Joel Poland M
mens 148–82 · mixed 71–46
+3.9 (+3.0…+4.8)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#78
of 286 active men (within gender only)
219–128
career record · 63% wins, 55% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-02 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.8) 2024-03 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.8) 2024-04 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2024-05 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.8) 2024-06 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.8) 2024-07 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.8) 2024-08 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.8) 2024-09 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.8) 2024-10 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.8) 2024-11 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.8) 2024-12 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.8) 2025-01 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.8) 2025-02 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.8) 2025-03 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.8) 2025-04 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.8) 2025-05 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.9) 2025-06 · +3.9 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.9) 2025-07 · +3.9 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.9) 2025-08 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.0) 2025-09 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.0) 2025-10 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.0) 2025-11 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.0) 2025-12 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.0) 2026-01 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.2 to +5.0) 2026-02 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.3 to +5.0) 2026-03 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.3 to +4.9) 2026-04 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.3 to +4.9) 2026-05 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.3 to +4.8) 2026-06 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.3 to +4.8) 2026-07 · +4.0 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.8) 2026-08 · +4.0 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.7) 2026-09 · +3.9 pts (90% band +3.1 to +4.7) 2026-10 · +3.9 pts (90% band +3.0 to +4.8) +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2026-03-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Loyd/Young · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 44% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Loyd/Young · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 44% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Karina Lam · model expected 15% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Karina Lam · model expected 15% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 6-15 · vs III/Ge · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 15-3 · vs Webb/Morris · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 78% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 15-11 · vs Sah/Traya · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Krittayaweth/Castellanos · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Krittayaweth/Castellanos · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Krittayaweth/Castellanos · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 15-10 · vs Mackinnon/Shaffer · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Jing Robinson · model expected 37% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Jing Robinson · model expected 37% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 15-6 · vs Buchhauser/Clark · w/ Jing Robinson · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rahachou/Carlon · w/ Jing Robinson · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rahachou/Carlon · w/ Jing Robinson · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 6-15 · vs Morris/Yeh · w/ Jing Robinson · model expected 42% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Tsati-Onla/Nguyen · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 72% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Tsati-Onla/Nguyen · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 72% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Nichols/Perez · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 82% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 11-0 · vs Nichols/Perez · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 82% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Lenhard/Pham · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Lenhard/Pham · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Camras/Anderson · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-8 · vs Camras/Anderson · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Duffin/Wade · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Duffin/Wade · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-8 · vs Jacobson/Loong · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Jacobson/Loong · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jacobson/Loong · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Kikkawa/Buchhauser · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 64% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kikkawa/Buchhauser · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 64% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kikkawa/Buchhauser · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 64% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Weller/McNair · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 71% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 5-11 · vs Weller/McNair · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 71% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Weller/McNair · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 71% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-1 · vs Lynch/Morris · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 70% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Lynch/Morris · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 70% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ora/Tamaki · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ora/Tamaki · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Acevedo/Powell · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 36% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 2-11 · vs Acevedo/Powell · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 36% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 8-15 · vs Inn/Newcombe · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-2 · vs Maline/Johnson · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 84% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Maline/Johnson · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 84% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Burkhardt/Rodrigo · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 52% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-8 · vs Burkhardt/Rodrigo · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 52% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Koszuta/Schupp · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 41% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Koszuta/Schupp · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 41% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Coutinho/Kikkawa · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Coutinho/Kikkawa · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-0 · vs Coutinho/Kikkawa · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Perez/Toole · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 86% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Perez/Toole · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 86% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-8 · vs Sonday/Newcombe · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Sonday/Newcombe · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-2 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 56% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-6 · vs Koszuta/Nguyen · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 56% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hoover/Minniefield · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hoover/Minniefield · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Steiner/Fortino · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 73% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Steiner/Fortino · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 73% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Wasson/Goodman · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wasson/Goodman · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 15-6 · vs Jacobson/Morris · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Nguyen/Herminas · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 73% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Nguyen/Herminas · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 73% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Scarpa/Hewett · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Scarpa/Hewett · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Howard/Messinger · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Howard/Messinger · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Powell/Harvey · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Powell/Harvey · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Powell/Harvey · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Khalid/Nguyen · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Khalid/Nguyen · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Khalid/Nguyen · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 13-15 · vs Hoover/Minniefield · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 15-9 · vs O'Neill/Sanchez · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 73% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Romaguera/Wilcox · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 66% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Romaguera/Wilcox · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 66% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pereyra/Landheer · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Pereyra/Landheer · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Labat/Liyanage · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Labat/Liyanage · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Steiner/Barlow · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Steiner/Barlow · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Steiner/Barlow · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Zilys/Stanchev · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Zilys/Stanchev · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-2 · vs Reichert/Steiner · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Reichert/Steiner · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Herminas/Warren · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Herminas/Warren · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Barlow/Bui · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Barlow/Bui · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Barlow/Bui · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bui/Hoover · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 64% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bui/Hoover · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 64% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 5-15 · vs Jacobson/French · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 46% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wan/Balakrishnan · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-8 · vs Wan/Balakrishnan · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mackinnon/Goldman · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 7-11 · vs Mackinnon/Goldman · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 15-8 · vs Kim/Stanchev · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 60% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-8 · vs Krause/Hatzenbeler · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 70% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-9 · vs Krause/Hatzenbeler · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 70% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Igleski/Ayon · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Igleski/Ayon · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bolkowy/X · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-0 · vs Bolkowy/X · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Bolkowy/X · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 16-18 (OT) · vs Gecheva/Loyd · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 46% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Zwiren/Cosma · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 60% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Zwiren/Cosma · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 60% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Zwiren/Cosma · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 60% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 1-11 · vs Loong/Newman · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Loong/Newman · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-1 · vs Rao/Johnson · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 80% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-1 · vs Rao/Johnson · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 80% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-15 · vs Shaw/Moreno · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Camras/Garretson · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Camras/Garretson · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Camras/Garretson · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kotnana/Hared · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kotnana/Hared · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kotnana/Hared · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-4 · vs Perez/Simon · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Perez/Simon · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hewett/Newman · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 43% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hewett/Newman · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 43% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hewett/Newman · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 43% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-2 · vs Goins/Gecheva · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 43% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Goins/Gecheva · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 43% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Rivas/Ngo · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-0 · vs Rivas/Ngo · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kim/Lu · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kim/Lu · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Schupp/Kunimoto · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 36% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Schupp/Kunimoto · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 36% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Schupp/Kunimoto · w/ Kelly Goodnow · model expected 36% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-7 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Arnold/Delgado · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Arnold/Delgado · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Walczak/Newcombe · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Walczak/Newcombe · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ford/Ford · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 67% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ford/Ford · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 67% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bhatia/Pascoe · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bhatia/Pascoe · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bar/Frazier · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 36% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bar/Frazier · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 36% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Alhouni/Arnold · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Alhouni/Arnold · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Alhouni/Arnold · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs D/Bogan · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 76% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-0 · vs D/Bogan · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 76% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Radermacher/Khalid · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Radermacher/Khalid · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hoover/Edwards · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-2 · vs Hoover/Edwards · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hoover/Edwards · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Inn/Shekar · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Inn/Shekar · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 15-13 · vs Bakalinsky/Dunlap · w/ Anne-Sophie Courteau · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Barlow/Yeh · w/ Anne-Sophie Courteau · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Barlow/Yeh · w/ Anne-Sophie Courteau · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 4-15 · vs Faletto/Trevino · w/ Anne-Sophie Courteau · model expected 32% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-2 · vs Carlon/Ayotte · w/ Anne-Sophie Courteau · model expected 61% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-4 · vs Carlon/Ayotte · w/ Anne-Sophie Courteau · model expected 61% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 15-7 · vs Sethi/Zilys · w/ Anne-Sophie Courteau · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-9 · vs Mody/Wade · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 7-11 · vs Mody/Wade · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mody/Wade · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Galarza/Wolf · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 77% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-3 · vs Galarza/Wolf · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 77% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 3-15 · vs L/Ohrel · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 48% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 8-11 · vs Cornett/Kim · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cornett/Kim · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cornett/Kim · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bui/Ayon · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bui/Ayon · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 15-8 · vs Anderson/Grigoriu · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 15-11 · vs Duffin/Klaassen · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 61% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Gordon/Giannelli · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 71% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Gordon/Giannelli · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 71% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 7-15 · vs Bui/Ayon · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 15-4 · vs Mody/Minniefield · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Acevedo/Dunlap · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Acevedo/Dunlap · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Mercado/Dagnall · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mercado/Dagnall · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 53% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Rangelov/Bhatia · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rangelov/Bhatia · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Acevedo/Funemizu · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 27% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Acevedo/Funemizu · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 27% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 12–10 55% 8.8–8.0 2025 PPA 37–31 54% 8.6–8.0 2026 PPA 170–87 66% 9.8–7.7
21–20
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
17–16
overtime games (past the target)
104
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+0.6 (-0.2…+1.4)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
121 pro singles games
54–67
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Eduardo Santini Ayon 213 140–73 56% -0.20 ±0.46 (noise) Carlota Trevino 27 21–6 64% +0.19 ±0.50 (noise) Kelly Goodnow 14 11–3 58% +0.24 ±0.50 (noise) Ciara Kelly 12 6–6 49% +0.08 ±0.49 (noise) Jalina Ingram 11 6–5 51% -0.17 ±0.50 (noise) Devon Farnsworth 8 3–5 46% -0.02 ±0.49 (noise) Karina Lam 8 6–2 56% +0.15 ±0.51 (noise) Marisa Ruiz 8 5–3 56% -0.06 ±0.52 (noise) Nicole Pitts 7 2–5 44% -0.02 ±0.46 (noise) Anne-Sophie Courteau 7 4–3 51% +0.02 ±0.51 (noise) Jing Robinson 6 3–3 52% +0.02 ±0.50 (noise) Adrian Garza 5 3–2 54% +0.03 ±0.48 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-14 PPA · mens Maverick Messinger Acevedo/Funemizu 5-11 +4% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Maverick Messinger Acevedo/Funemizu 5-11 +4% 2026-10-13 PPA · mens Maverick Messinger Rangelov/Bhatia 11-8 +10% 2026-10-13 PPA · mens Maverick Messinger Rangelov/Bhatia 12-10 OT+7% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Eduardo Santini Ayon Mercado/Dagnall 9-11 -8% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Eduardo Santini Ayon Mercado/Dagnall 5-11 -21% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Carlota Trevino Acevedo/Dunlap 7-11 -2% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Carlota Trevino Acevedo/Dunlap 4-11 -15% 2026-09-27 PPA · mixed Marisa Ruiz Mody/Minniefield 15-4 +21% 2026-09-27 PPA · mixed Marisa Ruiz Bui/Ayon 7-15 -21% 2026-09-27 PPA · mixed Marisa Ruiz Gordon/Giannelli 11-4 +3% 2026-09-27 PPA · mixed Marisa Ruiz Gordon/Giannelli 11-2 +14%
Put Joel in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.