PICKLES

Natalia Simson W

womens 23–38 · mixed 30–39

-0.6 (-2.3…+0.7)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#192
of 204 active women (within gender only)
53–77
career record · 41% wins, 47% of points
▼▼
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.8 to +2.4)2024-02 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.8 to +2.4)2024-03 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.8 to +2.4)2024-04 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.8 to +2.4)2024-05 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.8 to +2.3)2024-06 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.7 to +2.3)2024-07 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.6 to +2.2)2024-08 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.5 to +2.2)2024-09 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.4 to +2.1)2024-10 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.4 to +2.1)2024-11 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.4 to +2.1)2024-12 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.3 to +2.1)2025-01 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.3 to +2.0)2025-02 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.2 to +2.0)2025-03 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.2 to +2.0)2025-04 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.1 to +1.9)2025-05 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.1 to +1.9)2025-06 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.0 to +1.9)2025-07 · +0.2 pts (90% band -1.9 to +1.8)2025-08 · +0.2 pts (90% band -1.8 to +1.7)2025-09 · +0.3 pts (90% band -1.7 to +1.7)2025-10 · +0.3 pts (90% band -1.5 to +1.6)2025-11 · +0.3 pts (90% band -1.4 to +1.5)2025-12 · +0.3 pts (90% band -1.3 to +1.4)2026-01 · +0.3 pts (90% band -1.1 to +1.3)2026-02 · +0.2 pts (90% band -1.1 to +1.2)2026-03 · +0.2 pts (90% band -1.1 to +1.1)2026-04 · +0.1 pts (90% band -1.1 to +1.0)2026-05 · +0.0 pts (90% band -1.3 to +0.9)2026-06 · -0.1 pts (90% band -1.5 to +0.9)2026-07 · -0.3 pts (90% band -1.7 to +0.8)2026-08 · -0.4 pts (90% band -1.8 to +0.7)2026-09 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.1 to +0.7)2026-10 · -0.6 pts (90% band -2.3 to +0.7)-2+0+2202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2026-01-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Cross/Barber · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 49% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Cross/Barber · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 49% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-0 · vs Cross/Barber · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 49% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Sakkas/Mackie · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 52% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Sakkas/Mackie · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 52% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Kuhlman/Ward · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 59% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kuhlman/Ward · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 59% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Brown/Sidell · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 53% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Brown/Sidell · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 53% of points2026-01-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Brown/Sidell · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 53% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Caruso/Benitez · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 32% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Caruso/Benitez · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 32% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Petropouleas/Okelley · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 52% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Petropouleas/Okelley · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 52% of points2026-01-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Campbell/Morelli · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 30% of points2026-01-14 PPA · 9-11 · vs Campbell/Morelli · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 30% of points2026-01-19 PPA · 3-11 · vs Pagel/Cruz · w/ Molly Griganavicius · model expected 37% of points2026-01-19 PPA · 3-11 · vs Pagel/Cruz · w/ Molly Griganavicius · model expected 37% of points2026-01-19 PPA · 11-8 · vs Johnson/Tonnessen · w/ Molly Griganavicius · model expected 53% of points2026-01-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Tonnessen · w/ Molly Griganavicius · model expected 53% of points2026-01-19 PPA · 11-3 · vs Johnson/Tonnessen · w/ Molly Griganavicius · model expected 53% of points2026-01-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Steiner/Leonard · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 50% of points2026-01-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Steiner/Leonard · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 50% of points2026-01-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pardus/Pogoretskyi · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 73% of points2026-01-19 PPA · 11-1 · vs Pardus/Pogoretskyi · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 73% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Morales/J · w/ Karina Lam · model expected 47% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Morales/J · w/ Karina Lam · model expected 47% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Morales/J · w/ Karina Lam · model expected 47% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bakalinsky/Maldonado · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 44% of points2026-02-16 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bakalinsky/Maldonado · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 44% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Machek/Belle · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 66% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Machek/Belle · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 66% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 0-11 · vs Eugenio/Elpusan · w/ Molly Ticknor · model expected 24% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 5-11 · vs Eugenio/Elpusan · w/ Molly Ticknor · model expected 24% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Neils/Duane · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 61% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Neils/Duane · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 61% of points2026-03-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Neils/Duane · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 61% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Morris/Cosma · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 44% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Morris/Cosma · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 44% of points2026-03-03 PPA · 8-11 · vs Morris/Cosma · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 44% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Martins/Mannarino · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 49% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Martins/Mannarino · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 49% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Martins/Mannarino · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 49% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Williams/Whitaker · w/ Edgaras Zilys · model expected 46% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Williams/Whitaker · w/ Edgaras Zilys · model expected 46% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Donahue/IV · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 51% of points2026-03-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Donahue/IV · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 51% of points2026-03-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Stanciu/Zilveti · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 50% of points2026-03-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Stanciu/Zilveti · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 50% of points2026-03-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Stanciu/Zilveti · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 50% of points2026-03-11 PPA · 0-11 · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 10% of points2026-03-11 PPA · 2-11 · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 10% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 11-2 · vs Wong/Tang · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 45% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wong/Tang · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 45% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wong/Tang · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 45% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 8-11 · vs Goodwin/Thorn · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 60% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 11-3 · vs Goodwin/Thorn · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 60% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 11-6 · vs Goodwin/Thorn · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 60% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 7-11 · vs IV/Turcsany · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 55% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 11-4 · vs IV/Turcsany · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 55% of points2026-03-23 PPA · 4-11 · vs IV/Turcsany · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 55% of points2026-03-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Zilveti/Lohani · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 45% of points2026-03-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Zilveti/Lohani · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 45% of points2026-03-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Minniefield/Phillips · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 32% of points2026-03-25 PPA · 6-11 · vs Minniefield/Phillips · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 32% of points2026-04-18 PPA · 3-15 · vs To/Lu · w/ Monika Wynne · model expected 40% of points2026-04-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lu/Lu · w/ Monika Wynne · model expected 41% of points2026-04-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Lu/Lu · w/ Monika Wynne · model expected 41% of points2026-04-18 PPA · 15-5 · vs Lenhart/Leonard · w/ Monika Wynne · model expected 61% of points2026-04-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Rau/Griffith · w/ Monika Wynne · model expected 41% of points2026-04-18 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Rau/Griffith · w/ Monika Wynne · model expected 41% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Duffin/Monson · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 51% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Duffin/Monson · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 51% of points2026-04-19 PPA · 5-15 · vs Lopez/Regalado · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 41% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Almeida/Downing · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 57% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Almeida/Downing · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 57% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Almeida/Downing · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 57% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Gonnering/Summers · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 50% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Gonnering/Summers · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 50% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gonnering/Summers · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 50% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ayon/Rasmusen · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 39% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ayon/Rasmusen · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 39% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Lund/Ajani · w/ Olga Zavarotnaya · model expected 40% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Lund/Ajani · w/ Olga Zavarotnaya · model expected 40% of points2026-04-28 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wright/Kovalova · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 28% of points2026-04-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wright/Kovalova · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 28% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Kim/Pisacrita · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 43% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Kim/Pisacrita · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 43% of points2026-05-23 PPA · 11-15 · vs Policare/To · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 33% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 3-15 · vs Broker/Policare · w/ Johnny Goldberg · model expected 40% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 15-8 · vs Dehmer/Maguire · w/ Johnny Goldberg · model expected 55% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Klaassen/Duffin · w/ Johnny Goldberg · model expected 39% of points2026-05-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Klaassen/Duffin · w/ Johnny Goldberg · model expected 39% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Gorches/Sethi · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 48% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Gorches/Sethi · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 48% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Gorches/Sethi · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 48% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 10-15 · vs Rivas/Rhoades · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 50% of points2026-08-01 PPA · 15-4 · vs Held/Beré · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 72% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 11-9 · vs Khalid/Wynne · w/ Edgaras Zilys · model expected 46% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Khalid/Wynne · w/ Edgaras Zilys · model expected 46% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 1-11 · vs Sonday/Wade · w/ Edgaras Zilys · model expected 38% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Sonday/Wade · w/ Edgaras Zilys · model expected 38% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Sonday/Wade · w/ Edgaras Zilys · model expected 38% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 9-15 · vs Ayon/Goodnow · w/ Edgaras Zilys · model expected 38% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Johnson/Lieberman · w/ Edgaras Zilys · model expected 63% of points2026-08-02 PPA · 11-9 · vs Johnson/Lieberman · w/ Edgaras Zilys · model expected 63% of points2026-09-19 PPA · 0-11 · vs Newman/Osher · w/ Ariana Ajani · model expected 31% of points2026-09-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Newman/Osher · w/ Ariana Ajani · model expected 31% of points2026-09-20 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Mogle/Brown · w/ Edward Kim · model expected 39% of points2026-09-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang/Iii · w/ Edward Kim · model expected 36% of points2026-09-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Wang/Iii · w/ Edward Kim · model expected 36% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 15-4 · vs Okpe/Berjane · w/ Allie Reichert · model expected 65% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 5-11 · vs Pretorius/Rasmusen · w/ Allie Reichert · model expected 39% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 9-11 · vs Pretorius/Rasmusen · w/ Allie Reichert · model expected 39% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 11-1 · vs Fahey/Smith · w/ Allie Reichert · model expected 65% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 4-11 · vs Fahey/Smith · w/ Allie Reichert · model expected 65% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 11-1 · vs Fahey/Smith · w/ Allie Reichert · model expected 65% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 4-15 · vs Truluck/Klaassen · w/ Allie Reichert · model expected 34% of points2026-09-26 PPA · 15-11 · vs Tran/Mudsam · w/ Allie Reichert · model expected 60% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 7-11 · vs Jacobson/Goodwin · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 56% of points2026-09-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Jacobson/Goodwin · w/ Miles Hoover · model expected 56% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Osher/Carlon · w/ Chloe Diskin · model expected 48% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Osher/Carlon · w/ Chloe Diskin · model expected 48% of points2026-10-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs McGowan/Chi · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 34% of points2026-10-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs McGowan/Chi · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 34% of points2026-10-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Trevino/Sacca · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 33% of points2026-10-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Trevino/Sacca · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 33% of points2026-10-13 PPA · 9-11 · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 33% of points2026-10-13 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 33% of points2026-10-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 33% of points0%25%50%75%100%2026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2026PPA53–7741%8.2–9.1
12–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
4–6
overtime games (past the target)
20
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
6
longest win streak
-1
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-3.5 (-4.4…-2.4)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
46 pro singles games
17–29
singles record · last 2026-10

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Karthik Ganesh2914–1549%+0.03 ±0.50 (noise)
Vritti Sethi106–448%+0.07 ±0.50 (noise)
Edgaras Zilys105–546%-0.04 ±0.47 (noise)
Andre Mercado85–361%+0.09 ±0.49 (noise)
Maverick Messinger84–454%+0.08 ±0.52 (noise)
Allie Reichert84–453%-0.03 ±0.52 (noise)
Caroline Maguire64–257%+0.22 ±0.52 (noise)
Monika Wynne63–351%+0.06 ±0.50 (noise)
Molly Griganavicius52–342%-0.05 ±0.51 (noise)
Rachel Rettger51–439%-0.06 ±0.49 (noise)
Cc Eleven Sacca52–352%-0.00 ±0.50 (noise)
Johnny Goldberg41–341%-0.04 ±0.49 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-10-13PPA · mixedAJ KollerGecheva/Lenhard5-11-2%
2026-10-13PPA · mixedAJ KollerGecheva/Lenhard13-11 OT+21%
2026-10-13PPA · mixedAJ KollerGecheva/Lenhard9-11+12%
2026-10-07PPA · womensJade RauTrevino/Sacca6-11+2%
2026-10-07PPA · womensJade RauTrevino/Sacca6-11+2%
2026-10-05PPA · mixedKarthik GaneshMcGowan/Chi2-11-19%
2026-10-05PPA · mixedKarthik GaneshMcGowan/Chi2-11-19%
2026-09-29PPA · womensChloe DiskinOsher/Carlon6-11-12%
2026-09-29PPA · womensChloe DiskinOsher/Carlon9-11-3%
2026-09-28PPA · mixedMiles HooverJacobson/Goodwin9-11-11%
2026-09-28PPA · mixedMiles HooverJacobson/Goodwin7-11-17%
2026-09-26PPA · womensAllie ReichertTran/Mudsam15-11-2%

Put Natalia in the simulator →