Mikael Vollbach M
mens 21–17 · mixed 17–14
+2.9 (+0.7…+4.7)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
—
of 286 active men (within gender only; no 2026 games)
38–31
career record · 55% wins, 54% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.3) 2024-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.3) 2024-03 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.3) 2024-04 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.3) 2024-05 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.3) 2024-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.3) 2024-07 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.4) 2024-08 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.3) 2024-09 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.3) 2024-10 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.3) 2024-11 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.3) 2024-12 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.2) 2025-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.2) 2025-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.2) 2025-03 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.1) 2025-04 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.2) 2025-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.2) 2025-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.1) 2025-07 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2) 2025-08 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.2) 2025-09 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.2) 2025-10 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2) 2025-11 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.2) 2025-12 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.2) 2026-01 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3) 2026-02 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3) 2026-03 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.4) 2026-04 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.4) 2026-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.5) 2026-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.5) 2026-07 · +2.9 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.6) 2026-08 · +2.9 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.6) 2026-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.7) 2026-10 · +2.9 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.7) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-03-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Herrick/Herrick · w/ Dean Papakonstantis · model expected 49% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Herrick/Herrick · w/ Dean Papakonstantis · model expected 49% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Herrick/Herrick · w/ Dean Papakonstantis · model expected 49% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Campbell/Alhouni · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 52% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Campbell/Alhouni · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 52% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Campbell/Alhouni · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 15-10 · vs Nougaret/Turner · w/ Jun Jeon · model expected 63% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 15-9 · vs Wade/Buchhauser · w/ Jun Jeon · model expected 54% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 15-5 · vs Brady/Olson · w/ Jun Jeon · model expected 70% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 7-15 · vs Hugo/Eaby · w/ Jun Jeon · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Parichkov/Rangelov · w/ Jun Jeon · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Parichkov/Rangelov · w/ Jun Jeon · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Parichkov/Rangelov · w/ Jun Jeon · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 11-9 · vs Caruso/Crouch · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 45% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 8-11 · vs Caruso/Crouch · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 45% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Caruso/Crouch · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 45% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 15-4 · vs Gordon/Gordon · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 61% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 15-9 · vs Ruhl/Berryman · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 60% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 11-2 · vs Waite/Taylor · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 76% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Waite/Taylor · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 76% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Cabieses/Conde · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 77% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Cabieses/Conde · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 77% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 15-7 · vs McPherson/Herrick · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 61% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 5-11 · vs Walker/Scarpa · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 31% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 6-11 · vs Walker/Scarpa · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 31% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Rangelov/Parichkov · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 56% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 15-0 · vs Glowaki/Glowaki · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 77% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 5-11 · vs Funemizu/Goins · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 37% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Funemizu/Goins · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 37% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Carney/Clark · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 69% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Carney/Clark · w/ Sanil Jagtiani · model expected 69% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 15-10 · vs Carpenter/Wang · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 59% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ignatowich/Crum · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 55% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ignatowich/Crum · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 55% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 15-8 · vs Taylor/Schember · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 75% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 10-15 · vs Bui/Torresin · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 43% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Faryniarz/Usai · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 69% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Faryniarz/Usai · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 69% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jones/Caruso · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 81% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-1 · vs Jones/Caruso · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 81% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-2 · vs Bricker/Nsekpong · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 58% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-7 · vs Bricker/Nsekpong · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 58% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 13-15 · vs Turkovic/Centonze · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 48% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-12 · vs Fu/Dow · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 49% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-3 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 50% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Petropouleas/Dussault · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 52% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Monson/Bricker · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 57% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Mack/Braham · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 48% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mack/Braham · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 48% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Hoag/Parks · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 42% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Conard/Saez · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 46% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs III/Delgado · w/ Matvey Radionov · model expected 41% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs III/Delgado · w/ Matvey Radionov · model expected 41% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs III/Delgado · w/ Matvey Radionov · model expected 41% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 12-15 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ Matvey Radionov · model expected 65% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Naydenov/Berryman · w/ Matvey Radionov · model expected 52% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Naydenov/Berryman · w/ Matvey Radionov · model expected 52% of points 2025-10-04 PPA · 11-9 · vs Naydenov/Berryman · w/ Matvey Radionov · model expected 52% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 13-15 · vs Wang/Terzian · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 71% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 9-11 · vs Goldin/Haworth · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 46% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Goldin/Haworth · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 46% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Yun/Herminas · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 77% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Yun/Herminas · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 77% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Holloway/Coyner · w/ Katelyn Hilliard · model expected 52% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 11-9 · vs Holloway/Coyner · w/ Katelyn Hilliard · model expected 52% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 11-15 · vs Aldridge/Grubbs · w/ Katelyn Hilliard · model expected 42% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 15-9 · vs Lam/Fortino · w/ Katelyn Hilliard · model expected 54% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bricker/Khan · w/ Katelyn Hilliard · model expected 35% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bricker/Khan · w/ Katelyn Hilliard · model expected 35% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 38–31 55% 10.1–8.7
1–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
3–4
overtime games (past the target)
14
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-0.2 (-3.7…+3.4)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (5 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
2–3
singles record · last 2025-06
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Sarah Mulhern 25 14–11 54% +0.11 ±0.51 (noise) Bruno Faletto 15 10–5 62% +0.05 ±0.50 (noise) Jun Jeon 7 4–3 50% -0.04 ±0.52 (noise) Matvey Radionov 7 3–4 49% -0.06 ±0.50 (noise) Sanil Jagtiani 6 3–3 55% -0.02 ±0.51 (noise) Katelyn Hilliard 6 3–3 49% +0.04 ±0.51 (noise) Dean Papakonstantis 3 1–2 46% -0.02 ±0.52 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2025-12-14 PPA · mixed Katelyn Hilliard Bricker/Khan 4-11 -8% 2025-12-14 PPA · mixed Katelyn Hilliard Bricker/Khan 5-11 -3% 2025-12-14 PPA · mixed Katelyn Hilliard Lam/Fortino 15-9 +9% 2025-12-14 PPA · mixed Katelyn Hilliard Aldridge/Grubbs 11-15 +1% 2025-12-14 PPA · mixed Katelyn Hilliard Holloway/Coyner 11-9 +3% 2025-12-14 PPA · mixed Katelyn Hilliard Holloway/Coyner 11-5 +17% 2025-12-13 PPA · mens Bruno Faletto Yun/Herminas 11-3 +1% 2025-12-13 PPA · mens Bruno Faletto Yun/Herminas 11-3 +1% 2025-12-13 PPA · mens Bruno Faletto Goldin/Haworth 6-11 -10% 2025-12-13 PPA · mens Bruno Faletto Goldin/Haworth 9-11 -1% 2025-12-13 PPA · mens Bruno Faletto Wang/Terzian 13-15 -24% 2025-10-04 PPA · mens Matvey Radionov Naydenov/Berryman 11-9 +3%
Put Mikael in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.