Natalie Hur W
womens 38–25 · mixed 33–27
+3.3 (+1.7…+4.6)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#93
of 204 active women (within gender only)
71–52
career record · 58% wins, 53% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.8) 2024-02 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.8) 2024-03 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.8) 2024-04 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.8) 2024-05 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.8) 2024-06 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.8) 2024-07 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.8) 2024-08 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.8) 2024-09 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.8) 2024-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.8) 2024-11 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9) 2024-12 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9) 2025-01 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.0) 2025-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.0) 2025-03 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.1) 2025-04 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.1) 2025-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.1) 2025-06 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2) 2025-07 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.2) 2025-08 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.2) 2025-09 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.2) 2025-10 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.3) 2025-11 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.3) 2025-12 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.3) 2026-01 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.3) 2026-02 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.4) 2026-03 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.4) 2026-04 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.4) 2026-05 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.4) 2026-06 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.5) 2026-07 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.5) 2026-08 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.5) 2026-09 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.6) 2026-10 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.6) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-04-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ruhl/Beasley · w/ Tim Kuo · model expected 42% of points 2024-04-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ruhl/Beasley · w/ Tim Kuo · model expected 42% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 11-0 · vs Rafferty/Rafferty · w/ Brett Finan · model expected 83% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 11-1 · vs Rafferty/Rafferty · w/ Brett Finan · model expected 83% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Devidze/Andrews · w/ Brett Finan · model expected 48% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 0-11 · vs Devidze/Andrews · w/ Brett Finan · model expected 48% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Tomassi/Pierson · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 48% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tomassi/Pierson · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 48% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Tomassi/Pierson · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 48% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Morris/Morris · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 69% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Morris/Morris · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 69% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Murray/Rasmusen · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 45% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Murray/Rasmusen · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 45% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Marceau/Schull · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 40% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Marceau/Schull · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 40% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Blake/Ticknor · w/ Camila Zilveti · model expected 61% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Blake/Ticknor · w/ Camila Zilveti · model expected 61% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Blake/Ticknor · w/ Camila Zilveti · model expected 61% of points 2024-11-06 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Glozman · w/ Camila Zilveti · model expected 15% of points 2024-11-06 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Glozman · w/ Camila Zilveti · model expected 15% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 11-2 · vs Skufca/Skufca · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 60% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Skufca/Skufca · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 60% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/Hoag · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 42% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/Hoag · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 42% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hewett/Erokhina · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 38% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hewett/Erokhina · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 38% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 0-11 · vs Waters/Parenteau · w/ Elizabeth Skufca · model expected 11% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 2-11 · vs Waters/Parenteau · w/ Elizabeth Skufca · model expected 11% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 11-1 · vs Palavra/Vitale · w/ Elizabeth Skufca · model expected 77% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Palavra/Vitale · w/ Elizabeth Skufca · model expected 77% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 11-0 · vs Pitts/Petrei · w/ Elizabeth Skufca · model expected 47% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Pitts/Petrei · w/ Elizabeth Skufca · model expected 47% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 11-7 · vs Pitts/Petrei · w/ Elizabeth Skufca · model expected 47% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Rasmusen/Nsekpong · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rasmusen/Nsekpong · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rasmusen/Nsekpong · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hazrati/Patterson · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 73% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-8 · vs Hazrati/Patterson · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 73% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ouchi/Akinaka · w/ Victoria Nguyen · model expected 66% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ouchi/Akinaka · w/ Victoria Nguyen · model expected 66% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Toskova/Courteau · w/ Victoria Nguyen · model expected 47% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs Toskova/Courteau · w/ Victoria Nguyen · model expected 47% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 5-11 · vs Toskova/Courteau · w/ Victoria Nguyen · model expected 47% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fujiwara/Seagraves · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 55% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-8 · vs Fujiwara/Seagraves · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 55% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-9 · vs Fujiwara/Seagraves · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 55% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Loyd/Emmrich · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 39% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 11-9 · vs Loyd/Emmrich · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 39% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Loyd/Emmrich · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 39% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Sakkas/Yoo · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 58% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Sakkas/Yoo · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 58% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cross/Sidell · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 69% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Cross/Sidell · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 69% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Litvinov/Rasmusen · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Litvinov/Rasmusen · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Litvinov/Rasmusen · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-2 · vs Fossorier/McLaughlan · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 72% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-2 · vs Fossorier/McLaughlan · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 72% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Goins/Ingram · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 36% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Goins/Ingram · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 36% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Goins/Ingram · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 36% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Conard/Dunlap · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 48% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Conard/Dunlap · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 48% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Conard/Dunlap · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 48% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Yeh/Phillips · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 48% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Yeh/Phillips · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 48% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Yeh/Phillips · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 48% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-10 · vs Minniefield/Williams · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 59% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 6-15 · vs Hatton/Conard · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-6 · vs Pradeep/Martins · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 69% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-0 · vs Gordon/Fitzgerald · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 72% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-4 · vs Gordon/Fitzgerald · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 72% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-4 · vs Newman/Emmrich · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 48% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-3 · vs Martin/Iii · w/ Chris Jammal · model expected 67% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-7 · vs Martin/Iii · w/ Chris Jammal · model expected 67% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-1 · vs Dagnall/Minniefield · w/ Chris Jammal · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dagnall/Minniefield · w/ Chris Jammal · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 7-15 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Chris Jammal · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 0-11 · vs Chaffin/Weil · w/ Chris Jammal · model expected 37% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 1-11 · vs Chaffin/Weil · w/ Chris Jammal · model expected 37% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-4 · vs Nsekpong/Conard · w/ Chris Jammal · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nsekpong/Conard · w/ Chris Jammal · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Martins/Mylavarapu · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Martins/Mylavarapu · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Reichert/Pretorius · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Reichert/Pretorius · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Altick/Boisvert-Bégin · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 81% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Altick/Boisvert-Bégin · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 81% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Geminiani/Imperial · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 55% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Geminiani/Imperial · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 55% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Yoshitomi/Huang · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Yoshitomi/Huang · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 4-11 · vs Fahey/Buckner · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 29% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-9 · vs Fahey/Buckner · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 29% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Fahey/Buckner · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 29% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-1 · vs Minniefield/Rasmusen · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 56% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Minniefield/Rasmusen · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 56% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Minniefield/Rasmusen · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 56% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-4 · vs Morgan/Niemann · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 88% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-4 · vs Morgan/Niemann · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 88% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 9-11 · vs Petrei/Boydston · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Petrei/Boydston · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-0 · vs Lai/Fortino · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 70% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lai/Fortino · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 70% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Davis/Boydston · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Davis/Boydston · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-0 · vs Daniel/Sakkas · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 67% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-2 · vs Daniel/Sakkas · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 67% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 1-15 · vs Coutinho/Petrei · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Adsit/Yang · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 77% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Adsit/Yang · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 77% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hoover/Minniefield · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hoover/Minniefield · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ayon/Rasmusen · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 53% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ayon/Rasmusen · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Grigoriu/Minniefield · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 9-11 · vs Grigoriu/Minniefield · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 5-11 · vs Grigoriu/Minniefield · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 5-15 · vs Bui/Rives · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 42% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 15-6 · vs Lenhart/Maguire · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 72% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 15-5 · vs Liang/McGowan · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-4 · vs Coyner/Nesbitt · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 71% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-6 · vs Coyner/Nesbitt · w/ Lyn Yuen Choo · model expected 71% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 7–13 35% 7.3–8.9 2025 PPA 16–13 55% 8.2–7.9 2026 PPA 48–26 65% 9.3–7.2
6–8
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
6–2
overtime games (past the target)
40
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+2.5 (+1.0…+3.8)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
47 pro singles games
24–23
singles record · last 2026-05
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-09-26 PPA · womens Lyn Yuen Choo Coyner/Nesbitt 11-6 -6% 2026-09-26 PPA · womens Lyn Yuen Choo Coyner/Nesbitt 11-4 +2% 2026-09-26 PPA · womens Lyn Yuen Choo Liang/McGowan 15-5 +15% 2026-09-26 PPA · womens Lyn Yuen Choo Lenhart/Maguire 15-6 -0% 2026-09-26 PPA · womens Lyn Yuen Choo Bui/Rives 5-15 -17% 2026-09-26 PPA · womens Lyn Yuen Choo Grigoriu/Minniefield 5-11 -20% 2026-09-26 PPA · womens Lyn Yuen Choo Grigoriu/Minniefield 9-11 -6% 2026-09-26 PPA · womens Lyn Yuen Choo Grigoriu/Minniefield 11-8 +7% 2026-05-31 PPA · mixed Jose Martinez Ayon/Rasmusen 11-1 +39% 2026-05-31 PPA · mixed Jose Martinez Ayon/Rasmusen 11-7 +8% 2026-05-31 PPA · mixed Jose Martinez Hoover/Minniefield 5-11 -24% 2026-05-31 PPA · mixed Jose Martinez Hoover/Minniefield 9-11 -10%
Put Natalie in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.