PICKLES

Erik Pailet M

mens 66–57 · mixed 17–15

+3.3 (+1.5…+4.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#126
of 286 active men (within gender only)
83–72
career record · 54% wins, 51% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.8)2024-02 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.8)2024-03 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.8)2024-04 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.7)2024-05 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.6)2024-06 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.5)2024-07 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.5)2024-08 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.5)2024-09 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.5)2024-10 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.6)2024-11 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.6)2024-12 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.6)2025-01 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.6)2025-02 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.6)2025-03 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.6)2025-04 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.6)2025-05 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.6)2025-06 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.6)2025-07 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.7)2025-08 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.7)2025-09 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.6)2025-10 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.6)2025-11 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.6)2025-12 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.6)2026-01 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.6)2026-02 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.6)2026-03 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.7)2026-04 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.7)2026-05 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.7)2026-06 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7)2026-07 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7)2026-08 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.8)2026-09 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.8)2026-10 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9)+2+3+4+5202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-01-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Skufca/Skufca · w/ Cierra Gaytan-Leach · model expected 58% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Skufca/Skufca · w/ Cierra Gaytan-Leach · model expected 58% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Skufca/Skufca · w/ Cierra Gaytan-Leach · model expected 58% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Maddox/Bragg · w/ Cierra Gaytan-Leach · model expected 54% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Maddox/Bragg · w/ Cierra Gaytan-Leach · model expected 54% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lohani/Neumann · w/ Derek Shearer · model expected 48% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Lohani/Neumann · w/ Derek Shearer · model expected 48% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Lohani/Neumann · w/ Derek Shearer · model expected 48% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Patriquin/Brascia · w/ Cierra Gaytan-Leach · model expected 26% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Patriquin/Brascia · w/ Cierra Gaytan-Leach · model expected 26% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Markowitz/Zwiren · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 59% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 11-8 · vs Markowitz/Zwiren · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 59% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 0-11 · vs Patriquin/Dawson · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 41% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Patriquin/Dawson · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 41% of points2024-02-21 PPA · 11-3 · vs Diamond/Whittaker · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 50% of points2024-02-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Diamond/Whittaker · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 50% of points2024-02-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Diamond/Whittaker · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 50% of points2024-02-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Teoni/Loyd · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 45% of points2024-02-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Teoni/Loyd · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 45% of points2024-03-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ignatowich/Tomassi · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 64% of points2024-03-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ignatowich/Tomassi · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 64% of points2024-03-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Mason/Fu · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 72% of points2024-03-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Mason/Fu · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 72% of points2024-03-15 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Tardio/Dizon · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 35% of points2024-03-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tardio/Dizon · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 35% of points2024-03-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Tardio/Dizon · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 35% of points2024-03-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rettenmaier/Christian · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 45% of points2024-03-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Rettenmaier/Christian · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 45% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 33% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 33% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 11-0 · vs Herminas/Womack · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 74% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 11-1 · vs Herminas/Womack · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 74% of points2024-04-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Young/Radzikowska · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 42% of points2024-04-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Young/Radzikowska · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 42% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Mok/Growcott · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 60% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mok/Growcott · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 60% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 7-11 · vs Staksrud/Tellez · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 37% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Staksrud/Tellez · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 37% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 11-0 · vs Burrows/Querrey · w/ Jeff Warnick · model expected 46% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Burrows/Querrey · w/ Jeff Warnick · model expected 46% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Burrows/Querrey · w/ Jeff Warnick · model expected 46% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Todd · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 29% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Todd · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 29% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Jr/Broderick · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 49% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Jr/Broderick · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 49% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jr/Broderick · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 49% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Rosa/Emmrich · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 42% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Rosa/Emmrich · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 42% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rosa/Emmrich · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 42% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Powell/Lanier · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 50% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Powell/Lanier · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 50% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Powell/Lanier · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 50% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 35% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 35% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Smith/Rasmusen · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 61% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Smith/Rasmusen · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 61% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ascarate/Taylor · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 53% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ascarate/Taylor · w/ Rianna Valdes · model expected 53% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Jansson/Guidroz · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 60% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 11-9 · vs Jansson/Guidroz · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 60% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 0-11 · vs Munro/Arnold · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 38% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 3-11 · vs Munro/Arnold · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 38% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-8 · vs Devlin/Hoover · w/ Nick Black · model expected 68% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-0 · vs Devlin/Hoover · w/ Nick Black · model expected 68% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ferrer/Springfield · w/ Nick Black · model expected 50% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ferrer/Springfield · w/ Nick Black · model expected 50% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ferrer/Springfield · w/ Nick Black · model expected 50% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 7-11 · vs Perez/Harvey · w/ Nick Black · model expected 52% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 5-11 · vs Perez/Harvey · w/ Nick Black · model expected 52% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bond/Eveloff · w/ Nick Black · model expected 68% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bond/Eveloff · w/ Nick Black · model expected 68% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Nick Black · model expected 29% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Nick Black · model expected 29% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ray/Barajas · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 74% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ray/Barajas · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 74% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Young/Tauber · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 43% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Young/Tauber · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 43% of points2025-01-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Pham/Nahum · w/ Nick Black · model expected 65% of points2025-01-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Pham/Nahum · w/ Nick Black · model expected 65% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Whittaker/Dayan · w/ Nick Black · model expected 55% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Whittaker/Dayan · w/ Nick Black · model expected 55% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Nick Black · model expected 33% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Nick Black · model expected 33% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Chittenden/Conley · w/ Nick Black · model expected 68% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Chittenden/Conley · w/ Nick Black · model expected 68% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Yu/Yang · w/ Nick Black · model expected 47% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Yu/Yang · w/ Nick Black · model expected 47% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Deakin/Brown · w/ Nick Black · model expected 49% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Deakin/Brown · w/ Nick Black · model expected 49% of points2025-02-20 PPA · 1-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Nick Black · model expected 25% of points2025-02-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Nick Black · model expected 25% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-1 · vs Sippel/Barker · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 77% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Sippel/Barker · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 77% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jansson/Guidroz · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 58% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jansson/Guidroz · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 58% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Litvinov/Losbergs · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 50% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Litvinov/Losbergs · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 50% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Litvinov/Losbergs · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 50% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Brown/Alhouni · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 42% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Brown/Alhouni · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 42% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Goodburn/Vilchez · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 61% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-2 · vs Goodburn/Vilchez · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 61% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 11-0 · vs Goodburn/Vilchez · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 61% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Lenhard/Akin · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 40% of points2025-10-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Lenhard/Akin · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 40% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Bricker/Nsekpong · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 48% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bricker/Nsekpong · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 48% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bricker/Nsekpong · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 48% of points2025-10-23 PPA · 2-11 · vs Daescu/Alshon · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 20% of points2025-10-23 PPA · 2-11 · vs Daescu/Alshon · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 20% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Kim/Bakalinsky · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 56% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kim/Bakalinsky · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 56% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Kim/Bakalinsky · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 56% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 11-8 · vs Li/Powley · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 64% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Li/Powley · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 64% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Li/Powley · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 64% of points2026-01-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Arnold/Smith · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 46% of points2026-01-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Arnold/Smith · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 46% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 1-11 · vs Schupp/Koszuta · w/ Nick Black · model expected 40% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Schupp/Koszuta · w/ Nick Black · model expected 40% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jr./Sikora · w/ Nick Black · model expected 70% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Jr./Sikora · w/ Nick Black · model expected 70% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Nguyen/Luhring · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 45% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Nguyen/Luhring · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 45% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 78% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 78% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-0 · vs McMakin/Dahl · w/ Nick Black · model expected 69% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs McMakin/Dahl · w/ Nick Black · model expected 69% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ayotte/Mawji · w/ Nick Black · model expected 54% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ayotte/Mawji · w/ Nick Black · model expected 54% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ayotte/Mawji · w/ Nick Black · model expected 54% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ayotte/Mawji · w/ Nick Black · model expected 54% of points2026-03-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Truong/French · w/ Nick Black · model expected 39% of points2026-03-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Truong/French · w/ Nick Black · model expected 39% of points2026-03-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Truong/French · w/ Nick Black · model expected 39% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hall/Schliekelman · w/ Nick Black · model expected 79% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 11-1 · vs Hall/Schliekelman · w/ Nick Black · model expected 79% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rahachou/Kim · w/ Nick Black · model expected 66% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Rahachou/Kim · w/ Nick Black · model expected 66% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rahachou/Kim · w/ Nick Black · model expected 66% of points2026-05-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Pham/Loyd · w/ Nick Black · model expected 42% of points2026-05-06 PPA · 1-11 · vs Pham/Loyd · w/ Nick Black · model expected 42% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Machek/Medina · w/ Nick Black · model expected 72% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Machek/Medina · w/ Nick Black · model expected 72% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Koszuta/Luhring · w/ Nick Black · model expected 37% of points2026-09-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Koszuta/Luhring · w/ Nick Black · model expected 37% of points2026-09-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Morris/Young · w/ Nick Black · model expected 45% of points2026-09-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Morris/Young · w/ Nick Black · model expected 45% of points2026-09-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Nick Black · model expected 31% of points2026-09-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Nick Black · model expected 31% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Jr./Suard · w/ Nick Black · model expected 68% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 11-0 · vs Jr./Suard · w/ Nick Black · model expected 68% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Teoni/Angelo · w/ Nick Black · model expected 49% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Teoni/Angelo · w/ Nick Black · model expected 49% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Teoni/Angelo · w/ Nick Black · model expected 49% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA36–3749%8.2–8.4
2025PPA21–1657%8.7–7.8
2026PPA26–1958%8.6–7.5
10–7
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
8–6
overtime games (past the target)
43
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
9
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-1.0 (-5.5…+4.2)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
projected
no singles record — projected from doubles, selection-corrected

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Nick Black5836–2253%+0.05 ±0.50 (noise)
Jericho Grollman2111–1052%-0.13 ±0.49 (noise)
Rianna Valdes159–653%+0.05 ±0.50 (noise)
Todd Fought147–750%+0.07 ±0.51 (noise)
Matt Baca104–648%+0.05 ±0.51 (noise)
Cierra Gaytan-Leach74–352%+0.04 ±0.49 (noise)
Drake Palm52–352%+0.03 ±0.53 (noise)
Zack Taylor52–339%-0.07 ±0.50 (noise)
Wyatt Stone42–252%+0.02 ±0.52 (noise)
Domenika Turkovic42–248%-0.12 ±0.49 (noise)
Tia Elpusan42–255%-0.02 ±0.50 (noise)
Derek Shearer31–250%+0.02 ±0.52 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-09-29PPA · mensNick BlackTeoni/Angelo7-11-10%
2026-09-29PPA · mensNick BlackTeoni/Angelo2-11-34%
2026-09-29PPA · mensNick BlackTeoni/Angelo11-6+16%
2026-09-28PPA · mensNick BlackJr./Suard11-0+32%
2026-09-28PPA · mensNick BlackJr./Suard11-5+0%
2026-09-17PPA · mensNick BlackFunemizu/Acevedo5-11+0%
2026-09-17PPA · mensNick BlackFunemizu/Acevedo3-11-9%
2026-09-16PPA · mensNick BlackMorris/Young11-7+16%
2026-09-16PPA · mensNick BlackMorris/Young11-5+24%
2026-09-14PPA · mensNick BlackKoszuta/Luhring1-11-28%
2026-09-14PPA · mensNick BlackKoszuta/Luhring1-11-28%
2026-09-14PPA · mensNick BlackMachek/Medina11-5-3%

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