PICKLES

Ariana Rodriguez W

womens 25–19 · mixed 34–22

+2.6 (+0.6…+4.3)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#112
of 204 active women (within gender only)
59–41
career record · 59% wins, 53% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.2)2024-02 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.2)2024-03 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.2)2024-04 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.1)2024-05 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.1)2024-06 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.1)2024-07 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.1)2024-08 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.1)2024-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.0)2024-10 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.0)2024-11 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.0)2024-12 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.9)2025-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.9)2025-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.9)2025-03 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.9)2025-04 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.9)2025-05 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.9)2025-06 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.9)2025-07 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.9)2025-08 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.9)2025-09 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.9)2025-10 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.9)2025-11 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.9)2025-12 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.9)2026-01 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.9)2026-02 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9)2026-03 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9)2026-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9)2026-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.0)2026-06 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.0)2026-07 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1)2026-08 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.2)2026-09 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.2)2026-10 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.3)+1+2+3+4202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-09-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Zachary Marceau · model expected 48% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Zachary Marceau · model expected 48% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Zachary Marceau · model expected 48% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Safdar/Safdar · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 57% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Safdar/Safdar · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 57% of points2024-10-02 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Bright · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 19% of points2024-10-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Bright · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 19% of points2024-11-04 PPA · 11-1 · vs Werbeck/Werbeck · w/ Max Green · model expected 68% of points2024-11-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Werbeck/Werbeck · w/ Max Green · model expected 68% of points2024-11-04 PPA · 11-1 · vs Jr/Cosma · w/ Max Green · model expected 66% of points2024-11-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Jr/Cosma · w/ Max Green · model expected 66% of points2024-11-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Max Green · model expected 61% of points2024-11-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Max Green · model expected 61% of points2024-11-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Max Green · model expected 61% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Garza/Bui · w/ Christina Chin · model expected 66% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Garza/Bui · w/ Christina Chin · model expected 66% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Patriquin/Irvine · w/ Max Green · model expected 29% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Patriquin/Irvine · w/ Max Green · model expected 29% of points2024-11-06 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Black/Jones · w/ Christina Chin · model expected 25% of points2024-11-06 PPA · 2-11 · vs Black/Jones · w/ Christina Chin · model expected 25% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Donkena/Donkena · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 63% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Donkena/Donkena · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 63% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Jones/Denardo · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 79% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jones/Denardo · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 79% of points2024-11-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rane/Khlif · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 36% of points2024-11-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rane/Khlif · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 36% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Reyes/Rives · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 55% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Reyes/Rives · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 55% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 0-11 · vs Diamond/Sewing · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 31% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Diamond/Sewing · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 31% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Morelli/Hidalgo-Smith · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 57% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Morelli/Hidalgo-Smith · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 57% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Fahey/Jansen · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 22% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Fahey/Jansen · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 22% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 1-11 · vs Frank/Leonard · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 57% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Frank/Leonard · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 57% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-5 · vs Davis/Taniguchi · w/ Christina Chin · model expected 72% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Davis/Taniguchi · w/ Christina Chin · model expected 72% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Conard/Hilliard · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 53% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Conard/Hilliard · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 53% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Conard/Hilliard · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 53% of points2025-02-19 PPA · 11-2 · vs Mason/Conard · w/ Christina Chin · model expected 74% of points2025-02-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mason/Conard · w/ Christina Chin · model expected 74% of points2025-02-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Black/Todd · w/ Christina Chin · model expected 20% of points2025-02-19 PPA · 1-11 · vs Black/Todd · w/ Christina Chin · model expected 20% of points2025-04-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Abrams/Rettke · w/ David Bieger · model expected 54% of points2025-04-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Abrams/Rettke · w/ David Bieger · model expected 54% of points2025-04-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Abrams/Rettke · w/ David Bieger · model expected 54% of points2025-04-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jr/Cosma · w/ David Bieger · model expected 64% of points2025-04-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Jr/Cosma · w/ David Bieger · model expected 64% of points2025-04-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs Alshon/Parenteau · w/ David Bieger · model expected 25% of points2025-04-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Alshon/Parenteau · w/ David Bieger · model expected 25% of points2025-04-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Maalouf/Fuzesi · w/ Simone Leonard · model expected 71% of points2025-04-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Maalouf/Fuzesi · w/ Simone Leonard · model expected 71% of points2025-04-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Cosma/Campbell · w/ Simone Leonard · model expected 44% of points2025-04-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Cosma/Campbell · w/ Simone Leonard · model expected 44% of points2025-04-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Cosma/Campbell · w/ Simone Leonard · model expected 44% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Wheatley/Jagtiani · w/ David Bieger · model expected 54% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Wheatley/Jagtiani · w/ David Bieger · model expected 54% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-1 · vs Bui/Griffith · w/ Amber Policare · model expected 54% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Bui/Griffith · w/ Amber Policare · model expected 54% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Poe/Aldridge · w/ Amber Policare · model expected 71% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Poe/Aldridge · w/ Amber Policare · model expected 71% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-0 · vs An/Maalouf · w/ David Bieger · model expected 89% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-0 · vs An/Maalouf · w/ David Bieger · model expected 89% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Campbell/Johnson · w/ David Bieger · model expected 48% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Campbell/Johnson · w/ David Bieger · model expected 48% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Campbell/Johnson · w/ David Bieger · model expected 48% of points2025-08-08 PPA · 11-2 · vs Imparato/Ansboury · w/ Amber Policare · model expected 54% of points2025-08-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Imparato/Ansboury · w/ Amber Policare · model expected 54% of points2025-08-08 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Imparato/Ansboury · w/ Amber Policare · model expected 54% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-2 · vs Quintanilla/Vieira · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 68% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Quintanilla/Vieira · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 68% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Turkovic/Brown · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 44% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Turkovic/Brown · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 44% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Southwick/Dorsey · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 70% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Monson/Beck · w/ Sarah Mulhern · model expected 62% of points2025-10-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Lewis/Fitzgerald · w/ David Bieger · model expected 65% of points2025-10-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lewis/Fitzgerald · w/ David Bieger · model expected 65% of points2025-10-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Teague/Smith · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 69% of points2025-10-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Teague/Smith · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 69% of points2025-10-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Graham/Simon · w/ David Bieger · model expected 69% of points2025-10-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Graham/Simon · w/ David Bieger · model expected 69% of points2025-10-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Graham/Simon · w/ David Bieger · model expected 69% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wheatley/Hee · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 46% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Wheatley/Hee · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 46% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Klinger · w/ David Bieger · model expected 22% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bright/Klinger · w/ David Bieger · model expected 22% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Safdar/Haworth · w/ David Bieger · model expected 47% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Safdar/Haworth · w/ David Bieger · model expected 47% of points2025-10-08 PPA · 0-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 8% of points2025-10-08 PPA · 0-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 8% of points2026-03-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hendry/Reichert · w/ Abigail Okelley · model expected 30% of points2026-03-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hendry/Reichert · w/ Abigail Okelley · model expected 30% of points2026-03-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Yang/Vallejo · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 66% of points2026-03-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Yang/Vallejo · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 66% of points2026-03-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Loftin/Ignatowich · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 68% of points2026-03-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Loftin/Ignatowich · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 68% of points2026-03-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 59% of points2026-03-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Bruno Faletto · model expected 59% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA19–1556%8.0–7.9
2025PPA36–2262%8.7–7.3
2026PPA4–450%8.5–8.1
4–4
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
4–4
overtime games (past the target)
33
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
8
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+3.8 (+1.4…+5.7)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
20 pro singles games
13–7
singles record · last 2025-04

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
David Bieger2315–855%+0.07 ±0.49 (noise)
Christina Chin106–452%+0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Sarah Mulhern105–548%-0.12 ±0.50 (noise)
Max Green96–362%+0.15 ±0.51 (noise)
Amber Policare75–262%+0.06 ±0.50 (noise)
Ryan Torresin64–256%-0.04 ±0.51 (noise)
Spencer Liang64–251%+0.05 ±0.52 (noise)
Bruno Faletto64–258%-0.07 ±0.46 (noise)
Tom Protzek52–348%-0.08 ±0.50 (noise)
Simone Leonard53–254%+0.00 ±0.55 (noise)
Leah Tauber42–247%+0.07 ±0.50 (noise)
Ernesto Fajardo42–242%-0.03 ±0.50 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-03-08PPA · mixedBruno FalettoGriffith/Rangelov6-11-24%
2026-03-08PPA · mixedBruno FalettoGriffith/Rangelov9-11-14%
2026-03-08PPA · mixedBruno FalettoLoftin/Ignatowich11-3+10%
2026-03-08PPA · mixedBruno FalettoLoftin/Ignatowich11-7-7%
2026-03-08PPA · mixedBruno FalettoYang/Vallejo11-7-5%
2026-03-08PPA · mixedBruno FalettoYang/Vallejo11-4+7%
2026-03-07PPA · womensAbigail OkelleyHendry/Reichert6-11+5%
2026-03-07PPA · womensAbigail OkelleyHendry/Reichert3-11-9%
2025-10-08PPA · womensSpencer LiangBright/Waters0-11-8%
2025-10-08PPA · womensSpencer LiangBright/Waters0-11-8%
2025-10-07PPA · mixedDavid BiegerSafdar/Haworth11-7+14%
2025-10-07PPA · mixedDavid BiegerSafdar/Haworth16-14 OT+6%

Put Ariana in the simulator →