PICKLES

Colby Hill M

mens 12–15 · mixed 21–19

+1.9 (+0.2…+3.3)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#224
of 286 active men (within gender only)
33–34
career record · 49% wins, 49% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.2 to +3.2)2024-02 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.2 to +3.2)2024-03 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.1 to +3.1)2024-04 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.0 to +3.1)2024-05 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.0 to +3.1)2024-06 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.0 to +3.1)2024-07 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.9 to +3.1)2024-08 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.8 to +3.1)2024-09 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.0)2024-10 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.0)2024-11 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.6 to +3.0)2024-12 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.6 to +3.0)2025-01 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.9)2025-02 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.9)2025-03 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.9)2025-04 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.8)2025-05 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.9)2025-06 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.9)2025-07 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.9)2025-08 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.9)2025-09 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.9)2025-10 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.9)2025-11 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.9)2025-12 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.9)2026-01 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.9)2026-02 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.0 to +3.0)2026-03 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.1 to +3.0)2026-04 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.1)2026-05 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.1)2026-06 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.1)2026-07 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.2)2026-08 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.2)2026-09 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.3)2026-10 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.3)-2+0+2202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2025-04-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Gilbert/Gilbert · w/ Matthew Nesbitt · model expected 55% of points2025-04-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Gilbert/Gilbert · w/ Matthew Nesbitt · model expected 55% of points2025-04-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Gilbert/Gilbert · w/ Matthew Nesbitt · model expected 55% of points2025-04-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Haskell/Orlan · w/ Matthew Nesbitt · model expected 61% of points2025-04-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Haskell/Orlan · w/ Matthew Nesbitt · model expected 61% of points2025-04-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Haskell/Orlan · w/ Matthew Nesbitt · model expected 61% of points2025-12-13 PPA · 15-6 · vs Payne/Turner · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 60% of points2025-12-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Serra/Jagtiani · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 28% of points2025-12-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Serra/Jagtiani · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 28% of points2025-12-13 PPA · 8-15 · vs Burrows/Hanson · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 42% of points2025-12-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Evans/Watson · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 67% of points2025-12-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Evans/Watson · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 67% of points2025-12-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Stratman/Arnold · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 27% of points2025-12-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Stratman/Arnold · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 27% of points2025-12-14 PPA · 3-15 · vs Boyle/Donahue · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 37% of points2025-12-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Lai/Yee · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 48% of points2025-12-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Lai/Yee · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 48% of points2025-12-14 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lai/Yee · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 48% of points2026-04-18 PPA · 17-19 (OT) · vs Lowe/Rettke · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 46% of points2026-04-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wells/Vallejo · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 57% of points2026-04-18 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Wells/Vallejo · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 57% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Conard/Hewett · w/ Helen To · model expected 38% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Conard/Hewett · w/ Helen To · model expected 38% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Conard/Hewett · w/ Helen To · model expected 38% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 4-15 · vs Brown/Berjane · w/ Helen To · model expected 51% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 11-1 · vs Romano/Klaassen · w/ Helen To · model expected 48% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Romano/Klaassen · w/ Helen To · model expected 48% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Romano/Klaassen · w/ Helen To · model expected 48% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 15-10 · vs Kukoyi/Dekkers · w/ Helen To · model expected 57% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 3-15 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 20% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 11-15 · vs Woog/Ali · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 47% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 11-2 · vs Watson/Evans · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 68% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 9-11 · vs Watson/Evans · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 68% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 11-2 · vs Watson/Evans · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 68% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 15-5 · vs Bassan/P · w/ Daniel Johnson · model expected 59% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Rangelov/Griffith · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 43% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Rangelov/Griffith · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 43% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rangelov/Griffith · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 43% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 7-15 · vs Grubbs/Jansen · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 34% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Porter/Almeida · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 53% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Porter/Almeida · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 53% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Porter/Almeida · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 53% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Crouch/Morelli · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 38% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Crouch/Morelli · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 38% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Crouch/Morelli · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 38% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Scarpa/Hewett · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 28% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Scarpa/Hewett · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 28% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs McKinley/Ly · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 65% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Suard/Rudden · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 64% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Suard/Rudden · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 64% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 2-15 · vs Dancuart/Torresin · w/ James Seagraves · model expected 30% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 11-8 · vs Camras/Lenhart · w/ Helen To · model expected 52% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Camras/Lenhart · w/ Helen To · model expected 52% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 9-15 · vs Perez/Simon · w/ Helen To · model expected 49% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 15-10 · vs Rasmusen/Richard · w/ Helen To · model expected 43% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 15-10 · vs Lewis/Yrjanson · w/ Helen To · model expected 60% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Braham/Truluck · w/ Helen To · model expected 28% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 3-11 · vs Braham/Truluck · w/ Helen To · model expected 28% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 15-1 · vs Fahr/Hanson · w/ Helen To · model expected 54% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 15-7 · vs Wilkins/Bailey · w/ Helen To · model expected 70% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Maguire/Unkert · w/ Helen To · model expected 66% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Maguire/Unkert · w/ Helen To · model expected 66% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 15-13 · vs Tran/Almeida · w/ Helen To · model expected 62% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 7-15 · vs Heerboth/Reichert · w/ Helen To · model expected 36% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 15-12 · vs Roddy/Jansen · w/ Helen To · model expected 41% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bui/Ayon · w/ Helen To · model expected 38% of points2026-09-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bui/Ayon · w/ Helen To · model expected 38% of points0%25%50%75%100%20252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2025PPA8–1044%7.7–9.0
2026PPA25–2451%9.7–9.8
6–3
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
3–3
overtime games (past the target)
11
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
5
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-0.6 (-3.7…+2.6)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (5 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
2–3
singles record · last 2025-10

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Helen To2414–1052%+0.22 ±0.50 (noise)
Haley Ferguson167–945%+0.02 ±0.48 (noise)
Daniel Johnson156–951%+0.02 ±0.52 (noise)
Matthew Nesbitt63–348%-0.09 ±0.52 (noise)
James Seagraves63–342%-0.15 ±0.49 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-09-27PPA · mixedHelen ToBui/Ayon9-11+7%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedHelen ToBui/Ayon6-11-2%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedHelen ToRoddy/Jansen15-12+15%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedHelen ToHeerboth/Reichert7-15-4%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedHelen ToTran/Almeida15-13-9%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedHelen ToMaguire/Unkert11-8-8%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedHelen ToMaguire/Unkert11-2+19%
2026-09-27PPA · mixedHelen ToWilkins/Bailey15-7-1%
2026-07-19PPA · mixedHelen ToFahr/Hanson15-1+40%
2026-07-19PPA · mixedHelen ToBraham/Truluck3-11-6%
2026-07-19PPA · mixedHelen ToBraham/Truluck4-11-1%
2026-07-19PPA · mixedHelen ToLewis/Yrjanson15-10+0%

Put Colby in the simulator →