Francis Chi M
mens 31–29 · mixed 21–22
+4.1 (+2.9…+5.1)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#72
of 286 active men (within gender only)
52–51
career record · 50% wins, 51% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.4 pts (90% band -0.1 to +4.5) 2024-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.0 to +4.5) 2024-03 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.5) 2024-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.5) 2024-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.5) 2024-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.5) 2024-07 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.5) 2024-08 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.5) 2024-09 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.5) 2024-10 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.5) 2024-11 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.5) 2024-12 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.5) 2025-01 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.5) 2025-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.5) 2025-03 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.5) 2025-04 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.5) 2025-05 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.5) 2025-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.5) 2025-07 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.5) 2025-08 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.5) 2025-09 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.6) 2025-10 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.6) 2025-11 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.6) 2025-12 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.6) 2026-01 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.6) 2026-02 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.6) 2026-03 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.6) 2026-04 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.7) 2026-05 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.7) 2026-06 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.7) 2026-07 · +3.9 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.8) 2026-08 · +4.0 pts (90% band +3.0 to +4.9) 2026-09 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.0) 2026-10 · +4.1 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.1) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-06-28 PPA · 9-15 · vs Naydenov/Neufeldt · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 56% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Mogle/Romano · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 45% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Mogle/Romano · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Machek/Lees · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 67% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Machek/Lees · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 67% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bakalinsky/Maldonado · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 44% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bakalinsky/Maldonado · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 44% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Angelo/Newcombe · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Angelo/Newcombe · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 47% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs Burnel/Rinck · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Burnel/Rinck · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Burnel/Rinck · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 7-15 · vs Morris/Ayon · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 44% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 15-8 · vs Dipietro/Lattman · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 77% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 15-11 · vs Berryman/Rettke · w/ Matthew Finnerty · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Burnel/Banada · w/ Eileen Wang · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Burnel/Banada · w/ Eileen Wang · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Burnel/Banada · w/ Eileen Wang · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 9-15 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Eileen Wang · model expected 52% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Khalid/Wynne · w/ Eileen Wang · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Khalid/Wynne · w/ Eileen Wang · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Scarpa/Butler · w/ Eileen Wang · model expected 42% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Scarpa/Butler · w/ Eileen Wang · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Perez/Woog · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 57% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Perez/Woog · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 57% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Perez/Woog · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 57% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 7-15 · vs Dancuart/Torresin · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 44% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs McCartney/Alhouni · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 64% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs McCartney/Alhouni · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 64% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs McCartney/Alhouni · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 64% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-0 · vs Thompson/Cooley · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 76% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Thompson/Cooley · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 76% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 15-4 · vs Gibbs/D · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 62% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs El-Zarif/Grigoriu · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 37% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs El-Zarif/Grigoriu · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 37% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Daehler/Araya · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 56% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 6-15 · vs Policare/Rosa · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 33% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 15-8 · vs Ricardo/Plummer · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 15-9 · vs McGowan/Mody · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 15-9 · vs Everhart/Tsati-Onla · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 67% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-15 · vs Zilys/Stanchev · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 39% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 15-13 · vs Radermacher/Cassens · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 15-13 · vs Pereyra/Landheer · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 15-5 · vs W/Feyereisen · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 15-10 · vs Camras/Anderson · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hoover/Varon · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hoover/Varon · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 15-11 · vs Rivas/Labat · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 15-5 · vs Ayotte/Neils · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 15-10 · vs Mercado/Osher · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Morgan/Anderson · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 75% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Morgan/Anderson · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 75% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Ajani/Camras · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bui/Hoover · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Bui/Hoover · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Bui/Hoover · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 10-15 · vs Ayotte/Bakalinsky · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lieberman/Bassett · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Lieberman/Bassett · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Lieberman/Bassett · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 56% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-12 · vs Moore/Wasserman · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-5 · vs Jagtiani/Guy · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-4 · vs Sharma/Suresh · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 12-15 · vs Haywood/Woog · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 41% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs To/Ayon · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs To/Ayon · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ulery/Hoover · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ulery/Hoover · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ulery/Hoover · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-5 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Evans/Hsieh · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Evans/Hsieh · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 76% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs El-Zarif/Preissler · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs El-Zarif/Preissler · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs El-Zarif/Preissler · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Loong/Goins · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 33% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Loong/Goins · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 33% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Radermacher/Traxler · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Radermacher/Traxler · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Circa Luna S · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Vinueza-Daly/Jr. · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Vinueza-Daly/Jr. · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Ge/Sock · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 30% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ge/Sock · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 30% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ge/Sock · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 30% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 7-11 · vs Qi/Whitehead · w/ Jace Howard · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Qi/Whitehead · w/ Jace Howard · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Qi/Whitehead · w/ Jace Howard · model expected 54% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 54% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 54% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 54% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Simson/Ganesh · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Simson/Ganesh · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Yeh/Johnson · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 49% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Yeh/Johnson · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 49% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bar/Irvine · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 34% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bar/Irvine · w/ Mary McGowan · model expected 34% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ge/Bar · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 29% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ge/Bar · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 29% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 0–3 0% 7.0–13.0 2026 PPA 52–48 52% 10.0–9.4
4–9
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
7–9
overtime games (past the target)
15
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+2.0 (+0.8…+3.0)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
47 pro singles games
23–24
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-08 PPA · mens Maverick Messinger Ge/Bar 6-11 +6% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Maverick Messinger Ge/Bar 5-11 +2% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Mary McGowan Bar/Irvine 3-11 -12% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Mary McGowan Bar/Irvine 9-11 +11% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Mary McGowan Yeh/Johnson 11-8 +9% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Mary McGowan Yeh/Johnson 11-8 +9% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Mary McGowan Simson/Ganesh 11-2 +19% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Mary McGowan Simson/Ganesh 11-2 +19% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Mary McGowan Phillips/Phillips 11-8 +4% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Mary McGowan Phillips/Phillips 11-9 +1% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Mary McGowan Phillips/Phillips 8-11 -11% 2026-09-28 PPA · mens Jace Howard Qi/Whitehead 10-12 OT -9%
Put Francis in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.