PICKLES

Keaten Kappes M

mens 25–28 · mixed 11–25

+1.4 (-1.0…+3.3)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#238
of 286 active men (within gender only)
36–53
career record · 40% wins, 46% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.1 to +2.8)2024-02 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.0 to +2.8)2024-03 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.0 to +2.7)2024-04 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.8 to +2.7)2024-05 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.8 to +2.7)2024-06 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.6)2024-07 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.6)2024-08 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.6)2024-09 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.6)2024-10 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.6)2024-11 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.7)2024-12 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.7)2025-01 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.7)2025-02 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.8)2025-03 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.8)2025-04 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.8)2025-05 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.8)2025-06 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.8)2025-07 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.8)2025-08 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.8)2025-09 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.8)2025-10 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.8)2025-11 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.7)2025-12 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.7)2026-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.7)2026-02 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.7)2026-03 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.8)2026-04 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.9)2026-05 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.9)2026-06 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.0)2026-07 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.1)2026-08 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.2)2026-09 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.2)2026-10 · +1.4 pts (90% band -1.0 to +3.3)-2+0+2202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-06-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Pham/Whittaker · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 32% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 0-11 · vs Pham/Whittaker · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 32% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Deza/Boydston · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 46% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Deza/Boydston · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 46% of points2024-11-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Gonnering/Policare · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 39% of points2024-11-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Gonnering/Policare · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 39% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rosa/Emmrich · w/ Oliver Frank · model expected 35% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rosa/Emmrich · w/ Oliver Frank · model expected 35% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Morris/Ray · w/ Oliver Frank · model expected 56% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Morris/Ray · w/ Oliver Frank · model expected 56% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Morris/Ray · w/ Oliver Frank · model expected 56% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Goins/Crouch · w/ Oliver Frank · model expected 45% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Goins/Crouch · w/ Oliver Frank · model expected 45% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Broker/Green · w/ Oliver Frank · model expected 50% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Broker/Green · w/ Oliver Frank · model expected 50% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Broker/Green · w/ Oliver Frank · model expected 50% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-0 · vs Berryman/Harshman · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 71% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Berryman/Harshman · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 71% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Koszuta/Chrysostom · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 39% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Koszuta/Chrysostom · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 39% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Mead/Garza · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 52% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mead/Garza · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 52% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mead/Garza · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 52% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Cosma/Mercado · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 41% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Cosma/Mercado · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 41% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Cosma/Mercado · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 41% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Phillips/Thorn · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 52% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Phillips/Thorn · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 52% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wan/Byun · w/ Tam Nong · model expected 36% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wan/Byun · w/ Tam Nong · model expected 36% of points2025-08-29 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rane/Bellamy · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 20% of points2025-08-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rane/Bellamy · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 20% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 5-15 · vs Steiner/Frank · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 25% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 6-11 · vs Almeida/Seagraves · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 36% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 8-11 · vs Almeida/Seagraves · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 36% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 15-11 · vs Torres/Hart · w/ Jeffrey Moulton · model expected 65% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-2 · vs Witten/Borov · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 68% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Witten/Borov · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 68% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Raugust/Morris · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 31% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-8 · vs Raugust/Morris · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 31% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Raugust/Morris · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 31% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wang/Tabatabaeian · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 56% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wang/Tabatabaeian · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 56% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Nsekpong/Bricker · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 39% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-4 · vs Nsekpong/Bricker · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 39% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Nsekpong/Bricker · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 39% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 2-11 · vs Trinh/Young · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 32% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Trinh/Young · w/ Zach Drost · model expected 32% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 0-11 · vs Hewett/Weil · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 22% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Hewett/Weil · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 22% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Rangelov/Grewal · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 47% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Rangelov/Grewal · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 47% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Rangelov/Grewal · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 47% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 5-11 · vs IV/Mawji · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 44% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs IV/Mawji · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 44% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Howard/Bunch · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 63% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Howard/Bunch · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 63% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Luqur/Kaoma · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 33% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Luqur/Kaoma · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 33% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Roderick/Mulenga · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 57% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Roderick/Mulenga · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 57% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Lam/Kaoma · w/ Brayden Nguyen · model expected 46% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Lam/Kaoma · w/ Brayden Nguyen · model expected 46% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lam/Kaoma · w/ Brayden Nguyen · model expected 46% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Whipple/Eveloff · w/ Brayden Nguyen · model expected 63% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Whipple/Eveloff · w/ Brayden Nguyen · model expected 63% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-0 · vs Whipple/Eveloff · w/ Brayden Nguyen · model expected 63% of points2026-02-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Angelo/Newcombe · w/ Brayden Nguyen · model expected 36% of points2026-02-17 PPA · 7-11 · vs Angelo/Newcombe · w/ Brayden Nguyen · model expected 36% of points2026-02-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hatton/Whittaker · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 30% of points2026-02-17 PPA · 0-11 · vs Hatton/Whittaker · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 30% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Johns · w/ Brayden Nguyen · model expected 28% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Johns · w/ Brayden Nguyen · model expected 28% of points2026-02-21 PPA · 7-15 · vs Alto/Kim · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 50% of points2026-02-21 PPA · 2-11 · vs Duffin/Wade · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 41% of points2026-02-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Duffin/Wade · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 41% of points2026-02-21 PPA · 15-13 · vs Lau/Orellana · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 71% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 15-5 · vs Conley/Shimizu · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 84% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 15-7 · vs Everhart/Kurki · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 63% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Gomez/Traxler · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 46% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Gomez/Traxler · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 46% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Gomez/Traxler · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 46% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 15-11 · vs Wasson/Mino · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 55% of points2026-05-30 PPA · 12-15 · vs Long/Hernandez · w/ Arnav Duarah · model expected 49% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 26% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 26% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 9-15 · vs Daniel/Sakkas · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 46% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 11-9 · vs Gomez/Carr · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 48% of points2026-05-31 PPA · 11-2 · vs Gomez/Carr · w/ Tomoko Taniguchi · model expected 48% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA6–1038%6.9–9.2
2025PPA17–2441%7.7–9.0
2026PPA13–1941%8.4–9.5
5–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
5–3
overtime games (past the target)
15
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
4
longest win streak
+2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-0.8 (-2.5…+1.1)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
33 pro singles games
14–19
singles record · last 2026-05

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Tomoko Taniguchi3611–2542%+0.04 ±0.48 (noise)
Zach Drost116–554%+0.16 ±0.50 (noise)
Arnav Duarah115–648%-0.19 ±0.52 (noise)
Oliver Frank106–450%+0.05 ±0.50 (noise)
Brayden Nguyen104–648%+0.08 ±0.48 (noise)
James Seagraves53–252%-0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Jeffrey Moulton41–341%+0.00 ±0.50 (noise)
Tam Nong20–224%-0.05 ±0.49 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-05-31PPA · mixedTomoko TaniguchiGomez/Carr11-2+37%
2026-05-31PPA · mixedTomoko TaniguchiGomez/Carr11-9+7%
2026-05-31PPA · mixedTomoko TaniguchiDaniel/Sakkas9-15-9%
2026-05-31PPA · mixedTomoko TaniguchiKoszuta/Nguyen4-11+1%
2026-05-31PPA · mixedTomoko TaniguchiKoszuta/Nguyen10-12 OT+20%
2026-05-30PPA · mensArnav DuarahLong/Hernandez12-15-4%
2026-05-30PPA · mensArnav DuarahWasson/Mino15-11+3%
2026-05-30PPA · mensArnav DuarahGomez/Traxler8-11-4%
2026-05-30PPA · mensArnav DuarahGomez/Traxler11-7+15%
2026-05-30PPA · mensArnav DuarahGomez/Traxler2-11-31%
2026-05-30PPA · mensArnav DuarahEverhart/Kurki15-7+5%
2026-05-30PPA · mensArnav DuarahConley/Shimizu15-5-9%

Put Keaten in the simulator →