Matthew Finnerty M
mens 44–85 · mixed 33–36
+1.4 (+0.0…+2.6)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#237
of 286 active men (within gender only)
77–121
career record · 39% wins, 46% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.9) 2024-02 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.8) 2024-03 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.8) 2024-04 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.8) 2024-05 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.8) 2024-06 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.7) 2024-07 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.7) 2024-08 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.7) 2024-09 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.6) 2024-10 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.6) 2024-11 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.5) 2024-12 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.5) 2025-01 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.4) 2025-02 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.4) 2025-03 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.3) 2025-04 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.3) 2025-05 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.2) 2025-06 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.2) 2025-07 · +1.1 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.2) 2025-08 · +1.1 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.2) 2025-09 · +1.1 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.2) 2025-10 · +1.2 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.3) 2025-11 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.3) 2025-12 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.4) 2026-01 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +2.5) 2026-02 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +2.4) 2026-03 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +2.5) 2026-04 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +2.5) 2026-05 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.4) 2026-06 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.4) 2026-07 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.5) 2026-08 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.5) 2026-09 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.5) 2026-10 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.6) -2 +0 +2 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-03-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gray/Zverkovsky · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 58% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 1-11 · vs Gray/Zverkovsky · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 58% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gray/Zverkovsky · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 58% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 11-1 · vs Fuhrman/Milton · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 64% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Fuhrman/Milton · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 64% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Frank/Steiner · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 32% of points 2025-03-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Frank/Steiner · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 32% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 6-11 · vs Fu/Navratil · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 25% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 0-11 · vs Fu/Navratil · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 25% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 4-15 · vs Boyle/Wetherell · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 40% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 0-11 · vs Delgado/Perez · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 35% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Delgado/Perez · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 35% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs B/Allen · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 83% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-1 · vs B/Allen · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 83% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 6-15 · vs Haymore/Angulo · w/ Emily Elliott · model expected 31% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Long/Hamaguchi · w/ Emily Elliott · model expected 22% of points 2025-03-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Long/Hamaguchi · w/ Emily Elliott · model expected 22% of points 2025-04-05 PPA · 15-8 · vs Gonzalez/Parungao · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 52% of points 2025-04-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Bilbao/Jr · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 46% of points 2025-04-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Bilbao/Jr · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 46% of points 2025-04-05 PPA · 15-5 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 44% of points 2025-04-05 PPA · 8-15 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 39% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 9-15 · vs Dipaola/Barron · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 39% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kim/Guy · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 40% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kim/Guy · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 40% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Kim/Guy · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 40% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 15-3 · vs Risi/Delgaizo · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 64% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Clark/Porterfield · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Clark/Porterfield · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs III/Mitchell · w/ Frank Solana · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs III/Mitchell · w/ Frank Solana · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs III/Mitchell · w/ Frank Solana · model expected 57% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Nsekpong/Bricker · w/ Frank Solana · model expected 38% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Nsekpong/Bricker · w/ Frank Solana · model expected 38% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 19-21 (OT) · vs Feyereisen/Chafloque · w/ Adam Kework · model expected 51% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Cabieses/Conde · w/ Adam Kework · model expected 50% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Cabieses/Conde · w/ Adam Kework · model expected 50% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Heiner/Thorn · w/ Joel Cassens · model expected 55% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Heiner/Thorn · w/ Joel Cassens · model expected 55% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Heiner/Thorn · w/ Joel Cassens · model expected 55% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 3-15 · vs Burkhardt/Bhargava · w/ Joel Cassens · model expected 40% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 15-11 · vs Carney/Clark · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 46% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 7-11 · vs Funemizu/Goins · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 18% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Funemizu/Goins · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 18% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Toth/Slade · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 51% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-6 · vs Copetti/Conde · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 55% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-2 · vs Copetti/Conde · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 55% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 4-11 · vs Lee/Lohani · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 22% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 2-11 · vs Lee/Lohani · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 22% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 10-15 · vs Labat/Olson · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 35% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Jones/Rush · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Jones/Rush · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 13-15 · vs Kikkawa/Buchhauser · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 33% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Burrows/Beasley · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 21% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 1-11 · vs Burrows/Beasley · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 21% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 15-13 · vs Castro/Basurto · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 47% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 11-3 · vs McConnell/Galvez · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 51% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 11-9 · vs McConnell/Galvez · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 51% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 0-15 · vs Dunlap/Mercado · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 36% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 0-11 · vs Igleski/Protzek · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 33% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Igleski/Protzek · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 33% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 15-5 · vs Weston/Buchhauser · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 60% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 15-11 · vs Gordon/Gordon · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 53% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bernstein/Burrows · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bernstein/Burrows · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 15-7 · vs Tichenor/Deza · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 55% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bonilla/Yee · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 34% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bonilla/Yee · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 34% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 5-15 · vs Eaby/Medina · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 35% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 2-11 · vs Protzek/Goins · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 18% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 0-11 · vs Protzek/Goins · w/ Jay Evans · model expected 18% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bryant/Blocker · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 35% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bryant/Blocker · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 35% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Gonnering/Berryman · w/ Raymond Lawton · model expected 35% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Gonnering/Berryman · w/ Raymond Lawton · model expected 35% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs Borawski/Harris · w/ Hudson Kaylie · model expected 55% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Borawski/Harris · w/ Hudson Kaylie · model expected 55% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 1-11 · vs Aiken/Betita · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 40% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Aiken/Betita · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 40% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Aiken/Betita · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 40% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Kusmider/Caulfield · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 29% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 7-11 · vs Kusmider/Caulfield · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 29% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 13-15 · vs Moore/Weinberg · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 45% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Herrick/Shin · w/ Arianna Raga · model expected 48% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Herrick/Shin · w/ Arianna Raga · model expected 48% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Higginson/Greenlaw · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 32% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Higginson/Greenlaw · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 32% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rettke/Hoover · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 28% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rettke/Hoover · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 28% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 7-15 · vs Zoeteman/Mulenga · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 44% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Greenlaw/Braga · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Greenlaw/Braga · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Greenlaw/Braga · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 15-4 · vs Sikora/Jr. · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 54% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wan/Burkhardt · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wan/Burkhardt · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wan/Burkhardt · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 12-15 · vs Vries/Gutierrez · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 9-15 · vs Brown/Lee · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 39% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 15-7 · vs Vries/Diskin · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 46% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Lenhard/Ingram · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 1-11 · vs Lenhard/Ingram · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-1 · vs Trifunovic/Nemoff · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 62% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Trifunovic/Nemoff · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 62% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Goodnow/Messinger · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-25 PPA · 11-6 · vs Goodnow/Messinger · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-6 · vs Iii/Aurelio · w/ Mikar Larenzo Fisher · model expected 61% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 3-15 · vs Protzek/Mack · w/ Mikar Larenzo Fisher · model expected 30% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-10 · vs Alto/Kim · w/ Mikar Larenzo Fisher · model expected 51% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Pham/Dagnall · w/ Mikar Larenzo Fisher · model expected 40% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Pham/Dagnall · w/ Mikar Larenzo Fisher · model expected 40% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Krittayaweth/Venkatesan · w/ Mikar Larenzo Fisher · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Krittayaweth/Venkatesan · w/ Mikar Larenzo Fisher · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Krittayaweth/Venkatesan · w/ Mikar Larenzo Fisher · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 9-11 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-5 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 7-11 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 7-15 · vs Diskin/Radermacher · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-0 · vs Aurelio/Yung · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 57% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 6-11 · vs Aurelio/Yung · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 57% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-9 · vs Aurelio/Yung · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Lewis/Paque · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Lewis/Paque · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bradstreet/Shinkaretzky · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 42% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bradstreet/Shinkaretzky · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 42% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Everhart/Kurki · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Everhart/Kurki · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Lutz/Gutierrez · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 56% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Lutz/Gutierrez · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 56% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lutz/Gutierrez · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 56% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs White/Miron · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs White/Miron · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs White/Miron · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Jacobson/Williams · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jacobson/Williams · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jacobson/Williams · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Frantova/III · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 35% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Frantova/III · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 35% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 51% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 51% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 10-15 · vs Chassang/Harbaugh · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Albors/Kane · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Albors/Kane · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Albors/Kane · w/ Matthew Mead · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 15-6 · vs Camras/Insani · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 15-4 · vs Miron/Ulery · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 41% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Grgan/McRee · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Grgan/McRee · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 3-11 · vs Grgan/McRee · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 15-13 · vs Lu/Vallejo · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 0-15 · vs Emmrich/Delgado · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 32% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 15-12 · vs Marto/Albors · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 15-13 · vs Ferguson/Eaby · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 44% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 15-13 · vs Machek/Medina · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 58% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 11-15 · vs Jacobson/Morris · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 33% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 0-11 · vs Whitehead/Caldarella · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 34% of points 2026-06-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Whitehead/Caldarella · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 34% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ingram/Ayon · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 39% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ingram/Ayon · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 39% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Hoover/Minniefield · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Cosma/Edwards · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Cosma/Edwards · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-14 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Cosma/Edwards · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs Burnel/Rinck · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Burnel/Rinck · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Burnel/Rinck · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 7-15 · vs Morris/Ayon · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 44% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 15-8 · vs Dipietro/Lattman · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 77% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 15-11 · vs Berryman/Rettke · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-15 · vs Burnel/Banada · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 37% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Taylor/Gordon · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Taylor/Gordon · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Taylor/Gordon · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Stratman/Arnold · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 28% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Stratman/Arnold · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 28% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 15-10 · vs Rettke/Cook · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Inn/Shekar · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Inn/Shekar · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Boydston/Suard · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Boydston/Suard · w/ Chuck Taylor · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ganesh/Stanchev · w/ Liam Duffin · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ganesh/Stanchev · w/ Liam Duffin · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Diaz/Sodersten · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 67% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Diaz/Sodersten · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 67% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Stanchev/Ampon · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 42% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 2-11 · vs Stanchev/Ampon · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 42% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Stanchev/Ampon · w/ Janet Liu · model expected 42% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Widdershoven/Emmrich · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 23% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Widdershoven/Emmrich · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 23% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Maguire/Messinger · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Maguire/Messinger · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Jakovljevic/Harvey · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Harvey · w/ Daniel Phillips · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Slagill/Nair · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Slagill/Nair · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Woog/Gonnering · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 9-11 · vs Woog/Gonnering · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Woog/Gonnering · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 50% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 27–60 31% 7.7–10.2 2026 PPA 50–61 45% 9.1–9.6
10–10
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
7–14
overtime games (past the target)
25
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+5.3 (+4.9…+5.7)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
286 pro singles games
190–96
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-12 PPA · mens Daniel Miron Woog/Gonnering 7-11 -11% 2026-10-12 PPA · mens Daniel Miron Woog/Gonnering 9-11 -5% 2026-10-12 PPA · mens Daniel Miron Woog/Gonnering 11-9 +5% 2026-10-12 PPA · mens Daniel Miron Slagill/Nair 11-6 -1% 2026-10-12 PPA · mens Daniel Miron Slagill/Nair 11-6 -1% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Daniel Phillips Jakovljevic/Harvey 3-11 -14% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Daniel Phillips Jakovljevic/Harvey 11-13 OT +10% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Anna Lenhart Maguire/Messinger 11-8 +8% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Anna Lenhart Maguire/Messinger 12-10 OT+4% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Anna Lenhart Widdershoven/Emmrich 2-11 -8% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Anna Lenhart Widdershoven/Emmrich 6-11 +12% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Janet Liu Stanchev/Ampon 3-11 -21%
Put Matthew in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.