PICKLES

Lucas Pereyra M

mens 39–35 · mixed 4–10

+2.6 (+0.9…+4.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#177
of 286 active men (within gender only)
43–45
career record · 49% wins, 49% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.9)2024-02 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.9)2024-03 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.9)2024-04 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.5 to +4.0)2024-05 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.3 to +3.9)2024-06 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.9)2024-07 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.1 to +3.9)2024-08 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.0 to +3.9)2024-09 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.0 to +3.9)2024-10 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.8)2024-11 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.8)2024-12 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.8)2025-01 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.8)2025-02 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.7)2025-03 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.8)2025-04 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.8)2025-05 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.8)2025-06 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.8)2025-07 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9)2025-08 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9)2025-09 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9)2025-10 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9)2025-11 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9)2025-12 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.0)2026-01 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9)2026-02 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.0)2026-03 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.0)2026-04 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.0)2026-05 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.0)2026-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.1)2026-07 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.1)2026-08 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.1)2026-09 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.1)2026-10 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.2)+0+2+4202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-11-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Iii/Robertson · w/ Jake Frederickson · model expected 38% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Iii/Robertson · w/ Jake Frederickson · model expected 38% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Truong/Camron · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 41% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Truong/Camron · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 41% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Fogelman/Witten · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 58% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fogelman/Witten · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 58% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Fogelman/Witten · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 58% of points2025-04-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Growcott/Jammal · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 48% of points2025-04-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Growcott/Jammal · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 48% of points2025-04-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Haymon/Doucet · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 69% of points2025-04-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Haymon/Doucet · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 69% of points2025-04-05 PPA · 13-15 · vs Garretson/Anderson · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 52% of points2025-04-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Sarthak/Mireles · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 57% of points2025-04-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Sarthak/Mireles · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 57% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Gordon/Taylor · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 64% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gordon/Taylor · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 64% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Berryman/Hoover · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 58% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 11-1 · vs Berryman/Hoover · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 58% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Berryman/Hoover · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 58% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Wild/Bacalla · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 48% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wild/Bacalla · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 48% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wild/Bacalla · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 48% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 38% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 38% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wittman/Allen · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 64% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Wittman/Allen · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 64% of points2025-05-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Wittman/Allen · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 64% of points2025-06-28 PPA · 15-7 · vs Dussault/Horricks · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 51% of points2025-06-28 PPA · 15-8 · vs Naydenov/Neufeldt · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 58% of points2025-06-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Eaby/Moore · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 57% of points2025-06-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Eaby/Moore · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 57% of points2025-06-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Eaby/Moore · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 57% of points2025-06-28 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Mogle/Romano · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 47% of points2025-06-28 PPA · 15-6 · vs Davis/Carrol · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 55% of points2025-06-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Torresin/Kawamoto · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 46% of points2025-06-28 PPA · 11-7 · vs Torresin/Kawamoto · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 46% of points2025-06-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Torresin/Kawamoto · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 46% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 19% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 19% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs Campbell/Burrows · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 48% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Campbell/Burrows · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 48% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Campbell/Burrows · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 48% of points2025-10-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs Dussault/Horricks · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 48% of points2025-10-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs Dussault/Horricks · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 48% of points2025-10-04 PPA · 9-15 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 40% of points2025-10-04 PPA · 18-16 (OT) · vs Naydenov/Berryman · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 53% of points2025-10-04 PPA · 15-6 · vs Romano/Fritze · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 53% of points2025-10-04 PPA · 15-10 · vs Woog/Ali · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 58% of points2025-10-04 PPA · 15-8 · vs Matro/Bowe · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 71% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Baylon/Sikora · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 63% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 11-7 · vs Baylon/Sikora · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 63% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 15-6 · vs Fuhrman/Milton · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 73% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 15-6 · vs Dussault/Crouch · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 41% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 5-11 · vs Braham/Protzek · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 39% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 8-11 · vs Braham/Protzek · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 39% of points2025-10-11 PPA · 12-15 · vs Garretson/Anderson · w/ Usama Khalid · model expected 54% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 11-8 · vs Landheer/Zeiler · w/ Edward Kim · model expected 52% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Landheer/Zeiler · w/ Edward Kim · model expected 52% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 15-10 · vs Bryant/Wasson · w/ Edward Kim · model expected 50% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 8-15 · vs Gordon/Eaby · w/ Edward Kim · model expected 39% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 7-15 · vs Roddy/Shick · w/ Edward Kim · model expected 36% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 3-11 · vs Safdar/Blaszkewycz · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 31% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Safdar/Blaszkewycz · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 31% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 7-15 · vs Klokotzky/Kawamoto · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 37% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Jayce Landheer · model expected 38% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Jayce Landheer · model expected 38% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 13-15 · vs Chi/Brown · w/ Jayce Landheer · model expected 47% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mead/Bulger · w/ Jayce Landheer · model expected 65% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Mead/Bulger · w/ Jayce Landheer · model expected 65% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mead/Bulger · w/ Jayce Landheer · model expected 65% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 15-10 · vs Lieberman/Rudden · w/ Jayce Landheer · model expected 58% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 15-4 · vs Weston/Medina · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 57% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 11-15 · vs Ayon/Goodnow · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 33% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 11-8 · vs Held/Contratto · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 70% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Held/Contratto · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 70% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Held/Contratto · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 70% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 15-6 · vs Lenhart/Anderson · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 48% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 25% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 0-11 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 25% of points2026-09-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Faletto/Mawji · w/ Joe Stafford · model expected 42% of points2026-09-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Faletto/Mawji · w/ Joe Stafford · model expected 42% of points2026-09-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Faletto/Mawji · w/ Joe Stafford · model expected 42% of points2026-09-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Burkhardt/Akin · w/ Joe Stafford · model expected 49% of points2026-09-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Burkhardt/Akin · w/ Joe Stafford · model expected 49% of points2026-09-19 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Burkhardt/Akin · w/ Joe Stafford · model expected 49% of points2026-09-20 PPA · 8-15 · vs Conard/Mawji · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 37% of points2026-09-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Alarcon/Suard · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 48% of points2026-09-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Alarcon/Suard · w/ Maya Wilson · model expected 48% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA0–20%4.5–11.0
2025PPA30–2456%9.7–9.1
2026PPA13–1941%9.0–10.3
9–2
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
5–3
overtime games (past the target)
12
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
8
longest win streak
-5
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-2.6 (-4.8…+0.2)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
11 pro singles games
2–9
singles record · last 2025-06

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Usama Khalid5430–2452%+0.04 ±0.50 (noise)
Maya Wilson144–1044%-0.01 ±0.51 (noise)
Jayce Landheer73–447%-0.07 ±0.51 (noise)
Joe Stafford63–351%+0.08 ±0.50 (noise)
Edward Kim53–248%+0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Jake Frederickson20–229%-0.03 ±0.49 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-09-20PPA · mixedMaya WilsonAlarcon/Suard9-11-3%
2026-09-20PPA · mixedMaya WilsonAlarcon/Suard7-11-9%
2026-09-20PPA · mixedMaya WilsonConard/Mawji8-15-2%
2026-09-19PPA · mensJoe StaffordBurkhardt/Akin10-12 OT-3%
2026-09-19PPA · mensJoe StaffordBurkhardt/Akin7-11-10%
2026-09-19PPA · mensJoe StaffordBurkhardt/Akin11-6+16%
2026-09-19PPA · mensJoe StaffordFaletto/Mawji11-9+13%
2026-09-19PPA · mensJoe StaffordFaletto/Mawji7-11-3%
2026-09-19PPA · mensJoe StaffordFaletto/Mawji11-6+22%
2026-08-02PPA · mixedMaya WilsonAlhouni/Newman0-11-25%
2026-08-02PPA · mixedMaya WilsonAlhouni/Newman4-11+1%
2026-08-02PPA · mixedMaya WilsonLenhart/Anderson15-6+24%

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