Chiron Burl M
mens 35–25 · mixed 8–10
+3.4 (+1.2…+5.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#117
of 286 active men (within gender only)
43–35
career record · 55% wins, 54% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.5) 2024-02 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.5) 2024-03 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.5) 2024-04 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.5) 2024-05 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.5) 2024-06 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.5) 2024-07 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.5) 2024-08 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.5) 2024-09 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.5) 2024-10 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.5) 2024-11 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.6) 2024-12 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.6) 2025-01 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.7) 2025-02 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.7) 2025-03 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.8) 2025-04 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.8) 2025-05 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.8) 2025-06 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.8) 2025-07 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.8) 2025-08 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.9) 2025-09 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.9) 2025-10 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.9) 2025-11 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.9) 2025-12 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.9) 2026-01 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.7 to +5.0) 2026-02 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2026-03 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2026-04 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9) 2026-05 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.5 to +5.0) 2026-06 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.4 to +5.0) 2026-07 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.4 to +5.0) 2026-08 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.3 to +5.1) 2026-09 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.2 to +5.2) 2026-10 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.2 to +5.2) +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-01-09 PPA · 11-0 · vs Davis/Tolman · w/ Anders Jansson · model expected 69% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Davis/Tolman · w/ Anders Jansson · model expected 69% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Grollman/Gold · w/ Anders Jansson · model expected 54% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Grollman/Gold · w/ Anders Jansson · model expected 54% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Truluck/Diamond · w/ Claudia Stepien · model expected 47% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Truluck/Diamond · w/ Claudia Stepien · model expected 47% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Burrows/Eugenio · w/ Claudia Stepien · model expected 47% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Burrows/Eugenio · w/ Claudia Stepien · model expected 47% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ness/Berke · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 63% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ness/Berke · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 63% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 6-11 · vs Leising/Powell · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 53% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Leising/Powell · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 53% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 6-11 · vs Leising/Powell · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 53% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Newcombe/Melin · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 55% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Newcombe/Melin · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 55% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Newcombe/Melin · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 55% of points 2024-04-18 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Funemizu/Tavepholjalern · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 54% of points 2024-04-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Funemizu/Tavepholjalern · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 54% of points 2024-04-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Funemizu/Tavepholjalern · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 54% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Teoni · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 42% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Teoni · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 42% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Markowitz/Beasley · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 49% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 11-9 · vs Markowitz/Beasley · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 49% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 11-5 · vs Markowitz/Beasley · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 49% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Smith/Rasmusen · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 51% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Smith/Rasmusen · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 51% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Burkhardt/Young · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 71% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Burkhardt/Young · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 71% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wang/Afanasenka · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 59% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wang/Afanasenka · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 59% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 11-3 · vs Yeh/Mogle · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 50% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Yeh/Mogle · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 50% of points 2024-06-26 PPA · 7-11 · vs Duong/Young · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 43% of points 2024-06-26 PPA · 7-11 · vs Duong/Young · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 43% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Traxler/Thorn · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 53% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Traxler/Thorn · w/ Jake Presser · model expected 53% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Steiner/Hobrath · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 56% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Steiner/Hobrath · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 56% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Steiner/Hobrath · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 56% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Bhargava/Bonilla · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 67% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bhargava/Bonilla · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 67% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mercado/Ingram · w/ Amanda Rosati · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mercado/Ingram · w/ Amanda Rosati · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mercado/Ingram · w/ Amanda Rosati · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Herminas/Kurki · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 77% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Herminas/Kurki · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 77% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Shekar/Eugenio · w/ Amanda Rosati · model expected 46% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Shekar/Eugenio · w/ Amanda Rosati · model expected 46% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Shekar/Eugenio · w/ Amanda Rosati · model expected 46% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rosa/French · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 47% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rosa/French · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 47% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ora/Fahey · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 67% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ora/Fahey · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 67% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Slattery/Caulfield · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 66% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Slattery/Caulfield · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 66% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Teoni/Johnson · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 50% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Teoni/Johnson · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 50% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Teoni/Johnson · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 50% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ignatowich/Klinger · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 35% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ignatowich/Klinger · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 35% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ignatowich/Klinger · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 35% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs McCaffrey/Dy · w/ Jordan Theron · model expected 55% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs McCaffrey/Dy · w/ Jordan Theron · model expected 55% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-1 · vs McCaffrey/Dy · w/ Jordan Theron · model expected 55% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 9-11 · vs Beasley/Newcombe · w/ Jordan Theron · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Beasley/Newcombe · w/ Jordan Theron · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Shearer/Holderman · w/ Jordan Theron · model expected 61% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Shearer/Holderman · w/ Jordan Theron · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Sikora/Jr. · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Sikora/Jr. · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-1 · vs Tamaki/Newcombe · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 55% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tamaki/Newcombe · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 55% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Tamaki/Newcombe · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 55% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs Goins/Alhouni · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Goins/Alhouni · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 40% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Burkhardt/Seagraves · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 45% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs Burkhardt/Seagraves · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 45% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 13-15 · vs Suard/Rzesnowiecky · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 59% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 28–23 55% 9.0–7.7 2025 PPA 7–3 70% 9.5–7.1 2026 PPA 8–9 47% 8.4–7.6
8–3
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–3
overtime games (past the target)
27
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-5
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-0.9 (-5.6…+4.5)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
projected
no singles record — projected from doubles, selection-corrected
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Jonathan Truong 17 12–5 61% +0.09 ±0.47 (noise) Jericho Grollman 17 11–6 57% -0.11 ±0.53 (noise) Jake Presser 12 6–6 51% -0.02 ±0.52 (noise) Domenika Turkovic 8 3–5 48% -0.08 ±0.49 (noise) Jordan Theron 7 4–3 56% +0.08 ±0.49 (noise) Amanda Rosati 6 3–3 55% +0.06 ±0.51 (noise) Anders Jansson 4 2–2 52% -0.06 ±0.52 (noise) Claudia Stepien 4 2–2 45% +0.01 ±0.48 (noise) Jericho Grollman 3 0–3 39% -0.11 ±0.53 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-04-04 PPA · mens Jericho Grollman Suard/Rzesnowiecky 13-15 -12% 2026-04-04 PPA · mens Jericho Grollman Burkhardt/Seagraves 6-11 -10% 2026-04-04 PPA · mens Jericho Grollman Burkhardt/Seagraves 5-11 -14% 2026-03-04 PPA · mens Jericho Grollman Goins/Alhouni 8-11 +2% 2026-03-04 PPA · mens Jericho Grollman Goins/Alhouni 1-11 -32% 2026-03-03 PPA · mens Jericho Grollman Tamaki/Newcombe 11-5 +14% 2026-03-03 PPA · mens Jericho Grollman Tamaki/Newcombe 6-11 -19% 2026-03-03 PPA · mens Jericho Grollman Tamaki/Newcombe 11-1 +37% 2026-03-02 PPA · mens Jericho Grollman Sikora/Jr. 11-3 +8% 2026-03-02 PPA · mens Jericho Grollman Sikora/Jr. 11-4 +3% 2026-01-13 PPA · mens Jordan Theron Shearer/Holderman 11-2 +24% 2026-01-13 PPA · mens Jordan Theron Shearer/Holderman 11-3 +18%
Put Chiron in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.