Caroline Maguire W
womens 13–31 · mixed 6–31
+0.1 (-1.8…+1.4)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#179
of 204 active women (within gender only)
19–62
career record · 23% wins, 41% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +0.0 pts (90% band -3.2 to +2.3) 2024-02 · +0.0 pts (90% band -3.1 to +2.3) 2024-03 · +0.1 pts (90% band -3.1 to +2.3) 2024-04 · +0.0 pts (90% band -3.0 to +2.2) 2024-05 · +0.0 pts (90% band -3.0 to +2.2) 2024-06 · +0.0 pts (90% band -3.0 to +2.2) 2024-07 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.9 to +2.2) 2024-08 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.9 to +2.2) 2024-09 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.9 to +2.1) 2024-10 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.8 to +2.1) 2024-11 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.8 to +2.0) 2024-12 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.7 to +2.0) 2025-01 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.7 to +2.0) 2025-02 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.6 to +1.9) 2025-03 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.6 to +1.9) 2025-04 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.8) 2025-05 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.4 to +1.8) 2025-06 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.4 to +1.7) 2025-07 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.3 to +1.7) 2025-08 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.2 to +1.6) 2025-09 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.1 to +1.5) 2025-10 · +0.0 pts (90% band -2.0 to +1.4) 2025-11 · +0.0 pts (90% band -1.9 to +1.4) 2025-12 · +0.1 pts (90% band -1.8 to +1.4) 2026-01 · +0.1 pts (90% band -1.7 to +1.4) 2026-02 · +0.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +1.3) 2026-03 · -0.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +1.2) 2026-04 · -0.1 pts (90% band -1.8 to +1.1) 2026-05 · -0.1 pts (90% band -1.8 to +1.0) 2026-06 · -0.1 pts (90% band -1.7 to +1.0) 2026-07 · -0.1 pts (90% band -1.7 to +1.0) 2026-08 · -0.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +1.1) 2026-09 · +0.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +1.2) 2026-10 · +0.1 pts (90% band -1.8 to +1.4) -2 +0 +2 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-10-06 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hee/Hamaguchi · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 40% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hee/Hamaguchi · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 40% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Gonzalez/Phillips · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 50% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Gonzalez/Phillips · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 50% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Sakkas/Mackie · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Sakkas/Mackie · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Petropouleas/Okelley · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Petropouleas/Okelley · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 7-11 · vs Campbell/Morelli · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 30% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 9-11 · vs Campbell/Morelli · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 30% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Steiner/Donahue · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 37% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Steiner/Donahue · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 37% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Steiner/Donahue · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 37% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lutz/Janssen · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Lutz/Janssen · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Lutz/Janssen · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tang/Kwon · w/ Stephanie Alliev · model expected 29% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 7-11 · vs Tang/Kwon · w/ Stephanie Alliev · model expected 29% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 9-11 · vs Howard/Sacca · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 7-11 · vs Howard/Sacca · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 11-6 · vs Goodwin/Horton · w/ Stephanie Alliev · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 11-9 · vs Goodwin/Horton · w/ Stephanie Alliev · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Diskin/Ciampini · w/ Stephanie Alliev · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Diskin/Ciampini · w/ Stephanie Alliev · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs Diskin/Ciampini · w/ Stephanie Alliev · model expected 45% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Mody/To · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 35% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Mody/To · w/ Dawson Davis · model expected 35% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Lu/Lu · w/ Reba Williams · model expected 32% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Lu/Lu · w/ Reba Williams · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs McGowan/Quintanilla · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 35% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs McGowan/Quintanilla · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 35% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 8-15 · vs Fitzgerald/Gordon · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 52% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 8-15 · vs Simson/Goldberg · w/ Nicholas Dehmer · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 1-11 · vs Koop/Bricker · w/ Nicholas Dehmer · model expected 25% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Koop/Bricker · w/ Nicholas Dehmer · model expected 25% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 0-11 · vs Dunlap/Padegimaite · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 22% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Dunlap/Padegimaite · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 22% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Godwin/Porter · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Godwin/Porter · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 7-15 · vs Barron/William · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 57% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs El-Zarif/Grigoriu · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 37% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs El-Zarif/Grigoriu · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 37% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Daehler/Araya · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 56% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 6-15 · vs Policare/Rosa · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 33% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 15-8 · vs Ricardo/Plummer · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 15-9 · vs McGowan/Mody · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bui/Courteau · w/ Volly Johnson · model expected 25% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bui/Courteau · w/ Volly Johnson · model expected 25% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 15-6 · vs Niemann/Morgan · w/ Volly Johnson · model expected 67% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 18-16 (OT) · vs Pardus/Lemke · w/ Volly Johnson · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 3-15 · vs Sonday/Goodnow · w/ Volly Johnson · model expected 23% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 13-15 · vs Ayotte/Neils · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs Kim/Gorches · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Kim/Gorches · w/ Ryder Brown · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-15 · vs Griffith/Ulery · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ferguson/Carlon · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ferguson/Carlon · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 7-15 · vs Burkhardt/Warren · w/ James Wolf · model expected 31% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Schupp/Kunimoto · w/ James Wolf · model expected 14% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs Schupp/Kunimoto · w/ James Wolf · model expected 14% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 6-11 · vs Gonnering/Radzikowska · w/ Ryan Camras · model expected 39% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Gonnering/Radzikowska · w/ Ryan Camras · model expected 39% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Liang/Cole · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 30% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Liang/Cole · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 30% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mabie/Rivas · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mabie/Rivas · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mabie/Rivas · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 41% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 6-15 · vs Hur/Choo · w/ Anna Lenhart · model expected 28% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Hill/To · w/ Dylan Unkert · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hill/To · w/ Dylan Unkert · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-27 PPA · 12-15 · vs Ayotte/Carlon · w/ Dylan Unkert · model expected 37% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Lenhart/Finnerty · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Lenhart/Finnerty · w/ Maverick Messinger · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Osher/Carlon · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 45% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Osher/Carlon · w/ Alexandra Valenstein · model expected 45% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-1 · vs Rettger/Messinger · w/ Andrew Angulo · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rettger/Messinger · w/ Andrew Angulo · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ford/Ford · w/ Andrew Angulo · model expected 42% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ford/Ford · w/ Andrew Angulo · model expected 42% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Abrams/McGowan · w/ Maria Ford · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Abrams/McGowan · w/ Maria Ford · model expected 36% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 0–4 0% 6.5–11.2 2026 PPA 19–58 25% 7.6–10.6
0–4
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
4–4
overtime games (past the target)
5
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-0.8 (-1.6…+0.2)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
92 pro singles games
39–53
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Anna Lenhart 14 3–11 39% -0.10 ±0.52 (noise) Stephanie Alliev 7 3–4 47% +0.06 ±0.50 (noise) Ethan Bakalinsky 6 0–6 39% -0.11 ±0.51 (noise) Natalia Simson 6 4–2 57% +0.22 ±0.52 (noise) Ryder Brown 6 1–5 38% -0.08 ±0.52 (noise) Francis Chi 6 3–3 49% +0.07 ±0.52 (noise) Alexandra Valenstein 5 1–4 45% -0.01 ±0.52 (noise) Volly Johnson 5 2–3 42% -0.02 ±0.49 (noise) Andrew Angulo 4 2–2 57% +0.09 ±0.51 (noise) Cc Eleven Sacca 3 0–3 33% -0.07 ±0.53 (noise) Nicholas Dehmer 3 0–3 33% +0.01 ±0.48 (noise) James Wolf 3 0–3 29% +0.08 ±0.50 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-12 PPA · womens Maria Ford Abrams/McGowan 4-11 -9% 2026-10-12 PPA · womens Maria Ford Abrams/McGowan 8-11 +7% 2026-10-12 PPA · mixed Andrew Angulo Ford/Ford 7-11 -3% 2026-10-12 PPA · mixed Andrew Angulo Ford/Ford 6-11 -7% 2026-10-12 PPA · mixed Andrew Angulo Rettger/Messinger 11-3 +24% 2026-10-12 PPA · mixed Andrew Angulo Rettger/Messinger 11-1 +37% 2026-10-05 PPA · womens Alexandra Valenstein Osher/Carlon 10-12 OT +0% 2026-10-05 PPA · womens Alexandra Valenstein Osher/Carlon 4-11 -18% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Maverick Messinger Lenhart/Finnerty 8-11 -8% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Maverick Messinger Lenhart/Finnerty 10-12 OT -4% 2026-09-27 PPA · mixed Dylan Unkert Ayotte/Carlon 12-15 +7% 2026-09-27 PPA · mixed Dylan Unkert Hill/To 8-11 +8%
Put Caroline in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.