PICKLES

Hayden Rand M

mens 25–36 · mixed 10–10

+1.0 (-0.9…+2.6)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#257
of 286 active men (within gender only)
35–46
career record · 43% wins, 45% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +0.5 pts (90% band -2.8 to +3.0)2024-02 · +0.5 pts (90% band -2.7 to +2.9)2024-03 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.7 to +2.9)2024-04 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.6 to +2.9)2024-05 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.6 to +2.9)2024-06 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.5 to +2.9)2024-07 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.5 to +2.9)2024-08 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.4 to +2.8)2024-09 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.4 to +2.8)2024-10 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.3 to +2.8)2024-11 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.3 to +2.8)2024-12 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.2 to +2.8)2025-01 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.2 to +2.8)2025-02 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.1 to +2.7)2025-03 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.1 to +2.7)2025-04 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.0 to +2.7)2025-05 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.9 to +2.6)2025-06 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.9 to +2.6)2025-07 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.8 to +2.6)2025-08 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.6)2025-09 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.5)2025-10 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.5)2025-11 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.4)2025-12 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.4)2026-01 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.4)2026-02 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.4)2026-03 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.4)2026-04 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.4)2026-05 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.4)2026-06 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.4)2026-07 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.4)2026-08 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.4)2026-09 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.5)2026-10 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.6)-2+0+2202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2025-08-23 PPA · 11-5 · vs Braham/Protzek · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 23% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 3-11 · vs Braham/Protzek · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 23% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 1-11 · vs Braham/Protzek · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 23% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 6-15 · vs Wittman/Lin · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 41% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Le/Kau · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 59% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 11-3 · vs Le/Kau · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 59% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 11-9 · vs Le/Kau · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 59% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Byun/Litvinov · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 41% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-8 · vs Byun/Litvinov · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 41% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 2-11 · vs Byun/Litvinov · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 41% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Borawski/Martin · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 64% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Borawski/Martin · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 64% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Tamaki/Garcia · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 35% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 2-11 · vs Tamaki/Garcia · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 35% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Zoeteman/Fisher · w/ Dave Conley · model expected 47% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Zoeteman/Fisher · w/ Dave Conley · model expected 47% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ora/Lynch · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 47% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 0-11 · vs Ora/Lynch · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 47% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Jammal/Growcott · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 29% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Jammal/Growcott · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 29% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Evans/Crosby · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 62% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Evans/Crosby · w/ Casey Smith · model expected 62% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 2-11 · vs Powell/Forsythe · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 33% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Powell/Forsythe · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 33% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 1-11 · vs Powell/Forsythe · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 33% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Karczmer/Haugdahl · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 62% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 11-5 · vs Karczmer/Haugdahl · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 62% of points2026-04-04 PPA · 15-3 · vs Godderis/Fachaux · w/ Priyank Soni · model expected 82% of points2026-04-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Martinez/Growcott · w/ Priyank Soni · model expected 36% of points2026-04-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Martinez/Growcott · w/ Priyank Soni · model expected 36% of points2026-04-04 PPA · 15-5 · vs Borawski/Conley · w/ Priyank Soni · model expected 65% of points2026-04-04 PPA · 16-18 (OT) · vs Kim/Rahachou · w/ Priyank Soni · model expected 52% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 7-15 · vs Liu/Teoni · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 42% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Mudsam/Moseley · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 65% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mudsam/Moseley · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 65% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 15-11 · vs Litvinov/Jensen · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 47% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 15-4 · vs Rahachou/Carlon · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 58% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 30% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 30% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 2-11 · vs Luhring/Inn · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 24% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Luhring/Inn · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 24% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Tinsley/Ness · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 51% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Tinsley/Ness · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 51% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Tinsley/Ness · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 51% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 7-15 · vs Ngo/Kheireddin · w/ Jason McCrary · model expected 36% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Baravik/Huang · w/ Jason McCrary · model expected 52% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Baravik/Huang · w/ Jason McCrary · model expected 52% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Baravik/Huang · w/ Jason McCrary · model expected 52% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Akin/Hoover · w/ Jason McCrary · model expected 32% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Akin/Hoover · w/ Jason McCrary · model expected 32% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 15-7 · vs Castillo/Castillo · w/ Jason McCrary · model expected 70% of points2026-08-15 PPA · 15-13 · vs Carpenter/Stone · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 55% of points2026-08-15 PPA · 15-10 · vs Krause/Hatzenbeler · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 51% of points2026-08-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wan/Balakrishnan · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 41% of points2026-08-15 PPA · 1-11 · vs Wan/Balakrishnan · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 41% of points2026-08-15 PPA · 3-15 · vs Zwiren/Yu · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 30% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 41% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 11-9 · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 41% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 2-11 · vs Mack/Widdershoven · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 28% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Mack/Widdershoven · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 28% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Pagaoa/Nuttall · w/ Dave Conley · model expected 56% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Pagaoa/Nuttall · w/ Dave Conley · model expected 56% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Pagaoa/Nuttall · w/ Dave Conley · model expected 56% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Libo/Libo · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 59% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Libo/Libo · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 59% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Libo/Libo · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 59% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Radermacher/Traxler · w/ Dave Conley · model expected 37% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Radermacher/Traxler · w/ Dave Conley · model expected 37% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ojeda/Castellanos · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 49% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ojeda/Castellanos · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 49% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Pham/Castellanos · w/ Aaron Li · model expected 51% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Pham/Castellanos · w/ Aaron Li · model expected 51% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Pham/Castellanos · w/ Aaron Li · model expected 51% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 2-11 · vs Truong/Huynh · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 33% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 5-11 · vs Truong/Huynh · w/ Angela Morisette · model expected 33% of points2026-10-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Berryman/Hernandez · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 46% of points2026-10-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Berryman/Hernandez · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 46% of points2026-10-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Camras/Anderson · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 33% of points2026-10-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Camras/Anderson · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 33% of points2026-10-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Torresin/Quintanilla · w/ Kavya Rachapalli · model expected 23% of points2026-10-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Torresin/Quintanilla · w/ Kavya Rachapalli · model expected 23% of points0%25%50%75%100%20252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2025PPA4–640%6.4–9.5
2026PPA31–4044%8.1–9.4
5–4
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
4–4
overtime games (past the target)
11
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
4
longest win streak
-4
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+0.4 (-0.5…+1.3)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
99 pro singles games
49–50
singles record · last 2026-10

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Angela Morisette1810–850%+0.22 ±0.51 (noise)
Casey Smith135–843%-0.03 ±0.52 (noise)
William Hsieh136–748%+0.13 ±0.51 (noise)
Matthew Mead105–542%-0.12 ±0.49 (noise)
Dave Conley72–543%-0.09 ±0.49 (noise)
Jason McCrary73–447%-0.03 ±0.49 (noise)
Priyank Soni52–353%+0.01 ±0.53 (noise)
Devon Sikora31–235%-0.03 ±0.52 (noise)
Aaron Li31–244%-0.05 ±0.49 (noise)
Kavya Rachapalli20–215%-0.04 ±0.55 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-10-05PPA · mixedKavya RachapalliTorresin/Quintanilla4-11+3%
2026-10-05PPA · mixedKavya RachapalliTorresin/Quintanilla0-11-23%
2026-10-05PPA · mensWilliam HsiehCamras/Anderson7-11+6%
2026-10-05PPA · mensWilliam HsiehCamras/Anderson4-11-6%
2026-10-05PPA · mensWilliam HsiehBerryman/Hernandez11-2+39%
2026-10-05PPA · mensWilliam HsiehBerryman/Hernandez11-4+28%
2026-09-28PPA · mixedAngela MorisetteTruong/Huynh5-11-2%
2026-09-28PPA · mixedAngela MorisetteTruong/Huynh2-11-18%
2026-09-28PPA · mensAaron LiPham/Castellanos1-11-43%
2026-09-28PPA · mensAaron LiPham/Castellanos12-14 OT-5%
2026-09-28PPA · mensAaron LiPham/Castellanos11-6+13%
2026-09-28PPA · mixedAngela MorisetteOjeda/Castellanos11-9+6%

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