Pally Ray M
mens 41–40 · mixed 16–30
+1.3 (-1.2…+3.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#242
of 286 active men (within gender only)
57–70
career record · 45% wins, 47% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.6) 2024-02 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.5) 2024-03 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.5) 2024-04 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.5) 2024-05 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.5) 2024-06 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.4) 2024-07 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.4) 2024-08 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.4) 2024-09 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.4) 2024-10 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.4) 2024-11 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.4) 2024-12 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.4) 2025-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.4) 2025-02 · +1.2 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.3) 2025-03 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.3) 2025-04 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.4) 2025-05 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.4) 2025-06 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.5) 2025-07 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.5) 2025-08 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.5) 2025-09 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.6) 2025-10 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.6) 2025-11 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.7) 2025-12 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.7) 2026-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.8) 2026-02 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.8) 2026-03 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.8) 2026-04 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.9) 2026-05 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.0) 2026-06 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.0) 2026-07 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.0 to +3.1) 2026-08 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.0 to +3.1) 2026-09 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.1 to +3.1) 2026-10 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.2 to +3.2) +0 +2 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-01-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Crandall/Swazo · w/ Tony Larson · model expected 81% of points 2024-01-31 PPA · 11-2 · vs Crandall/Swazo · w/ Tony Larson · model expected 81% of points 2024-01-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Feliz/Stith · w/ Tony Larson · model expected 49% of points 2024-01-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Feliz/Stith · w/ Tony Larson · model expected 49% of points 2024-01-31 PPA · 1-11 · vs Feliz/Stith · w/ Tony Larson · model expected 49% of points 2024-02-01 PPA · 15-5 · vs Maple/Blair · w/ Tony Larson · model expected 68% of points 2024-02-01 PPA · 15-3 · vs Tomaino/Gross · w/ Tony Larson · model expected 65% of points 2024-02-02 PPA · 6-15 · vs Schwendiman/Boydston · w/ Tony Larson · model expected 50% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 1-11 · vs Hall/Boydston · w/ Nebojsa Buha · model expected 35% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hall/Boydston · w/ Nebojsa Buha · model expected 35% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 2-11 · vs Humberg/Whittaker · w/ Auburn Smith · model expected 24% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 1-11 · vs Humberg/Whittaker · w/ Auburn Smith · model expected 24% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 11-2 · vs Owensby/Gonzalez · w/ Nebojsa Buha · model expected 58% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 11-9 · vs Owensby/Gonzalez · w/ Nebojsa Buha · model expected 58% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Byun/Do · w/ Brodie Smith · model expected 45% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Byun/Do · w/ Brodie Smith · model expected 45% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Byun/Do · w/ Brodie Smith · model expected 45% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Campbell/Campbell · w/ Melissa Ferger · model expected 40% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Campbell/Campbell · w/ Melissa Ferger · model expected 40% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Campbell/Campbell · w/ Melissa Ferger · model expected 40% of points 2024-08-26 PPA · 11-6 · vs Graute/Biakina · w/ Ivana King · model expected 45% of points 2024-08-26 PPA · 1-11 · vs Graute/Biakina · w/ Ivana King · model expected 45% of points 2024-08-26 PPA · 11-6 · vs Graute/Biakina · w/ Ivana King · model expected 45% of points 2024-08-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Berke/Shore · w/ Ivana King · model expected 52% of points 2024-08-26 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Berke/Shore · w/ Ivana King · model expected 52% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rahachou/Alhouni · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 53% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rahachou/Alhouni · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 53% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bridge/Corona · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bridge/Corona · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 0-11 · vs Irvine/Tardio · w/ Ivana King · model expected 12% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Irvine/Tardio · w/ Ivana King · model expected 12% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Khlif/Johnson · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 30% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 0-11 · vs Khlif/Johnson · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 30% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hidalgo-Smith/Ford · w/ Arielle Nealy · model expected 38% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hidalgo-Smith/Ford · w/ Arielle Nealy · model expected 38% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hidalgo-Smith/Ford · w/ Arielle Nealy · model expected 38% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-0 · vs Naik/Rita · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 75% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Naik/Rita · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 75% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Mason/McGuire · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 56% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Mason/McGuire · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 56% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Boyer/Wazir · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 38% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Boyer/Wazir · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 38% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 0-11 · vs Vogel/Garcia · w/ Journey Barajas · model expected 29% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Vogel/Garcia · w/ Journey Barajas · model expected 29% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Deaver/Frank · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 50% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Deaver/Frank · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 50% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Barker/Avella · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 74% of points 2024-10-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Barker/Avella · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 74% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lam/Janssen · w/ Tiffany Landgraf · model expected 60% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lam/Janssen · w/ Tiffany Landgraf · model expected 60% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kenna/Byun · w/ Tiffany Landgraf · model expected 44% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kenna/Byun · w/ Tiffany Landgraf · model expected 44% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Rivera/Stockton · w/ Tiffany Landgraf · model expected 50% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Rivera/Stockton · w/ Tiffany Landgraf · model expected 50% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Rivera/Stockton · w/ Tiffany Landgraf · model expected 50% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kappes/Frank · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 44% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kappes/Frank · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 44% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Kappes/Frank · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 44% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Angelo/Jensen · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 47% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Angelo/Jensen · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 47% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-5 · vs Angelo/Jensen · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 47% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Pailet/Turkovic · w/ Journey Barajas · model expected 26% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 7-11 · vs Pailet/Turkovic · w/ Journey Barajas · model expected 26% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Taylor/McAuley · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 64% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Taylor/McAuley · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 64% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fu/Young · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 36% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Fu/Young · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 36% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Buchhauser/Brandon · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 66% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Buchhauser/Brandon · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 66% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Huang/Morris · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 42% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Huang/Morris · w/ Bryanna Ojeda · model expected 42% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wan/Yee · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 52% of points 2025-02-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wan/Yee · w/ Omar Garcia-Heredia · model expected 52% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Chin/Yang · w/ Monica Piekarski · model expected 32% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 7-11 · vs Chin/Yang · w/ Monica Piekarski · model expected 32% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mawji/Chikkalingaiah · w/ James Kaoma · model expected 52% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 6-11 · vs Mawji/Chikkalingaiah · w/ James Kaoma · model expected 52% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Mawji/Chikkalingaiah · w/ James Kaoma · model expected 52% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Blair/Hilliard · w/ James Kaoma · model expected 51% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Blair/Hilliard · w/ James Kaoma · model expected 51% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Blair/Hilliard · w/ James Kaoma · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 11-3 · vs Skalabrin/Bonilla · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 73% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Skalabrin/Bonilla · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 73% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Campbell/Morris · w/ Lucah Folden · model expected 32% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Campbell/Morris · w/ Lucah Folden · model expected 32% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Newcombe/Angelo · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 43% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Newcombe/Angelo · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 43% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Newcombe/Angelo · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 43% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hanks/Kowalski · w/ Lucah Folden · model expected 53% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hanks/Kowalski · w/ Lucah Folden · model expected 53% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hanks/Kowalski · w/ Lucah Folden · model expected 53% of points 2025-03-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Erokhina/Hewett · w/ Lucah Folden · model expected 21% of points 2025-03-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Erokhina/Hewett · w/ Lucah Folden · model expected 21% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ayotte/Shaffer · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 54% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ayotte/Shaffer · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Peters/Kim · w/ Michael Wolf · model expected 61% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Peters/Kim · w/ Michael Wolf · model expected 61% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs Peters/Kim · w/ Michael Wolf · model expected 61% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Buchhauser/Fife · w/ Journey Barajas · model expected 42% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Buchhauser/Fife · w/ Journey Barajas · model expected 42% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Staksrud/Bright · w/ Journey Barajas · model expected 8% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 1-11 · vs Staksrud/Bright · w/ Journey Barajas · model expected 8% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Angelo/Ayotte · w/ Connor McCartney · model expected 43% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 11-9 · vs Angelo/Ayotte · w/ Connor McCartney · model expected 43% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 11-8 · vs Dages/Burkhardt · w/ Connor McCartney · model expected 52% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dages/Burkhardt · w/ Connor McCartney · model expected 52% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Roderick/Mulenga · w/ Cameron Beer · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 11-8 · vs Roderick/Mulenga · w/ Cameron Beer · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 1-11 · vs Roderick/Mulenga · w/ Cameron Beer · model expected 47% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Smith · w/ Connor McCartney · model expected 35% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Smith · w/ Connor McCartney · model expected 35% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Anderson/Weston-Dodds · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Anderson/Weston-Dodds · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 12-15 · vs Dysert/Creswell · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bolkowy/Weeks · w/ Joshua Cooperman · model expected 42% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bolkowy/Weeks · w/ Joshua Cooperman · model expected 42% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hanks/Brooks · w/ Journey Barajas · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hanks/Brooks · w/ Journey Barajas · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Kemick/Harradine · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kemick/Harradine · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Camras/Bakalinsky · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 33% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 0-11 · vs Camras/Bakalinsky · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 33% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Radermacher/Traxler · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 38% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Radermacher/Traxler · w/ Shamus Flanagan · model expected 38% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 30–28 52% 7.9–8.3 2025 PPA 22–31 42% 7.8–9.0 2026 PPA 5–11 31% 8.1–9.9
4–11
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
5–7
overtime games (past the target)
25
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-1.4 (-3.0…+0.3)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
63 pro singles games
29–34
singles record · last 2026-02
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Andre Mercado 12 8–4 53% +0.02 ±0.49 (noise) Shamus Flanagan 12 5–7 48% +0.11 ±0.49 (noise) Rafael Lenhard 11 5–6 52% -0.08 ±0.51 (noise) Omar Garcia-Heredia 11 6–5 55% +0.08 ±0.49 (noise) Journey Barajas 10 2–8 34% +0.03 ±0.50 (noise) Tony Larson 8 5–3 61% +0.03 ±0.51 (noise) Ivana King 7 4–3 44% +0.08 ±0.49 (noise) Tiffany Landgraf 7 5–2 60% +0.13 ±0.48 (noise) Lucah Folden 7 2–5 37% -0.07 ±0.50 (noise) James Kaoma 6 3–3 44% -0.07 ±0.46 (noise) Connor McCartney 6 4–2 50% +0.07 ±0.52 (noise) Nebojsa Buha 4 2–2 44% -0.02 ±0.47 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-09-16 PPA · mens Shamus Flanagan Radermacher/Traxler 10-12 OT +7% 2026-09-16 PPA · mens Shamus Flanagan Radermacher/Traxler 5-11 -7% 2026-09-14 PPA · mens Shamus Flanagan Camras/Bakalinsky 0-11 -33% 2026-09-14 PPA · mens Shamus Flanagan Camras/Bakalinsky 10-12 OT +12% 2026-09-14 PPA · mens Shamus Flanagan Kemick/Harradine 11-7 -2% 2026-09-14 PPA · mens Shamus Flanagan Kemick/Harradine 11-4 +10% 2026-02-16 PPA · mixed Journey Barajas Hanks/Brooks 4-11 -18% 2026-02-16 PPA · mixed Journey Barajas Hanks/Brooks 7-11 -6% 2026-02-16 PPA · mens Joshua Cooperman Bolkowy/Weeks 4-11 -15% 2026-02-16 PPA · mens Joshua Cooperman Bolkowy/Weeks 9-11 +3% 2026-01-24 PPA · mens Shamus Flanagan Dysert/Creswell 12-15 -0% 2026-01-24 PPA · mens Shamus Flanagan Anderson/Weston-Dodds 11-7 +2%
Put Pally in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.