Ava Cavataio W
womens 25–21 · mixed 40–32
+3.5 (+2.4…+4.5)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#82
of 204 active women (within gender only)
65–53
career record · 55% wins, 51% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.9) 2024-02 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.9) 2024-03 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-04 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9) 2024-05 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9) 2024-06 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2024-07 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2024-08 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.9) 2024-09 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.8) 2024-10 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.8) 2024-11 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.8) 2024-12 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.8) 2025-01 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.8) 2025-02 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.8) 2025-03 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.8) 2025-04 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.8) 2025-05 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.7) 2025-06 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.7) 2025-07 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.7) 2025-08 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.7) 2025-09 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.7) 2025-10 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.6) 2025-11 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.6) 2025-12 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.5) 2026-01 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.5) 2026-02 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.5) 2026-03 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.4) 2026-04 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.4) 2026-05 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.4) 2026-06 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.5) 2026-07 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.5) 2026-08 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.5) 2026-09 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.5) 2026-10 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.5) +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-12-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Schull/Tomassi · w/ Juan Saez · model expected 50% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Schull/Tomassi · w/ Juan Saez · model expected 50% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Schull/Tomassi · w/ Juan Saez · model expected 50% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Johnson/Black · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 21% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Black · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 21% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Black · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 21% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 11-8 · vs Courteau/Toskova · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 63% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Courteau/Toskova · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 63% of points 2025-07-09 MLP · 11-5 · vs Frantova/Rives · w/ Bella Nelson · model expected 48% of points 2025-07-09 MLP · 6-11 · vs Radzikowska/Brown · w/ Zachary Marceau · model expected 33% of points 2025-07-09 MLP · 3-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Frantova · w/ Zachary Marceau · model expected 41% of points 2025-07-09 MLP · 1-11 · vs Esquivel/Radzikowska · w/ Bella Nelson · model expected 33% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kwong/Vasvatekis · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 74% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kwong/Vasvatekis · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 74% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Mack/Widdershoven · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 50% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Mack/Widdershoven · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 50% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Mack/Widdershoven · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 50% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-0 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 62% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 62% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 62% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 1-11 · vs Parenteau/Black · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 20% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 0-11 · vs Parenteau/Black · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 20% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Laywell/Pisacrita · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 78% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Laywell/Pisacrita · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 78% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-0 · vs Hatton/Conard · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 61% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Hatton/Conard · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 61% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ruiz/Laurente · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ruiz/Laurente · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-4 · vs Trevino/Braham · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-7 · vs Trevino/Braham · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 15-12 · vs Dong/Reichert · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 59% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-3 · vs Williams/Hamaguchi · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 64% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-2 · vs Williams/Hamaguchi · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 64% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-7 · vs Bricker/Bui · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-7 · vs Bricker/Bui · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 5-15 · vs Emmrich/Newman · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 8-11 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 6-11 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-3 · vs Pelletier/Postma · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 77% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-3 · vs Pelletier/Postma · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 77% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-7 · vs Weil/Parker · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-4 · vs Weil/Parker · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rives/Emmrich · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 49% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 7-11 · vs Rives/Emmrich · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 49% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rives/Emmrich · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 49% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-0 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Frantova/Blanco · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Frantova/Blanco · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs El-Zarif/Ferguson · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs El-Zarif/Ferguson · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs El-Zarif/Ferguson · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ruiz/Centonze · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ruiz/Centonze · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Sitar/Bui · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Sitar/Bui · w/ Clayton Powell · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Mercado/Hatton · w/ George Wall · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Mercado/Hatton · w/ George Wall · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mercado/Hatton · w/ George Wall · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Rau/Hendershot · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 41% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rau/Hendershot · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 41% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ George Wall · model expected 16% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ George Wall · model expected 16% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Rives/Bui · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rives/Bui · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 43% of points 2026-05-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hoover/IV · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hoover/IV · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Daniel/Sakkas · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 65% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Daniel/Sakkas · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 65% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Gecheva/Johns · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Gecheva/Johns · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Gecheva/Johns · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Belle/Jensen · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 83% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-0 · vs Belle/Jensen · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 83% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Schull/Young · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 41% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Schull/Young · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 41% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Erokhina/Kong · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Erokhina/Kong · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Erokhina/Kong · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Blatt/McMillan · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Blatt/McMillan · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Sleeth/Dunlap · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 38% of points 2026-05-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Sleeth/Dunlap · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 38% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-8 · vs Abrams/Gilbert · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Abrams/Gilbert · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Steiner/Mudsam · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Steiner/Mudsam · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ulery/Minniefield · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ulery/Minniefield · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 0-11 · vs Todd/Daescu · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 21% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Todd/Daescu · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 21% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 12% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 12% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Camras/Wang · w/ George Wall · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Camras/Wang · w/ George Wall · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Gecheva/Hendershot · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Gecheva/Hendershot · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Gecheva/Hendershot · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Schneemann/Pisnik · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 32% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Schneemann/Pisnik · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 32% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mawji/Rasmusen · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Mawji/Rasmusen · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mawji/Rasmusen · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Perez/Minniefield · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Perez/Minniefield · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Khan/Mack · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Khan/Mack · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Frazier/Truong · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 39% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Frazier/Truong · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 39% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Dunlap/Erokhina · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 44% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Dunlap/Erokhina · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 44% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Bouchard/Roddy · w/ James Delgado · model expected 60% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-7 · vs Bouchard/Roddy · w/ James Delgado · model expected 60% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bouchard/Roddy · w/ James Delgado · model expected 60% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 4–4 50% 7.9–8.6 2025 MLP 1–3 25% 5.2–9.5 2025 PPA 5–5 50% 7.8–7.6 2026 PPA 55–41 57% 8.8–8.0
9–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
8–6
overtime games (past the target)
32
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+1.8 (+0.2…+3.2)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
27 pro singles games
15–12
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-13 PPA · mixed James Delgado Bouchard/Roddy 11-6 +5% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed James Delgado Bouchard/Roddy 11-7 +1% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed James Delgado Bouchard/Roddy 8-11 -18% 2026-10-01 PPA · womens Zoey Weil Dunlap/Erokhina 2-11 -29% 2026-10-01 PPA · womens Zoey Weil Dunlap/Erokhina 12-14 OT +2% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Frazier/Truong 2-11 -23% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Frazier/Truong 8-11 +3% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Khan/Mack 11-8 +3% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Khan/Mack 11-3 +24% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Perez/Minniefield 11-6 +5% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Perez/Minniefield 15-13 OT-6% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Mawji/Rasmusen 11-8 +1%
Put Ava in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.