Alexa Quintanilla W
womens 27–21 · mixed 29–19
+3.3 (+2.3…+4.3)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#90
of 204 active women (within gender only)
56–40
career record · 58% wins, 53% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.6 to +4.1) 2024-02 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.5 to +4.1) 2024-03 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.5 to +4.1) 2024-04 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.4 to +4.1) 2024-05 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.4 to +4.1) 2024-06 · +2.1 pts (90% band -0.3 to +4.1) 2024-07 · +2.1 pts (90% band -0.2 to +4.1) 2024-08 · +2.1 pts (90% band -0.1 to +4.0) 2024-09 · +2.1 pts (90% band -0.1 to +4.0) 2024-10 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.0 to +4.0) 2024-11 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.0) 2024-12 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.9) 2025-01 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.9) 2025-02 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.9) 2025-03 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.9) 2025-04 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.8) 2025-05 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.8) 2025-06 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.8) 2025-07 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.8) 2025-08 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.7) 2025-09 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.7) 2025-10 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.7) 2025-11 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.7) 2025-12 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.8) 2026-01 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.8) 2026-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.9) 2026-03 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.9) 2026-04 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.0) 2026-05 · +3.1 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.0) 2026-06 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.1) 2026-07 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.1) 2026-08 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.2) 2026-09 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.2) 2026-10 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.3) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-09-06 PPA · 2-11 · vs Mulhern/Rodriguez · w/ Maria Alice Fagundes Vieira · model expected 32% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Mulhern/Rodriguez · w/ Maria Alice Fagundes Vieira · model expected 32% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-7 · vs Brown/Borowsky · w/ Maria Alice Fagundes Vieira · model expected 66% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Amaro/Aguilar · w/ Maria Alice Fagundes Vieira · model expected 52% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ricardo/Gonzalez · w/ Maria Alice Fagundes Vieira · model expected 44% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 9-15 · vs Caruso/Serra · w/ Kym Sze · model expected 36% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-11 · vs Ciampini/Weber · w/ Kym Sze · model expected 63% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Minniefield/Kim · w/ Kym Sze · model expected 48% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-0 · vs Fakhre/Graham · w/ Kym Sze · model expected 69% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Graham/Simon · w/ Steven Pokopec · model expected 46% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Graham/Simon · w/ Steven Pokopec · model expected 46% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 11-0 · vs Zalinski/Jones · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 74% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 11-7 · vs Zalinski/Jones · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 74% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Giltinan/Kunimoto · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 46% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Giltinan/Kunimoto · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 46% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Giltinan/Kunimoto · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 46% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kwong/Ferguson · w/ Sharienne Ricardo · model expected 57% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Kwong/Ferguson · w/ Sharienne Ricardo · model expected 57% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kwong/Ferguson · w/ Sharienne Ricardo · model expected 57% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Kim/Ferguson · w/ Mateusz Matysik · model expected 57% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kim/Ferguson · w/ Mateusz Matysik · model expected 57% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 1-11 · vs Kim/Ferguson · w/ Mateusz Matysik · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 15-5 · vs Grgan/Ferguson · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 15-13 · vs Ulery/Summers · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 15-6 · vs Ruiz/Conard · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 11-5 · vs Sacca/Maguire · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 65% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 11-5 · vs Sacca/Maguire · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 65% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 4-11 · vs Policare/To · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 47% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 7-11 · vs Policare/To · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 47% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 6-11 · vs Khan/Morelli · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 51% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 7-11 · vs Khan/Morelli · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 51% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 15-13 · vs Kim/Pisacrita · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 15-6 · vs Nelson/Rau · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 15-7 · vs Jagtiani/Kim · w/ Preston Gordon · model expected 53% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ampon/Hewett · w/ Preston Gordon · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Ampon/Hewett · w/ Preston Gordon · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ampon/Hewett · w/ Preston Gordon · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Widdershoven/Powell · w/ Preston Gordon · model expected 36% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Widdershoven/Powell · w/ Preston Gordon · model expected 36% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 8-15 · vs Carlon/Heerboth · w/ Preston Gordon · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Lenhart/Camras · w/ Preston Gordon · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lenhart/Camras · w/ Preston Gordon · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lenhart/Camras · w/ Preston Gordon · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-0 · vs Cox/Fortino · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 67% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Cox/Fortino · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 67% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Cox/Fortino · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 67% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 4-15 · vs Imparato/Jansen · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 15-5 · vs Smith/Fitzgerald · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 63% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs McMillan/Stratman · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 45% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs McMillan/Stratman · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 45% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs McMillan/Stratman · w/ Spencer Liang · model expected 45% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Stanciu/Wade · w/ Garrison Eaby · model expected 62% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-3 · vs Stanciu/Wade · w/ Garrison Eaby · model expected 62% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Woog/Fitzgerald · w/ Garrison Eaby · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-1 · vs Woog/Fitzgerald · w/ Garrison Eaby · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 6-15 · vs Perez/Simon · w/ Garrison Eaby · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Stratman/Blaszkewycz · w/ Garrison Eaby · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Stratman/Blaszkewycz · w/ Garrison Eaby · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Stratman/Blaszkewycz · w/ Garrison Eaby · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Jagtiani/Liang · w/ Garrison Eaby · model expected 55% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Jagtiani/Liang · w/ Garrison Eaby · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 12-15 · vs Yeh/Goodnow · w/ Jessica Warren · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-5 · vs To/Grigoriu · w/ Jessica Warren · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs To/Grigoriu · w/ Jessica Warren · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 4-11 · vs Nguyen/Kunimoto · w/ Jessica Warren · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 0-11 · vs Nguyen/Kunimoto · w/ Jessica Warren · model expected 37% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-10 · vs McGowan/Wang · w/ Jessica Warren · model expected 60% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-4 · vs Warren/Altick · w/ Jessica Warren · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 10-15 · vs Hewett/Newman · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 15-12 · vs Alhouni/Conard · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Crouch/Morelli · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Crouch/Morelli · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-1 · vs Rettke/Cook · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 79% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Rettke/Cook · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 79% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 15-10 · vs Vitale/Varon · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Alhouni/Conard · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Alhouni/Conard · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 56% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rasmusen/S · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 69% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rasmusen/S · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 69% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Padegimaite/Mack · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 49% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Padegimaite/Mack · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 49% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Padegimaite/Mack · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 49% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-0 · vs Rand/Rachapalli · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 77% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rand/Rachapalli · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 77% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Ryan Torresin · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs McGowan/Maldonado · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs McGowan/Maldonado · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs McGowan/Maldonado · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Griffith/Ampon · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-1 · vs Griffith/Ampon · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Pisnik · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 24% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Pisnik · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 24% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 9–13 41% 8.2–9.1 2026 PPA 47–27 64% 9.7–7.9
4–7
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
1–2
overtime games (past the target)
26
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-1.0 (-3.3…+1.5)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
11 pro singles games
6–5
singles record · last 2026-05
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-08 PPA · womens Aibika Kalsarieva Rohrabacher/Pisnik 4-11 +2% 2026-10-08 PPA · womens Aibika Kalsarieva Rohrabacher/Pisnik 1-11 -16% 2026-10-07 PPA · womens Aibika Kalsarieva Griffith/Ampon 11-1 +25% 2026-10-07 PPA · womens Aibika Kalsarieva Griffith/Ampon 11-8 -8% 2026-10-05 PPA · womens Aibika Kalsarieva McGowan/Maldonado 11-3 +17% 2026-10-05 PPA · womens Aibika Kalsarieva McGowan/Maldonado 11-7 -1% 2026-10-05 PPA · womens Aibika Kalsarieva McGowan/Maldonado 6-11 -27% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Griffith/Rangelov 11-4 +12% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Griffith/Rangelov 11-5 +8% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Rand/Rachapalli 11-4 -3% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Rand/Rachapalli 11-0 +23% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Ryan Torresin Padegimaite/Mack 1-11 -40%
Put Alexa in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.