PICKLES

Kelly Chen W

womens 15–22 · mixed 15–17

+1.5 (-0.4…+3.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#155
of 204 active women (within gender only)
30–39
career record · 43% wins, 48% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.2 to +3.2)2024-02 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.2 to +3.2)2024-03 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.1 to +3.2)2024-04 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.0 to +3.1)2024-05 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.1)2024-06 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.1)2024-07 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.0)2024-08 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.1)2024-09 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.0)2024-10 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.1)2024-11 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.1)2024-12 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.4 to +3.0)2025-01 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.3 to +3.0)2025-02 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.0)2025-03 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.1 to +3.0)2025-04 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.0 to +3.0)2025-05 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.9)2025-06 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.9)2025-07 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.9)2025-08 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.8)2025-09 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.9)2025-10 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.9)2025-11 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.8)2025-12 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.8)2026-01 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.8)2026-02 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.9)2026-03 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.9)2026-04 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.9)2026-05 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.9)2026-06 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.9)2026-07 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.1 to +3.0)2026-08 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.0)2026-09 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.3 to +3.1)2026-10 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.4 to +3.2)+0+2202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-06-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Lim/Gilbert · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 52% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lim/Gilbert · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 52% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Lim/Gilbert · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 52% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Jenna Chan · model expected 36% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Jenna Chan · model expected 36% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 11-6 · vs Igleski/Butler · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 41% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 6-11 · vs Igleski/Butler · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 41% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 1-11 · vs Igleski/Butler · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 41% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 11-5 · vs Gbadamosi/Hess · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 65% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 11-1 · vs Gbadamosi/Hess · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 65% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hall/Attiyeh · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 52% of points2025-08-23 PPA · 11-8 · vs Hall/Attiyeh · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 52% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 12-15 · vs Ratiu/Litvinov · w/ Harrison Yee · model expected 60% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Gordon/Gordon · w/ Harrison Yee · model expected 54% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Gordon/Gordon · w/ Harrison Yee · model expected 54% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 3-15 · vs Dunlap/Ulery · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 40% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 15-8 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Harrison Yee · model expected 63% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Hess/Kuo · w/ Harrison Yee · model expected 61% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hess/Kuo · w/ Harrison Yee · model expected 61% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Geminiani/Conard · w/ Albert Wan · model expected 45% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Geminiani/Conard · w/ Albert Wan · model expected 45% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Hall/Brooks · w/ Albert Wan · model expected 67% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hall/Brooks · w/ Albert Wan · model expected 67% of points2025-08-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Kunimoto/Pham · w/ Albert Wan · model expected 38% of points2025-08-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Kunimoto/Pham · w/ Albert Wan · model expected 38% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bui/Goldberg · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 41% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Bui/Goldberg · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 41% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Leonard/Kalhorn · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 55% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Leonard/Kalhorn · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 55% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 11-1 · vs Leonard/Kalhorn · w/ Paranya Jareonvongrayab · model expected 55% of points2025-09-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Schneemann · w/ Kiora Kunimoto · model expected 26% of points2025-09-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Schneemann · w/ Kiora Kunimoto · model expected 26% of points2026-01-24 PPA · 15-12 · vs IV/Diskin · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 56% of points2026-01-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ulery/Williams · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 47% of points2026-01-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ulery/Williams · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 47% of points2026-01-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Ulery/Williams · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 47% of points2026-01-24 PPA · 11-15 · vs Nguyen/Raugust · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 40% of points2026-01-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Albert Wan · model expected 55% of points2026-01-25 PPA · 7-11 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Albert Wan · model expected 55% of points2026-01-25 PPA · 11-15 · vs Luqur/Ayon · w/ Albert Wan · model expected 43% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Leonard/Jensen · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 59% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-0 · vs Leonard/Jensen · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 59% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-1 · vs Leonard/Jensen · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 59% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Liu/Burkhardt · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 44% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Liu/Burkhardt · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 44% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Liu/Burkhardt · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 44% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dimuzio/Bouchard · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 43% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dimuzio/Bouchard · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 43% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dimuzio/Bouchard · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 43% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Christian/Irvine · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 26% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 1-11 · vs Christian/Irvine · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 26% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Byun/Spence · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 55% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Byun/Spence · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 55% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Spence/Tran · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 51% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Spence/Tran · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 51% of points2026-04-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ge/Humberg · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 24% of points2026-04-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Ge/Humberg · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 24% of points2026-04-14 PPA · 2-11 · vs Ge/Humberg · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 24% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 11-8 · vs Pham/Vogt · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 58% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Pham/Vogt · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 58% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 7-15 · vs Beck/Phillips · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 64% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Igleski/Petrei · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 33% of points2026-06-13 PPA · 0-11 · vs Igleski/Petrei · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 33% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 5-15 · vs Steiner/Wynne · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 48% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hitzeman/Mody · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 55% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hitzeman/Mody · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 55% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 34% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 34% of points2026-06-14 PPA · 15-9 · vs Madsen/Hart · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 53% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA1–420%7.6–10.6
2025PPA14–1352%9.1–8.9
2026PPA15–2241%8.1–9.3
3–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
1–3
overtime games (past the target)
11
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
7
longest win streak
+1
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-4.0 (-7.3…+1.4)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
projected
no singles record — projected from doubles, selection-corrected

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Janet Liu208–1246%-0.15 ±0.50 (noise)
Paranya Jareonvongrayab137–652%+0.10 ±0.49 (noise)
Matt Burkhardt116–548%+0.13 ±0.48 (noise)
Albert Wan94–549%+0.01 ±0.50 (noise)
Daniel Byun62–449%+0.05 ±0.50 (noise)
Harrison Yee63–351%-0.13 ±0.52 (noise)
Jenna Chan20–231%-0.01 ±0.50 (noise)
Kiora Kunimoto20–231%+0.04 ±0.52 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMatt BurkhardtMadsen/Hart15-9+9%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMatt BurkhardtAlhouni/Newman8-11+8%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMatt BurkhardtAlhouni/Newman4-11-7%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMatt BurkhardtHitzeman/Mody11-6+10%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMatt BurkhardtHitzeman/Mody11-4+19%
2026-06-14PPA · mixedMatt BurkhardtSteiner/Wynne5-15-23%
2026-06-13PPA · womensJanet LiuIgleski/Petrei0-11-33%
2026-06-13PPA · womensJanet LiuIgleski/Petrei4-11-6%
2026-06-13PPA · womensJanet LiuBeck/Phillips7-15-33%
2026-06-13PPA · womensJanet LiuPham/Vogt11-2+27%
2026-06-13PPA · womensJanet LiuPham/Vogt11-8+0%
2026-04-14PPA · mixedMatt BurkhardtGe/Humberg2-11-9%

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