PICKLES

Lara Giltinan W

womens 10–14 · mixed 36–44

+1.5 (-0.7…+3.3)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
—
of 204 active women (within gender only; no 2026 games)
46–58
career record · 44% wins, 46% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.1 to +3.2)2024-02 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.0 to +3.1)2024-03 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.1)2024-04 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.1)2024-05 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.1)2024-06 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.0)2024-07 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.0)2024-08 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.0)2024-09 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.9)2024-10 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.8)2024-11 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.8)2024-12 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.8)2025-01 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.7)2025-02 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.7)2025-03 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.6)2025-04 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.6)2025-05 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +2.5)2025-06 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.5)2025-07 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.5)2025-08 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.4)2025-09 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.5)2025-10 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.6)2025-11 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.6)2025-12 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.7)2026-01 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.7)2026-02 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.8)2026-03 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.9)2026-04 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.0)2026-05 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.3 to +3.1)2026-06 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.4 to +3.1)2026-07 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.2)2026-08 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.2)2026-09 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.2)2026-10 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.3)+0+2202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2025-01-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ford/Schaefer · w/ Ryan Sherry · model expected 35% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ford/Schaefer · w/ Ryan Sherry · model expected 35% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Davis/Ness · w/ Ryan Sherry · model expected 53% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 11-5 · vs Davis/Ness · w/ Ryan Sherry · model expected 53% of points2025-01-31 PPA · 0-11 · vs Truong/Irvine · w/ Bernadette Massih · model expected 21% of points2025-01-31 PPA · 3-11 · vs Truong/Irvine · w/ Bernadette Massih · model expected 21% of points2025-01-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Chau/Võ · w/ Daniel Fogl-Kulich · model expected 57% of points2025-01-31 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Chau/Võ · w/ Daniel Fogl-Kulich · model expected 57% of points2025-01-31 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Wong/Biakina · w/ Bernadette Massih · model expected 60% of points2025-01-31 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wong/Biakina · w/ Bernadette Massih · model expected 60% of points2025-02-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hargreaves/Schmidt · w/ Daniel Fogl-Kulich · model expected 33% of points2025-02-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hargreaves/Schmidt · w/ Daniel Fogl-Kulich · model expected 33% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Jones/Zalinski · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 68% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Jones/Zalinski · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 68% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Jansen/Bond · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 45% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Jansen/Bond · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 45% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Wynne/Mogle · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 40% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wynne/Mogle · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 40% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wynne/Mogle · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 40% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Crotts/Donahue · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 53% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Crotts/Donahue · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 53% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Crotts/Donahue · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 53% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Brown/Yu · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 42% of points2025-03-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Brown/Yu · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 42% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs To/Klokotzky · w/ Julia Ronney · model expected 44% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs To/Klokotzky · w/ Julia Ronney · model expected 44% of points2025-05-24 PPA · 9-15 · vs Griffith/Ignatowich · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 48% of points2025-05-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Geut/Jones · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 59% of points2025-05-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Geut/Jones · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 59% of points2025-05-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Kalhorn/Leonard · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 52% of points2025-05-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kalhorn/Leonard · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 52% of points2025-05-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Imparato/Brown · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 36% of points2025-05-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Imparato/Brown · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 36% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 15-3 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 51% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hidalgo-Smith/Durbin · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 57% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hidalgo-Smith/Durbin · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 57% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Jones/Braham · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 55% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 6-11 · vs Jones/Braham · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 55% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 8-11 · vs Jones/Braham · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 55% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lemperle/Leonard · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 54% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lemperle/Leonard · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 54% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Rosati/Uspensky · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 52% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 7-11 · vs Rosati/Uspensky · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 52% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 8-11 · vs Rosati/Uspensky · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 52% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 1-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 51% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 51% of points2025-05-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 51% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 0-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 13% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 13% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ford/Dimuzio · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 45% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ford/Dimuzio · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 45% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ford/Dimuzio · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 45% of points2025-06-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Dimuzio/Blatt · w/ Polina Libo · model expected 40% of points2025-06-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Dimuzio/Blatt · w/ Polina Libo · model expected 40% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Protzek/Igleski · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 38% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Protzek/Igleski · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 38% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Kunimoto/Pham · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 42% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Kunimoto/Pham · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 42% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 53% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 53% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Gordon/Gordon · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 62% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Gordon/Gordon · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 62% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Gbadamosi/Sarthak · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 64% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Gbadamosi/Sarthak · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 64% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Gbadamosi/Sarthak · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 64% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Vogt/Yoo · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 56% of points2025-08-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Vogt/Yoo · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 56% of points2025-08-29 PPA · 4-11 · vs Tellez/Wang · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 33% of points2025-08-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Tellez/Wang · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 33% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs David/Smith · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 29% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 0-11 · vs David/Smith · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 29% of points2025-09-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Dunlap/Mercado · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 47% of points2025-09-09 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Dunlap/Mercado · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 47% of points2025-09-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Dunlap/Mercado · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 47% of points2025-09-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Staksrud · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 25% of points2025-09-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Staksrud · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 25% of points2025-09-26 PPA · 4-11 · vs Fahey/Frazier · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 26% of points2025-09-26 PPA · 6-11 · vs Fahey/Frazier · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 26% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Walker/Delgado · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 37% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Walker/Delgado · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 37% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ferguson/Kim · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 58% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ferguson/Kim · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 58% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Conard/Chaffin · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 45% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Conard/Chaffin · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 45% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Conard/Chaffin · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 45% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ronney/Whittaker · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 52% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ronney/Whittaker · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 52% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ronney/Whittaker · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 52% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs McGowan/Naydenov · w/ Alexander Crum · model expected 45% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs McGowan/Naydenov · w/ Alexander Crum · model expected 45% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Quintanilla/McGowan · w/ Kiora Kunimoto · model expected 54% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Quintanilla/McGowan · w/ Kiora Kunimoto · model expected 54% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Quintanilla/McGowan · w/ Kiora Kunimoto · model expected 54% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Arnold/Brascia · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 32% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 0-11 · vs Arnold/Brascia · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 32% of points2025-11-04 PPA · 0-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Daescu · w/ Carlos Di Laura III · model expected 17% of points2025-11-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Daescu · w/ Carlos Di Laura III · model expected 17% of points2025-11-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Caldarella/Rives · w/ Carlos Di Laura III · model expected 46% of points2025-11-04 PPA · 11-1 · vs Caldarella/Rives · w/ Carlos Di Laura III · model expected 46% of points2025-11-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Caldarella/Rives · w/ Carlos Di Laura III · model expected 46% of points2025-11-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang/Tellez · w/ Stephen Madonia · model expected 27% of points2025-11-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang/Tellez · w/ Stephen Madonia · model expected 27% of points2025-12-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Rives · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 43% of points2025-12-18 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Rives · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 43% of points0%25%50%75%100%2025winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2025PPA46–5844%7.7–8.9
9–3
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
4–3
overtime games (past the target)
18
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
5
longest win streak
-4
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+4.9 (+4.2…+5.5)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
148 pro singles games
83–65
singles record · last 2025-12

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
John Lucian Goins2613–1349%+0.15 ±0.48 (noise)
Anouar Braham2314–952%+0.02 ±0.49 (noise)
Lauren Hidalgo-Smith74–352%+0.10 ±0.51 (noise)
Omar Garcia-Heredia52–348%-0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Carlos Di Laura III52–347%+0.11 ±0.52 (noise)
Ryan Sherry42–247%+0.02 ±0.53 (noise)
Bernadette Massih42–240%-0.03 ±0.51 (noise)
Daniel Fogl-Kulich42–247%+0.01 ±0.51 (noise)
Courtney Clark42–254%-0.02 ±0.52 (noise)
Zach Gonnering31–240%+0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Kiora Kunimoto32–154%-0.01 ±0.50 (noise)
Julia Ronney20–239%-0.03 ±0.49 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2025-12-18PPA · mixedAnouar BrahamRettenmaier/Rives1-11-35%
2025-12-18PPA · mixedAnouar BrahamRettenmaier/Rives7-11-4%
2025-11-20PPA · mixedStephen MadoniaWang/Tellez5-11+4%
2025-11-20PPA · mixedStephen MadoniaWang/Tellez5-11+4%
2025-11-04PPA · mixedCarlos Di Laura IIICaldarella/Rives11-6+19%
2025-11-04PPA · mixedCarlos Di Laura IIICaldarella/Rives11-1+46%
2025-11-04PPA · mixedCarlos Di Laura IIICaldarella/Rives8-11-4%
2025-11-04PPA · mixedCarlos Di Laura IIIRohrabacher/Daescu6-11+18%
2025-11-04PPA · mixedCarlos Di Laura IIIRohrabacher/Daescu0-11-17%
2025-10-21PPA · mixedIvan JakovljevicArnold/Brascia0-11-32%
2025-10-21PPA · mixedIvan JakovljevicArnold/Brascia1-11-24%
2025-10-07PPA · womensKiora KunimotoQuintanilla/McGowan11-9+1%

Put Lara in the simulator →