Adelie Osher W
womens 31–21 · mixed 29–30
+1.3 (+0.2…+2.3)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#158
of 204 active women (within gender only)
60–51
career record · 54% wins, 51% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +0.8 pts (90% band -2.2 to +3.1) 2024-02 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.2 to +3.1) 2024-03 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.1 to +3.1) 2024-04 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.0 to +3.1) 2024-05 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.0 to +3.1) 2024-06 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.0 to +3.0) 2024-07 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.0 to +3.0) 2024-08 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.9 to +3.0) 2024-09 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.8 to +3.0) 2024-10 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.0) 2024-11 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.9) 2024-12 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.9) 2025-01 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.9) 2025-02 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.9) 2025-03 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.9) 2025-04 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.8) 2025-05 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.8) 2025-06 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.8) 2025-07 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.7) 2025-08 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.7) 2025-09 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.6) 2025-10 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.6) 2025-11 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.5) 2025-12 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.5) 2026-01 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.5) 2026-02 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.4) 2026-03 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.3) 2026-04 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.2) 2026-05 · +1.1 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.2) 2026-06 · +1.1 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.1) 2026-07 · +1.2 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.2) 2026-08 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.2) 2026-09 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.3) 2026-10 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.3) -2 +0 +2 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2026-04-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Erokhina/Schenk · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 31% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Erokhina/Schenk · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 31% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 15-8 · vs McCaffrey/Neils · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 8-15 · vs Hoang/Zhang · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 51% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hoover/Ferguson · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hoover/Ferguson · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hall/Hall · w/ Dmitry Ivanenko · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hall/Hall · w/ Dmitry Ivanenko · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Teoni/Liu · w/ Dmitry Ivanenko · model expected 29% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Teoni/Liu · w/ Dmitry Ivanenko · model expected 29% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ciochetti/Pierson · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ciochetti/Pierson · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-1 · vs Wong/Tran · w/ Dmitry Ivanenko · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wong/Tran · w/ Dmitry Ivanenko · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wong/Tran · w/ Dmitry Ivanenko · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Satuala/S · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Satuala/S · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Satuala/S · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Erokhina/Kong · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 25% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Erokhina/Kong · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 25% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 15-12 · vs Rivas/Lantz · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 3-15 · vs Coutinho/Petrei · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 35% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Ash/Drost · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 56% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Steiner/Fortino · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 2-11 · vs Steiner/Fortino · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 15-11 · vs Leonard/Rettke · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 53% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 15-4 · vs Perez/Toole · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 69% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ngo/Rachapalli · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ngo/Rachapalli · w/ Daniel Byun · model expected 58% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 15-6 · vs Sakkas/Nguyen · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 15-10 · vs Goodwin/Hart · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 2-15 · vs Pham/Vogt · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Cosma/Kemp · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 9-11 · vs Cosma/Kemp · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 2-11 · vs Cosma/Kemp · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 15-4 · vs Niemann/Stone-Wheatley · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 70% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 15-7 · vs Leonard/Rettke · w/ David Litvinov · model expected 64% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Boydston/Caldarella · w/ David Litvinov · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Boydston/Caldarella · w/ David Litvinov · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 15-11 · vs McFarland/Johnson · w/ David Litvinov · model expected 70% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 1-15 · vs Jacobson/Rasmusen · w/ David Litvinov · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 15-4 · vs Stanciu/Beck · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Reichert/Trevino · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 36% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Reichert/Trevino · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 36% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gorches/Sethi · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Gorches/Sethi · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Bui/Courteau · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bui/Courteau · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Rivas/Rhoades · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rivas/Rhoades · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-0 · vs Munz/Weinbach · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Munz/Weinbach · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-8 · vs Munz/Weinbach · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 10-15 · vs Chi/S · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 5-11 · vs Whittaker/Maldonado · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 43% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 3-11 · vs Whittaker/Maldonado · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 43% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Humberg/Goodnow · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 23% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Humberg/Goodnow · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 23% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 10-15 · vs Tran/Sakkas · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 46% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-2 · vs Beck/Trifunovic · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Beck/Trifunovic · w/ Sienna Hitzeman · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Byun/Vogt · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Byun/Vogt · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 15-6 · vs Schallenberger/Taylor · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mackinnon/Morelli · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 41% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 3-11 · vs Mackinnon/Morelli · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 41% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 12-15 · vs Anderson/Grigoriu · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 15-3 · vs Ladhani/X · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 77% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 15-13 · vs Courteau/Klokotzky · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 5-15 · vs Castillo/Dunlap · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 29% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ticknor/Blake · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ticknor/Blake · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 6-11 · vs Cosma/Minniefield · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Cosma/Minniefield · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 9-11 · vs Haught/Williams · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 11-9 · vs Haught/Williams · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 2-11 · vs Haught/Williams · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 5-15 · vs Dow/Newman · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 43% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 15-6 · vs Spence/Burkhardt · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 15-6 · vs Elliott/Ladhani · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 73% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ajani/Simson · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 69% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ajani/Simson · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 69% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 9-11 · vs Courteau/Yeh · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Courteau/Yeh · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-9 · vs Diskin/Shekar · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Diskin/Shekar · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 4-11 · vs Diskin/Shekar · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Sureshbabbu/Fernburg · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 15-13 · vs Wang/Iii · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 48% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 8-15 · vs Bakalinsky/Dunlap · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 36% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Tonnessen/Morisette · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Tonnessen/Morisette · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Tonnessen/Morisette · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Teoni/Carlon · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Teoni/Carlon · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 5-11 · vs Nguyen/Lenhard · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Nguyen/Lenhard · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Grigoriu/Courteau · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 36% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Grigoriu/Courteau · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 36% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 11-9 · vs Simson/Diskin · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Simson/Diskin · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 52% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wei/Dizon · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 21% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wei/Dizon · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 21% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Newport/Bogan · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 70% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Newport/Bogan · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 70% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Morris/Goodnow · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 39% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Morris/Goodnow · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 39% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Valenstein/Maguire · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Valenstein/Maguire · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Liu/Cruz · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 43% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Liu/Cruz · w/ Yolena Carlon · model expected 43% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2026 PPA 60–51 54% 9.2–8.9
3–4
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
4–4
overtime games (past the target)
22
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+2.2 (+0.5…+3.7)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
25 pro singles games
16–9
singles record · last 2026-06
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-05 PPA · womens Yolena Carlon Liu/Cruz 6-11 -8% 2026-10-05 PPA · womens Yolena Carlon Liu/Cruz 3-11 -21% 2026-10-05 PPA · womens Yolena Carlon Valenstein/Maguire 12-10 OT-0% 2026-10-05 PPA · womens Yolena Carlon Valenstein/Maguire 11-4 +18% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Matt Burkhardt Morris/Goodnow 0-11 -39% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Matt Burkhardt Morris/Goodnow 4-11 -12% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Matt Burkhardt Newport/Bogan 11-2 +15% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Matt Burkhardt Newport/Bogan 11-5 -1% 2026-10-01 PPA · womens Yolena Carlon Wei/Dizon 4-11 +6% 2026-10-01 PPA · womens Yolena Carlon Wei/Dizon 4-11 +6% 2026-09-29 PPA · womens Yolena Carlon Simson/Diskin 11-6 +12% 2026-09-29 PPA · womens Yolena Carlon Simson/Diskin 11-9 +3%
Put Adelie in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.