Rafael Lenhard M
mens 79–65 · mixed 81–55
+4.1 (+3.3…+4.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#70
of 286 active men (within gender only)
160–120
career record · 57% wins, 53% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.8) 2024-02 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.8) 2024-03 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-04 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9) 2024-05 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2024-06 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2024-07 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8) 2024-08 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.8) 2024-09 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.8) 2024-10 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.8) 2024-11 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.8) 2024-12 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.8) 2025-01 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.8) 2025-02 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.8) 2025-03 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.8) 2025-04 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.9) 2025-05 · +3.9 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.9) 2025-06 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.9) 2025-07 · +4.0 pts (90% band +3.0 to +4.9) 2025-08 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.0) 2025-09 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.3 to +5.0) 2025-10 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.4 to +5.0) 2025-11 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.5 to +5.0) 2025-12 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.5 to +5.0) 2026-01 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.6 to +5.0) 2026-02 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.6 to +4.9) 2026-03 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.7 to +5.0) 2026-04 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.6 to +4.9) 2026-05 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.5 to +4.8) 2026-06 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.4 to +4.8) 2026-07 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.3 to +4.8) 2026-08 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.4 to +4.8) 2026-09 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.4 to +4.8) 2026-10 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.3 to +4.9) +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2026-01-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Tabatabaeian/Daniel · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 70% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 40% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Carlota Trevino · model expected 40% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Roddy/Delgado · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Roddy/Delgado · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Stone · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Johnson/Stone · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 8-11 · vs Johnson/Stone · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Berryman/Wade · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 62% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Berryman/Wade · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 62% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Machek/Thomas · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 76% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Machek/Thomas · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 76% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mawji/Ayotte · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 60% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mawji/Ayotte · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 60% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 13-15 (OT) · vs Mawji/Ayotte · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 60% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Pascoe/Igleski · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-0 · vs Pascoe/Igleski · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Weil/Teoni · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 51% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Weil/Teoni · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 51% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-3 · vs Finnerty/Liu · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 67% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-1 · vs Finnerty/Liu · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 67% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Sonday/Bricker · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 58% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Sonday/Bricker · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 58% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-8 · vs Sonday/Bricker · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 58% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 70% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 70% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hamaguchi/Ferguson · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 62% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hamaguchi/Ferguson · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 62% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Teoni/Mogle · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 51% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Teoni/Mogle · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 51% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 29% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 29% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Rau/Crouch · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rau/Crouch · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rau/Crouch · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Young/Jacobson · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Young/Jacobson · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Young/Jacobson · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Patriquin/Alshon · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 25% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Patriquin/Alshon · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 25% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Grollman/Grollman · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 41% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 4-11 · vs Grollman/Grollman · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 41% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Grollman/Grollman · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 41% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 1-11 · vs Truong/Alshon · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 24% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 1-11 · vs Truong/Alshon · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 24% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ayon/Poland · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ayon/Poland · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 2-11 · vs Koller/Khlif · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Koller/Khlif · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs Koller/Khlif · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hall/Suard · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 75% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-0 · vs Hall/Suard · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 75% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Libo/Ohrel · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 71% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Libo/Ohrel · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 71% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Scarpa/Jakovljevic · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 47% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Scarpa/Jakovljevic · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 47% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Scarpa/Jakovljevic · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 47% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Irvine/Alshon · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 29% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Irvine/Alshon · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 29% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Joseph/Zilveti · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Joseph/Zilveti · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Joseph/Zilveti · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Troy Akin · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Teoni/Wasson · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Teoni/Wasson · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Edwards/Boydston · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Edwards/Boydston · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Edwards/Boydston · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Buckner/Tellez · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 35% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Buckner/Tellez · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 35% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-2 · vs Buckner/Tellez · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 35% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Patriquin/Alshon · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 30% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Patriquin/Alshon · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 30% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 8-11 · vs Patriquin/Alshon · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 30% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 9-11 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 24% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 3-11 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 24% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 54% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 54% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 1-11 · vs Daescu/Staksrud · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 30% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Daescu/Staksrud · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 30% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-7 · vs Woog/Cole · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Woog/Cole · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-7 · vs Acevedo/Goldberg · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Acevedo/Goldberg · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hewett/Acevedo · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hewett/Acevedo · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Freeman/Smith · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Freeman/Smith · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Haworth/Dunlap · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Haworth/Dunlap · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Haworth/Dunlap · w/ Aibika Kalsarieva · model expected 48% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Loong/Newman · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 52% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-9 · vs Loong/Newman · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 52% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hendershot/Jacobson · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hendershot/Jacobson · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Hendershot/Jacobson · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Duffin/Boydston · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Duffin/Boydston · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Weber/Rhoades · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 77% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-0 · vs Weber/Rhoades · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 77% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-9 · vs Diskin/Luhring · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Diskin/Luhring · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wong/Yoshitomi · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Wong/Yoshitomi · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Dawson/Emery · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 48% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dawson/Emery · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 48% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Padegimaite/Alhouni · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Padegimaite/Alhouni · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Padegimaite/Alhouni · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Acevedo/Powell · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 42% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Acevedo/Powell · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 42% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 3-11 · vs Truluck/Hovenier · w/ Cailyn Campbell · model expected 46% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 11-3 · vs Hovenier/Bellamy · w/ Armaan Bhatia · model expected 47% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 1-11 · vs Haworth/Alshon · w/ Armaan Bhatia · model expected 41% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Freeman/Johns · w/ Armaan Bhatia · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-13 MLP · 1-11 · vs Dennehy/Braham · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-14 MLP · 1-11 · vs Acevedo/Oncins · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 33% of points 2026-06-14 MLP · 0-11 · vs Sleeth/Oncins · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 41% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 8-11 · vs Crouch/Mogle · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 11-5 · vs Hatton/Young · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 64% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 7-11 · vs French/Young · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 11-7 · vs Weil/Mogle · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 4-11 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 35% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 4-11 · vs Ge/Johnson · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 33% of points 2026-07-23 MLP · 11-5 · vs Truluck/Powell · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 4-11 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 44% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 5-11 · vs Koller/Goins · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 45% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 0-11 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 39% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 11-0 · vs Wei/Goins · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 47% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 4-11 · vs Shimabukuro/Loong · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 49% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 0-11 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 35% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 7-11 · vs Ge/Johnson · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 33% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 11-4 · vs Jones/Shimabukuro · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-08 MLP · 5-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 31% of points 2026-08-08 MLP · 2-11 · vs Newman/Alshon · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 33% of points 2026-08-09 MLP · 5-11 · vs Newman/Alshon · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 33% of points 2026-08-09 MLP · 1-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 31% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 15-12 · vs Mackinnon/Burkhardt · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 2-11 · vs Torresin/Emmrich · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 46% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-6 · vs Torresin/Emmrich · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 46% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-0 · vs Torresin/Emmrich · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 46% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 8-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Delgado · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-5 · vs Jakovljevic/Delgado · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 8-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Delgado · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hoover/Dy · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hoover/Dy · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mawji/Steiner · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-22 PPA · 11-2 · vs Mawji/Steiner · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 11-1 · vs Yu/Kassam · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 90% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 11-0 · vs Yu/Kassam · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 90% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Steiner/Rasmusen · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 11-7 · vs Steiner/Rasmusen · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 11-0 · vs Steiner/Rasmusen · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Koszuta/Walker · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 9-11 · vs Courteau/Delgado · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 11-9 · vs Courteau/Delgado · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 8-11 · vs Courteau/Delgado · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-23 PPA · 15-10 · vs Hoover/Klokotzky · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Chaffin/Haworth · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Chaffin/Haworth · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Liang/Giannelli · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 62% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Liang/Giannelli · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 62% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Liang/Giannelli · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 62% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-0 · vs Harvey/Rau · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Harvey/Rau · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Harvey/Rau · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Fahey/Staksrud · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 26% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fahey/Staksrud · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 26% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Truong/Parenteau · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Truong/Parenteau · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Truong/Parenteau · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ingram/French · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ingram/French · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ingram/French · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ford/Ford · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ford/Ford · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ganesh/Lai · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ganesh/Lai · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Osher/Burkhardt · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Osher/Burkhardt · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-4 · vs Newcombe/Nemoff · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 64% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Newcombe/Nemoff · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 64% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-1 · vs Newcombe/Nemoff · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 64% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ge/Humberg · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ge/Humberg · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 37% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Miyoshi/Koller · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 52% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Miyoshi/Koller · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 52% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Miyoshi/Koller · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 52% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Frazier/Yang · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 0-11 · vs Frazier/Yang · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Jansen/Koller · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 44% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 0-11 · vs Jansen/Koller · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 44% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Campbell/Dow · w/ Elliott Schupp · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Campbell/Dow · w/ Elliott Schupp · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Frazier/Bhatia · w/ Elliott Schupp · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Frazier/Bhatia · w/ Elliott Schupp · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Koller/Simson · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 67% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Koller/Simson · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 67% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Koller/Simson · w/ Christa Gecheva · model expected 67% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 2–2 50% 8.5–7.2 2025 PPA 41–25 62% 9.4–7.5 2026 MLP 6–20 23% 5.3–9.4 2026 PPA 111–73 60% 9.2–7.8
20–14
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
12–15
overtime games (past the target)
92
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+1
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+6.7 (+6.3…+7.0)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
205 pro singles games
134–71
singles record · last 2026-10
47–37
DreamBreaker rallies · 7 DBs, team 5–2
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Christa Gecheva Koller/Simson 11-5 +2% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Christa Gecheva Koller/Simson 11-13 OT -21% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Christa Gecheva Koller/Simson 11-9 -12% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Elliott Schupp Frazier/Bhatia 11-13 OT -1% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Elliott Schupp Frazier/Bhatia 4-11 -21% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Elliott Schupp Campbell/Dow 11-3 +13% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Elliott Schupp Campbell/Dow 11-4 +8% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Christa Gecheva Jansen/Koller 0-11 -44% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Christa Gecheva Jansen/Koller 8-11 -2% 2026-10-02 PPA · mens Tyler Loong Frazier/Yang 0-11 -47% 2026-10-02 PPA · mens Tyler Loong Frazier/Yang 9-11 -2% 2026-10-01 PPA · mens Tyler Loong Miyoshi/Koller 11-7 +9%
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Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.