Troy Akin M
mens 78–47 · mixed 9–13
+3.1 (+1.8…+4.3)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#141
of 286 active men (within gender only)
87–60
career record · 59% wins, 55% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-02 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-03 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-04 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.9) 2024-05 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9) 2024-06 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2024-07 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9) 2024-08 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.9) 2024-09 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.9) 2024-10 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.8) 2024-11 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.9) 2024-12 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.8) 2025-01 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.8) 2025-02 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.8) 2025-03 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.7) 2025-04 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.7) 2025-05 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.7) 2025-06 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.7) 2025-07 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.7) 2025-08 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.7) 2025-09 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.6) 2025-10 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.6) 2025-11 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.5) 2025-12 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.5) 2026-01 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.5) 2026-02 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.4) 2026-03 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.3) 2026-04 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.2) 2026-05 · +3.1 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.2) 2026-06 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.1) 2026-07 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.2) 2026-08 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.2) 2026-09 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.3) 2026-10 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.3) +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-01-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Tomas/Garcia · w/ Bryan Hammond · model expected 61% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Tomas/Garcia · w/ Bryan Hammond · model expected 61% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Goldin/Madonia · w/ Bryan Hammond · model expected 48% of points 2024-01-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Goldin/Madonia · w/ Bryan Hammond · model expected 48% of points 2024-01-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Deakin · w/ Bryan Hammond · model expected 38% of points 2024-01-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Deakin · w/ Bryan Hammond · model expected 38% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Green/Baylon · w/ Bryan Hammond · model expected 50% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Green/Baylon · w/ Bryan Hammond · model expected 50% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Denstone/Schwartz · w/ Bryan Hammond · model expected 69% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 11-4 · vs Denstone/Schwartz · w/ Bryan Hammond · model expected 69% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tamanaha/Byun · w/ Danny Derry · model expected 49% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Tamanaha/Byun · w/ Danny Derry · model expected 49% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 7-11 · vs Tamanaha/Byun · w/ Danny Derry · model expected 49% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mancini/Usai · w/ Ryan Eveloff · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Mancini/Usai · w/ Ryan Eveloff · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hoover/Rettke · w/ Ryan Eveloff · model expected 50% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hoover/Rettke · w/ Ryan Eveloff · model expected 50% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hoover/Rettke · w/ Ryan Eveloff · model expected 50% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Braham/Protzek · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 49% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 11-8 · vs Braham/Protzek · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 49% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Nguyen/White · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 69% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Nguyen/White · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 69% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 11-4 · vs Perez/Bricker · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 11-4 · vs Perez/Bricker · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Shaffer/Harvey · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 11-4 · vs Shaffer/Harvey · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 11-0 · vs Milligan/Milligan · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 86% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 11-3 · vs Milligan/Milligan · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 86% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 11-0 · vs Bulger/Bramblett · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 81% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bulger/Bramblett · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 81% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 11-8 · vs Baca/Pailet · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2025-10-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Baca/Pailet · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 2-11 · vs Roddy/Sock · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 49% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Roddy/Sock · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 49% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Roddy/Sock · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 49% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 11-2 · vs Loong/Garnett · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 44% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 8-11 · vs Loong/Garnett · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 44% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 9-11 · vs Loong/Garnett · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 44% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Grossman/Arrant · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 74% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-0 · vs Grossman/Arrant · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 74% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Loyd/Nguyen · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 60% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Loyd/Nguyen · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 60% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Gomez/Alhouni · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 63% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Gomez/Alhouni · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 63% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 9-15 · vs Hewett/Mackinnon · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 45% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Laville/Protzek · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 59% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Laville/Protzek · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 59% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Laville/Protzek · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 59% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Wang/Terzian · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 72% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wang/Terzian · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 72% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 15-9 · vs Romano/Giannelli · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 15-7 · vs Lee/Kayo · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 66% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Staksrud/Alshon · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 31% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Staksrud/Alshon · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 31% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 11-2 · vs Alhouni/Caldarella · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 11-2 · vs Alhouni/Caldarella · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-2 · vs Fullmer/Fullmer · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 73% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Fullmer/Fullmer · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 73% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-1 · vs Tabatabaeian/Daniel · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 70% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Tabatabaeian/Daniel · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 70% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Roddy/Delgado · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Roddy/Delgado · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Stone · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Johnson/Stone · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 8-11 · vs Johnson/Stone · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Berryman/Wade · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 62% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Berryman/Wade · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 62% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Machek/Thomas · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 76% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Machek/Thomas · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 76% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mawji/Ayotte · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mawji/Ayotte · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 13-15 (OT) · vs Mawji/Ayotte · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Venkatesan/Tamanaha · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 69% of points 2026-03-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Venkatesan/Tamanaha · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 69% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Powell/Goldberg · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs Powell/Goldberg · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Powell/Goldberg · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dow/Shimabukuro · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dow/Shimabukuro · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hall/Suard · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 75% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-0 · vs Hall/Suard · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 75% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Libo/Ohrel · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 71% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Libo/Ohrel · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 71% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Scarpa/Jakovljevic · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 47% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Scarpa/Jakovljevic · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 47% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Scarpa/Jakovljevic · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 47% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Rafael Lenhard · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs L/Fachaux · w/ Armaan Jiwa Mawji · model expected 85% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 11-1 · vs L/Fachaux · w/ Armaan Jiwa Mawji · model expected 85% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Byun/Balakrishnan · w/ Armaan Jiwa Mawji · model expected 62% of points 2026-04-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Byun/Balakrishnan · w/ Armaan Jiwa Mawji · model expected 62% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Soke/Daniel · w/ Armaan Jiwa Mawji · model expected 61% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Soke/Daniel · w/ Armaan Jiwa Mawji · model expected 61% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Soke/Daniel · w/ Armaan Jiwa Mawji · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 4-15 · vs Daniel/Thomas · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Koszuta/Schupp · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 37% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Koszuta/Schupp · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 37% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-8 · vs McCrary/Rand · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs McCrary/Rand · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 68% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Shekar/Inn · w/ David Litvinov · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 9-11 · vs Shekar/Inn · w/ David Litvinov · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Fowler/Madsen · w/ David Litvinov · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-7 · vs Fowler/Madsen · w/ David Litvinov · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 12-15 · vs Gonnering/Anderson · w/ David Litvinov · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Kozenyatko/Medina · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 82% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kozenyatko/Medina · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 82% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 9-15 · vs Carlon/Wade · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 15-6 · vs Machek/Barron · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 63% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 2-11 · vs Powell/Diskin · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Powell/Diskin · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kotnana/Hared · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kotnana/Hared · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 12-15 · vs Flippin/Hu · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 3-15 · vs Hanks/Camras · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 0-11 · vs Faletto/Trevino · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 24% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Faletto/Trevino · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 24% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Stafford/Pereyra · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Stafford/Pereyra · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Stafford/Pereyra · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Iii/Golberg · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Iii/Golberg · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-8 · vs Alhouni/Arnold · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 44% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Alhouni/Arnold · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 44% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Alhouni/Arnold · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 44% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mercado/Tran · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mercado/Tran · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs McCaffrey/Neils · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs McCaffrey/Neils · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Sacca/Hewett · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 43% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Sacca/Hewett · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 43% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Sacca/Hewett · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 43% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Grigoriu/Varon · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Grigoriu/Varon · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ruiz/Sodersten · w/ Patrik Kevin Tsati-Onla · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ruiz/Sodersten · w/ Patrik Kevin Tsati-Onla · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs El-Zarif/Varon · w/ Patrik Kevin Tsati-Onla · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs El-Zarif/Varon · w/ Patrik Kevin Tsati-Onla · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Wei/Klinger · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 25% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wei/Klinger · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 25% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Dancuart/Kalsarieva · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 28% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Dancuart/Kalsarieva · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 28% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Zilys/Stanchev · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 46% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Zilys/Stanchev · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 46% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Zilys/Stanchev · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 46% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Zverkovsky/Wen · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Zverkovsky/Wen · w/ Matt Burkhardt · model expected 62% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 6–4 60% 9.0–7.3 2025 PPA 31–15 67% 10.0–7.2 2026 PPA 50–41 55% 9.0–8.1
6–8
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
7–10
overtime games (past the target)
50
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+4.5 (+4.0…+5.0)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
213 pro singles games
140–73
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Rafael Lenhard 57 42–15 61% +0.45 ±0.50 (noise) Alexandra Valenstein 22 9–13 47% +0.07 ±0.51 (noise) Matt Burkhardt 13 8–5 51% -0.02 ±0.50 (noise) Bryan Hammond 10 6–4 55% +0.05 ±0.49 (noise) Eli Steiner 7 4–3 56% +0.03 ±0.50 (noise) Armaan Jiwa Mawji 7 5–2 60% -0.09 ±0.50 (noise) Luc Pham 6 4–2 59% -0.08 ±0.49 (noise) Ryan Eveloff 5 2–3 52% -0.02 ±0.51 (noise) Miles Hoover 5 2–3 46% -0.14 ±0.52 (noise) David Litvinov 5 2–3 48% -0.11 ±0.52 (noise) Patrik Kevin Tsati-Onla 4 2–2 48% +0.03 ±0.54 (noise) Danny Derry 3 1–2 46% +0.00 ±0.50 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-05 PPA · mens Matt Burkhardt Zverkovsky/Wen 11-2 +22% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Matt Burkhardt Zverkovsky/Wen 12-10 OT-8% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Matt Burkhardt Zilys/Stanchev 0-11 -46% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Matt Burkhardt Zilys/Stanchev 11-8 +12% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Matt Burkhardt Zilys/Stanchev 12-14 OT -0% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Alexandra Valenstein Dancuart/Kalsarieva 3-11 -7% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Alexandra Valenstein Dancuart/Kalsarieva 6-11 +7% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Alexandra Valenstein Wei/Klinger 5-11 +6% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Alexandra Valenstein Wei/Klinger 8-11 +17% 2026-09-29 PPA · mens Patrik Kevin Tsati-Onla El-Zarif/Varon 8-11 +8% 2026-09-29 PPA · mens Patrik Kevin Tsati-Onla El-Zarif/Varon 2-11 -19% 2026-09-29 PPA · mens Patrik Kevin Tsati-Onla Ruiz/Sodersten 11-3 +24%
Put Troy in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.