Ella Cosma W
womens 26–54 · mixed 38–58
+1.2 (+0.0…+2.4)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#162
of 204 active women (within gender only)
64–112
career record · 36% wins, 44% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.8 to +2.7) 2024-02 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.6) 2024-03 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.6) 2024-04 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.6) 2024-05 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.5) 2024-06 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.5) 2024-07 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.5) 2024-08 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.4) 2024-09 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.4) 2024-10 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.3) 2024-11 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.3) 2024-12 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.3) 2025-01 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.3) 2025-02 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.3) 2025-03 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.2) 2025-04 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.2) 2025-05 · +1.1 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.2) 2025-06 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.2) 2025-07 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.1) 2025-08 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.1) 2025-09 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.0) 2025-10 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.0) 2025-11 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.0) 2025-12 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.1) 2026-01 · +1.1 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.0) 2026-02 · +1.1 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.0) 2026-03 · +1.0 pts (90% band +0.1 to +1.9) 2026-04 · +1.0 pts (90% band +0.1 to +1.9) 2026-05 · +1.0 pts (90% band +0.1 to +1.9) 2026-06 · +1.1 pts (90% band +0.1 to +1.9) 2026-07 · +1.1 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.1) 2026-08 · +1.2 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.2) 2026-09 · +1.2 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.3) 2026-10 · +1.2 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.4) -2 +0 +2 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-11-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rodriguez/Green · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 34% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rodriguez/Green · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 34% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bouchard/Christian · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 33% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bouchard/Christian · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 33% of points 2025-04-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Rodriguez/Bieger · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 36% of points 2025-04-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rodriguez/Bieger · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 36% of points 2025-04-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Giannelli/Kusuma · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 48% of points 2025-04-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Giannelli/Kusuma · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 48% of points 2025-04-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Giannelli/Kusuma · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 48% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rodriguez/Leonard · w/ Cailyn Campbell · model expected 56% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rodriguez/Leonard · w/ Cailyn Campbell · model expected 56% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rodriguez/Leonard · w/ Cailyn Campbell · model expected 56% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 2-11 · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Cailyn Campbell · model expected 13% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Cailyn Campbell · model expected 13% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Uspensky/Rosati · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 42% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Uspensky/Rosati · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 42% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Uspensky/Rosati · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 42% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Seagraves/Ricardo · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 55% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Seagraves/Ricardo · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 55% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wei/Long · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 24% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Wei/Long · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 24% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Kawamoto/Frazier · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 18% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Kawamoto/Frazier · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 18% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Taylor/Trifunovic · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 56% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Taylor/Trifunovic · w/ Demetric Marrero Jr · model expected 56% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 15-12 · vs Wynne/Ojeda · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 49% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 8-15 · vs Conard/Summers · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 42% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hanks/Phillips · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 64% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 11-8 · vs Hanks/Phillips · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 64% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Shore/Petropouleas · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 62% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Petrei/Rasmusen · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 38% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 8-11 · vs Petrei/Rasmusen · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 38% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Hendershot/Larson · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 51% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hanks/Brooks · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 59% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hanks/Brooks · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 59% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Petrei/Coutinho · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 40% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Petrei/Coutinho · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 40% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-1 · vs Simon/Garriotte · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 63% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Simon/Garriotte · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 63% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 30% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 30% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Godwin/McGowan · w/ Elina Geut · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Godwin/McGowan · w/ Elina Geut · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Grollman/Policare · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 38% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Grollman/Policare · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 38% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs Kappes/Taniguchi · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 59% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kappes/Taniguchi · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 59% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Kappes/Taniguchi · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 59% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 0-11 · vs Black/Patriquin · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 14% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 1-11 · vs Black/Patriquin · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 14% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Mannarino/Tiboldi · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 50% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mannarino/Tiboldi · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 50% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Fife/Davis · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 1-11 · vs Fife/Davis · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fife/Davis · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 54% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ignatowich/Lohani · w/ Alexander Crum · model expected 48% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ignatowich/Lohani · w/ Alexander Crum · model expected 48% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 1-11 · vs Christian/Irvine · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 19% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 2-11 · vs Christian/Irvine · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 19% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Young/Kunimoto · w/ Gabriel Joseph · model expected 32% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Young/Kunimoto · w/ Gabriel Joseph · model expected 32% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Radzikowska/Emmrich · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 29% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Radzikowska/Emmrich · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 29% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Yeh/Harvey · w/ Gabriel Joseph · model expected 38% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Yeh/Harvey · w/ Gabriel Joseph · model expected 38% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 9-11 · vs Yeh/Minniefield · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Yeh/Minniefield · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Smith · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 29% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johnson/Smith · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 29% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ampon/Shimabukuro · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ampon/Shimabukuro · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Bond/Phillips · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Bond/Phillips · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 6% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 0-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 6% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Simson/Mercado · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 56% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-9 · vs Simson/Mercado · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 56% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-8 · vs Simson/Mercado · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 56% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 0-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 10% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 0-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 10% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Jansen/Smith · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 21% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Jansen/Smith · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 21% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 15-1 · vs Belle/Held · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 69% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Purcell/Grollman · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 32% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Purcell/Grollman · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 32% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 5-15 · vs Ampon/Omori · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 44% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 7-15 · vs Hoang/Zhang · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 55% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Newcombe/Ingram · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 38% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Newcombe/Ingram · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 38% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Newcombe/Ingram · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 38% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Medina/Fortino · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Medina/Fortino · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Medina/Fortino · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Klinger/Kunimoto · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 25% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Klinger/Kunimoto · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 25% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Christian/Nelson · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 29% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 0-11 · vs Christian/Nelson · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 29% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Andrew Caldarella · model expected 37% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Andrew Caldarella · model expected 37% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Andrew Caldarella · model expected 37% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Erokhina/Hendershot · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 35% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Erokhina/Hendershot · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 35% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Erokhina/Hendershot · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 35% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-15 · vs Neils/Clark · w/ Allie Davis · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hart/Goodwin · w/ Allie Davis · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hart/Goodwin · w/ Allie Davis · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hart/Goodwin · w/ Allie Davis · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Goodnow/Hendershot · w/ Allie Davis · model expected 30% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Goodnow/Hendershot · w/ Allie Davis · model expected 30% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 42% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 8-15 · vs Lenhart/Camras · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Newcombe/Rasmusen · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Newcombe/Rasmusen · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Burkhardt/Wynne · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 47% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 15-6 · vs Boydston/Boydston · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Neils/Kikkawa · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Neils/Kikkawa · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Neils/Kikkawa · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-05 PPA · 11-1 · vs Liu/Teoni · w/ Gabriel Joseph · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Liu/Teoni · w/ Gabriel Joseph · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 2-11 · vs Loong/Sleeth · w/ Gabriel Joseph · model expected 27% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Loong/Sleeth · w/ Gabriel Joseph · model expected 27% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Blatt/McMillan · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 41% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Blatt/McMillan · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 41% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Minniefield/Rasmusen · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Minniefield/Rasmusen · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 12-15 · vs Boydston/Wynne · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 42% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Osher/Hitzeman · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Osher/Hitzeman · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Osher/Hitzeman · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 15-11 · vs Andrus/Ma · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 67% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Goodwin/Larson · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 67% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 15-13 · vs Khalid/Nguyen · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 9-15 · vs Coutinho/Petrei · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 37% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Finnerty/Liu · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Finnerty/Liu · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Finnerty/Liu · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-08 MLP · 1-11 · vs Jones/Tuionetoa · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 23% of points 2026-07-08 MLP · 5-11 · vs Jones/Garnett · w/ Ryan Morneau · model expected 28% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 0-11 · vs Frantova/Weil · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 28% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 11-13 (OT) · vs Weil/Mogle · w/ Ryan Morneau · model expected 31% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-4 · vs Weston/Leonard · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 68% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-4 · vs Weston/Leonard · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 68% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 5-15 · vs Ampon/Ingram · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Gecheva/Dunlap · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 29% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-4 · vs Gecheva/Dunlap · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 29% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 2-11 · vs Gecheva/Dunlap · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 29% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 15-10 · vs Pastrana/Tobita · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 67% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 15-4 · vs Hanks/Camras · w/ Noah Zwiren · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ingram/Poland · w/ Noah Zwiren · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ingram/Poland · w/ Noah Zwiren · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ingram/Poland · w/ Noah Zwiren · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 15-0 · vs Luc/Wannachinda · w/ Noah Zwiren · model expected 64% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 7-15 · vs Ampon/Stanchev · w/ Noah Zwiren · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Niemann/Rettke · w/ Noah Zwiren · model expected 73% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Niemann/Rettke · w/ Noah Zwiren · model expected 73% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 15-10 · vs Rasmusen/Goodnow · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 41% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 7-11 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 2-11 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-3 · vs Vigna/Racine · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 67% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-1 · vs Vigna/Racine · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 67% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-6 · vs Osher/Newman · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Osher/Newman · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 15-7 · vs McCaffrey/Racine · w/ Mackonner Dy · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 0-11 · vs Castillo/Dunlap · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 25% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 2-11 · vs Castillo/Dunlap · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 25% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 9-11 · vs Shekar/Goodnow · w/ Mackonner Dy · model expected 34% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Shekar/Goodnow · w/ Mackonner Dy · model expected 34% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 13-15 · vs Hoover/Klokotzky · w/ Mackonner Dy · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Steiner/Mudsam · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Steiner/Mudsam · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 6-11 · vs Steiner/Mudsam · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Todd · w/ Brooke Caruso · model expected 13% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Todd · w/ Brooke Caruso · model expected 13% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tran/Liu · w/ Polina Libo · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Tran/Liu · w/ Polina Libo · model expected 45% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 0–4 0% 3.8–11.0 2025 PPA 23–36 39% 7.7–9.5 2026 MLP 0–4 0% 4.2–11.5 2026 PPA 41–68 38% 8.1–9.8
9–8
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
10–10
overtime games (past the target)
22
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-5
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-5.6 (-6.4…-4.6)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
32 pro singles games
8–24
singles record · last 2026-09
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-09-16 PPA · womens Polina Libo Tran/Liu 9-11 +0% 2026-09-16 PPA · womens Polina Libo Tran/Liu 5-11 -14% 2026-09-02 PPA · womens Brooke Caruso Rohrabacher/Todd 2-11 +2% 2026-09-02 PPA · womens Brooke Caruso Rohrabacher/Todd 1-11 -5% 2026-08-31 PPA · mixed Cason Campbell Steiner/Mudsam 6-11 -17% 2026-08-31 PPA · mixed Cason Campbell Steiner/Mudsam 12-10 OT+3% 2026-08-31 PPA · mixed Cason Campbell Steiner/Mudsam 5-11 -21% 2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Mackonner Dy Hoover/Klokotzky 13-15 +4% 2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Mackonner Dy Shekar/Goodnow 5-11 -3% 2026-08-23 PPA · mixed Mackonner Dy Shekar/Goodnow 9-11 +11% 2026-08-23 PPA · womens Jaeda Minniefield Castillo/Dunlap 2-11 -9% 2026-08-23 PPA · womens Jaeda Minniefield Castillo/Dunlap 0-11 -25%
Put Ella in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.