Joel Cassens M
mens 27–21 · mixed 9–9
+2.0 (+0.2…+3.7)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#215
of 286 active men (within gender only)
36–30
career record · 55% wins, 52% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.4) 2024-02 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.4) 2024-03 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.5) 2024-04 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.5) 2024-05 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.5) 2024-06 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.5) 2024-07 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.5) 2024-08 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.5) 2024-09 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.5) 2024-10 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.5) 2024-11 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.4 to +3.5) 2024-12 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.3 to +3.5) 2025-01 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.5) 2025-02 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.1 to +3.5) 2025-03 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.0 to +3.4) 2025-04 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.0 to +3.4) 2025-05 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.1 to +3.4) 2025-06 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.5) 2025-07 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.5) 2025-08 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.5) 2025-09 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.5) 2025-10 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.6) 2025-11 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.6) 2025-12 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.6) 2026-01 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.6) 2026-02 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.6) 2026-03 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.6) 2026-04 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.6) 2026-05 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.6) 2026-06 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.6) 2026-07 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.6) 2026-08 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.5) 2026-09 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.6) 2026-10 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.7) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-02-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Eveloff/Hovenier · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 53% of points 2024-02-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Eveloff/Hovenier · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 53% of points 2024-02-21 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Eveloff/Hovenier · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 53% of points 2024-03-06 PPA · 11-1 · vs Kasay/Dutrieuille · w/ Jose Gomez · model expected 67% of points 2024-03-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kasay/Dutrieuille · w/ Jose Gomez · model expected 67% of points 2024-03-06 PPA · 11-2 · vs Zumwalt/Gonnering · w/ Jose Gomez · model expected 64% of points 2024-03-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Zumwalt/Gonnering · w/ Jose Gomez · model expected 64% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 15-6 · vs Grausnick/Thompson · w/ Jose Gomez · model expected 65% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 15-12 · vs Khan/Garza · w/ Jose Gomez · model expected 59% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Duong/Duong · w/ Jose Gomez · model expected 43% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Duong/Duong · w/ Jose Gomez · model expected 43% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 4-15 · vs Campbell/Alhouni · w/ Jose Gomez · model expected 44% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Heiner/Thorn · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 55% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Heiner/Thorn · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 55% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Heiner/Thorn · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 55% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 3-15 · vs Burkhardt/Bhargava · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 40% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Schaadt/Adams · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 61% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-5 · vs Schaadt/Adams · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 61% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 6-11 · vs Benitez/Alhouni · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 36% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 9-11 · vs Benitez/Alhouni · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 36% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mogle/Romano · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 44% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-5 · vs Mogle/Romano · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 44% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-15 · vs Alhouni/Weinbach · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 50% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Rezabek/Radermacher · w/ Bailey Rezabek · model expected 49% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rezabek/Radermacher · w/ Bailey Rezabek · model expected 49% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Rezabek/Radermacher · w/ Bailey Rezabek · model expected 49% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Degroot/Adams · w/ Bailey Rezabek · model expected 72% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Degroot/Adams · w/ Bailey Rezabek · model expected 72% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Sonday/Lee · w/ Bailey Rezabek · model expected 34% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Sonday/Lee · w/ Bailey Rezabek · model expected 34% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 4-15 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Bailey Rezabek · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-3 · vs Tacheny/Jr. · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 65% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Tacheny/Jr. · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 65% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Valencia/Watje · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 62% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Valencia/Watje · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 62% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Gomez/Cruz · w/ Alexis Hayden · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Gomez/Cruz · w/ Alexis Hayden · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Gomez/Cruz · w/ Alexis Hayden · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 2-11 · vs Morris/Teoni · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-9 · vs Morris/Teoni · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-4 · vs Morris/Teoni · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ge/Garnett · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 28% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ge/Garnett · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 28% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Weinbach/George · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Weinbach/George · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Weinbach/George · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 13-15 · vs Chi/Brown · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Steiner/Barlow · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 41% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Steiner/Barlow · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 41% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 1-11 · vs Steiner/Barlow · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 41% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Baravik/Medina · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 66% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Baravik/Medina · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 66% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Barber/Hayden · w/ Jamie Voelker · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Barber/Hayden · w/ Jamie Voelker · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ajani/Camras · w/ Jamie Voelker · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ajani/Camras · w/ Jamie Voelker · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 8-15 · vs Khalid/Wynne · w/ Jamie Voelker · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Taylor/Beré · w/ Jamie Voelker · model expected 67% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-9 · vs Taylor/Beré · w/ Jamie Voelker · model expected 67% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Gonnering/Geminiani · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 54% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gonnering/Geminiani · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 54% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Iii/Golberg · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 52% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Iii/Golberg · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 52% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Iii/Golberg · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 52% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Pham/Emmrich · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 38% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Pham/Emmrich · w/ Mike Radermacher · model expected 38% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 7–5 58% 9.5–7.9 2025 PPA 9–10 47% 8.4–9.2 2026 PPA 20–15 57% 9.2–8.3
4–4
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
3–2
overtime games (past the target)
20
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-2.6 (-6.4…+2.7)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
projected
no singles record — projected from doubles, selection-corrected
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Mike Radermacher 32 19–13 53% +0.18 ±0.52 (noise) Jose Gomez 9 6–3 58% +0.02 ±0.50 (noise) Bailey Rezabek 8 4–4 48% -0.03 ±0.49 (noise) Jamie Voelker 7 4–3 54% -0.02 ±0.48 (noise) Matthew Finnerty 4 1–3 36% -0.12 ±0.50 (noise) Mota Alhouni 3 1–2 45% -0.03 ±0.49 (noise) Alexis Hayden 3 1–2 45% +0.01 ±0.50 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-07 PPA · mens Mike Radermacher Pham/Emmrich 5-11 -7% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Mike Radermacher Pham/Emmrich 5-11 -7% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Mike Radermacher Iii/Golberg 11-8 +6% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Mike Radermacher Iii/Golberg 12-10 OT+3% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Mike Radermacher Iii/Golberg 11-13 OT -6% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Mike Radermacher Gonnering/Geminiani 11-3 +24% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Mike Radermacher Gonnering/Geminiani 11-4 +19% 2026-08-02 PPA · mixed Jamie Voelker Taylor/Beré 11-9 -12% 2026-08-02 PPA · mixed Jamie Voelker Taylor/Beré 11-5 +2% 2026-08-02 PPA · mixed Jamie Voelker Khalid/Wynne 8-15 -14% 2026-08-02 PPA · mixed Jamie Voelker Ajani/Camras 8-11 -8% 2026-08-02 PPA · mixed Jamie Voelker Ajani/Camras 9-11 -5%
Put Joel in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.