PICKLES

Daniel Jensen M

mens 33–46 · mixed 13–31

+2.4 (-0.1…+4.5)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
—
of 286 active men (within gender only; no 2026 games)
46–77
career record · 37% wins, 45% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.9)2024-02 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.8)2024-03 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.8)2024-04 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.8)2024-05 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.8)2024-06 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.7)2024-07 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.7)2024-08 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.6)2024-09 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.6)2024-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.5)2024-11 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.5)2024-12 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.5)2025-01 · +2.3 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.5)2025-02 · +2.3 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.5)2025-03 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.6)2025-04 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.6)2025-05 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.6)2025-06 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.7)2025-07 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.8)2025-08 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.8)2025-09 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.9)2025-10 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.0)2025-11 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.0)2025-12 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.1)2026-01 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.1)2026-02 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.2)2026-03 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.2)2026-04 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.2)2026-05 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.3)2026-06 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.3)2026-07 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.3)2026-08 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.4)2026-09 · +2.4 pts (90% band -0.0 to +4.4)2026-10 · +2.4 pts (90% band -0.1 to +4.5)+0+2+4202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-01-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bellamy/Rettenmaier · w/ Grant Bond · model expected 30% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Bellamy/Rettenmaier · w/ Grant Bond · model expected 30% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Palm/Wasson · w/ Grant Bond · model expected 45% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Palm/Wasson · w/ Grant Bond · model expected 45% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Palm/Wasson · w/ Grant Bond · model expected 45% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 15-7 · vs Brown/Johnson · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 58% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 15-4 · vs Chan/Rosati · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 57% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 15-13 · vs Diamond/Ignatowich · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 56% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 5-15 · vs Munro/Jansen · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 29% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Black/Ge · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 30% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 5-11 · vs Black/Ge · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 30% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 15-7 · vs Markowitz/Zwiren · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 57% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Locklear/Smith · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 46% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Young/French · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 49% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Young/French · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 49% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Young/French · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 49% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 2-11 · vs Forsythe/James · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 49% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Forsythe/James · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 49% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-9 · vs Murray/Larson · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 62% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-8 · vs Murray/Larson · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 62% of points2024-02-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ge/Johnson · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 42% of points2024-02-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ge/Johnson · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 42% of points2024-02-21 PPA · 2-11 · vs Ge/Johnson · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 42% of points2024-02-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Trinh/Wasson · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 52% of points2024-02-21 PPA · 11-4 · vs Trinh/Wasson · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 52% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johns/Bright · w/ Helen To · model expected 21% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Bright · w/ Helen To · model expected 21% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kong/Andrews · w/ Helen To · model expected 53% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kong/Andrews · w/ Helen To · model expected 53% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hall/Lau · w/ Preston Bies · model expected 40% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hall/Lau · w/ Preston Bies · model expected 40% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hall/Lau · w/ Preston Bies · model expected 40% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johns/Wright · w/ Preston Bies · model expected 21% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johns/Wright · w/ Preston Bies · model expected 21% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Feliz/Stith · w/ Ryan Eveloff · model expected 48% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Feliz/Stith · w/ Ryan Eveloff · model expected 48% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hall/Wong · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 67% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Hall/Wong · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 67% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Hall/Wong · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 67% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Forsythe/James · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 48% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Forsythe/James · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 48% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 29% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 29% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Schwendiman/Boydston · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 60% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Schwendiman/Boydston · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 60% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-6 · vs Whitmire/Brown · w/ Elysse Branton · model expected 66% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Crouch/Helmuth · w/ Elysse Branton · model expected 45% of points2024-05-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Howells/Klinger · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 31% of points2024-05-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Howells/Klinger · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 31% of points2024-06-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Shick/Buckner · w/ Helen To · model expected 26% of points2024-06-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Shick/Buckner · w/ Helen To · model expected 26% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wasson/Baca · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 57% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wasson/Baca · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 57% of points2024-06-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Patriquin/Tellez · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 33% of points2024-06-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Patriquin/Tellez · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 33% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Alda/Nguyen · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 51% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Alda/Nguyen · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 51% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Whittaker/Beasley · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 46% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 13-15 (OT) · vs Whittaker/Beasley · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 46% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Whittaker/Beasley · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 46% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Dickson/Dickson · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 62% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dickson/Dickson · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 62% of points2024-08-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Radzikowska/Tellez · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 27% of points2024-08-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Radzikowska/Tellez · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 27% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Terzian/Asplund · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 66% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Terzian/Asplund · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 66% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Wasson/Kim · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 62% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-8 · vs Wasson/Kim · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 62% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wasson/Kim · w/ Erik Forsythe · model expected 62% of points2024-08-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hovenier/Bouchard · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 46% of points2024-08-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hovenier/Bouchard · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 46% of points2024-08-16 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Hovenier/Bouchard · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 46% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Dawson/Tamaki · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 51% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dawson/Tamaki · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 51% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dawson/Tamaki · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 51% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Frantova/Ge · w/ Alex Walker · model expected 38% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Frantova/Ge · w/ Alex Walker · model expected 38% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dow/Scarpa · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 43% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dow/Scarpa · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 43% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bar/Navratil · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 34% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 0-11 · vs Bar/Navratil · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 34% of points2024-09-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kawamoto/Sock · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 26% of points2024-09-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Kawamoto/Sock · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 26% of points2024-09-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 38% of points2024-09-10 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 38% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hewett/Ampon · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 44% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hewett/Ampon · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 44% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Boyle/Delgado · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 41% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Boyle/Delgado · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 41% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Boyle/Delgado · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 41% of points2024-10-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bar/Johnson · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 30% of points2024-10-02 PPA · 0-11 · vs Bar/Johnson · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 30% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Inn/Ayotte · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 53% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Inn/Ayotte · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 53% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 29% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 29% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Trinh/Ford · w/ James Delgado · model expected 49% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Trinh/Ford · w/ James Delgado · model expected 49% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Todd/Johnson · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 25% of points2024-11-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Todd/Johnson · w/ Helena Jansen · model expected 25% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ray/Garcia-Heredia · w/ Sam Angelo · model expected 53% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ray/Garcia-Heredia · w/ Sam Angelo · model expected 53% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ray/Garcia-Heredia · w/ Sam Angelo · model expected 53% of points2025-02-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Dizon/Koller · w/ Camila Zilveti · model expected 26% of points2025-02-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Dizon/Koller · w/ Camila Zilveti · model expected 26% of points2025-02-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Blair/Hilliard · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 57% of points2025-02-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Blair/Hilliard · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 57% of points2025-02-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ge/Vich · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 32% of points2025-02-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ge/Vich · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 32% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Poland/Kelly · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 46% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Poland/Kelly · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 46% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Poland/Kelly · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 46% of points2025-02-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Campbell/Dow · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 49% of points2025-02-19 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Campbell/Dow · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 49% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Alvarez/Rives · w/ Julia Ronney · model expected 44% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Alvarez/Rives · w/ Julia Ronney · model expected 44% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Alvarez/Rives · w/ Julia Ronney · model expected 44% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Campbell/Benitez · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 43% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Campbell/Benitez · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 43% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 7-11 · vs Campbell/Benitez · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 43% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 11-8 · vs Harvey/Campbell · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 39% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Harvey/Campbell · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 39% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 9-11 · vs Harvey/Campbell · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 39% of points0%25%50%75%100%20242025winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA39–6139%8.1–9.6
2025PPA7–1630%7.0–10.0
4–11
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
4–12
overtime games (past the target)
14
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
5
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-0.4 (-3.0…+2.3)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
26 pro singles games
2–24
singles record · last 2025-05

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Erik Forsythe1610–655%+0.10 ±0.50 (noise)
Dana Raugust157–850%-0.06 ±0.47 (noise)
Jackson Ayotte125–750%+0.15 ±0.51 (noise)
Helena Jansen91–830%-0.09 ±0.52 (noise)
Rio Newcombe84–445%+0.08 ±0.52 (noise)
Helen To62–437%+0.02 ±0.50 (noise)
Wesley Burrows62–445%-0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Tom Evans62–445%-0.00 ±0.51 (noise)
Grant Bond52–338%-0.05 ±0.52 (noise)
Preston Bies52–342%+0.08 ±0.50 (noise)
Jericho Grollman52–340%-0.02 ±0.49 (noise)
Rob Cassidy42–248%+0.02 ±0.51 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2025-10-21PPA · mensWil ShafferHarvey/Campbell9-11+6%
2025-10-21PPA · mensWil ShafferHarvey/Campbell5-11-8%
2025-10-21PPA · mensWil ShafferHarvey/Campbell11-8+19%
2025-05-13PPA · mensWesley BurrowsCampbell/Benitez7-11-4%
2025-05-13PPA · mensWesley BurrowsCampbell/Benitez11-9+12%
2025-05-13PPA · mensWesley BurrowsCampbell/Benitez3-11-22%
2025-05-13PPA · mixedJulia RonneyAlvarez/Rives4-11-17%
2025-05-13PPA · mixedJulia RonneyAlvarez/Rives1-11-35%
2025-05-13PPA · mixedJulia RonneyAlvarez/Rives11-9+11%
2025-02-19PPA · mensTom EvansCampbell/Dow11-13 OT-4%
2025-02-19PPA · mensTom EvansCampbell/Dow7-11-11%
2025-02-18PPA · mixedLauren Hidalgo-SmithPoland/Kelly3-11-25%

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