Kevin Dayan M
mens 40–28 · mixed 15–18
+3.0 (+0.4…+5.1)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
—
of 286 active men (within gender only; no 2026 games)
55–46
career record · 54% wins, 51% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.1) 2024-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.0) 2024-03 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.0) 2024-04 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.0) 2024-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.0) 2024-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.9) 2024-07 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.9) 2024-08 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.9) 2024-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.0) 2024-10 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.0) 2024-11 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.1) 2024-12 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.1) 2025-01 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2) 2025-02 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.2) 2025-03 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.3) 2025-04 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.3) 2025-05 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.3) 2025-06 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.4) 2025-07 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.4) 2025-08 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.4) 2025-09 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.5) 2025-10 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.6) 2025-11 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.6) 2025-12 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.7) 2026-01 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.7) 2026-02 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.7) 2026-03 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.8) 2026-04 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.8) 2026-05 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.8) 2026-06 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.9) 2026-07 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.9) 2026-08 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +5.0) 2026-09 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +5.0) 2026-10 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.4 to +5.1) +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-01-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Erickson/Patten · w/ Warren Tamanaha · model expected 62% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Erickson/Patten · w/ Warren Tamanaha · model expected 62% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Chan/Huynh · w/ Warren Tamanaha · model expected 37% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Chan/Huynh · w/ Warren Tamanaha · model expected 37% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Chan/Huynh · w/ Warren Tamanaha · model expected 37% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kawka/Mercado · w/ Trang Huynh · model expected 42% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Kawka/Mercado · w/ Trang Huynh · model expected 42% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Borashan/Connors · w/ Beau Kojima · model expected 66% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Borashan/Connors · w/ Beau Kojima · model expected 66% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Lau/Ora · w/ Beau Kojima · model expected 62% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Lau/Ora · w/ Beau Kojima · model expected 62% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Hanks/Reason · w/ Malia K Lum · model expected 67% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hanks/Reason · w/ Malia K Lum · model expected 67% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Hanks/Reason · w/ Malia K Lum · model expected 67% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Cederquist/Bellamy · w/ Malia K Lum · model expected 42% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Cederquist/Bellamy · w/ Malia K Lum · model expected 42% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Navratil · w/ Beau Kojima · model expected 34% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Navratil · w/ Beau Kojima · model expected 34% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Nemoff/Young · w/ Beau Kojima · model expected 50% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 11-9 · vs Nemoff/Young · w/ Beau Kojima · model expected 50% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Nemoff/Young · w/ Beau Kojima · model expected 50% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 31% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 0-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 31% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Sock/Wilson · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 35% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 0-11 · vs Sock/Wilson · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 35% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Sock/Wilson · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 35% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Tamaki/Ali · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 60% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Tamaki/Ali · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 60% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Finley/Angelo · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 51% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Finley/Angelo · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 51% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Finley/Angelo · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 51% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ora/Rubens · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 72% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ora/Rubens · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 72% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 2-11 · vs Freeman/Green · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 37% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 5-11 · vs Freeman/Green · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 37% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 11-1 · vs Yee/Thyagarajan · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 64% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 11-8 · vs Yee/Thyagarajan · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 64% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Haworth/Goldin · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 39% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Haworth/Goldin · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 39% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-0 · vs Montgomery/Bhagar · w/ Trang Huynh · model expected 83% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-0 · vs Montgomery/Bhagar · w/ Trang Huynh · model expected 83% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-1 · vs Perez/Brown · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Perez/Brown · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Perez/Brown · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Schneider/Cartenuto · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 59% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Schneider/Cartenuto · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 59% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Schneider/Cartenuto · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 59% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bates/Haworth · w/ Trang Huynh · model expected 38% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bates/Haworth · w/ Trang Huynh · model expected 38% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Staksrud/Tardio · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 28% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Staksrud/Tardio · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 28% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-3 · vs Seymour/Seguso · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 78% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-4 · vs Seymour/Seguso · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 78% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Igleski/Petterson · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 52% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Igleski/Petterson · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 52% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-4 · vs Kong/Schwendiman · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 64% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kong/Schwendiman · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 64% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-3 · vs Farnsworth/Poland · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 60% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Farnsworth/Poland · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 60% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Farnsworth/Poland · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 60% of points 2024-08-22 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Ayotte/Funemizu · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-22 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ayotte/Funemizu · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ge/Staksrud · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 35% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 0-11 · vs Ge/Staksrud · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 35% of points 2024-08-26 PPA · 11-9 · vs Smith/Rasmusen · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-26 PPA · 8-11 · vs Smith/Rasmusen · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-26 PPA · 8-11 · vs Smith/Rasmusen · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alda/Kim · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 66% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alda/Kim · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 66% of points 2024-08-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Patriquin/Tellez · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 35% of points 2024-08-29 PPA · 4-11 · vs Patriquin/Tellez · w/ Naveen Beasley · model expected 35% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 0-11 · vs Khlif/Castillo · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 40% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Khlif/Castillo · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 40% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Trevino/Weeks · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Trevino/Weeks · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Harvey/Reyes · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 58% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 11-2 · vs Harvey/Reyes · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 58% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 29% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 29% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-1 · vs Wei/Orton · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 66% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wei/Orton · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 66% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mead/Ronney · w/ Natalie Raney · model expected 59% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mead/Ronney · w/ Natalie Raney · model expected 59% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Grollman/Grollman · w/ Natalie Raney · model expected 42% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Grollman/Grollman · w/ Natalie Raney · model expected 42% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Grollman/Grollman · w/ Natalie Raney · model expected 42% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 1-11 · vs Jansen/Daescu · w/ Natalie Raney · model expected 23% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 0-11 · vs Jansen/Daescu · w/ Natalie Raney · model expected 23% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Black/Pailet · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 45% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Black/Pailet · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 45% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kikkawa/Buchhauser · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 57% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kikkawa/Buchhauser · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 57% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Kikkawa/Buchhauser · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 57% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Provost/Nilsson · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 69% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Provost/Nilsson · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 69% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ricardo/Gonnering · w/ Cori Elliott · model expected 61% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ricardo/Gonnering · w/ Cori Elliott · model expected 61% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Truong · w/ Cori Elliott · model expected 20% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Truong · w/ Cori Elliott · model expected 20% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Teoni/Truong · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 40% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Teoni/Truong · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 40% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 44–35 56% 8.2–7.8 2025 PPA 11–11 50% 8.6–8.5
8–3
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
6–5
overtime games (past the target)
29
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-1.4 (-6.1…+4.2)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
projected
no singles record — projected from doubles, selection-corrected
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Naveen Beasley 23 14–9 50% -0.08 ±0.51 (noise) Mota Alhouni 14 8–6 50% +0.10 ±0.52 (noise) Louie Payetta 13 7–6 56% +0.00 ±0.50 (noise) Beau Kojima 9 6–3 54% +0.06 ±0.51 (noise) Natalie Raney 7 4–3 44% -0.00 ±0.53 (noise) Trang Huynh 6 2–4 46% -0.05 ±0.50 (noise) Warren Tamanaha 5 3–2 54% +0.07 ±0.48 (noise) Malia K Lum 5 2–3 57% +0.03 ±0.50 (noise) Domenika Turkovic 4 2–2 53% -0.02 ±0.53 (noise) Tia Elpusan 4 2–2 40% -0.08 ±0.49 (noise) Ross Whittaker 4 2–2 59% +0.05 ±0.51 (noise) Cori Elliott 4 2–2 44% +0.03 ±0.50 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2025-08-30 PPA · mens Louie Payetta Teoni/Truong 5-11 -9% 2025-08-30 PPA · mens Louie Payetta Teoni/Truong 10-12 OT +6% 2025-08-29 PPA · mixed Cori Elliott Johnson/Truong 1-11 -11% 2025-08-29 PPA · mixed Cori Elliott Johnson/Truong 4-11 +7% 2025-08-27 PPA · mixed Cori Elliott Ricardo/Gonnering 11-3 +18% 2025-08-27 PPA · mixed Cori Elliott Ricardo/Gonnering 11-9 -6% 2025-08-27 PPA · mens Louie Payetta Provost/Nilsson 11-4 +5% 2025-08-27 PPA · mens Louie Payetta Provost/Nilsson 11-2 +16% 2025-08-27 PPA · mens Louie Payetta Kikkawa/Buchhauser 11-13 OT -11% 2025-08-27 PPA · mens Louie Payetta Kikkawa/Buchhauser 8-11 -15% 2025-08-27 PPA · mens Louie Payetta Kikkawa/Buchhauser 11-5 +11% 2025-01-08 PPA · mens Ross Whittaker Black/Pailet 10-12 OT +0%
Put Kevin in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.