PICKLES

Derek Shearer M

mens 21–35 · mixed 1–8

+1.2 (-1.8…+3.4)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#250
of 286 active men (within gender only)
22–43
career record · 34% wins, 44% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.5)2024-02 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.5)2024-03 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.4)2024-04 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.4)2024-05 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.3)2024-06 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.3)2024-07 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.3)2024-08 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.3)2024-09 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.3)2024-10 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.3)2024-11 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.3)2024-12 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.3)2025-01 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.2)2025-02 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.1 to +3.2)2025-03 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.0 to +3.2)2025-04 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.1 to +3.2)2025-05 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.2)2025-06 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.3 to +3.1)2025-07 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.4 to +3.1)2025-08 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.2)2025-09 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.2)2025-10 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.2)2025-11 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.2)2025-12 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.0 to +3.1)2026-01 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.2 to +3.1)2026-02 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.2 to +3.2)2026-03 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.3 to +3.2)2026-04 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.4 to +3.2)2026-05 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.5 to +3.3)2026-06 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.6 to +3.3)2026-07 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.3)2026-08 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.4)2026-09 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.4)2026-10 · +1.2 pts (90% band -1.8 to +3.4)-2+0+2202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-01-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lohani/Neumann · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 48% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Lohani/Neumann · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 48% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Lohani/Neumann · w/ Erik Pailet · model expected 48% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Arnold/Sock · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 26% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Arnold/Sock · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 26% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Young/Patriquin · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 27% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Young/Patriquin · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 27% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nguyen/Gee · w/ Nick Black · model expected 62% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Nguyen/Gee · w/ Nick Black · model expected 62% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Garnett/Young · w/ Nick Black · model expected 36% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Garnett/Young · w/ Nick Black · model expected 36% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ampon/Anderson · w/ Christie Newcomb · model expected 38% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ampon/Anderson · w/ Christie Newcomb · model expected 38% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Newcombe/Ayotte · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 43% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Newcombe/Ayotte · w/ Matt Baca · model expected 43% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Bellamy/Oncins · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 34% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Bellamy/Oncins · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 34% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 28% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 28% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Loyd/Loyd · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 47% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Loyd/Loyd · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 47% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Olson/Zwiren · w/ Madison Wold · model expected 43% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Olson/Zwiren · w/ Madison Wold · model expected 43% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Palm/Newcombe · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 46% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Palm/Newcombe · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 46% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Palm/Newcombe · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 46% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 23% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 23% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Kim/Biakina · w/ Ivana King · model expected 44% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Kim/Biakina · w/ Ivana King · model expected 44% of points2024-06-25 PPA · 0-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 38% of points2024-06-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Scarpa/Dow · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 38% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Osborn/Tilley · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 62% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-3 · vs Osborn/Tilley · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 62% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Losbergs/Litvinov · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 41% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 11-7 · vs Losbergs/Litvinov · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 41% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 11-6 · vs Losbergs/Litvinov · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 41% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 9-11 · vs Alda/Morrow · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 46% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 7-11 · vs Alda/Morrow · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 46% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Alhouni/Alhouni · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 42% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Alhouni/Alhouni · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 42% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Alhouni/Alhouni · w/ Farzin Amiri · model expected 42% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 11-1 · vs Tomas/Duong · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 69% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Tomas/Duong · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 69% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Vich/McGuffin · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 27% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 2-11 · vs Vich/McGuffin · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 27% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Litvinov/Chrysostom · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 40% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Litvinov/Chrysostom · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 40% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Chan/Losbergs · w/ Cade Pierson · model expected 52% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Chan/Losbergs · w/ Cade Pierson · model expected 52% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Chan/Losbergs · w/ Cade Pierson · model expected 52% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Halais/Ghenassia · w/ Johnny Goldberg · model expected 65% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Halais/Ghenassia · w/ Johnny Goldberg · model expected 65% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Edwards/Bachman · w/ Johnny Goldberg · model expected 50% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Edwards/Bachman · w/ Johnny Goldberg · model expected 50% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dawson/Blaszkewycz · w/ Johnny Goldberg · model expected 31% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Dawson/Blaszkewycz · w/ Johnny Goldberg · model expected 31% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Yee/Ju · w/ Chase Holderman · model expected 56% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Yee/Ju · w/ Chase Holderman · model expected 56% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Yee/Ju · w/ Chase Holderman · model expected 56% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Burl/Theron · w/ Chase Holderman · model expected 39% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 2-11 · vs Burl/Theron · w/ Chase Holderman · model expected 39% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Fowler/Smith · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 45% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Fowler/Smith · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 45% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Fowler/Smith · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 45% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA14–3230%7.3–9.4
2025PPA5–645%8.9–9.5
2026PPA3–538%6.9–9.0
3–4
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
3–5
overtime games (past the target)
10
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
4
longest win streak
-1
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-2.7 (-5.8…+1.4)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (7 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
3–4
singles record · last 2024-08

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Farzin Amiri239–1445%+0.14 ±0.50 (noise)
Yaamunan Venkatesan91–836%+0.00 ±0.50 (noise)
Johnny Goldberg64–252%+0.00 ±0.50 (noise)
Chase Holderman52–344%-0.09 ±0.52 (noise)
Nick Black42–252%+0.03 ±0.55 (noise)
Tavon Morrow42–253%+0.05 ±0.50 (noise)
Erik Pailet31–250%+0.02 ±0.52 (noise)
Cade Pierson31–248%-0.04 ±0.51 (noise)
Christie Newcomb20–236%+0.00 ±0.49 (noise)
Matt Baca20–241%-0.01 ±0.50 (noise)
Madison Wold20–227%-0.07 ±0.49 (noise)
Ivana King20–231%-0.05 ±0.54 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-09-28PPA · mensYaamunan VenkatesanFowler/Smith4-11-18%
2026-09-28PPA · mensYaamunan VenkatesanFowler/Smith11-6+20%
2026-09-28PPA · mensYaamunan VenkatesanFowler/Smith6-11-9%
2026-01-13PPA · mensChase HoldermanBurl/Theron2-11-24%
2026-01-13PPA · mensChase HoldermanBurl/Theron3-11-18%
2026-01-12PPA · mensChase HoldermanYee/Ju11-8+2%
2026-01-12PPA · mensChase HoldermanYee/Ju7-11-17%
2026-01-12PPA · mensChase HoldermanYee/Ju11-3+22%
2025-06-17PPA · mensJohnny GoldbergDawson/Blaszkewycz5-11+0%
2025-06-17PPA · mensJohnny GoldbergDawson/Blaszkewycz4-11-4%
2025-06-16PPA · mensJohnny GoldbergEdwards/Bachman12-10 OT+5%
2025-06-16PPA · mensJohnny GoldbergEdwards/Bachman11-3+29%

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