Dave Bacalla M
mens 41–32 · mixed 0–2
+2.5 (+0.0…+4.6)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#184
of 286 active men (within gender only)
41–34
career record · 55% wins, 53% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.4) 2024-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.4) 2024-03 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.3) 2024-04 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3) 2024-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3) 2024-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3) 2024-07 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3) 2024-08 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3) 2024-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3) 2024-10 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.3) 2024-11 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.3) 2024-12 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.4) 2025-01 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.4) 2025-02 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.4) 2025-03 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.4) 2025-04 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.4) 2025-05 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.4) 2025-06 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.4) 2025-07 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.4) 2025-08 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.4) 2025-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.4) 2025-10 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.4) 2025-11 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.5) 2025-12 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.4) 2026-01 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.4) 2026-02 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.4) 2026-03 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.4) 2026-04 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.4) 2026-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.4) 2026-06 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.4) 2026-07 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.5) 2026-08 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.5) 2026-09 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.5) 2026-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.0 to +4.6) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-03-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Krakowski/Hamzic · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 54% of points 2024-03-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Krakowski/Hamzic · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 54% of points 2024-03-07 PPA · 15-8 · vs Zumwalt/Gonnering · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 61% of points 2024-03-07 PPA · 15-9 · vs Krakowski/Hamzic · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 54% of points 2024-03-07 PPA · 15-7 · vs Daniel/Iyer · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 58% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Fahey/Jr. · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 46% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Fahey/Jr. · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 46% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Fahey/Jr. · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 46% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-0 · vs Pham/Amiri · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 44% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Pham/Amiri · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 44% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 7-11 · vs Pham/Amiri · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 44% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Edwards/Violette · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 42% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Edwards/Violette · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 42% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Yates/Bryner · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 73% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 11-0 · vs Yates/Bryner · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 73% of points 2024-05-13 PPA · 15-9 · vs Ray/Curtis · w/ Jordan Betts · model expected 59% of points 2024-05-13 PPA · 9-15 · vs Clayton/Delgado · w/ Jordan Betts · model expected 40% of points 2024-06-26 PPA · 11-6 · vs Alhouni/Alhouni · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 44% of points 2024-06-26 PPA · 4-11 · vs Alhouni/Alhouni · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 44% of points 2024-06-26 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Alhouni/Alhouni · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 44% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Wasson/Andrews · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 59% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Wasson/Andrews · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 59% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Wasson/Andrews · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 59% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Dow/Scarpa · w/ Spartak Rahachou · model expected 36% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Dow/Scarpa · w/ Spartak Rahachou · model expected 36% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dow/Scarpa · w/ Spartak Rahachou · model expected 36% of points 2024-10-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Spartak Rahachou · model expected 22% of points 2024-10-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Spartak Rahachou · model expected 22% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Daniel/Shimabukuro · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 56% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Daniel/Shimabukuro · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 56% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-7 · vs Daniel/Shimabukuro · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 56% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Finan/Traxler · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 58% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Finan/Traxler · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 58% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bellamy/Jakovljevic · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 38% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bellamy/Jakovljevic · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 38% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Shaw/Shaw · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 63% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Shaw/Shaw · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 63% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Cawston/Parminter · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 56% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Cawston/Parminter · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 56% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cawston/Parminter · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 56% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 7-11 · vs Romano/Wynne · w/ Karyn Weiss · model expected 43% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Romano/Wynne · w/ Karyn Weiss · model expected 43% of points 2024-11-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Klinger/Ignatowich · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 32% of points 2024-11-16 PPA · 3-11 · vs Klinger/Ignatowich · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 32% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wild/Navratil · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 38% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wild/Navratil · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 38% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-2 · vs Horridge/Turvey · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 68% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-8 · vs Horridge/Turvey · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 68% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Stoker/Harradine · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 76% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Stoker/Harradine · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 76% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-5 · vs Mack/Varon · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 48% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Mack/Varon · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 48% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mack/Varon · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 48% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 13-15 · vs Smith/Rosner · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 55% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 15-9 · vs Boyle/Wetherell · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 53% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 15-8 · vs Blocker/Gordon · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 58% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-5 · vs Rangelov/Parichkov · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 57% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rangelov/Parichkov · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Parichkov/Rangelov · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 56% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Parichkov/Rangelov · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 56% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 10-15 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Alfaro/Dempsey · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 74% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-1 · vs Alfaro/Dempsey · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 74% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Tsorayev/Bennett · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 64% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Tsorayev/Bennett · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 64% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-0 · vs Pereyra/Khalid · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Pereyra/Khalid · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Pereyra/Khalid · w/ Maximilian Wild · model expected 52% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Becker/Patel · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Becker/Patel · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 3-15 · vs Martinez/Varon · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 37% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 15-7 · vs Evans/Sikora · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 0-11 · vs Ayotte/Radermacher · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ayotte/Radermacher · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ayotte/Radermacher · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 44% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 21–23 48% 8.6–8.7 2025 PPA 16–8 67% 9.9–6.7 2026 PPA 4–3 57% 8.3–9.4
4–6
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
0–1
overtime games (past the target)
21
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-1
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+3.3 (+2.0…+4.5)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
89 pro singles games
52–37
singles record · last 2025-05
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Maximilian Wild 38 24–14 57% +0.17 ±0.52 (noise) Jeffrey Moulton 15 8–7 55% +0.05 ±0.52 (noise) Zach Drost 7 4–3 47% -0.12 ±0.53 (noise) Cason Campbell 6 2–4 45% -0.04 ±0.51 (noise) Spartak Rahachou 5 2–3 39% +0.07 ±0.50 (noise) Jordan Betts 2 1–1 50% -0.01 ±0.52 (noise) Karyn Weiss 2 0–2 33% -0.03 ±0.51 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-05-30 PPA · mens Zach Drost Ayotte/Radermacher 7-11 -5% 2026-05-30 PPA · mens Zach Drost Ayotte/Radermacher 11-9 +11% 2026-05-30 PPA · mens Zach Drost Ayotte/Radermacher 0-11 -44% 2026-05-30 PPA · mens Zach Drost Evans/Sikora 15-7 +0% 2026-05-30 PPA · mens Zach Drost Martinez/Varon 3-15 -20% 2026-05-30 PPA · mens Zach Drost Becker/Patel 11-6 -3% 2026-05-30 PPA · mens Zach Drost Becker/Patel 11-7 -7% 2025-05-10 PPA · mens Maximilian Wild Pereyra/Khalid 5-11 -21% 2025-05-10 PPA · mens Maximilian Wild Pereyra/Khalid 5-11 -21% 2025-05-10 PPA · mens Maximilian Wild Pereyra/Khalid 11-0 +48% 2025-05-10 PPA · mens Maximilian Wild Tsorayev/Bennett 11-3 +15% 2025-05-10 PPA · mens Maximilian Wild Tsorayev/Bennett 11-4 +10%
Put Dave in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.