PICKLES

Cade Pierson W

womens 11–19 · mixed 30–22

+2.5 (+0.2…+4.4)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#117
of 204 active women (within gender only)
41–41
career record · 50% wins, 49% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.5)2024-02 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.5)2024-03 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.4)2024-04 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.4)2024-05 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.3)2024-06 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.4)2024-07 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.4)2024-08 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.5)2024-09 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.6)2024-10 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.6)2024-11 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.7)2024-12 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8)2025-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8)2025-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.8)2025-03 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9)2025-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9)2025-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9)2025-06 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.9)2025-07 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.0)2025-08 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.0)2025-09 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.0)2025-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.0)2025-11 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.0)2025-12 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.0)2026-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.1)2026-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.1)2026-03 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.1)2026-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.1)2026-05 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.2)2026-06 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.2)2026-07 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.2)2026-08 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.3)2026-09 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.3)2026-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.4)+0+1+2+3+4202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-04-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wong/Mead · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 70% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wong/Mead · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 70% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ryan/Tsai · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 77% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ryan/Tsai · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 77% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs McIntosh/Lau · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 53% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs McIntosh/Lau · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 53% of points2024-04-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Phillips/Young · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 39% of points2024-04-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Phillips/Young · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 39% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 7-15 · vs Johnson/Brown · w/ Kyle Koszuta · model expected 54% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-3 · vs Dernoot/Nickerson · w/ Kyle Koszuta · model expected 78% of points2024-05-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Summers/Goldberg · w/ Dalia Garza · model expected 31% of points2024-05-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Summers/Goldberg · w/ Dalia Garza · model expected 31% of points2024-05-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mason/Cartenuto · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 60% of points2024-05-29 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Mason/Cartenuto · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 60% of points2024-05-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Chrysostom/Garcia · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 55% of points2024-05-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Chrysostom/Garcia · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 55% of points2024-05-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Chrysostom/Garcia · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 55% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 3-11 · vs Jansen/Patriquin · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 20% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Jansen/Patriquin · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 20% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Howells/Rane · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 26% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Howells/Rane · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 26% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Stark/Young · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 64% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Stark/Young · w/ Zack Taylor · model expected 64% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Mason/Igleski · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 57% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Mason/Igleski · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 57% of points2024-06-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mason/Igleski · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 57% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Sewing/Tomassi · w/ Chandler Carnett · model expected 35% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Sewing/Tomassi · w/ Chandler Carnett · model expected 35% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Sewing/Tomassi · w/ Chandler Carnett · model expected 35% of points2024-08-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Yoshitomi/Lim · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 60% of points2024-08-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Yoshitomi/Lim · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 60% of points2024-08-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kawamoto/Kovalova · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 19% of points2024-08-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Kawamoto/Kovalova · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 19% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hur/Martinez · w/ Tanner Tomassi · model expected 52% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hur/Martinez · w/ Tanner Tomassi · model expected 52% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hur/Martinez · w/ Tanner Tomassi · model expected 52% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-8 · vs Litvinov/Grigoriu · w/ Tanner Tomassi · model expected 48% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Litvinov/Grigoriu · w/ Tanner Tomassi · model expected 48% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Litvinov/Grigoriu · w/ Tanner Tomassi · model expected 48% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kawamoto/Kovalova · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 22% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kawamoto/Kovalova · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 22% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Jensen/Williams · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 59% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jensen/Williams · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 59% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Biakina/Mikhno · w/ Dionne Lim · model expected 50% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Biakina/Mikhno · w/ Dionne Lim · model expected 50% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Biakina/Mikhno · w/ Dionne Lim · model expected 50% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Frantova/Witten · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 47% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Frantova/Witten · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 47% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Frantova/Witten · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 47% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jansen/Perez · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 46% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Jansen/Perez · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 46% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Durbin/Hidalgo-Smith · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 52% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Durbin/Hidalgo-Smith · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 52% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Durbin/Hidalgo-Smith · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 52% of points2024-12-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Patriquin/Johnson · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 17% of points2024-12-20 PPA · 2-11 · vs Patriquin/Johnson · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 17% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Christian/Gecheva · w/ Shannon Pretorius · model expected 32% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Christian/Gecheva · w/ Shannon Pretorius · model expected 32% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-0 · vs Jones/Ford · w/ Madison Grollman · model expected 75% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jones/Ford · w/ Madison Grollman · model expected 75% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Chan/Losbergs · w/ Derek Shearer · model expected 52% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Chan/Losbergs · w/ Derek Shearer · model expected 52% of points2025-06-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Chan/Losbergs · w/ Derek Shearer · model expected 52% of points2025-06-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Castillo/Safdar · w/ Madison Grollman · model expected 46% of points2025-06-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Castillo/Safdar · w/ Madison Grollman · model expected 46% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-9 · vs Howard/Sacca · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 48% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Howard/Sacca · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 48% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Thomas/J · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 60% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Thomas/J · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 60% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Thomas/J · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 60% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Tran/Glavinovich · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 57% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Tran/Glavinovich · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 57% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Tran/Glavinovich · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 57% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-9 · vs Rosati/Uspensky · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 43% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rosati/Uspensky · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 43% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs Vogt/Liu · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 54% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 11-9 · vs Vogt/Liu · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 54% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Vogt/Liu · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 54% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wall/Huang · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 35% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wall/Huang · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 35% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Osher/Hitzeman · w/ Indigo Ciochetti · model expected 45% of points2026-05-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Osher/Hitzeman · w/ Indigo Ciochetti · model expected 45% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA29–2950%8.1–8.5
2025PPA3–443%9.3–8.1
2026PPA9–853%8.7–8.9
6–6
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
5–2
overtime games (past the target)
16
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
6
longest win streak
-5
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+1.3 (-0.9…+3.2)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
39 pro singles games
19–20
singles record · last 2026-03

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Matthew Mead1710–752%+0.20 ±0.49 (noise)
Bryanna Ojeda94–550%-0.06 ±0.49 (noise)
Yaamunan Venkatesan96–352%+0.09 ±0.49 (noise)
Drake Palm86–258%-0.03 ±0.51 (noise)
Tanner Tomassi63–351%+0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Zack Taylor42–242%-0.08 ±0.52 (noise)
Michelle Murphy42–244%+0.02 ±0.49 (noise)
Madalina Grigoriu42–245%+0.00 ±0.49 (noise)
Madison Grollman42–259%+0.05 ±0.49 (noise)
Chandler Carnett31–237%+0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Dionne Lim31–247%-0.03 ±0.49 (noise)
Derek Shearer31–248%-0.04 ±0.51 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-05-04PPA · womensIndigo CiochettiOsher/Hitzeman4-11-19%
2026-05-04PPA · womensIndigo CiochettiOsher/Hitzeman8-11-3%
2026-03-03PPA · mixedYaamunan VenkatesanWall/Huang7-11+4%
2026-03-03PPA · mixedYaamunan VenkatesanWall/Huang2-11-19%
2026-03-03PPA · womensBryanna OjedaVogt/Liu10-12 OT-8%
2026-03-03PPA · womensBryanna OjedaVogt/Liu11-9+1%
2026-03-03PPA · womensBryanna OjedaVogt/Liu2-11-38%
2026-03-02PPA · mixedYaamunan VenkatesanRosati/Uspensky11-6+22%
2026-03-02PPA · mixedYaamunan VenkatesanRosati/Uspensky11-9+12%
2026-03-02PPA · womensBryanna OjedaTran/Glavinovich11-7+4%
2026-03-02PPA · womensBryanna OjedaTran/Glavinovich11-3+22%
2026-03-02PPA · womensBryanna OjedaTran/Glavinovich9-11-12%

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