Jay Evans M
mens 25–67 · mixed 3–25
-3.8 (-5.4…-1.7)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#285
of 286 active men (within gender only)
28–92
career record · 23% wins, 38% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · -2.9 pts (90% band -5.0 to -0.2) 2024-02 · -2.9 pts (90% band -5.0 to -0.4) 2024-03 · -3.0 pts (90% band -5.0 to -0.4) 2024-04 · -3.0 pts (90% band -5.0 to -0.6) 2024-05 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.9 to -0.6) 2024-06 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.9 to -0.7) 2024-07 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.9 to -0.8) 2024-08 · -3.1 pts (90% band -4.8 to -0.9) 2024-09 · -3.1 pts (90% band -4.8 to -1.0) 2024-10 · -3.1 pts (90% band -4.7 to -1.1) 2024-11 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.7 to -1.1) 2024-12 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.7 to -1.1) 2025-01 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.6 to -1.2) 2025-02 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.4 to -1.3) 2025-03 · -3.0 pts (90% band -4.3 to -1.3) 2025-04 · -2.8 pts (90% band -4.1 to -1.3) 2025-05 · -2.8 pts (90% band -4.0 to -1.3) 2025-06 · -2.9 pts (90% band -4.2 to -1.5) 2025-07 · -3.1 pts (90% band -4.4 to -1.7) 2025-08 · -3.4 pts (90% band -4.6 to -2.0) 2025-09 · -3.5 pts (90% band -4.8 to -2.1) 2025-10 · -3.6 pts (90% band -4.8 to -2.3) 2025-11 · -3.6 pts (90% band -4.8 to -2.3) 2025-12 · -3.6 pts (90% band -4.8 to -2.2) 2026-01 · -3.6 pts (90% band -4.8 to -2.2) 2026-02 · -3.6 pts (90% band -4.8 to -2.2) 2026-03 · -3.6 pts (90% band -4.9 to -2.2) 2026-04 · -3.6 pts (90% band -4.9 to -2.1) 2026-05 · -3.6 pts (90% band -4.9 to -2.0) 2026-06 · -3.7 pts (90% band -5.1 to -2.0) 2026-07 · -3.7 pts (90% band -5.2 to -2.0) 2026-08 · -3.8 pts (90% band -5.2 to -2.0) 2026-09 · -3.8 pts (90% band -5.3 to -1.9) 2026-10 · -3.8 pts (90% band -5.4 to -1.7) -4 -2 +0 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-08-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Maris/Maris · w/ Aleck Blair · model expected 42% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Maris/Maris · w/ Aleck Blair · model expected 42% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hurley/Bass · w/ Aleck Blair · model expected 37% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Hurley/Bass · w/ Aleck Blair · model expected 37% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Lee/Danganan · w/ Aleck Blair · model expected 50% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Lee/Danganan · w/ Aleck Blair · model expected 50% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Vilchez/Chrysostom · w/ Aleck Blair · model expected 30% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 0-11 · vs Vilchez/Chrysostom · w/ Aleck Blair · model expected 30% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tomas/Batalla · w/ Andrew Astalos · model expected 41% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Tomas/Batalla · w/ Andrew Astalos · model expected 41% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Croker/Hix · w/ Tristan Watson · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Croker/Hix · w/ Tristan Watson · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 4-15 · vs Boyle/Wetherell · w/ Tristan Watson · model expected 27% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Okelley/Lateko · w/ Kendall Hunt · model expected 61% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Okelley/Lateko · w/ Kendall Hunt · model expected 61% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johanson/Rosner · w/ Kendall Hunt · model expected 25% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johanson/Rosner · w/ Kendall Hunt · model expected 25% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 1-15 · vs Fleming/Blocker · w/ Kendall Hunt · model expected 39% of points 2025-04-05 PPA · 15-8 · vs Gonzalez/Parungao · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 52% of points 2025-04-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Bilbao/Jr · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 46% of points 2025-04-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Bilbao/Jr · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 46% of points 2025-04-05 PPA · 15-5 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 44% of points 2025-04-05 PPA · 8-15 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 39% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 9-15 · vs Dipaola/Barron · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 39% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kim/Guy · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 40% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kim/Guy · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 40% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Kim/Guy · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 40% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 15-3 · vs Risi/Delgaizo · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 64% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Clark/Porterfield · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Clark/Porterfield · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 6-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Ava Pisacrita · model expected 29% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 8-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Ava Pisacrita · model expected 29% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 1-15 · vs Conard/Benitez · w/ Ava Pisacrita · model expected 26% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Dugas/Graham · w/ Jemere Plummer · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Marando/Dunigan · w/ Jemere Plummer · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Marando/Dunigan · w/ Jemere Plummer · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 6-15 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ Jemere Plummer · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Protzek/Braham · w/ Jemere Plummer · model expected 27% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Protzek/Braham · w/ Jemere Plummer · model expected 27% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Protzek/Braham · w/ Jemere Plummer · model expected 27% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 15-9 · vs Landheer/Walker · w/ Jemere Plummer · model expected 54% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 15-4 · vs Gregoire/Tom · w/ Jemere Plummer · model expected 61% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 11-15 · vs Metzold/Astbury · w/ Eva Kohutova · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ullmann/Call · w/ Eva Kohutova · model expected 38% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ullmann/Call · w/ Eva Kohutova · model expected 38% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ullmann/Call · w/ Eva Kohutova · model expected 38% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 15-11 · vs Carney/Clark · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 46% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 7-11 · vs Funemizu/Goins · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 18% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Funemizu/Goins · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 18% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Toth/Slade · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 51% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Jones/Rush · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Jones/Rush · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 48% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 5-15 · vs Eaby/Medina · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 35% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 2-11 · vs Protzek/Goins · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 18% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 0-11 · vs Protzek/Goins · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 18% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Marquez/Garcia · w/ George Rangelov · model expected 37% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Marquez/Garcia · w/ George Rangelov · model expected 37% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Risi/Schwarzmann · w/ Kyle Borawski · model expected 43% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Risi/Schwarzmann · w/ Kyle Borawski · model expected 43% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 0-15 · vs Dages/Burkhardt · w/ Noah Ivey · model expected 30% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 1-11 · vs Steiner/Frank · w/ Noah Ivey · model expected 19% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 0-11 · vs Steiner/Frank · w/ Noah Ivey · model expected 19% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 4-15 · vs Minniefield/Shaffer · w/ Kendall Hunt · model expected 27% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Wynne/Mogle · w/ Kendall Hunt · model expected 22% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wynne/Mogle · w/ Kendall Hunt · model expected 22% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Gonnering/Berryman · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 34% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Gonnering/Berryman · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 34% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wilhelm/Hsieh · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 52% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wilhelm/Hsieh · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 52% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 13-15 · vs Pratt/Woog · w/ Tristan Watson · model expected 32% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 2-11 · vs Hill/Johnson · w/ Tristan Watson · model expected 33% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hill/Johnson · w/ Tristan Watson · model expected 33% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lucci/Davis · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 48% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Lucci/Davis · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 48% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Lucci/Davis · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 48% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Simon/Dickson · w/ Louise Kwong · model expected 28% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 3-11 · vs Simon/Dickson · w/ Louise Kwong · model expected 28% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Glowaki/Chamberlin · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Glowaki/Chamberlin · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Glowaki/Chamberlin · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Goins/Leonard · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 19% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Goins/Leonard · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 19% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 15-6 · vs Herminas/Garcia · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 6-15 · vs Slive/Mody · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 24% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 1-15 · vs Ford/Ford · w/ Katie Mell · model expected 22% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tomassi/Warren · w/ Katie Mell · model expected 17% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tomassi/Warren · w/ Katie Mell · model expected 17% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Almeida/Hall · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 33% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Almeida/Hall · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 33% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 9-15 · vs Jeske/Yoshikata · w/ Thomas Provost · model expected 30% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Herminas/Castillo · w/ Thomas Provost · model expected 36% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Herminas/Castillo · w/ Thomas Provost · model expected 36% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Nunez/Parks · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Nunez/Parks · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rau/Slive · w/ Eileen Wang · model expected 30% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rau/Slive · w/ Eileen Wang · model expected 30% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 7-15 · vs Caulfield/Kusmider · w/ Tristan Watson · model expected 27% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Hill · w/ Tristan Watson · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 11-9 · vs Johnson/Hill · w/ Tristan Watson · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Hill · w/ Tristan Watson · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Baravik/Huang · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 1-11 · vs Steiner/Yates · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 20% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Steiner/Yates · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 20% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-2 · vs Castillo/Castillo · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 11-1 · vs Castillo/Castillo · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 7-15 · vs Bacalla/Drost · w/ Devon Sikora · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 12-15 · vs Leonard/Rettke · w/ Katie O'Riley · model expected 36% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Kheireddin/Ho · w/ Katie O'Riley · model expected 34% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 1-11 · vs Kheireddin/Ho · w/ Katie O'Riley · model expected 34% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs McRee/Metor · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs McRee/Metor · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 3-15 · vs Garcia/Greiner · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 40% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 5-15 · vs Smith/Radionov · w/ Madelyn Porter · model expected 35% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kim/Lu · w/ Madelyn Porter · model expected 28% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 1-11 · vs Kim/Lu · w/ Madelyn Porter · model expected 28% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 3-15 · vs Shaw/Moreno · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 25% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wimbish/Guiltinan · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 31% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Wimbish/Guiltinan · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 31% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 3-11 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 24% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 3-11 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ William Hsieh · model expected 24% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 2–6 25% 7.1–11.1 2025 PPA 19–50 28% 7.4–10.7 2026 PPA 7–36 16% 5.6–11.0
1–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
5–8
overtime games (past the target)
8
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-15
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-5.2 (-5.9…-4.6)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
107 pro singles games
32–75
singles record · last 2026-08
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Matthew Finnerty 21 7–14 46% +0.17 ±0.49 (noise) William Hsieh 19 3–16 35% +0.05 ±0.50 (noise) Devon Sikora 13 6–7 48% +0.10 ±0.48 (noise) Tristan Watson 10 1–9 32% -0.02 ±0.52 (noise) Jemere Plummer 9 6–3 53% +0.19 ±0.51 (noise) Aleck Blair 8 2–6 39% -0.08 ±0.47 (noise) Kendall Hunt 8 2–6 33% -0.08 ±0.53 (noise) Eva Kohutova 4 1–3 40% +0.06 ±0.53 (noise) Ava Pisacrita 3 0–3 29% +0.01 ±0.51 (noise) Noah Ivey 3 0–3 3% -0.15 ±0.49 (noise) Katie Mell 3 0–3 12% -0.05 ±0.51 (noise) Thomas Provost 3 0–3 29% -0.03 ±0.51 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-08-31 PPA · mens William Hsieh Chi/Messinger 3-11 -2% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens William Hsieh Chi/Messinger 3-11 -2% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens William Hsieh Wimbish/Guiltinan 8-11 +11% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens William Hsieh Wimbish/Guiltinan 2-11 -15% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens William Hsieh Shaw/Moreno 3-15 -8% 2026-07-19 PPA · mixed Madelyn Porter Kim/Lu 1-11 -19% 2026-07-19 PPA · mixed Madelyn Porter Kim/Lu 8-11 +14% 2026-07-19 PPA · mixed Madelyn Porter Smith/Radionov 5-15 -10% 2026-07-18 PPA · mens William Hsieh Garcia/Greiner 3-15 -23% 2026-07-18 PPA · mens William Hsieh McRee/Metor 9-11 +9% 2026-07-18 PPA · mens William Hsieh McRee/Metor 8-11 +6% 2026-05-31 PPA · mixed Katie O'Riley Kheireddin/Ho 1-11 -26%
Put Jay in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.