Nejc Sitar M
mens 15–13 · mixed 25–16
+3.3 (+1.5…+4.8)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#129
of 286 active men (within gender only)
40–29
career record · 58% wins, 54% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.6) 2024-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.6) 2024-03 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.6) 2024-04 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.6) 2024-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.6) 2024-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.6) 2024-07 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.6) 2024-08 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.6) 2024-09 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.5) 2024-10 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.5) 2024-11 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.5) 2024-12 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.5) 2025-01 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.5) 2025-02 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.5) 2025-03 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.5) 2025-04 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.5) 2025-05 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.4) 2025-06 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.4) 2025-07 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.4) 2025-08 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.4) 2025-09 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.4) 2025-10 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.4) 2025-11 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.4) 2025-12 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.4) 2026-01 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.4) 2026-02 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.4) 2026-03 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.5) 2026-04 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.6) 2026-05 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7) 2026-06 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7) 2026-07 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.7) 2026-08 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.8) 2026-09 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.8) 2026-10 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.8) +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-03-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dickson/Graham · w/ Ridley Seguso · model expected 56% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Dickson/Graham · w/ Ridley Seguso · model expected 56% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dickson/Graham · w/ Ridley Seguso · model expected 56% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Aninon/Grigoriu · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 41% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Aninon/Grigoriu · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 41% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Aninon/Grigoriu · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 41% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Bates/Chrysostom · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 39% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bates/Chrysostom · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 39% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bates/Chrysostom · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 39% of points 2025-03-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mediratta/Wazir · w/ Ridley Seguso · model expected 46% of points 2025-03-06 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Mediratta/Wazir · w/ Ridley Seguso · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Geminiani/Kozlowski · w/ Drew Holder · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Geminiani/Kozlowski · w/ Drew Holder · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Parker/Thompson · w/ Drew Holder · model expected 65% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Parker/Thompson · w/ Drew Holder · model expected 65% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 15-4 · vs Hamblett/Kayworth · w/ Drew Holder · model expected 65% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-15 · vs Almeida/Jr · w/ Drew Holder · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 0-11 · vs Ignatowich/Madonia · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ignatowich/Madonia · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 15-7 · vs Maynetto/Sweet · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 62% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ricardo/Plummer · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 58% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Ricardo/Plummer · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 58% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 7-15 · vs Shinkaretzky/Crouch · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Southwick/Jauschneg · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 75% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Southwick/Jauschneg · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 75% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Levkulich/Dugas · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 68% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Levkulich/Dugas · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 68% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Mack/Widdershoven · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 39% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 4-11 · vs Mack/Widdershoven · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 39% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wiencek/Rowe · w/ George Rangelov · model expected 72% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wiencek/Rowe · w/ George Rangelov · model expected 72% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Benitez/Chaffin · w/ George Rangelov · model expected 38% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Benitez/Chaffin · w/ George Rangelov · model expected 38% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Centonze/Elliott · w/ George Rangelov · model expected 57% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Waddell/Engel · w/ George Rangelov · model expected 51% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Waddell/Engel · w/ George Rangelov · model expected 51% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Waddell/Engel · w/ George Rangelov · model expected 51% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Gecheva/Hunter · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 1-11 · vs Gecheva/Hunter · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 9-11 · vs Gecheva/Hunter · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-4 · vs Kohutova/Benjamin · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 79% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kohutova/Benjamin · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 79% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Dancuart/Bohnert · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 15-10 · vs Buyckx/Vallejo · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 57% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 15-5 · vs Chargot/Gonnering · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 77% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Faletto/Braham · w/ Patricio Pereyra · model expected 38% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Faletto/Braham · w/ Patricio Pereyra · model expected 38% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Lewis/Paque · w/ Patricio Pereyra · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lewis/Paque · w/ Patricio Pereyra · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rojas/Glowaki · w/ Patricio Pereyra · model expected 78% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rojas/Glowaki · w/ Patricio Pereyra · model expected 78% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alvarez/Mogle · w/ Patricio Pereyra · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Alvarez/Mogle · w/ Patricio Pereyra · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Alvarez/Mogle · w/ Patricio Pereyra · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rosa/Koop · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 42% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rosa/Koop · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 42% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Rosa/Koop · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 42% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Crouch/Bui · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Crouch/Bui · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Crouch/Bui · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Powell/Dunlap · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 41% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Powell/Dunlap · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 41% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Engel/Summers · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Engel/Summers · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Engel/Summers · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Cavataio/Powell · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Cavataio/Powell · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-1 · vs Risi/Tezduyar · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 80% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Risi/Tezduyar · w/ Jada Bui · model expected 80% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 15–14 52% 9.7–8.7 2026 PPA 25–15 62% 9.6–7.8
7–2
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
6–5
overtime games (past the target)
22
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+6
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+0.7 (-2.7…+4.0)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (7 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
3–4
singles record · last 2025-11
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Jada Bui 21 14–7 56% +0.04 ±0.52 (noise) Valerie R Simon 12 6–6 50% +0.03 ±0.52 (noise) Patricio Pereyra 9 6–3 59% +0.09 ±0.49 (noise) George Rangelov 8 4–4 52% -0.06 ±0.50 (noise) Madalina Grigoriu 8 5–3 58% -0.03 ±0.50 (noise) Drew Holder 6 3–3 59% +0.05 ±0.50 (noise) Ridley Seguso 5 2–3 47% -0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Risi/Tezduyar 12-10 OT-26% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Risi/Tezduyar 11-1 +11% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Cavataio/Powell 12-10 OT+8% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Cavataio/Powell 11-6 +18% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Engel/Summers 11-3 +18% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Engel/Summers 11-3 +18% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Engel/Summers 5-11 -29% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Powell/Dunlap 4-11 -14% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Powell/Dunlap 5-11 -10% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Crouch/Bui 11-7 +15% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Crouch/Bui 11-4 +27% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Jada Bui Crouch/Bui 4-11 -19%
Put Nejc in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.