PICKLES

Katie Neils W

womens 5–12 · mixed 14–30

-3.0 (-4.7…-1.0)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#202
of 204 active women (within gender only)
19–42
career record · 31% wins, 43% of points
▼
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · -2.2 pts (90% band -5.0 to +0.9)2024-02 · -2.2 pts (90% band -5.0 to +0.8)2024-03 · -2.2 pts (90% band -4.9 to +0.8)2024-04 · -2.2 pts (90% band -4.9 to +0.8)2024-05 · -2.2 pts (90% band -4.9 to +0.7)2024-06 · -2.3 pts (90% band -4.9 to +0.7)2024-07 · -2.3 pts (90% band -4.8 to +0.6)2024-08 · -2.3 pts (90% band -4.8 to +0.6)2024-09 · -2.3 pts (90% band -4.8 to +0.5)2024-10 · -2.3 pts (90% band -4.8 to +0.4)2024-11 · -2.4 pts (90% band -4.8 to +0.4)2024-12 · -2.4 pts (90% band -4.7 to +0.3)2025-01 · -2.4 pts (90% band -4.7 to +0.3)2025-02 · -2.4 pts (90% band -4.6 to +0.2)2025-03 · -2.5 pts (90% band -4.6 to +0.1)2025-04 · -2.5 pts (90% band -4.6 to +0.0)2025-05 · -2.5 pts (90% band -4.5 to -0.0)2025-06 · -2.5 pts (90% band -4.5 to -0.1)2025-07 · -2.5 pts (90% band -4.4 to -0.3)2025-08 · -2.6 pts (90% band -4.4 to -0.4)2025-09 · -2.6 pts (90% band -4.3 to -0.5)2025-10 · -2.6 pts (90% band -4.3 to -0.7)2025-11 · -2.5 pts (90% band -4.2 to -0.7)2025-12 · -2.5 pts (90% band -4.0 to -0.7)2026-01 · -2.4 pts (90% band -3.9 to -0.7)2026-02 · -2.5 pts (90% band -4.0 to -0.8)2026-03 · -2.6 pts (90% band -4.1 to -0.9)2026-04 · -2.6 pts (90% band -4.1 to -1.0)2026-05 · -2.7 pts (90% band -4.1 to -1.1)2026-06 · -2.8 pts (90% band -4.3 to -1.1)2026-07 · -2.9 pts (90% band -4.4 to -1.2)2026-08 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.5 to -1.2)2026-09 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.6 to -1.1)2026-10 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.7 to -1.0)-4-2+0202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2025-10-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Pitts/Williams · w/ Princess Gbadamosi · model expected 33% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Pitts/Williams · w/ Princess Gbadamosi · model expected 33% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 6-15 · vs Weston/Jones · w/ Princess Gbadamosi · model expected 46% of points2025-10-12 PPA · 13-15 · vs Gbadamosi/Mulenga · w/ Evan Zoeteman · model expected 53% of points2025-10-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Evan Zoeteman · model expected 29% of points2025-10-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Evan Zoeteman · model expected 29% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Matos/Simon · w/ Evan Zoeteman · model expected 42% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Matos/Simon · w/ Evan Zoeteman · model expected 42% of points2026-01-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ingram/Minniefield · w/ Wendy Weston · model expected 25% of points2026-01-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Ingram/Minniefield · w/ Wendy Weston · model expected 25% of points2026-01-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bochte/McDaniel · w/ Wendy Weston · model expected 63% of points2026-01-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Bochte/McDaniel · w/ Wendy Weston · model expected 63% of points2026-01-24 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Kwong/Vasvatekis · w/ Wendy Weston · model expected 46% of points2026-01-25 PPA · 7-11 · vs Newman/Newcombe · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 26% of points2026-01-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Newman/Newcombe · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 26% of points2026-01-25 PPA · 10-15 · vs Burkhardt/Wynne · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 37% of points2026-01-25 PPA · 15-7 · vs Petropouleas/Mawji · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 42% of points2026-01-25 PPA · 8-11 · vs IV/Rettke · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 47% of points2026-01-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs IV/Rettke · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 47% of points2026-01-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs IV/Rettke · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 47% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Steiner/Jensen · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 39% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Steiner/Jensen · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 39% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Steiner/Jensen · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 39% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-8 · vs Simson/Mercado · w/ Spencer Duane · model expected 39% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 1-11 · vs Simson/Mercado · w/ Spencer Duane · model expected 39% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 3-11 · vs Simson/Mercado · w/ Spencer Duane · model expected 39% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 1-11 · vs Brooks/Hitzeman · w/ Spencer Duane · model expected 44% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Brooks/Hitzeman · w/ Spencer Duane · model expected 44% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-8 · vs Brooks/Hitzeman · w/ Spencer Duane · model expected 44% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 7-11 · vs McFarland/Johnson · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 60% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 11-7 · vs McFarland/Johnson · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 60% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 8-11 · vs McFarland/Johnson · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 60% of points2026-04-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Nguyen/Rasmusen · w/ Wendy Weston · model expected 22% of points2026-04-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Nguyen/Rasmusen · w/ Wendy Weston · model expected 22% of points2026-04-04 PPA · 12-15 · vs Fossorier/Pastrana · w/ Wendy Weston · model expected 48% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Weston/Anderson · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 48% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Weston/Anderson · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 48% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 8-15 · vs Byun/Osher · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 42% of points2026-04-05 PPA · 15-10 · vs Tran/Krittayaweth · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 55% of points2026-05-02 PPA · 7-15 · vs Beck/Omori · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 43% of points2026-05-02 PPA · 15-11 · vs Davis/Cosma · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 42% of points2026-05-02 PPA · 15-9 · vs Beré/Morisette · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 49% of points2026-05-02 PPA · 15-11 · vs Jensen/Barron · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 51% of points2026-05-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Boydston/Wynne · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 30% of points2026-05-02 PPA · 1-11 · vs Boydston/Wynne · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 30% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Barron/Medina · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 54% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 15-7 · vs Hart/Buzianis · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 55% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 7-15 · vs Beeston/Burrows · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 43% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Cosma/Edwards · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 40% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Cosma/Edwards · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 40% of points2026-05-03 PPA · 5-11 · vs Cosma/Edwards · w/ Kendall Kikkawa · model expected 40% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ash/Drost · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 42% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ash/Drost · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 42% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 8-15 · vs Steiner/Fortino · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 37% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 15-10 · vs Roy/Thomas · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 51% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 5-15 · vs Chi/S · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 37% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs IV/Gonnering · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 47% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs IV/Gonnering · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 47% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 15-13 · vs Maguire/Brown · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 47% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Akin/Valenstein · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 37% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 5-11 · vs Akin/Valenstein · w/ Michael McCaffrey · model expected 37% of points0%25%50%75%100%20252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2025PPA0–80%6.2–12.0
2026PPA19–3436%8.4–10.6
2–4
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
1–1
overtime games (past the target)
5
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
3
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-6.9 (-8.7…-3.3)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
projected
no singles record — projected from doubles, selection-corrected

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Michael McCaffrey196–1345%+0.02 ±0.49 (noise)
Wendy Weston82–644%+0.06 ±0.51 (noise)
Spencer Duane63–342%-0.01 ±0.50 (noise)
Courtney Clark63–347%+0.10 ±0.51 (noise)
Kendall Kikkawa63–348%+0.03 ±0.51 (noise)
Evan Zoeteman50–539%-0.03 ±0.51 (noise)
Zach Gonnering41–343%-0.01 ±0.49 (noise)
Jackson Ayotte41–336%-0.12 ±0.50 (noise)
Princess Gbadamosi30–324%-0.11 ±0.52 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-09-28PPA · mixedMichael McCaffreyAkin/Valenstein5-11-6%
2026-09-28PPA · mixedMichael McCaffreyAkin/Valenstein3-11-16%
2026-08-02PPA · mixedJackson AyotteMaguire/Brown15-13+7%
2026-08-02PPA · mixedJackson AyotteIV/Gonnering4-11-20%
2026-08-02PPA · mixedJackson AyotteIV/Gonnering4-11-20%
2026-08-02PPA · mixedJackson AyotteChi/S5-15-12%
2026-05-31PPA · mixedZach GonneringRoy/Thomas15-10+9%
2026-05-31PPA · mixedZach GonneringSteiner/Fortino8-15-2%
2026-05-31PPA · mixedZach GonneringAsh/Drost5-11-11%
2026-05-31PPA · mixedZach GonneringAsh/Drost7-11-3%
2026-05-03PPA · mixedKendall KikkawaCosma/Edwards5-11-9%
2026-05-03PPA · mixedKendall KikkawaCosma/Edwards7-11-2%

Put Katie in the simulator →