Bryce Larson M
mens 29–41 · mixed 17–34
+1.2 (-1.0…+2.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#252
of 286 active men (within gender only)
46–75
career record · 38% wins, 46% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.3) 2024-02 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.2) 2024-03 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.1) 2024-04 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.1) 2024-05 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.0) 2024-06 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.0) 2024-07 · +0.8 pts (90% band -0.4 to +1.9) 2024-08 · +0.8 pts (90% band -0.5 to +1.9) 2024-09 · +0.8 pts (90% band -0.5 to +1.9) 2024-10 · +0.8 pts (90% band -0.5 to +1.9) 2024-11 · +0.8 pts (90% band -0.6 to +1.9) 2024-12 · +0.7 pts (90% band -0.7 to +1.9) 2025-01 · +0.7 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.0) 2025-02 · +0.7 pts (90% band -0.9 to +1.9) 2025-03 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.0 to +1.9) 2025-04 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.1 to +1.9) 2025-05 · +0.5 pts (90% band -1.1 to +1.8) 2025-06 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.1 to +1.8) 2025-07 · +0.5 pts (90% band -1.1 to +1.8) 2025-08 · +0.5 pts (90% band -1.2 to +1.9) 2025-09 · +0.5 pts (90% band -1.3 to +1.9) 2025-10 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.0) 2025-11 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.1) 2025-12 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.2) 2026-01 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.3) 2026-02 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.4) 2026-03 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.5) 2026-04 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.5) 2026-05 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.6) 2026-06 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.6) 2026-07 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.7) 2026-08 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.8) 2026-09 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.8) 2026-10 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.9) -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-02-02 PPA · 11-15 · vs Chan/Rosati · w/ Cori Elliott · model expected 41% of points 2024-02-02 PPA · 12-15 · vs Howard/Monson · w/ Cori Elliott · model expected 53% of points 2024-02-03 PPA · 5-15 · vs Joseph/Jamieson · w/ David Hall · model expected 47% of points 2024-02-03 PPA · 1-11 · vs Diamond/Whittaker · w/ David Hall · model expected 40% of points 2024-02-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Diamond/Whittaker · w/ David Hall · model expected 40% of points 2024-02-03 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Diamond/Whittaker · w/ David Hall · model expected 40% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Vinueza-Daly/Affleck · w/ Thatcher Schwendiman · model expected 47% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Vinueza-Daly/Affleck · w/ Thatcher Schwendiman · model expected 47% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 11-1 · vs Watts/Wegner · w/ Brenna Murray · model expected 77% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 11-0 · vs Watts/Wegner · w/ Brenna Murray · model expected 77% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Raugust/Jensen · w/ Brenna Murray · model expected 38% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Raugust/Jensen · w/ Brenna Murray · model expected 38% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Shick/Buckner · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 24% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Shick/Buckner · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 24% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lund/Lund · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 56% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Lund/Lund · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 56% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Fagan/Sanchez · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 46% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Zelasko/Itskovich · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 72% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Zelasko/Itskovich · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 72% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Navratil · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 27% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Navratil · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 27% of points 2024-03-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Fahey/Cincola · w/ Danna Funaro · model expected 25% of points 2024-03-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Fahey/Cincola · w/ Danna Funaro · model expected 25% of points 2024-03-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Johnson/Burrows · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 37% of points 2024-03-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Johnson/Burrows · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 37% of points 2024-04-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rogers/Khlif · w/ Alex Chan · model expected 41% of points 2024-04-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rogers/Khlif · w/ Alex Chan · model expected 41% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Loong/Alshon · w/ David Hall · model expected 25% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Loong/Alshon · w/ David Hall · model expected 25% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wasson/Violette · w/ David Hall · model expected 52% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wasson/Violette · w/ David Hall · model expected 52% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 3-11 · vs Klaassen/Perez · w/ Melinda Wilkins · model expected 40% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Klaassen/Perez · w/ Melinda Wilkins · model expected 40% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Morrow/Allan · w/ Melinda Wilkins · model expected 47% of points 2024-04-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Morrow/Allan · w/ Melinda Wilkins · model expected 47% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Andrews/Read · w/ David Hall · model expected 52% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs Andrews/Read · w/ David Hall · model expected 52% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Andrews/Read · w/ David Hall · model expected 52% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Cassidy/Wright · w/ Brenna Murray · model expected 33% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Cassidy/Wright · w/ Brenna Murray · model expected 33% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Amiri/Lum · w/ Brenna Murray · model expected 42% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Amiri/Lum · w/ Brenna Murray · model expected 42% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Cassidy/Fu · w/ David Hall · model expected 35% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Cassidy/Fu · w/ David Hall · model expected 35% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Fowler/Morris · w/ Thatcher Schwendiman · model expected 51% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fowler/Morris · w/ Thatcher Schwendiman · model expected 51% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-8 · vs Fowler/Morris · w/ Thatcher Schwendiman · model expected 51% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ferrer/Studnicki · w/ Brenna Murray · model expected 43% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ferrer/Studnicki · w/ Brenna Murray · model expected 43% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Payetta/Shekar · w/ Thatcher Schwendiman · model expected 40% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Payetta/Shekar · w/ Thatcher Schwendiman · model expected 40% of points 2024-08-26 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ingram/Mercado · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 35% of points 2024-08-26 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ingram/Mercado · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 35% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs French/Smith · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 32% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs French/Smith · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 32% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Deza/Tomas · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 55% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-7 · vs Deza/Tomas · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 55% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Deza/Tomas · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 55% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Morris/Papariello · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 65% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Morris/Papariello · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 65% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Ouye/McCartney · w/ Keaton Cullimore · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ouye/McCartney · w/ Keaton Cullimore · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ouye/McCartney · w/ Keaton Cullimore · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Leonard/Frank · w/ Shae Spencer · model expected 38% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Leonard/Frank · w/ Shae Spencer · model expected 38% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Keaton Cullimore · model expected 56% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Keaton Cullimore · model expected 56% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Shore/Berke · w/ Shae Spencer · model expected 56% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Shore/Berke · w/ Shae Spencer · model expected 56% of points 2024-10-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Deaver/Frank · w/ Keaton Cullimore · model expected 51% of points 2024-10-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Deaver/Frank · w/ Keaton Cullimore · model expected 51% of points 2024-10-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Deaver/Frank · w/ Keaton Cullimore · model expected 51% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 9-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Smith · w/ Keaton Cullimore · model expected 37% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Jakovljevic/Smith · w/ Keaton Cullimore · model expected 37% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 2-11 · vs Edwards/Violette · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 47% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Edwards/Violette · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 47% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Edwards/Violette · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 47% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Newcombe/Wilcox · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 42% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Newcombe/Wilcox · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 42% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Newcombe/Wilcox · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 42% of points 2025-01-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bar/McGuffin · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 19% of points 2025-01-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bar/McGuffin · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 19% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 6-15 · vs Thul/Sarthak · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 42% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Buchhauser/Kikkawa · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 49% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 6-11 · vs Buchhauser/Kikkawa · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 49% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 15-9 · vs Risi/Meza · w/ Braden Jacobson · model expected 67% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Cosma/Jacobson · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 49% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 15-8 · vs Monson/Ortega · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 53% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Summers/Engel · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 43% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Summers/Engel · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 43% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 6-15 · vs Murray/Protzek · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 42% of points 2025-06-01 PPA · 15-8 · vs Ciampini/Hoover · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 56% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 9-15 · vs Slive/Gonnering · w/ Benson Parry · model expected 44% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 0-11 · vs Lewis/Chassang · w/ Benson Parry · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Lewis/Chassang · w/ Benson Parry · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs McPherson/Jenkins · w/ Lily Goodwin · model expected 46% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 2-15 · vs Igleski/Protzek · w/ Lily Goodwin · model expected 20% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-12 · vs Fakhre/Graham · w/ Lily Goodwin · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-7 · vs Sikora/Mead · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 56% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Sikora/Mead · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 56% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 10-15 · vs Ayotte/McCartney · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Mawji/Steiner · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 37% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Mawji/Steiner · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 37% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Cosma/Edwards · w/ Lily Goodwin · model expected 33% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 0-11 · vs Ingram/Ayon · w/ Lily Goodwin · model expected 25% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ingram/Ayon · w/ Lily Goodwin · model expected 25% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs McFarland/Johnson · w/ Lily Goodwin · model expected 53% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs McFarland/Johnson · w/ Lily Goodwin · model expected 53% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs McFarland/Johnson · w/ Lily Goodwin · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs McCartney/Berryman · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs McCartney/Berryman · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs McCartney/Berryman · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 7-11 · vs S/Whittaker · w/ Sunny Stephens · model expected 42% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 7-11 · vs S/Whittaker · w/ Sunny Stephens · model expected 42% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hall/Bush · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 69% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-1 · vs Hall/Bush · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 69% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hernandez/Goldman · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hernandez/Goldman · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Hernandez/Goldman · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Delgado/McGuffin · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 27% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Delgado/McGuffin · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 27% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 28–46 38% 8.1–9.5 2025 PPA 8–16 33% 7.8–11.1 2026 PPA 10–13 43% 8.4–8.8
8–3
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
6–10
overtime games (past the target)
21
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-4.5 (-7.5…+0.7)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (3 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
1–2
singles record · last 2024-04
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Clayton Boydston 18 8–10 47% +0.02 ±0.49 (noise) David Hall 13 4–9 41% -0.06 ±0.49 (noise) Brenna Murray 10 4–6 50% +0.11 ±0.49 (noise) Keaton Cullimore 10 6–4 55% +0.08 ±0.53 (noise) Dawson Davis 10 6–4 54% +0.09 ±0.51 (noise) Lily Goodwin 9 3–6 41% -0.03 ±0.48 (noise) Maddy Rasmusen 8 3–5 46% +0.08 ±0.50 (noise) Thatcher Schwendiman 7 2–5 41% -0.12 ±0.51 (noise) Elsie Hendershot 6 3–3 50% +0.06 ±0.50 (noise) Chuck Taylor 5 2–3 47% +0.00 ±0.48 (noise) Melinda Wilkins 4 2–2 50% +0.08 ±0.48 (noise) Shae Spencer 4 2–2 46% -0.03 ±0.51 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-09-30 PPA · mens Dawson Davis Delgado/McGuffin 2-11 -11% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Dawson Davis Delgado/McGuffin 3-11 -5% 2026-09-29 PPA · mens Dawson Davis Hernandez/Goldman 11-8 +9% 2026-09-29 PPA · mens Dawson Davis Hernandez/Goldman 11-3 +30% 2026-09-29 PPA · mens Dawson Davis Hernandez/Goldman 7-11 -10% 2026-09-28 PPA · mens Dawson Davis Hall/Bush 11-1 +23% 2026-09-28 PPA · mens Dawson Davis Hall/Bush 11-5 -0% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Sunny Stephens S/Whittaker 7-11 -3% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Sunny Stephens S/Whittaker 7-11 -3% 2026-09-28 PPA · mens Dawson Davis McCartney/Berryman 11-3 +31% 2026-09-28 PPA · mens Dawson Davis McCartney/Berryman 11-9 +8% 2026-09-28 PPA · mens Dawson Davis McCartney/Berryman 10-12 OT -2%
Put Bryce in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.