Lucas Pascoe M
mens 53–48 · mixed 56–46
+2.0 (+0.7…+3.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#220
of 286 active men (within gender only)
109–94
career record · 54% wins, 51% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.0) 2024-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.0) 2024-03 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.0) 2024-04 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9) 2024-05 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9) 2024-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.9) 2024-07 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.9) 2024-08 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.9) 2024-09 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.9) 2024-10 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.9) 2024-11 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.8) 2024-12 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.8) 2025-01 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.8) 2025-02 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.7) 2025-03 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.7) 2025-04 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.6) 2025-05 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.6) 2025-06 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.6) 2025-07 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.5) 2025-08 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.4) 2025-09 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.3) 2025-10 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.3) 2025-11 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.2) 2025-12 · +2.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.2) 2026-01 · +2.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.1) 2026-02 · +2.2 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.0) 2026-03 · +2.1 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.0) 2026-04 · +2.0 pts (90% band +1.1 to +2.9) 2026-05 · +2.0 pts (90% band +1.0 to +2.9) 2026-06 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.0) 2026-07 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.0) 2026-08 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.1) 2026-09 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.1) 2026-10 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.2) +1 +2 +3 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-06-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Nguyen/Huynh · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 52% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Nguyen/Huynh · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 52% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ali/Kim · w/ David Yahng · model expected 53% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ali/Kim · w/ David Yahng · model expected 53% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ali/Kim · w/ David Yahng · model expected 53% of points 2024-08-30 PPA · 11-1 · vs Genua/Jacquet · w/ Vishal Masand · model expected 79% of points 2024-08-30 PPA · 11-1 · vs Genua/Jacquet · w/ Vishal Masand · model expected 79% of points 2024-08-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wild/Wall · w/ Vishal Masand · model expected 42% of points 2024-08-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wild/Wall · w/ Vishal Masand · model expected 42% of points 2024-08-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Vine/Costin · w/ Vishal Masand · model expected 70% of points 2024-08-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Vine/Costin · w/ Vishal Masand · model expected 70% of points 2024-08-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Horsley/Kouznetsov · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 73% of points 2024-08-31 PPA · 11-5 · vs Horsley/Kouznetsov · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 73% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Idzikowski/Fairbanks · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 62% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Idzikowski/Fairbanks · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 62% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Idzikowski/Fairbanks · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 62% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Dalla-Bona/Wall · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 45% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Dalla-Bona/Wall · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 45% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Townsend/Wild · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 33% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Townsend/Wild · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 33% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Schmidt/Hargreaves · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 50% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Schmidt/Hargreaves · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 50% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-0 · vs Donnelly/Manzano · w/ George Wall · model expected 77% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-6 · vs Donnelly/Manzano · w/ George Wall · model expected 77% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Johns/Devilliers · w/ George Wall · model expected 37% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 0-11 · vs Johns/Devilliers · w/ George Wall · model expected 37% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-7 · vs Grewal/Taylor · w/ George Wall · model expected 62% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Grewal/Taylor · w/ George Wall · model expected 62% of points 2025-02-01 PPA · 1-11 · vs Black/Klinger · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 21% of points 2025-02-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Black/Klinger · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 21% of points 2025-02-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Horridge/Horsley · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 64% of points 2025-02-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Horridge/Horsley · w/ Kaitlynn Hart · model expected 64% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Lim/Lazaro · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 52% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Lim/Lazaro · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 52% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 6-11 · vs Lim/Lazaro · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 52% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 11-2 · vs Brady/Blitz · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 75% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Brady/Blitz · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 75% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 11-1 · vs Richardson/Blitz · w/ Mitchell Hargreaves · model expected 76% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 11-1 · vs Richardson/Blitz · w/ Mitchell Hargreaves · model expected 76% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Grewal/Cassidy · w/ Mitchell Hargreaves · model expected 54% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 8-11 · vs Grewal/Cassidy · w/ Mitchell Hargreaves · model expected 54% of points 2025-07-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Yi/Lin · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 59% of points 2025-07-03 PPA · 11-8 · vs Yi/Lin · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 59% of points 2025-07-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Trinh/Huang · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 50% of points 2025-07-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Trinh/Huang · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 50% of points 2025-07-03 PPA · 11-0 · vs Trinh/Huang · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 50% of points 2025-07-04 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wall/Dikosavljevic · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 40% of points 2025-07-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Wall/Dikosavljevic · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 40% of points 2025-07-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Kim/Wong · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 44% of points 2025-07-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kim/Wong · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 44% of points 2025-07-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Chen-An/Tsao · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 75% of points 2025-07-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Chen-An/Tsao · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 75% of points 2025-07-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kapadia/Mehta · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 32% of points 2025-07-06 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kapadia/Mehta · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 32% of points 2025-07-06 PPA · 1-11 · vs Kapadia/Mehta · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 32% of points 2025-07-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hargreaves/Stirling · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 47% of points 2025-07-06 PPA · 11-1 · vs Hargreaves/Stirling · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 47% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Mack/Varon · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Mack/Varon · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kayo/Lee · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 63% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Kayo/Lee · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 63% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Benitez/Rettenmaier · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 41% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Benitez/Rettenmaier · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 41% of points 2025-08-22 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lam/Ly · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 57% of points 2025-08-22 PPA · 11-5 · vs Lam/Ly · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 57% of points 2025-08-22 PPA · 8-11 · vs Yoshitomi/Stirling · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 50% of points 2025-08-22 PPA · 7-11 · vs Yoshitomi/Stirling · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 50% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bhatia/Raja · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bhatia/Raja · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hsieh/Yu · w/ Danni-Elle Townsend · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hsieh/Yu · w/ Danni-Elle Townsend · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hsieh/Yu · w/ Danni-Elle Townsend · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dennehy/Wong · w/ Danni-Elle Townsend · model expected 51% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dennehy/Wong · w/ Danni-Elle Townsend · model expected 51% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wei/Yang · w/ Danni-Elle Townsend · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wei/Yang · w/ Danni-Elle Townsend · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wei/Yang · w/ Danni-Elle Townsend · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wang/Kim · w/ Danni-Elle Townsend · model expected 62% of points 2025-08-31 PPA · 11-9 · vs Wang/Kim · w/ Danni-Elle Townsend · model expected 62% of points 2025-09-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Wang-Beckvall/Kapadia · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wang-Beckvall/Kapadia · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Mehta/Powell · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 51% of points 2025-09-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mehta/Powell · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 51% of points 2025-09-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Mehta/Powell · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 51% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hargreaves/Huynh · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hargreaves/Huynh · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hsieh/Yu · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 42% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hsieh/Yu · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 42% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 5-11 · vs Lazaro/Long · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 50% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Lazaro/Long · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 50% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Wong/Thang · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 62% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wong/Thang · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 62% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hsieh/Narayanan · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 48% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hsieh/Narayanan · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 48% of points 2025-10-02 PPA · 1-11 · vs Townsend/Navratil · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Townsend/Navratil · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs Townsend/Navratil · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bhatia/Navratil · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 35% of points 2025-10-02 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bhatia/Navratil · w/ Kenta Miyoshi · model expected 35% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Hopkins/Duane · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 51% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hopkins/Duane · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 51% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hopkins/Duane · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 51% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Howard/Messinger · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 0-11 · vs Howard/Messinger · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Howard/Messinger · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 4-15 · vs Feyereisen/Radermacher · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-3 · vs Shimabukuro/Parker · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Shimabukuro/Parker · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Lenhard/Ingram · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 0-11 · vs Lenhard/Ingram · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 7-11 · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-6 · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ticknor/Sikora · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 69% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Ticknor/Sikora · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 69% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ulery/Anderson · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 56% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ulery/Anderson · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Shimabukuro/Funemizu · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 35% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Shimabukuro/Funemizu · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 35% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Garnett/Jones · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 18% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Garnett/Jones · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 18% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Chaffin/Walczak · w/ Cleo Bond · model expected 25% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Chaffin/Walczak · w/ Cleo Bond · model expected 25% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Alhouni/Chaffin · w/ Craig Johnson · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Alhouni/Chaffin · w/ Craig Johnson · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Alhouni/Chaffin · w/ Craig Johnson · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Koller/Tuionetoa · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 31% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Koller/Tuionetoa · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 31% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Jones/Arnold · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Jones/Arnold · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wasson/Rahachou · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wasson/Rahachou · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-9 · vs Wasson/Rahachou · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Caldarella/Ford · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Caldarella/Ford · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Caldarella/Ford · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Klinger/Ingram · w/ Albie Huang · model expected 34% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Klinger/Ingram · w/ Albie Huang · model expected 34% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 6-11 · vs Freeman/McGuffin · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 32% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 1-11 · vs Freeman/McGuffin · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 32% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Caldarella/Shaffer · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Caldarella/Shaffer · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 1-11 · vs Staksrud/Daescu · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 25% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Staksrud/Daescu · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 25% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Burkhardt/Seagraves · w/ Freddie Powell · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Burkhardt/Seagraves · w/ Freddie Powell · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Suard/Rzesnowiecky · w/ Freddie Powell · model expected 69% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 9-11 · vs Suard/Rzesnowiecky · w/ Freddie Powell · model expected 69% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Suard/Rzesnowiecky · w/ Freddie Powell · model expected 69% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 6-15 · vs Mawji/Haas · w/ Freddie Powell · model expected 52% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs Jacobson/Caldarella · w/ Freddie Powell · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Jacobson/Caldarella · w/ Freddie Powell · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Jacobson/Caldarella · w/ Freddie Powell · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 15-11 · vs Liu/Teoni · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 52% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Worsham/Piekarski · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Worsham/Piekarski · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Worsham/Piekarski · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ayotte/Beck · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ayotte/Beck · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 4-15 · vs Dunlap/French · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 35% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Spotswood/Bannerman · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Spotswood/Bannerman · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hargreaves/Grabovic · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hargreaves/Grabovic · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Blitz/Martin · w/ Selina Turulja · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Blitz/Martin · w/ Selina Turulja · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-3 · vs Massih/Morris · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 74% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-3 · vs Massih/Morris · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 74% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-4 · vs Maleganeas/Taylor · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 60% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-1 · vs Maleganeas/Taylor · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 60% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 15-5 · vs Donnelly/Henare · w/ Selina Turulja · model expected 67% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hart/Brown · w/ Selina Turulja · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hart/Brown · w/ Selina Turulja · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Walker/Loyd · w/ Paula Rives · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Walker/Loyd · w/ Paula Rives · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Walker/Loyd · w/ Paula Rives · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Taylor/Nemoff · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Taylor/Nemoff · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 19% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 19% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 43% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Aryaan Bhatia · model expected 43% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs El-Zarif/Varon · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 44% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 9-11 · vs El-Zarif/Varon · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 44% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Stratman/Johnson · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 42% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Stratman/Johnson · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 42% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Stratman/Johnson · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 42% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hargreaves/Yang · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hargreaves/Yang · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Vine/Donnelly · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 72% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Vine/Donnelly · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 72% of points 2026-10-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hargreaves/Johns · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hargreaves/Johns · w/ Harrison Brown · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-15 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dikosavljevic/Wild · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 37% of points 2026-10-15 PPA · 11-8 · vs Dikosavljevic/Wild · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 37% of points 2026-10-15 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dikosavljevic/Wild · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 37% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 16–9 64% 9.7–7.8 2025 PPA 42–35 55% 8.4–8.0 2026 PPA 51–50 50% 8.3–8.4
11–11
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
10–12
overtime games (past the target)
55
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-0.3 (-1.4…+0.9)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
78 pro singles games
31–47
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-15 PPA · mixed Aiko Yoshitomi Dikosavljevic/Wild 11-9 +18% 2026-10-15 PPA · mixed Aiko Yoshitomi Dikosavljevic/Wild 11-8 +20% 2026-10-15 PPA · mixed Aiko Yoshitomi Dikosavljevic/Wild 9-11 +8% 2026-10-15 PPA · mens Harrison Brown Hargreaves/Johns 11-5 +22% 2026-10-15 PPA · mens Harrison Brown Hargreaves/Johns 11-6 +18% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Harrison Brown Vine/Donnelly 11-0 +28% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Harrison Brown Vine/Donnelly 11-1 +20% 2026-10-14 PPA · mixed Aiko Yoshitomi Hargreaves/Yang 11-3 +28% 2026-10-14 PPA · mixed Aiko Yoshitomi Hargreaves/Yang 11-4 +23% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Abbigal Hatton Stratman/Johnson 2-11 -27% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Abbigal Hatton Stratman/Johnson 5-11 -11% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Abbigal Hatton Stratman/Johnson 11-7 +19%
Put Lucas in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.