PICKLES

Nick Black M

mens 75–66 · mixed 7–10

+2.9 (+1.1…+4.5)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#157
of 286 active men (within gender only)
82–76
career record · 52% wins, 51% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.8)2024-02 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.7)2024-03 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.8)2024-04 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.8)2024-05 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.8)2024-06 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.8)2024-07 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.8)2024-08 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.8)2024-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.9)2024-10 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.0)2024-11 · +3.1 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.0)2024-12 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.1)2025-01 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.2)2025-02 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.2)2025-03 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.2)2025-04 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.2)2025-05 · +3.1 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.2)2025-06 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.2)2025-07 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.1)2025-08 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.1)2025-09 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.1)2025-10 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.1)2025-11 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.1)2025-12 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.1)2026-01 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2)2026-02 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2)2026-03 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2)2026-04 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.3)2026-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.3)2026-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3)2026-07 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.4)2026-08 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.4)2026-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.4)2026-10 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.5)+1+2+3+4202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-01-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Emery/Russo · w/ Kevin Pham · model expected 46% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Emery/Russo · w/ Kevin Pham · model expected 46% of points2024-01-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ticknor/Klein · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 67% of points2024-01-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ticknor/Klein · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 67% of points2024-01-31 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ticknor/Klein · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 67% of points2024-01-31 PPA · 11-9 · vs Litvinov/Grant · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 57% of points2024-01-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Litvinov/Grant · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 57% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Rosa/Emmrich · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 33% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rosa/Emmrich · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 33% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 12-15 · vs Powell/Bertram · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 41% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Do/Gilbert · w/ Jordan Bridge · model expected 40% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 2-11 · vs Do/Gilbert · w/ Jordan Bridge · model expected 40% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Machek/Garza · w/ Jordan Bridge · model expected 58% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Machek/Garza · w/ Jordan Bridge · model expected 58% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Machek/Garza · w/ Jordan Bridge · model expected 58% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nguyen/Gee · w/ Derek Shearer · model expected 62% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Nguyen/Gee · w/ Derek Shearer · model expected 62% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Garnett/Young · w/ Derek Shearer · model expected 36% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Garnett/Young · w/ Derek Shearer · model expected 36% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hutchins/Wolf · w/ Dayna La Belle · model expected 44% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hutchins/Wolf · w/ Dayna La Belle · model expected 44% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dow/Diamond · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 43% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Dow/Diamond · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 43% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Dow/Diamond · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 43% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Summers/Neumann · w/ Brittny Rogers · model expected 33% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Summers/Neumann · w/ Brittny Rogers · model expected 33% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Mason/Bramblett · w/ Brittny Rogers · model expected 61% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mason/Bramblett · w/ Brittny Rogers · model expected 61% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mason/Bramblett · w/ Brittny Rogers · model expected 61% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Deza/Figueroa · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 71% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Deza/Figueroa · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 71% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Fowler/Kato · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 61% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Fowler/Kato · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 61% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Fowler/Kato · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 61% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Loyd/Emmrich · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 35% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Loyd/Emmrich · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 35% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Loyd/Emmrich · w/ Logan Rosenbach · model expected 35% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-10 · vs Byun/Yee · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 43% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-5 · vs Ferlianto/Hamaguchi · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 49% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 9-15 · vs Ayotte/Lum · w/ Trang Huynh · model expected 49% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-10 · vs Bass/Hurley · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 47% of points2024-05-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Teoni/Johnson · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 32% of points2024-05-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Teoni/Johnson · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 32% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Lewkowicz/Smyth · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 49% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Lewkowicz/Smyth · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 49% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lewkowicz/Smyth · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 49% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Truex/Williams · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 42% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Truex/Williams · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 42% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Burkhardt/Young · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 50% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Burkhardt/Young · w/ Benjamin Bramblett · model expected 50% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-8 · vs Devlin/Hoover · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 68% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-0 · vs Devlin/Hoover · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 68% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ferrer/Springfield · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 50% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ferrer/Springfield · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 50% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ferrer/Springfield · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 50% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 7-11 · vs Perez/Harvey · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 52% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 5-11 · vs Perez/Harvey · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 52% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bond/Eveloff · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 68% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bond/Eveloff · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 68% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 29% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 29% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Newman/Tardio · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 26% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 2-11 · vs Newman/Tardio · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 26% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dow/Scarpa · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 40% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Dow/Scarpa · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 40% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dow/Scarpa · w/ Louie Payetta · model expected 40% of points2024-11-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/Klokotzky · w/ Maggie Brascia · model expected 57% of points2024-11-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/Klokotzky · w/ Maggie Brascia · model expected 57% of points2024-11-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Blaszkewycz/Loyd · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 44% of points2024-11-16 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Blaszkewycz/Loyd · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 44% of points2024-11-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Tardio/Staksrud · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 30% of points2024-11-16 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tardio/Staksrud · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 30% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Gonnering/Toskova · w/ Maggie Brascia · model expected 71% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Gonnering/Toskova · w/ Maggie Brascia · model expected 71% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Delgado/Aldridge · w/ Maggie Brascia · model expected 68% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Delgado/Aldridge · w/ Maggie Brascia · model expected 68% of points2024-12-20 PPA · 11-5 · vs Dizon/Koller · w/ Maggie Brascia · model expected 46% of points2024-12-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dizon/Koller · w/ Maggie Brascia · model expected 46% of points2024-12-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dizon/Koller · w/ Maggie Brascia · model expected 46% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Daescu/Klinger · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 30% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Daescu/Klinger · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 30% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Diamond/Freeman · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 45% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Diamond/Freeman · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 45% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 11-5 · vs Diamond/Freeman · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 45% of points2025-01-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Pham/Nahum · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 65% of points2025-01-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Pham/Nahum · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 65% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Whittaker/Dayan · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 55% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Whittaker/Dayan · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 55% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 33% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 33% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Chittenden/Conley · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 68% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Chittenden/Conley · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 68% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Yu/Yang · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 47% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Yu/Yang · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 47% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Deakin/Brown · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 49% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Deakin/Brown · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 49% of points2025-02-20 PPA · 1-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 25% of points2025-02-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 25% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 60% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 60% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Amiri/Amiri · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 53% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Amiri/Amiri · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 53% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Whittaker/Alhouni · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 52% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Whittaker/Alhouni · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 52% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kraushaar/Williams · w/ Jordan Chrysostom · model expected 57% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kraushaar/Williams · w/ Jordan Chrysostom · model expected 57% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kraushaar/Williams · w/ Jordan Chrysostom · model expected 57% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bonilla/Yee · w/ Jordan Chrysostom · model expected 61% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Bonilla/Yee · w/ Jordan Chrysostom · model expected 61% of points2025-08-27 PPA · 11-1 · vs Bonilla/Yee · w/ Jordan Chrysostom · model expected 61% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 9-11 · vs Protzek/Harvey · w/ Jordan Chrysostom · model expected 41% of points2025-08-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs Protzek/Harvey · w/ Jordan Chrysostom · model expected 41% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hoover/Mawji · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 55% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hoover/Mawji · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 55% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dagnall/Bonilla · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 62% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Dagnall/Bonilla · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 62% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dagnall/Bonilla · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 62% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Trumeter/Herminas · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 67% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Trumeter/Herminas · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 67% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Shimizu/Macnichols · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 88% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 11-0 · vs Shimizu/Macnichols · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 88% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 8-11 · vs Garcia/Blaszkewycz · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 42% of points2025-11-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Garcia/Blaszkewycz · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 42% of points2025-11-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Emmrich/Loyd · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 35% of points2025-11-04 PPA · 2-11 · vs Emmrich/Loyd · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 35% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 1-11 · vs Schupp/Koszuta · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 40% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Schupp/Koszuta · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 40% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jr./Sikora · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 70% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Jr./Sikora · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 70% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-0 · vs McMakin/Dahl · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 69% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs McMakin/Dahl · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 69% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ayotte/Mawji · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 54% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ayotte/Mawji · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 54% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ayotte/Mawji · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 54% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ayotte/Mawji · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 54% of points2026-03-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Truong/French · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 39% of points2026-03-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Truong/French · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 39% of points2026-03-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Truong/French · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 39% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hall/Schliekelman · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 79% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 11-1 · vs Hall/Schliekelman · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 79% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rahachou/Kim · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 66% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Rahachou/Kim · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 66% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rahachou/Kim · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 66% of points2026-05-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Pham/Loyd · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 42% of points2026-05-06 PPA · 1-11 · vs Pham/Loyd · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 42% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Machek/Medina · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 72% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Machek/Medina · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 72% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Koszuta/Luhring · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 37% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Koszuta/Luhring · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 37% of points2026-09-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Morris/Young · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 45% of points2026-09-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Morris/Young · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 45% of points2026-09-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 31% of points2026-09-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 31% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Jr./Suard · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 68% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 11-0 · vs Jr./Suard · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 68% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Teoni/Angelo · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 49% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Teoni/Angelo · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 49% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Teoni/Angelo · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 49% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA38–4645%8.4–8.9
2025PPA24–1759%9.0–7.6
2026PPA20–1361%8.5–7.2
12–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
6–8
overtime games (past the target)
45
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
9
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+1.2 (-3.0…+4.9)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (5 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
1–4
singles record · last 2024-09

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Erik Pailet5836–2253%+0.05 ±0.50 (noise)
Logan Rosenbach169–755%+0.06 ±0.49 (noise)
Benjamin Bramblett125–750%+0.09 ±0.47 (noise)
Maggie Brascia95–456%-0.06 ±0.49 (noise)
Jordan Chrysostom84–455%+0.00 ±0.53 (noise)
Indigo Dagnall84–453%-0.05 ±0.51 (noise)
Drake Palm64–254%-0.02 ±0.49 (noise)
Jordan Bridge52–343%-0.09 ±0.53 (noise)
Brittny Rogers52–349%-0.01 ±0.53 (noise)
Louie Payetta52–342%+0.08 ±0.49 (noise)
Jonathan Truong52–345%+0.07 ±0.50 (noise)
Rio Newcombe52–349%-0.09 ±0.52 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-09-29PPA · mensErik PailetTeoni/Angelo7-11-10%
2026-09-29PPA · mensErik PailetTeoni/Angelo2-11-34%
2026-09-29PPA · mensErik PailetTeoni/Angelo11-6+16%
2026-09-28PPA · mensErik PailetJr./Suard11-0+32%
2026-09-28PPA · mensErik PailetJr./Suard11-5+0%
2026-09-17PPA · mensErik PailetFunemizu/Acevedo5-11+0%
2026-09-17PPA · mensErik PailetFunemizu/Acevedo3-11-9%
2026-09-16PPA · mensErik PailetMorris/Young11-7+16%
2026-09-16PPA · mensErik PailetMorris/Young11-5+24%
2026-09-14PPA · mensErik PailetKoszuta/Luhring1-11-28%
2026-09-14PPA · mensErik PailetKoszuta/Luhring1-11-28%
2026-09-14PPA · mensErik PailetMachek/Medina11-5-3%

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