Andrew Caldarella M
mens 44–44 · mixed 39–32
+3.7 (+2.6…+4.6)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#99
of 286 active men (within gender only)
83–76
career record · 52% wins, 51% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.0 to +4.2) 2024-02 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.1) 2024-03 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.2) 2024-04 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.1) 2024-05 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.1) 2024-06 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.1) 2024-07 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.1) 2024-08 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.1) 2024-09 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.1) 2024-10 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.1) 2024-11 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.0) 2024-12 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.0) 2025-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.0) 2025-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.0) 2025-03 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.9) 2025-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9) 2025-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.8) 2025-06 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8) 2025-07 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.8) 2025-08 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.8) 2025-09 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.7) 2025-10 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.7) 2025-11 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.7) 2025-12 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.7) 2026-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.7) 2026-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.9 to +3.7) 2026-03 · +2.9 pts (90% band +2.0 to +3.7) 2026-04 · +3.0 pts (90% band +2.1 to +3.8) 2026-05 · +3.1 pts (90% band +2.3 to +3.9) 2026-06 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.1) 2026-07 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.2) 2026-08 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.3) 2026-09 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.5) 2026-10 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.6) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-08-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Haworth/Goldin · w/ Ryne Fertitta · model expected 30% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Haworth/Goldin · w/ Ryne Fertitta · model expected 30% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Howard/Madsen · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 57% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Howard/Madsen · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 57% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Howard/Madsen · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 57% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Alcazar/Kelvin · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 66% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Alcazar/Kelvin · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 66% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nakaema/Kajiyama · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 67% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Nakaema/Kajiyama · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 67% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Chen/Chung · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 53% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Chen/Chung · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 53% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bhatia/Haas · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 46% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bhatia/Haas · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 46% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rangelov/Mercado · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 11-7 · vs Rangelov/Mercado · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 37% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 0-11 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 37% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Bass/Lowe · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 55% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 15-5 · vs Ulery/Seagraves · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 57% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Courteau/Protzek · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Courteau/Protzek · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 15-3 · vs Minniefield/Shaffer · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 58% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Field/Loyd · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 66% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Field/Loyd · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 66% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 15-2 · vs Perez/Perez-Reinhardt · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 80% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 15-7 · vs Dunlap/Mercado · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 46% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Courteau/Protzek · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Courteau/Protzek · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 47% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs III/Giltinan · w/ Paula Rives · model expected 54% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs III/Giltinan · w/ Paula Rives · model expected 54% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs III/Giltinan · w/ Paula Rives · model expected 54% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Goldin/French · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 36% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Goldin/French · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 36% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 21% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 21% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Gonnering/Berryman · w/ Anderson Scarpa · model expected 68% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gonnering/Berryman · w/ Anderson Scarpa · model expected 68% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Tellez/Khlif · w/ Anderson Scarpa · model expected 40% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Tellez/Khlif · w/ Anderson Scarpa · model expected 40% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Newman/Weil · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 30% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Newman/Weil · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 30% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Akin/Lenhard · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 40% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Akin/Lenhard · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 40% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rahachou/Trifunovic · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 73% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Rahachou/Trifunovic · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 73% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 17% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 17% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Crouch/Braham · w/ John Cincola · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Crouch/Braham · w/ John Cincola · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ford/Benitez · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 49% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ford/Benitez · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 49% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ford/Benitez · w/ Connor Mogle · model expected 49% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 6-11 · vs Yeh/Cincola · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 1-11 · vs Yeh/Cincola · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bhatia/Pascoe · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Bhatia/Pascoe · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bhatia/Pascoe · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 11-6 · vs Edwards/Boydston · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Edwards/Boydston · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 11-6 · vs Edwards/Boydston · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Chaffin/Pascoe · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 42% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Chaffin/Pascoe · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 42% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 19% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 19% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Karina/Chow · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Karina/Chow · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Karina/Chow · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 8-15 · vs Ayotte/Traxler · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 52% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Dagnall/Mercado · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 52% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Powell/Pascoe · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Powell/Pascoe · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Powell/Pascoe · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Shekar/Inn · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Shekar/Inn · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dau/Guiltinan · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Dau/Guiltinan · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-7 · vs Madsen/Phillips · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Madsen/Phillips · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Kunimoto/Protzek · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 36% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Kunimoto/Protzek · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 36% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Le/Balakrishnan · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 61% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Le/Balakrishnan · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 61% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Le/Balakrishnan · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 61% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 9-15 · vs Morris/Yeh · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 15-9 · vs Hoang/Zhang · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 63% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Ella Cosma · model expected 37% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Ella Cosma · model expected 37% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Ella Cosma · model expected 37% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Braham/Mack · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 40% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Braham/Mack · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 40% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Camras/Anderson · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Camras/Anderson · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Buzianis/Nuttall · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Buzianis/Nuttall · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 7-15 · vs Whitehead/Qi · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 48% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 15-3 · vs Deza/Diaz · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 15-5 · vs Kikkawa/Buchhauser · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Burkhardt/Wynne · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Burkhardt/Wynne · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 5-11 · vs Burkhardt/Wynne · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs Lenhart/Camras · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-0 · vs Lenhart/Camras · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lenhart/Camras · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 7-15 · vs Hendershot/Jacobson · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 15-3 · vs Gonnering/Voelker · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 64% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 15-5 · vs Davis/McNair · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 71% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 15-4 · vs Newcombe/Rasmusen · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 15-6 · vs Gonnering/Anderson · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 63% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 8-15 · vs Mawji/Steiner · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 15-1 · vs Suard/Rudden · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 75% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 2-11 · vs Alhouni/Faletto · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Alhouni/Faletto · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-0 · vs Finnerty/Venkatesan · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 66% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Finnerty/Venkatesan · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 66% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Osher/Litvinov · w/ Ella Boydston · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Osher/Litvinov · w/ Ella Boydston · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Steiner/Wynne · w/ Ella Boydston · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-8 · vs Steiner/Wynne · w/ Ella Boydston · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 15-1 · vs Carlon/Wade · w/ Ella Boydston · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 2-11 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Ella Boydston · model expected 42% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Ella Boydston · model expected 42% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 9-15 · vs Kemp/Williams · w/ Ella Boydston · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 2-15 · vs Koszuta/Schupp · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kheireddin/Bolkowy · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kheireddin/Bolkowy · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Camras/Rettke · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Camras/Rettke · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Braham/Delgado · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 38% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 6-11 · vs Braham/Delgado · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 38% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 7-11 · vs Angelo/Teoni · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-4 · vs Angelo/Teoni · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-9 · vs Angelo/Teoni · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-9 · vs Goodman/Brown · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Goodman/Brown · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Goodman/Brown · w/ Garrett Whitehead · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Camras/Wang · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Camras/Wang · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Mawji/Messinger · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 67% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-9 · vs Mawji/Messinger · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 67% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Rahachou/Tran · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 77% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Rahachou/Tran · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 77% of points 2026-09-15 PPA · 11-4 · vs Tellez/Sleeth · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 39% of points 2026-09-15 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Tellez/Sleeth · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 39% of points 2026-09-15 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tellez/Sleeth · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 39% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Campbell/Harvey · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Campbell/Harvey · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Vich/Haworth · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Vich/Haworth · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Vich/Haworth · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-2 · vs Perez/Crum · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 64% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Perez/Crum · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 64% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wright/Mackinnon · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wright/Mackinnon · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 28% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 28% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 28% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 0–2 0% 5.5–11.0 2025 PPA 20–21 49% 8.1–8.2 2026 PPA 63–53 54% 8.9–8.4
8–9
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
6–6
overtime games (past the target)
31
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-1
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+2.7 (+1.7…+3.6)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
77 pro singles games
38–39
singles record · last 2026-09
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-02 PPA · mens Darrian Young Alshon/Daescu 7-11 +11% 2026-10-02 PPA · mens Darrian Young Alshon/Daescu 11-4 +46% 2026-10-02 PPA · mens Darrian Young Alshon/Daescu 4-11 -1% 2026-10-01 PPA · mens Darrian Young Wright/Mackinnon 11-6 +15% 2026-10-01 PPA · mens Darrian Young Wright/Mackinnon 11-7 +11% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Darrian Young Perez/Crum 11-9 -9% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Darrian Young Perez/Crum 11-2 +21% 2026-09-17 PPA · mens Rio Newcombe Vich/Haworth 2-11 -25% 2026-09-17 PPA · mens Rio Newcombe Vich/Haworth 8-11 +2% 2026-09-17 PPA · mens Rio Newcombe Vich/Haworth 11-9 +15% 2026-09-16 PPA · mens Rio Newcombe Campbell/Harvey 11-4 +20% 2026-09-16 PPA · mens Rio Newcombe Campbell/Harvey 11-3 +26%
Put Andrew in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.