Jaxon Madsen M
mens 23–36 · mixed 10–14
+3.0 (+1.6…+4.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#155
of 286 active men (within gender only)
33–50
career record · 40% wins, 45% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.4 to +3.3) 2024-02 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.3 to +3.3) 2024-03 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.3 to +3.3) 2024-04 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.2 to +3.2) 2024-05 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.1 to +3.2) 2024-06 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.0 to +3.2) 2024-07 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.2) 2024-08 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.1) 2024-09 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.1) 2024-10 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.1) 2024-11 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.1) 2024-12 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.4 to +3.2) 2025-01 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.3 to +3.2) 2025-02 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.1 to +3.2) 2025-03 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.0 to +3.2) 2025-04 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.1 to +3.3) 2025-05 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.3) 2025-06 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.4) 2025-07 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.4) 2025-08 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.5) 2025-09 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.5) 2025-10 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.5) 2025-11 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.5) 2025-12 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.6) 2026-01 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.6) 2026-02 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.6) 2026-03 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.6) 2026-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.7) 2026-05 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.8) 2026-06 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.9) 2026-07 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.0) 2026-08 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.1) 2026-09 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.1) 2026-10 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-08-21 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Wild/Jr · w/ Dylan Kato · model expected 48% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wild/Jr · w/ Dylan Kato · model expected 48% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bricker/Gonzalez · w/ TY Parrish · model expected 46% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bricker/Gonzalez · w/ TY Parrish · model expected 46% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Howard/Howard · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 47% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Howard/Howard · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 47% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Howard/Howard · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 47% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Fullmer/Howard · w/ Cooper Jenkins · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Fullmer/Howard · w/ Cooper Jenkins · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 0-11 · vs Fullmer/Howard · w/ Cooper Jenkins · model expected 44% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Morris/Caldarella · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 43% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Morris/Caldarella · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 43% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Morris/Caldarella · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 43% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 0-11 · vs Mercado/Mackinnon · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 39% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Mercado/Mackinnon · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Protzek/Smith · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 40% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Protzek/Smith · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mackinnon/Pham · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Mackinnon/Pham · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 0-11 · vs Mogle/Braham · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 31% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Mogle/Braham · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 31% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 0-11 · vs Poland/Lam · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Poland/Lam · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 15-12 · vs Hoover/McCartney · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 18-16 (OT) · vs Li/Tsai · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 55% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Jacobson/Caldarella · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 44% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Jacobson/Caldarella · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 44% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-15 · vs Ayotte/Traxler · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 45% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 15-1 · vs Burkhardt/Seagraves · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs McCaffrey/Duane · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 51% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-9 · vs McCaffrey/Duane · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 51% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 15-8 · vs Montoya/Beré · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 63% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Liu/Teoni · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 35% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Liu/Teoni · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 35% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 2-15 · vs Morris/Yeh · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 29% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Duffin/Wade · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Duffin/Wade · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Duffin/Wade · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Weidman/Burrows · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Weidman/Burrows · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hsiao/Castillo · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hsiao/Castillo · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 10-15 · vs Newcombe/Luhring · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 35% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Akin/Litvinov · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 7-11 · vs Akin/Litvinov · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 13-15 · vs G/Jenson · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 15-13 · vs Anderson/Beré · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 64% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Igleski/Harvey · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 37% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Igleski/Harvey · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 37% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Igleski/Harvey · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 37% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Machek/Barron · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Machek/Barron · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 9-15 · vs Chen/Burkhardt · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-9 · vs Tabatabaeian/Byun · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-8 · vs Tabatabaeian/Byun · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Morris/Loyd · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 31% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Morris/Loyd · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 31% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 5-15 · vs Brandon/Howard · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 12-15 · vs Hoover/Rasmusen · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jacobson/Yeh · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Jacobson/Yeh · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Jacobson/Yeh · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 15-4 · vs Inn/Beck · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 29% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 29% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 29% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 9-15 · vs Morris/Koszuta · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 39% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 5-11 · vs Shick/Roddy · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 43% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Shick/Roddy · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 43% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Gallagher/Davis · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 15-9 · vs Eaby/Giannelli · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 44% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kotnana/Angulo · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-9 · vs Kotnana/Angulo · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Blake/Sikora · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Blake/Sikora · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Blake/Sikora · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Perez/Minniefield · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Perez/Minniefield · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Perez/Minniefield · w/ Naomi De Hart · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Johnson/Hargreaves · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Johnson/Hargreaves · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Powell/Hewett · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 1-11 · vs Powell/Hewett · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 36% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 0–4 0% 6.2–11.5 2025 PPA 4–7 36% 6.9–9.4 2026 PPA 29–39 43% 8.6–10.0
2–7
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
3–5
overtime games (past the target)
7
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+5.0 (+4.4…+5.5)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
124 pro singles games
77–47
singles record · last 2026-09
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Daniel Phillips 18 10–8 50% +0.12 ±0.50 (noise) Naomi De Hart 18 9–9 50% +0.08 ±0.52 (noise) Gavin Fowler 8 2–6 40% -0.12 ±0.50 (noise) Miles Hoover 7 3–4 46% +0.12 ±0.52 (noise) Jake Anderson 7 4–3 52% +0.12 ±0.50 (noise) Olivia Phillips 6 1–5 32% -0.14 ±0.50 (noise) Chas Howard 5 2–3 46% +0.04 ±0.49 (noise) Indigo Dagnall 4 0–4 36% +0.00 ±0.52 (noise) Zach Gonnering 3 1–2 46% -0.01 ±0.55 (noise) Cooper Jenkins 3 1–2 33% -0.05 ±0.49 (noise) Dylan Kato 2 0–2 38% -0.03 ±0.51 (noise) TY Parrish 2 0–2 31% -0.05 ±0.50 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-01 PPA · mens Miles Hoover Powell/Hewett 1-11 -28% 2026-10-01 PPA · mens Miles Hoover Powell/Hewett 7-11 +2% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Miles Hoover Johnson/Hargreaves 11-7 +10% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Miles Hoover Johnson/Hargreaves 11-6 +14% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Naomi De Hart Perez/Minniefield 1-11 -37% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Naomi De Hart Perez/Minniefield 11-4 +28% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Naomi De Hart Perez/Minniefield 3-11 -24% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Naomi De Hart Blake/Sikora 11-9 -3% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Naomi De Hart Blake/Sikora 11-3 +20% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Naomi De Hart Blake/Sikora 9-11 -13% 2026-09-26 PPA · mens Jake Anderson Kotnana/Angulo 11-9 +2% 2026-09-26 PPA · mens Jake Anderson Kotnana/Angulo 11-2 +32%
Put Jaxon in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.