Ethan Bakalinsky M
mens 70–59 · mixed 25–38
+2.9 (+1.9…+3.7)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#160
of 286 active men (within gender only)
95–97
career record · 49% wins, 51% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +1.5 pts (90% band -1.2 to +3.6) 2024-02 · +1.5 pts (90% band -1.1 to +3.6) 2024-03 · +1.5 pts (90% band -1.1 to +3.6) 2024-04 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.5) 2024-05 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.5) 2024-06 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.5) 2024-07 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.5) 2024-08 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.5) 2024-09 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.5) 2024-10 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.4) 2024-11 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.4 to +3.4) 2024-12 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.3 to +3.4) 2025-01 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.3) 2025-02 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.0 to +3.3) 2025-03 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.0 to +3.3) 2025-04 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.1 to +3.2) 2025-05 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.2) 2025-06 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.1) 2025-07 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.1) 2025-08 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.2) 2025-09 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.1) 2025-10 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.1) 2025-11 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.1) 2025-12 · +2.2 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.2) 2026-01 · +2.3 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.2) 2026-02 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.3) 2026-03 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.4) 2026-04 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.4) 2026-05 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.9 to +3.5) 2026-06 · +2.8 pts (90% band +2.0 to +3.6) 2026-07 · +2.9 pts (90% band +2.1 to +3.7) 2026-08 · +3.0 pts (90% band +2.2 to +3.7) 2026-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +2.0 to +3.6) 2026-10 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.9 to +3.7) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-06-28 PPA · 9-15 · vs Naydenov/Neufeldt · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 56% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Mogle/Romano · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 45% of points 2025-06-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Mogle/Romano · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 45% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Miron/Kim · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 28% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Miron/Kim · w/ Hudson De Risi · model expected 28% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Dussault/Horricks · w/ Thomas Dill · model expected 30% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dussault/Horricks · w/ Thomas Dill · model expected 30% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hee/Hamaguchi · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 40% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hee/Hamaguchi · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 40% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Gonzalez/Phillips · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 50% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Gonzalez/Phillips · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 50% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 6-15 · vs Lee/Kayo · w/ Eric Davidson · model expected 38% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 15-10 · vs Yun/Herminas · w/ Eric Davidson · model expected 52% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Campagna/Grubbs · w/ Eric Davidson · model expected 27% of points 2025-12-13 PPA · 2-11 · vs Campagna/Grubbs · w/ Eric Davidson · model expected 27% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Conard/Alvarez · w/ Emma Cook · model expected 29% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Conard/Alvarez · w/ Emma Cook · model expected 29% of points 2025-12-14 PPA · 10-15 · vs Wang/Risi · w/ Emma Cook · model expected 53% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Chernoff/Hsieh · w/ MJ Greiner · model expected 70% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-1 · vs Chernoff/Hsieh · w/ MJ Greiner · model expected 70% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Berryman/Rangelov · w/ MJ Greiner · model expected 36% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Berryman/Rangelov · w/ MJ Greiner · model expected 36% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Beck/Poland · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Beck/Poland · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs P/Formaniuk · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 79% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-0 · vs P/Formaniuk · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 79% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Pailet/Grollman · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 44% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Pailet/Grollman · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 44% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Pailet/Grollman · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 44% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 68% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 68% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 5-11 · vs Evgamukov/Geminiani · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Evgamukov/Geminiani · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Evgamukov/Geminiani · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Herrick/Herrick · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Herrick/Herrick · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Herrick/Herrick · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Downing/Bramblett · w/ Jessica Jones · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Downing/Bramblett · w/ Jessica Jones · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Whittaker · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 42% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Whittaker · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 42% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Machek/Lees · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 67% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Machek/Lees · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 67% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Leonard/Hoover · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 58% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-1 · vs Leonard/Hoover · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 58% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ticknor/Sikora · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 66% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ticknor/Sikora · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 66% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Simson/Chi · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Simson/Chi · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Angelo/Newcombe · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Angelo/Newcombe · w/ Francis Chi · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Yang/Rives · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Yang/Rives · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Yang/Rives · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Mawji/Dy · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 49% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mawji/Dy · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 49% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mawji/Dy · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 49% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Merritt/Ngo · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Merritt/Ngo · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Funemizu/Shimabukuro · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 30% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Funemizu/Shimabukuro · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 30% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 9-11 · vs Howard/Sacca · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 7-11 · vs Howard/Sacca · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hopkins/Duane · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hopkins/Duane · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 11-4 · vs Jr./Thomas · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-23 PPA · 11-5 · vs Jr./Thomas · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Yang/Johns · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 36% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Yang/Johns · w/ Eddy Kim · model expected 36% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Alexander/T · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 75% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alexander/T · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 75% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Aldridge/Anderson · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Aldridge/Anderson · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Aldridge/Anderson · w/ Jayda Maldonado · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hamaguchi/Waddell · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Hamaguchi/Waddell · w/ Karthik Ganesh · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 15-8 · vs Duffin/Wade · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 51% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Grubbs/Campagna · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 47% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rice/Weber · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 11-7 · vs Rice/Weber · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 4-15 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 29% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 12-15 · vs Giannelli/Bieger · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Gordon/Hared · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gordon/Hared · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Delgado/Truluck · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 30% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Delgado/Truluck · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 30% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Scarpa/Schupp · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 36% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Scarpa/Schupp · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 36% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Duvally/Hugo · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Duvally/Hugo · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Berryman/Rettke · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Berryman/Rettke · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 6-15 · vs Morris/Ayon · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-0 · vs Dorward/Rabidou · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 70% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Dorward/Rabidou · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 70% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs McPherson/Herrick · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 53% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs McPherson/Herrick · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 53% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs McPherson/Herrick · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 53% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 15-6 · vs Perkins/Trieu · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 76% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 13-15 · vs Kim/Okelley · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 15-10 · vs Kusmider/Caulfield · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 15-2 · vs Radionov/Eaby · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 9-15 · vs Regalado/Engel · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 49% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Garcia/Greiner · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 70% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Garcia/Greiner · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 70% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Bass/Brown · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 48% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bass/Brown · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 48% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bass/Brown · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 48% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Gibbs/D · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 56% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Gibbs/D · w/ Daniel Miron · model expected 56% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 9-15 · vs Heerboth/Pretorius · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 39% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Powell/Morelli · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Powell/Morelli · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 15-13 · vs Jagtiani/Liang · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 46% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs McRee/Grgan · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 57% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-0 · vs McRee/Grgan · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 15-6 · vs Weinbach/George · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 66% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 1-11 · vs Steiner/Barlow · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Steiner/Barlow · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Steiner/Barlow · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 19-21 (OT) · vs Whittaker/Lohani · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 15-0 · vs Barber/Tanner · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 70% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-0 · vs Nguyen/Herminas · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 71% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Nguyen/Herminas · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 71% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Labat/Liyanage · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-10 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Arnold/Delgado · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 39% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 1-11 · vs Arnold/Delgado · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 39% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Arnold/Delgado · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 39% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Gonnering/McCartney · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Gonnering/McCartney · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-9 · vs Gonnering/McCartney · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-0 · vs Wolf/Malvern · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 81% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wolf/Malvern · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 81% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 13-15 · vs Scarpa/Giannelli · w/ Jackson Ayotte · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 7-15 · vs Weil/Loyd · w/ Keilly Ulery · model expected 31% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Haywood/Woog · w/ Keilly Ulery · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Haywood/Woog · w/ Keilly Ulery · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 15-11 · vs To/Ayon · w/ Keilly Ulery · model expected 47% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 15-5 · vs Ho/Spence · w/ Keilly Ulery · model expected 66% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 15-5 · vs Rettke/Cook · w/ Keilly Ulery · model expected 69% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-0 · vs Dages/I · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 75% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-0 · vs Dages/I · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 75% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ayotte/Venkatesan · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 64% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ayotte/Venkatesan · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 64% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Truong/Stone · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 39% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Truong/Stone · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 39% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Mercado/Bahr · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Mercado/Bahr · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mercado/Bahr · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Flanagan/Ray · w/ Ryan Camras · model expected 67% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Flanagan/Ray · w/ Ryan Camras · model expected 67% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Warren/Arnold · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Warren/Arnold · w/ Cc Eleven Sacca · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-15 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Howard/Ayotte · w/ Ryan Camras · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-15 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Howard/Ayotte · w/ Ryan Camras · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Diamond/McGuffin · w/ Ryan Camras · model expected 38% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Diamond/McGuffin · w/ Ryan Camras · model expected 38% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Stanchev/Zilys · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Stanchev/Zilys · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Stanchev/Zilys · w/ Dale Kim · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Grigoriu/Eaby · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Grigoriu/Eaby · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 13-15 · vs Courteau/Poland · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 15-8 · vs Osher/Hoover · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 64% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-5 · vs Alarcon/Suard · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 70% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Alarcon/Suard · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 70% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 13-15 · vs Heerboth/Rettke · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 15-6 · vs L/Ohrel · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-4 · vs Africa/Lavy · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 73% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Africa/Lavy · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 73% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 11-5 · vs Heerboth/Rettke · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 3-11 · vs Heerboth/Rettke · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 5-11 · vs Heerboth/Rettke · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 15-4 · vs Almeida/Loftin · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-26 PPA · 15-10 · vs Walker/Mavanur · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Dow/Arnold · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Dow/Arnold · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Dow/Arnold · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 54% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs French/Stone · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 39% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs French/Stone · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 39% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Perez/Carlon · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 60% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Perez/Carlon · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 60% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Perez/Carlon · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 60% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Faletto/Trevino · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 30% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Faletto/Trevino · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 30% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 0-11 · vs Diamond/Freeman · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Diamond/Freeman · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Diamond/Freeman · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Jacobson/Rettenmaier · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 46% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Jacobson/Rettenmaier · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 46% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Jacobson/Rettenmaier · w/ Ross Whittaker · model expected 46% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 3–19 14% 6.2–11.0 2026 PPA 92–78 54% 9.6–8.6
6–12
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
9–10
overtime games (past the target)
42
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-1
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+1.0 (+0.3…+1.8)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
137 pro singles games
73–64
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-13 PPA · mens Ross Whittaker Jacobson/Rettenmaier 8-11 -4% 2026-10-13 PPA · mens Ross Whittaker Jacobson/Rettenmaier 11-9 +9% 2026-10-13 PPA · mens Ross Whittaker Jacobson/Rettenmaier 4-11 -19% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Ross Whittaker Diamond/Freeman 5-11 -5% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Ross Whittaker Diamond/Freeman 12-10 OT+18% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Ross Whittaker Diamond/Freeman 0-11 -36% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Maddy Rasmusen Faletto/Trevino 7-11 +9% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Maddy Rasmusen Faletto/Trevino 6-11 +5% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Maddy Rasmusen Perez/Carlon 11-7 +1% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Maddy Rasmusen Perez/Carlon 11-3 +18% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Maddy Rasmusen Perez/Carlon 9-11 -15% 2026-10-01 PPA · mens Ross Whittaker French/Stone 4-11 -12%
Put Ethan in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.