PICKLES

V. Mary Rivas W

womens 16–20 · mixed 23–30

+1.5 (+0.1…+2.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#154
of 204 active women (within gender only)
39–50
career record · 44% wins, 48% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +0.4 pts (90% band -2.2 to +2.3)2024-02 · +0.4 pts (90% band -2.1 to +2.3)2024-03 · +0.4 pts (90% band -2.0 to +2.3)2024-04 · +0.5 pts (90% band -2.0 to +2.3)2024-05 · +0.5 pts (90% band -1.9 to +2.3)2024-06 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.3)2024-07 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.4)2024-08 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.4)2024-09 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.5)2024-10 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.5)2024-11 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.5)2024-12 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.5)2025-01 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.6)2025-02 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.6)2025-03 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.6)2025-04 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.6)2025-05 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.6)2025-06 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.6)2025-07 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.6)2025-08 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.6)2025-09 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.6)2025-10 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.6)2025-11 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.6)2025-12 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.6)2026-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.6)2026-02 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.7)2026-03 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.6)2026-04 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.6)2026-05 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.6)2026-06 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.7)2026-07 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.7)2026-08 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.7)2026-09 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.8)2026-10 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.9)-2+0+2202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-03-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Fagan/Sanchez · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 38% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Fagan/Sanchez · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 38% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Fagan/Sanchez · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 38% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 6-15 · vs Lantz/Nelson · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 52% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Gomez/Donkena · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 49% of points2024-04-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Toole/Gonnering · w/ Brett Finan · model expected 52% of points2024-04-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Toole/Gonnering · w/ Brett Finan · model expected 52% of points2024-04-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Toole/Gonnering · w/ Brett Finan · model expected 52% of points2024-04-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Loyd/Maddox · w/ Brett Finan · model expected 27% of points2024-04-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Loyd/Maddox · w/ Brett Finan · model expected 27% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Klaassen/Perez · w/ Willy De Vilchez · model expected 47% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Klaassen/Perez · w/ Willy De Vilchez · model expected 47% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 3-11 · vs Klaassen/Perez · w/ Willy De Vilchez · model expected 47% of points2024-08-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Parnell/Kutz · w/ Susie Epp · model expected 59% of points2024-08-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Parnell/Kutz · w/ Susie Epp · model expected 59% of points2024-08-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Imparato/Ascarate · w/ Susie Epp · model expected 27% of points2024-08-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Imparato/Ascarate · w/ Susie Epp · model expected 27% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ferguson/Jareonvongrayab · w/ Cassie Aiello · model expected 41% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Cox/Hornigold · w/ Cassie Aiello · model expected 49% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Cox/Hornigold · w/ Cassie Aiello · model expected 49% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Cox/Hornigold · w/ Cassie Aiello · model expected 49% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Monson/Bricker · w/ Jonah Matos · model expected 44% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 5-15 · vs Truluck/Benitez · w/ Jonah Matos · model expected 23% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Minniefield/Kim · w/ Jonah Matos · model expected 39% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Tsao/Shima · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 62% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Tsao/Shima · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 62% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 57% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-9 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 57% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 57% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ansboury/Burrows · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 40% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ansboury/Burrows · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 40% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ansboury/Burrows · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 40% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-8 · vs Azhar/Hazawa · w/ Pei-Yu Lai · model expected 59% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Azhar/Hazawa · w/ Pei-Yu Lai · model expected 59% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Sawaki/Fujiwara · w/ Pei-Yu Lai · model expected 41% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs Sawaki/Fujiwara · w/ Pei-Yu Lai · model expected 41% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Alto/Bukina · w/ Willy De Vilchez · model expected 60% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Alto/Bukina · w/ Willy De Vilchez · model expected 60% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Conard/Bricker · w/ Willy De Vilchez · model expected 42% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Conard/Bricker · w/ Willy De Vilchez · model expected 42% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 5-11 · vs Conard/Bricker · w/ Willy De Vilchez · model expected 42% of points2026-05-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Goodnow/Hendershot · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 31% of points2026-05-02 PPA · 3-11 · vs Goodnow/Hendershot · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 31% of points2026-05-02 PPA · 15-9 · vs Hart/Goodwin · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 60% of points2026-05-02 PPA · 9-15 · vs Boydston/Wynne · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 38% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 15-8 · vs Sorem/Suard · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 66% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 18-16 (OT) · vs Weber/Rhoades · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 59% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Duffin/Boydston · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 42% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs Duffin/Boydston · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 42% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Gonnering/Voelker · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 55% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 12-15 · vs Osher/Byun · w/ Alex Lantz · model expected 37% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 11-7 · vs Soto/Morris · w/ Alex Lantz · model expected 49% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Soto/Morris · w/ Alex Lantz · model expected 49% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 6-11 · vs Soto/Morris · w/ Alex Lantz · model expected 49% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 15-10 · vs Sacca/Simson · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 50% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 3-15 · vs Stanciu/Beck · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 50% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 15-13 · vs Wilson/Wynne · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 52% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Niemann/Morgan · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 76% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 11-1 · vs Niemann/Morgan · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 76% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Osher/Newman · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 35% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Osher/Newman · w/ Nina Rhoades · model expected 35% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 11-15 · vs Chi/S · w/ Tommy Labat · model expected 50% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 15-9 · vs Rhoades/Radermacher · w/ Tommy Labat · model expected 55% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 11-0 · vs Lemke/Tacheny · w/ Tommy Labat · model expected 60% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 5-11 · vs Lemke/Tacheny · w/ Tommy Labat · model expected 60% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Lemke/Tacheny · w/ Tommy Labat · model expected 60% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 15-13 · vs Herminas/Warren · w/ Tommy Labat · model expected 56% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 15-7 · vs Mabie/Liyanage · w/ Tommy Labat · model expected 51% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 15-10 · vs Ferguson/Carlon · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 53% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Griffith/Ulery · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 48% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Griffith/Ulery · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 48% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 15-0 · vs Suiugan/Rudd · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 74% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 4-15 · vs Conard/Ruiz · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 37% of points2026-08-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Poland/Goodnow · w/ Matt Ngo · model expected 38% of points2026-08-30 PPA · 0-11 · vs Poland/Goodnow · w/ Matt Ngo · model expected 38% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 15-12 · vs Gordon/Barisano · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 56% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 15-4 · vs Coyner/Nesbitt · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 58% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lenhart/Maguire · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 59% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 7-11 · vs Lenhart/Maguire · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 59% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lenhart/Maguire · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 59% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 13-15 · vs Pretorius/Rasmusen · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 39% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 2-11 · vs Truluck/Klaassen · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 34% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 3-11 · vs Truluck/Klaassen · w/ Chantal Mabie · model expected 34% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 11-15 · vs Heerboth/Reichert · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 27% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lavy/Barisano · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 51% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lavy/Barisano · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 51% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Arnold/Imparato · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 30% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Arnold/Imparato · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 30% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 15-5 · vs Kim/Fahey · w/ Kyle Goodburn · model expected 57% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA7–1041%7.5–10.2
2025PPA11–1346%8.5–9.0
2026PPA21–2744%9.7–10.2
2–8
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
4–4
overtime games (past the target)
10
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
3
longest win streak
+1
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-5.7 (-6.7…-4.3)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
19 pro singles games
5–14
singles record · last 2026-08

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Kyle Goodburn199–1047%+0.05 ±0.50 (noise)
Chantal Mabie136–750%+0.06 ±0.50 (noise)
Nina Rhoades115–649%+0.06 ±0.49 (noise)
Willy De Vilchez84–453%+0.09 ±0.50 (noise)
Tommy Labat74–354%+0.02 ±0.50 (noise)
Brett Finan52–340%-0.01 ±0.51 (noise)
Mike Radermacher52–349%-0.08 ±0.50 (noise)
Susie Epp42–245%+0.02 ±0.53 (noise)
Cassie Aiello41–342%-0.08 ±0.52 (noise)
Pei-Yu Lai42–246%-0.05 ±0.51 (noise)
Alex Lantz41–345%+0.02 ±0.50 (noise)
Jonah Matos31–239%+0.03 ±0.52 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-09-27PPA · mixedKyle GoodburnKim/Fahey15-5+18%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedKyle GoodburnArnold/Imparato4-11-3%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedKyle GoodburnArnold/Imparato1-11-22%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedKyle GoodburnLavy/Barisano11-7+10%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedKyle GoodburnLavy/Barisano11-8+7%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedKyle GoodburnHeerboth/Reichert11-15+15%
2026-09-26PPA · womensChantal MabieTruluck/Klaassen3-11-13%
2026-09-26PPA · womensChantal MabieTruluck/Klaassen2-11-19%
2026-09-26PPA · womensChantal MabiePretorius/Rasmusen13-15+7%
2026-09-26PPA · womensChantal MabieLenhart/Maguire11-8-1%
2026-09-26PPA · womensChantal MabieLenhart/Maguire7-11-20%
2026-09-26PPA · womensChantal MabieLenhart/Maguire11-9-4%

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