Abigail Okelley W
womens 23–45 · mixed 22–45
-0.6 (-2.6…+1.1)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#191
of 204 active women (within gender only)
45–90
career record · 33% wins, 45% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · -1.3 pts (90% band -3.6 to +0.8) 2024-02 · -1.3 pts (90% band -3.6 to +0.8) 2024-03 · -1.3 pts (90% band -3.5 to +0.7) 2024-04 · -1.3 pts (90% band -3.4 to +0.7) 2024-05 · -1.3 pts (90% band -3.3 to +0.6) 2024-06 · -1.3 pts (90% band -3.3 to +0.6) 2024-07 · -1.3 pts (90% band -3.2 to +0.5) 2024-08 · -1.3 pts (90% band -3.1 to +0.5) 2024-09 · -1.2 pts (90% band -3.0 to +0.5) 2024-10 · -1.2 pts (90% band -2.9 to +0.5) 2024-11 · -1.1 pts (90% band -2.8 to +0.5) 2024-12 · -1.0 pts (90% band -2.8 to +0.6) 2025-01 · -0.9 pts (90% band -2.6 to +0.6) 2025-02 · -0.9 pts (90% band -2.5 to +0.6) 2025-03 · -0.8 pts (90% band -2.4 to +0.6) 2025-04 · -0.7 pts (90% band -2.3 to +0.7) 2025-05 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.3 to +0.8) 2025-06 · -0.5 pts (90% band -2.2 to +0.8) 2025-07 · -0.5 pts (90% band -2.0 to +0.8) 2025-08 · -0.4 pts (90% band -1.9 to +0.8) 2025-09 · -0.3 pts (90% band -1.8 to +0.8) 2025-10 · -0.4 pts (90% band -1.7 to +0.7) 2025-11 · -0.4 pts (90% band -1.7 to +0.7) 2025-12 · -0.5 pts (90% band -1.7 to +0.6) 2026-01 · -0.6 pts (90% band -1.9 to +0.5) 2026-02 · -0.8 pts (90% band -2.1 to +0.4) 2026-03 · -0.8 pts (90% band -2.2 to +0.5) 2026-04 · -0.8 pts (90% band -2.3 to +0.5) 2026-05 · -0.8 pts (90% band -2.3 to +0.5) 2026-06 · -0.7 pts (90% band -2.3 to +0.6) 2026-07 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.3 to +0.7) 2026-08 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.3 to +0.9) 2026-09 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.0) 2026-10 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.6 to +1.1) -2 +0 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-04-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 47% of points 2024-04-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 47% of points 2024-04-03 PPA · 4-11 · vs Jones/Stratman · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 16% of points 2024-04-03 PPA · 0-11 · vs Jones/Stratman · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 16% of points 2024-05-13 PPA · 6-15 · vs Rochefort/Giannelli · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 38% of points 2024-05-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Geut/Jones · w/ Kristen Van Dernoot · model expected 33% of points 2024-05-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Geut/Jones · w/ Kristen Van Dernoot · model expected 33% of points 2024-05-13 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Geut/Jones · w/ Kristen Van Dernoot · model expected 33% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 0-11 · vs Mogle/Tauber · w/ Len Yang · model expected 31% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Mogle/Tauber · w/ Len Yang · model expected 31% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Schmidt/Brown · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 31% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 6-11 · vs Schmidt/Brown · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 31% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dorsey/Southwick · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 54% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dorsey/Southwick · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 54% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Grigoriu/Braham · w/ Luke Wasson · model expected 33% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Grigoriu/Braham · w/ Luke Wasson · model expected 33% of points 2024-09-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Hoag/Bates · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 24% of points 2024-09-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Hoag/Bates · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 24% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Ronney/Gonnering · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 48% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ronney/Gonnering · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 48% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ronney/Gonnering · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 48% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs James/Paolicelli · w/ Sarah Carpenter · model expected 27% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs James/Paolicelli · w/ Sarah Carpenter · model expected 27% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Carpenter/Haywood · w/ Sydnee Metzold · model expected 48% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Carpenter/Haywood · w/ Sydnee Metzold · model expected 48% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 15-9 · vs Rizzo/Godwin · w/ Sydnee Metzold · model expected 65% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 9-15 · vs Ulery/Alvarez · w/ Sydnee Metzold · model expected 48% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 15-8 · vs Poe/Patrick · w/ Elijah Bertram · model expected 64% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Ulery/Ferlianto · w/ Elijah Bertram · model expected 49% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 15-1 · vs Okelley/Lateko · w/ Elijah Bertram · model expected 76% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Rochefort/Giannelli · w/ Elijah Bertram · model expected 39% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rochefort/Giannelli · w/ Elijah Bertram · model expected 39% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rochefort/Giannelli · w/ Elijah Bertram · model expected 39% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Richardson/Perez · w/ Julianna Hess · model expected 50% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Richardson/Perez · w/ Julianna Hess · model expected 50% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-2 · vs Duncan/Vu · w/ Julianna Hess · model expected 58% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Griffith/Caruso · w/ Julianna Hess · model expected 31% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Simon/Evans · w/ Julianna Hess · model expected 43% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hoag/Parks · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 32% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 12-15 · vs Ulery/Hamaguchi · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 42% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Constantinidi/Perez · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 64% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-15 · vs Yeh/Ling · w/ Kayla Williams · model expected 49% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ulery/Buyckx · w/ Kayla Williams · model expected 38% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ulery/Buyckx · w/ Kayla Williams · model expected 38% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Ronney/Hee · w/ Kayla Williams · model expected 43% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 8-15 · vs Hee/Madonia · w/ Jarryd Woog · model expected 43% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Haymore/Hanson · w/ Jarryd Woog · model expected 48% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Haymore/Hanson · w/ Jarryd Woog · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Shima/Tran · w/ Emma Van Hee · model expected 50% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Shima/Tran · w/ Emma Van Hee · model expected 50% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 5-11 · vs Shima/Tran · w/ Emma Van Hee · model expected 50% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Leonard/Malloy · w/ Emma Van Hee · model expected 65% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Leonard/Malloy · w/ Emma Van Hee · model expected 65% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 8-11 · vs Banada/Blaszkewycz · w/ Blake Goodman · model expected 34% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Banada/Blaszkewycz · w/ Blake Goodman · model expected 34% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-0 · vs Dy/X · w/ Blake Goodman · model expected 57% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dy/X · w/ Blake Goodman · model expected 57% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dy/X · w/ Blake Goodman · model expected 57% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Hilliard/Downing · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 56% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Minniefield/Williams · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 36% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Minniefield/Williams · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 36% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Minniefield/Williams · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 36% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 4-15 · vs Ulery/Cole · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 30% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 15-5 · vs Wang/Risi · w/ Jason Loyd · model expected 63% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 8-15 · vs Laville/Ruhl · w/ Jason Loyd · model expected 46% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Naydenov/Lutz · w/ Jason Loyd · model expected 44% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Naydenov/Lutz · w/ Jason Loyd · model expected 44% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Naydenov/Lutz · w/ Jason Loyd · model expected 44% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Scarpa/Safdar · w/ Jason Loyd · model expected 28% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Scarpa/Safdar · w/ Jason Loyd · model expected 28% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 0-11 · vs Petropouleas/Wynne · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 45% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Petropouleas/Wynne · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 45% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Petropouleas/Wynne · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 45% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mendez/Bower · w/ Easton Horricks · model expected 37% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Mendez/Bower · w/ Easton Horricks · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Diaz/Jensen · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 64% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Diaz/Jensen · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 64% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ho/Radermacher · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ho/Radermacher · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ho/Radermacher · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Maguire/Simson · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 48% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Maguire/Simson · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 48% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Downing/Kusuma · w/ Adalynn Lund · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Downing/Kusuma · w/ Adalynn Lund · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Downing/Kusuma · w/ Adalynn Lund · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Gomez/Tonnessen · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Gomez/Tonnessen · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Gomez/Tonnessen · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Koop/Huang · w/ Adalynn Lund · model expected 31% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Koop/Huang · w/ Adalynn Lund · model expected 31% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Pradeep/Martins · w/ Mary Monson · model expected 44% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Pradeep/Martins · w/ Mary Monson · model expected 44% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Pradeep/Martins · w/ Mary Monson · model expected 44% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 4-15 · vs Grgan/Yang · w/ Mary Monson · model expected 36% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 9-11 · vs Martins/Castillo · w/ Axel Morgan · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-9 · vs Martins/Castillo · w/ Axel Morgan · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-8 · vs Martins/Castillo · w/ Axel Morgan · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Axel Morgan · model expected 32% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 8-11 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Axel Morgan · model expected 32% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Ulery/Anderson · w/ Axel Morgan · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hendry/Reichert · w/ Ariana Rodriguez · model expected 30% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hendry/Reichert · w/ Ariana Rodriguez · model expected 30% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Dickson/Flores · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Dickson/Flores · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dickson/Flores · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rosa/Koop · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 27% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Rosa/Koop · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 27% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hazrati/Malloy · w/ Kristen Van Dernoot · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hazrati/Malloy · w/ Kristen Van Dernoot · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 0-11 · vs Hazrati/Malloy · w/ Kristen Van Dernoot · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Wang/Yu · w/ Kentaro Hamaguchi · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wang/Yu · w/ Kentaro Hamaguchi · model expected 47% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Li/Wang · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Li/Wang · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Lenhart/Wynne · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lenhart/Wynne · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lenhart/Wynne · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 12-15 · vs Petropouleas/Rau · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Trieu/Kitto · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 70% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-1 · vs Trieu/Kitto · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 70% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-2 · vs Yahng/Warren · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Yahng/Warren · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Perez/Minniefield · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Perez/Minniefield · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 6-15 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 15-13 · vs Petropouleas/Bakalinsky · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Grgan/Rasmusen · w/ Adalynn Lund · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Grgan/Rasmusen · w/ Adalynn Lund · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Grgan/Rasmusen · w/ Adalynn Lund · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 6-15 · vs Conard/Ruiz · w/ Adalynn Lund · model expected 33% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-8 · vs Smith/S · w/ Adalynn Lund · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 9-15 · vs Reichert/Loftin · w/ Will Wimbish · model expected 38% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 15-10 · vs Smith/Preissler · w/ Will Wimbish · model expected 46% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Edwards/Rasmusen · w/ Will Wimbish · model expected 34% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Edwards/Rasmusen · w/ Will Wimbish · model expected 34% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 4–19 17% 6.1–10.9 2025 PPA 19–33 37% 9.0–9.8 2026 PPA 22–38 37% 8.2–10.0
6–11
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
5–6
overtime games (past the target)
15
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-5.1 (-6.5…-3.2)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
18 pro singles games
3–15
singles record · last 2025-12
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Jaeda Minniefield 16 6–10 41% -0.17 ±0.49 (noise) Dale Kim 14 6–8 49% +0.06 ±0.51 (noise) Adalynn Lund 10 4–6 45% +0.02 ±0.49 (noise) Haley Ferguson 8 3–5 42% +0.02 ±0.51 (noise) Jason Loyd 7 3–4 48% +0.08 ±0.48 (noise) Kristen Van Dernoot 6 2–4 39% -0.01 ±0.52 (noise) Elijah Bertram 6 3–3 53% +0.05 ±0.49 (noise) Axel Morgan 6 2–4 46% +0.00 ±0.52 (noise) Julianna Hess 5 2–3 51% +0.11 ±0.52 (noise) Emma Van Hee 5 3–2 57% +0.04 ±0.50 (noise) Blake Goodman 5 2–3 53% +0.08 ±0.49 (noise) Will Mackinnon 5 3–2 55% +0.00 ±0.47 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Will Wimbish Edwards/Rasmusen 2-11 -18% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Will Wimbish Edwards/Rasmusen 8-11 +9% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Will Wimbish Smith/Preissler 15-10 +14% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Will Wimbish Reichert/Loftin 9-15 -1% 2026-08-29 PPA · womens Adalynn Lund Smith/S 15-8 +3% 2026-08-29 PPA · womens Adalynn Lund Conard/Ruiz 6-15 -5% 2026-08-29 PPA · womens Adalynn Lund Grgan/Rasmusen 6-11 -1% 2026-08-29 PPA · womens Adalynn Lund Grgan/Rasmusen 11-7 +25% 2026-08-29 PPA · womens Adalynn Lund Grgan/Rasmusen 5-11 -5% 2026-06-28 PPA · mixed Dale Kim Petropouleas/Bakalinsky 15-13 +4% 2026-06-28 PPA · mixed Dale Kim Griffith/Rangelov 6-15 -14% 2026-06-28 PPA · mixed Dale Kim Perez/Minniefield 8-11 -0%
Put Abigail in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.