Justin Fullmer M
mens 24–44 · mixed 0–3
-1.1 (-3.7…+1.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#280
of 286 active men (within gender only)
24–47
career record · 34% wins, 43% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · -1.2 pts (90% band -3.8 to +1.2) 2024-02 · -1.2 pts (90% band -3.8 to +1.2) 2024-03 · -1.2 pts (90% band -3.7 to +1.1) 2024-04 · -1.2 pts (90% band -3.7 to +1.1) 2024-05 · -1.2 pts (90% band -3.6 to +1.0) 2024-06 · -1.2 pts (90% band -3.6 to +1.0) 2024-07 · -1.2 pts (90% band -3.5 to +0.9) 2024-08 · -1.2 pts (90% band -3.4 to +0.9) 2024-09 · -1.1 pts (90% band -3.3 to +0.9) 2024-10 · -1.0 pts (90% band -3.2 to +0.9) 2024-11 · -0.9 pts (90% band -3.0 to +0.9) 2024-12 · -0.8 pts (90% band -2.9 to +1.0) 2025-01 · -0.7 pts (90% band -2.8 to +1.0) 2025-02 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.6 to +1.0) 2025-03 · -0.5 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.1) 2025-04 · -0.5 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.0) 2025-05 · -0.5 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.0) 2025-06 · -0.5 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.0) 2025-07 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.0) 2025-08 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.6 to +1.0) 2025-09 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.7 to +1.0) 2025-10 · -0.7 pts (90% band -2.7 to +1.0) 2025-11 · -0.7 pts (90% band -2.8 to +1.0) 2025-12 · -0.8 pts (90% band -2.8 to +1.0) 2026-01 · -0.8 pts (90% band -2.9 to +1.0) 2026-02 · -0.8 pts (90% band -3.0 to +1.0) 2026-03 · -0.9 pts (90% band -3.1 to +1.0) 2026-04 · -0.9 pts (90% band -3.1 to +1.0) 2026-05 · -0.9 pts (90% band -3.2 to +1.0) 2026-06 · -1.0 pts (90% band -3.3 to +1.1) 2026-07 · -1.0 pts (90% band -3.4 to +1.1) 2026-08 · -1.1 pts (90% band -3.5 to +1.1) 2026-09 · -1.1 pts (90% band -3.7 to +1.1) 2026-10 · -1.1 pts (90% band -3.7 to +1.2) -4 -2 +0 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-02-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Robinson/Blair · w/ Jalen Fuhriman · model expected 52% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Robinson/Blair · w/ Jalen Fuhriman · model expected 52% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Robinson/Blair · w/ Jalen Fuhriman · model expected 52% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Yang/Laidlaw · w/ Liam Duffin · model expected 31% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Yang/Laidlaw · w/ Liam Duffin · model expected 31% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Berke/Sigler · w/ Trevor Machek · model expected 48% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Berke/Sigler · w/ Trevor Machek · model expected 48% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Howard/Galata · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 61% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Howard/Galata · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 61% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Howard/Galata · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 61% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Losbergs/Litvinov · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 28% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Losbergs/Litvinov · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 28% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Herrera/Rahachou · w/ Nick Werner · model expected 40% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Herrera/Rahachou · w/ Nick Werner · model expected 40% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ness/Berke · w/ Nick Werner · model expected 45% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ness/Berke · w/ Nick Werner · model expected 45% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Daniel/Do · w/ Luke Cartenuto · model expected 41% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Daniel/Do · w/ Luke Cartenuto · model expected 41% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Daniel/Do · w/ Luke Cartenuto · model expected 41% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 11-6 · vs Newcombe/Angelo · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 31% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 5-11 · vs Newcombe/Angelo · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 31% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 2-11 · vs Newcombe/Angelo · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 31% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Madsen/Jenkins · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 56% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Madsen/Jenkins · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 56% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 11-0 · vs Madsen/Jenkins · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 56% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Blocker/Caulfield · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 44% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Blocker/Caulfield · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 44% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hoover/Wild · w/ Levi Daniel · model expected 37% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hoover/Wild · w/ Levi Daniel · model expected 37% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hoover/Wild · w/ Levi Daniel · model expected 37% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 13-15 · vs Mead/Berryman · w/ Levi Daniel · model expected 45% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Little/Little · w/ Levi Daniel · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Little/Little · w/ Levi Daniel · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 11-9 · vs Little/Little · w/ Levi Daniel · model expected 57% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Worsham/Ayotte · w/ Breaden Brooks · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-7 · vs Worsham/Ayotte · w/ Breaden Brooks · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Worsham/Ayotte · w/ Breaden Brooks · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rahachou/Kim · w/ Breaden Brooks · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rahachou/Kim · w/ Breaden Brooks · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 0-11 · vs Rahachou/Kim · w/ Breaden Brooks · model expected 43% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Rodrigo/Morris · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rodrigo/Morris · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Casady/Casady · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 57% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Casady/Casady · w/ Chas Howard · model expected 57% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 2-11 · vs Akin/Lenhard · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 27% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Akin/Lenhard · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 27% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Valencia/Hill · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Valencia/Hill · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 59% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Howell/Mackens · w/ Nick Werner · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Howell/Mackens · w/ Nick Werner · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Radermacher/Bonilla · w/ Nick Werner · model expected 36% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Radermacher/Bonilla · w/ Nick Werner · model expected 36% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 6-11 · vs Howard/Messinger · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 38% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 3-11 · vs Howard/Messinger · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 38% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Weller/McNair · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kikkawa/Buchhauser · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 41% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Kikkawa/Buchhauser · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 41% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 9-15 · vs Teoni/Hardy · w/ Clayton Boydston · model expected 43% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 1-15 · vs Lenhart/Camras · w/ Diana Kozenyatko · model expected 18% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Nichols/Traxler · w/ Diana Kozenyatko · model expected 30% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Nichols/Traxler · w/ Diana Kozenyatko · model expected 30% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Powell/Harvey · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 28% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Powell/Harvey · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 28% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 10-15 · vs Hoover/Burkhardt · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 34% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Deza/Castillo · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-8 · vs Deza/Castillo · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Deza/Castillo · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 48% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Howard/Kaoma · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Howard/Kaoma · w/ Dylan Fullmer · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Weller/McNair · w/ Ryder Boydston · model expected 42% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Weller/McNair · w/ Ryder Boydston · model expected 42% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 3–9 25% 7.0–9.7 2025 PPA 14–18 44% 7.9–9.0 2026 PPA 7–20 26% 7.0–10.6
5–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–3
overtime games (past the target)
10
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-4.1 (-6.1…-1.5)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
18 pro singles games
4–14
singles record · last 2025-03
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Chas Howard 15 7–8 51% +0.09 ±0.49 (noise) Dylan Fullmer 14 4–10 42% +0.06 ±0.52 (noise) Nick Werner 8 4–4 45% +0.03 ±0.48 (noise) Levi Daniel 7 3–4 51% +0.08 ±0.52 (noise) Breaden Brooks 6 3–3 40% -0.01 ±0.50 (noise) Clayton Boydston 4 1–3 41% -0.04 ±0.47 (noise) Jalen Fuhriman 3 1–2 49% -0.03 ±0.50 (noise) Luke Cartenuto 3 1–2 43% +0.02 ±0.50 (noise) Diana Kozenyatko 3 0–3 29% +0.02 ±0.48 (noise) Liam Duffin 2 0–2 27% -0.01 ±0.52 (noise) Trevor Machek 2 0–2 19% -0.11 ±0.54 (noise) Matthew Mead 2 0–2 35% -0.04 ±0.49 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-09-28 PPA · mens Ryder Boydston Weller/McNair 3-11 -21% 2026-09-28 PPA · mens Ryder Boydston Weller/McNair 4-11 -16% 2026-09-14 PPA · mens Dylan Fullmer Howard/Kaoma 10-12 OT +6% 2026-09-14 PPA · mens Dylan Fullmer Howard/Kaoma 5-11 -8% 2026-06-13 PPA · mens Dylan Fullmer Deza/Castillo 11-6 +17% 2026-06-13 PPA · mens Dylan Fullmer Deza/Castillo 11-8 +10% 2026-06-13 PPA · mens Dylan Fullmer Deza/Castillo 10-12 OT -2% 2026-06-13 PPA · mens Dylan Fullmer Hoover/Burkhardt 10-15 +6% 2026-06-13 PPA · mens Dylan Fullmer Powell/Harvey 5-11 +4% 2026-06-13 PPA · mens Dylan Fullmer Powell/Harvey 4-11 -1% 2026-05-03 PPA · mixed Diana Kozenyatko Nichols/Traxler 7-11 +9% 2026-05-03 PPA · mixed Diana Kozenyatko Nichols/Traxler 7-11 +9%
Put Justin in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.