Spencer Smith M
mens 60–79 · mixed 35–63
+3.2 (+1.2…+4.8)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#138
of 286 active men (within gender only)
95–142
career record · 40% wins, 45% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.6) 2024-02 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.6) 2024-03 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.6) 2024-04 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.6) 2024-05 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.6) 2024-06 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.6) 2024-07 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.6) 2024-08 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.5) 2024-09 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.5) 2024-10 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.4) 2024-11 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.4) 2024-12 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.4) 2025-01 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.4) 2025-02 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.4) 2025-03 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.4) 2025-04 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.3) 2025-05 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.3) 2025-06 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.3) 2025-07 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.4) 2025-08 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.4) 2025-09 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.4) 2025-10 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.4) 2025-11 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.4) 2025-12 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.5) 2026-01 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.5) 2026-02 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.6) 2026-03 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.6) 2026-04 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.6) 2026-05 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.6) 2026-06 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.7) 2026-07 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.7) 2026-08 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.7) 2026-09 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.7) 2026-10 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.8) +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-04-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 42% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 1-11 · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 42% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Feliz/Stith · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 63% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Feliz/Stith · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 63% of points 2024-04-26 PPA · 7-11 · vs French/Schulte · w/ Nicole Eugenio · model expected 62% of points 2024-04-26 PPA · 11-6 · vs French/Schulte · w/ Nicole Eugenio · model expected 62% of points 2024-04-26 PPA · 2-11 · vs French/Schulte · w/ Nicole Eugenio · model expected 62% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Sock/Shick · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 44% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Sock/Shick · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 44% of points 2024-05-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ge/Walker · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 40% of points 2024-05-14 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ge/Walker · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 40% of points 2024-05-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ge/Walker · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 40% of points 2024-05-15 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Roddy/Deakin · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 52% of points 2024-05-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Roddy/Deakin · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 52% of points 2024-05-15 PPA · 9-11 · vs Roddy/Deakin · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 52% of points 2024-05-31 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rane/Bellamy · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 40% of points 2024-05-31 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rane/Bellamy · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 40% of points 2024-05-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rane/Bellamy · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 40% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wright/Bar · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 38% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wright/Bar · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 38% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Wang/Attar · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 66% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wang/Attar · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 66% of points 2024-06-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Ignatowich · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 27% of points 2024-06-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bright/Ignatowich · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 27% of points 2024-06-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rettger/Johnson · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 52% of points 2024-06-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Rettger/Johnson · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 52% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 35% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 35% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Arnold/Munro · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 37% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Arnold/Munro · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 37% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 11-0 · vs Boydston/Schwendiman · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 66% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Boydston/Schwendiman · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 66% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rane/Oncins · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 36% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rane/Oncins · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 36% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rane/Oncins · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 36% of points 2024-06-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Shick/Khlif · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 43% of points 2024-06-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Shick/Khlif · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 43% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Black/Frazier · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 30% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 0-11 · vs Black/Frazier · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 30% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Black/Frazier · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 30% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Duong/Phillips · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 39% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Duong/Phillips · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 39% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Duong/Phillips · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 39% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Teoni · w/ Mohaned Alhouni · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johnson/Teoni · w/ Mohaned Alhouni · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Parenteau/Daescu · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 23% of points 2024-08-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Parenteau/Daescu · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 23% of points 2024-08-16 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Ampon/Cincola · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 53% of points 2024-08-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ampon/Cincola · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 53% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-23 PPA · 8-11 · vs Khlif/Phillips · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 42% of points 2024-08-23 PPA · 4-11 · vs Khlif/Phillips · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 42% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 45% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 45% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 45% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bellamy/Johnson · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 52% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bellamy/Johnson · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 52% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Bellamy/Johnson · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 52% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-7 · vs Larson/Boydston · w/ Brandon French · model expected 68% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Larson/Boydston · w/ Brandon French · model expected 68% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Walker/Kawka · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 43% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Walker/Kawka · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 43% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Walker/Kawka · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 43% of points 2024-08-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Young/Dawson · w/ Brandon French · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Young/Dawson · w/ Brandon French · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Alshon/Newman · w/ Brandon French · model expected 33% of points 2024-08-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Alshon/Newman · w/ Brandon French · model expected 33% of points 2024-08-30 PPA · 0-11 · vs Alshon/Newman · w/ Brandon French · model expected 33% of points 2024-09-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Carvalho/Fritze · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 60% of points 2024-09-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Carvalho/Fritze · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 60% of points 2024-09-10 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Carvalho/Fritze · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 60% of points 2024-09-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Brascia/Arnold · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 33% of points 2024-09-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Brascia/Arnold · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 33% of points 2024-09-11 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johnson/Arnold · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 40% of points 2024-09-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Arnold · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 40% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Phillips/Khlif · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 42% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Phillips/Khlif · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 42% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Clemmer/Fritze · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 60% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Clemmer/Fritze · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 60% of points 2024-10-02 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Hewett/Newman · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 39% of points 2024-10-02 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Hewett/Newman · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 39% of points 2024-10-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hewett/Newman · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 39% of points 2024-10-11 PPA · 7-11 · vs Christian/Rosa · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 38% of points 2024-10-11 PPA · 5-11 · vs Christian/Rosa · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 38% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Cullimore/Larson · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 63% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Cullimore/Larson · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 63% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Dawson/Koller · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 49% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dawson/Koller · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 49% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 0-11 · vs Newman/Tardio · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 37% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 9-11 · vs Newman/Tardio · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 37% of points 2024-11-15 PPA · 11-1 · vs Wang/Hewett · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 49% of points 2024-11-15 PPA · 8-11 · vs Wang/Hewett · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 49% of points 2024-11-15 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Wang/Hewett · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 49% of points 2024-11-15 PPA · 6-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Ignatowich · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 40% of points 2024-11-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Ignatowich · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 40% of points 2024-12-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Erokhina/Scarpa · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 39% of points 2024-12-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Erokhina/Scarpa · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 39% of points 2024-12-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Erokhina/Scarpa · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 39% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wright/Koller · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 43% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Wright/Koller · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 43% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wright/Koller · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 43% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wild/Andrews · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 67% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Wild/Andrews · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 67% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ampon/Hewett · w/ Allison Phillips · model expected 54% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ampon/Hewett · w/ Allison Phillips · model expected 54% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Allison Phillips · model expected 26% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Allison Phillips · model expected 26% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Weinbach/Weinbach · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 53% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Weinbach/Weinbach · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 53% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 11-2 · vs Weinbach/Weinbach · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 53% of points 2025-01-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Smith/Devilliers · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 39% of points 2025-01-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Smith/Devilliers · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 39% of points 2025-02-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hewett/Humberg · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 36% of points 2025-02-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hewett/Humberg · w/ Lingwei Kong · model expected 36% of points 2025-02-08 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hewett/Khlif · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 43% of points 2025-02-08 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hewett/Khlif · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 43% of points 2025-02-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Teoni · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 56% of points 2025-02-20 PPA · 11-1 · vs Johnson/Teoni · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 56% of points 2025-02-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Johnson/Teoni · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 56% of points 2025-03-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kawamoto/Vich · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 27% of points 2025-03-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Kawamoto/Vich · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 27% of points 2025-03-07 PPA · 1-11 · vs Kawamoto/Vich · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 27% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hovenier/Rettenmaier · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hovenier/Rettenmaier · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Hovenier/Rettenmaier · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs David/Frazier · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 29% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs David/Frazier · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 29% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Alshon/Staksrud · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 28% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 2-11 · vs Alshon/Staksrud · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 28% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 11-9 · vs Trinh/Funemizu · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Trinh/Funemizu · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 33% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 33% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Burrows/Deakin · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 59% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 7-11 · vs Burrows/Deakin · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 59% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 11-0 · vs Burrows/Deakin · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 59% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 42% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 0-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 42% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 42% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Khlif/Jansen · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 30% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Khlif/Jansen · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 30% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Miron/To · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Miron/To · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Parrish/Ayotte · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Parrish/Ayotte · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Parrish/Ayotte · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-14 PPA · 2-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-29 MLP · 4-11 · vs Newman/Kawamoto · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 37% of points 2025-05-29 MLP · 4-11 · vs Bar/Newman · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 36% of points 2025-05-30 MLP · 2-11 · vs Sock/Walker · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 53% of points 2025-05-30 MLP · 11-6 · vs Sock/McGuffin · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-31 MLP · 2-11 · vs Tereschenko/Hovenier · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 53% of points 2025-05-31 MLP · 6-11 · vs Fu/Hovenier · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 45% of points 2025-06-01 MLP · 9-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 44% of points 2025-06-01 MLP · 11-4 · vs Loong/Erokhina · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 56% of points 2025-06-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Nsekpong/Bricker · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 57% of points 2025-06-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Nsekpong/Bricker · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 57% of points 2025-06-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Inn/Williams · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 56% of points 2025-06-19 PPA · 9-11 · vs Inn/Williams · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 56% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Kawamoto/Frazier · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 28% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kawamoto/Frazier · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 28% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Geminiani/Laurente · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 49% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Geminiani/Laurente · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 49% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Loong/Garnett · w/ Mohaned Alhouni · model expected 41% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Loong/Garnett · w/ Mohaned Alhouni · model expected 41% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Mack/Varon · w/ Mohaned Alhouni · model expected 51% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mack/Varon · w/ Mohaned Alhouni · model expected 51% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 9-11 · vs Brown/Hewett · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 37% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 1-11 · vs Brown/Hewett · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 37% of points 2025-09-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Goins/Protzek · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 40% of points 2025-09-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Goins/Protzek · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 40% of points 2025-09-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Goins/Protzek · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 40% of points 2025-09-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rane/Garnett · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 28% of points 2025-09-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rane/Garnett · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 28% of points 2025-09-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Freeman/Schneemann · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 40% of points 2025-09-26 PPA · 11-7 · vs Freeman/Schneemann · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 40% of points 2025-09-26 PPA · 5-11 · vs Fahey/Frazier · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 34% of points 2025-09-26 PPA · 6-11 · vs Fahey/Frazier · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 34% of points 2025-09-26 PPA · 11-3 · vs Haworth/Schaefer · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 49% of points 2025-09-26 PPA · 9-11 · vs Haworth/Schaefer · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 49% of points 2025-09-26 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Haworth/Schaefer · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 49% of points 2025-09-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Taylor/Cincola · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 58% of points 2025-09-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Taylor/Cincola · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 58% of points 2025-09-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Khlif/Tardio · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 31% of points 2025-09-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Khlif/Tardio · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rane/Garnett · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 25% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rane/Garnett · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 25% of points 2025-10-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Navratil/Garnett · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Navratil/Garnett · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ray/McCartney · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 65% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ray/McCartney · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 65% of points 2025-10-22 PPA · 2-11 · vs Loyd/Ge · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 41% of points 2025-10-22 PPA · 7-11 · vs Loyd/Ge · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Venkatesan/Shearer · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Venkatesan/Shearer · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Venkatesan/Shearer · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 0-11 · vs Truong/Do · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 26% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 0-11 · vs Truong/Do · w/ Gavin Fowler · model expected 26% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 60–81 43% 8.0–9.2 2025 MLP 2–6 25% 6.1–9.5 2025 PPA 31–52 37% 7.1–9.1 2026 PPA 2–3 40% 5.6–8.6
10–21
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
14–6
overtime games (past the target)
35
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+1.0 (-0.9…+2.7)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
56 pro singles games
12–44
singles record · last 2025-10
5–4
DreamBreaker rallies · 1 DBs, team 1–0
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-09-29 PPA · mens Gavin Fowler Truong/Do 0-11 -26% 2026-09-29 PPA · mens Gavin Fowler Truong/Do 0-11 -26% 2026-09-28 PPA · mens Gavin Fowler Venkatesan/Shearer 11-4 +18% 2026-09-28 PPA · mens Gavin Fowler Venkatesan/Shearer 6-11 -20% 2026-09-28 PPA · mens Gavin Fowler Venkatesan/Shearer 11-6 +9% 2025-10-22 PPA · mens Ivan Jakovljevic Loyd/Ge 7-11 -2% 2025-10-22 PPA · mens Ivan Jakovljevic Loyd/Ge 2-11 -25% 2025-10-21 PPA · mens Ivan Jakovljevic Ray/McCartney 11-1 +27% 2025-10-21 PPA · mens Ivan Jakovljevic Ray/McCartney 11-7 -3% 2025-10-08 PPA · mens Chuck Taylor Navratil/Garnett 2-11 -16% 2025-10-08 PPA · mens Chuck Taylor Navratil/Garnett 5-11 -0% 2025-10-07 PPA · mixed Ava Ignatowich Rane/Garnett 4-11 +2%
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Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.