banada · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 9-11 · vs Marrero/Banada · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Marrero/Banada · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 9-15 · vs Alhouni/Conard · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 33% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Goins/Gecheva · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 24% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Goins/Gecheva · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 24% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 0–5 0% 2.4–11.8 2025 PPA 3–13 19% 6.2–12.1 2026 PPA 14–28 33% 7.8–10.5
2–6
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
3–4
overtime games (past the target)
2
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-3
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-4.5 (-5.3…-3.5)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
61 pro singles games
19–42
singles record · last 2026-08
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Emanuel Dickson 9 4–5 48% +0.18 ±0.49 (noise) Paul Davis 8 3–5 43% -0.04 ±0.50 (noise) Benjamin Bramblett 6 2–4 40% +0.10 ±0.47 (noise) Garrett Singletary 5 0–5 23% -0.08 ±0.51 (noise) Brendan Gallagher 5 2–3 49% +0.06 ±0.52 (noise) Kolton Youngblood 5 2–3 45% +0.02 ±0.51 (noise) Brie Aldridge 4 1–3 44% -0.01 ±0.49 (noise) Sharienne Ricardo 4 1–3 32% -0.04 ±0.51 (noise) Katelyn Hilliard 3 0–3 31% -0.03 ±0.52 (noise) Chandra Kusuma 3 1–2 40% -0.02 ±0.53 (noise) Nicolas Almeida 3 1–2 43% -0.01 ±0.52 (noise) Kristen Van Dernoot 3 0–3 26% -0.02 ±0.50 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Emanuel Dickson Goins/Gecheva 3-11 -3% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Emanuel Dickson Goins/Gecheva 5-11 +7% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Emanuel Dickson Alhouni/Conard 9-15 +4% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Emanuel Dickson Marrero/Banada 11-7 +12% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Emanuel Dickson Marrero/Banada 9-11 -4% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Emanuel Dickson Marrero/Banada 11-6 +16% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Emanuel Dickson Safdar/Arnold 11-6 +28% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Emanuel Dickson Safdar/Arnold 13-15 OT +10% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Emanuel Dickson Safdar/Arnold 11-7 +25% 2026-08-29 PPA · womens Kristen Van Dernoot Minniefield/Radzikowska 2-11 +2% 2026-08-29 PPA · womens Kristen Van Dernoot Minniefield/Radzikowska 0-11 -13% 2026-08-29 PPA · womens Kristen Van Dernoot Nesbitt/Cook 11-15 +0%
Put Morgan in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.