Karthik Ganesh M
mens 26–23 · mixed 22–27
+2.7 (+1.1…+4.0)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#176
of 286 active men (within gender only)
48–50
career record · 49% wins, 50% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +4.4) 2024-02 · +2.3 pts (90% band -0.2 to +4.4) 2024-03 · +2.3 pts (90% band -0.0 to +4.4) 2024-04 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +4.4) 2024-05 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.3) 2024-06 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.3) 2024-07 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.3) 2024-08 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.3) 2024-09 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.3) 2024-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.3) 2024-11 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.3) 2024-12 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.3) 2025-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.2) 2025-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.2) 2025-03 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.2) 2025-04 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.2) 2025-05 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.2) 2025-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.1) 2025-07 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.1) 2025-08 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.0) 2025-09 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.0) 2025-10 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.0) 2025-11 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.0) 2025-12 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.9) 2026-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.8) 2026-02 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.8) 2026-03 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.8) 2026-04 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.8) 2026-05 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.9) 2026-06 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.9) 2026-07 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.9) 2026-08 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.0) 2026-09 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.0) 2026-10 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.0) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-12-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Diskin/Lenhard · w/ Mia Turcsany · model expected 34% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Diskin/Lenhard · w/ Mia Turcsany · model expected 34% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Fajardo/Moreno · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 56% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Fajardo/Moreno · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 56% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Fajardo/Moreno · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 56% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/III · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 39% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/III · w/ Indigo Dagnall · model expected 39% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ulery/Anderson · w/ Mia Turcsany · model expected 42% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ulery/Anderson · w/ Mia Turcsany · model expected 42% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ulery/Anderson · w/ Mia Turcsany · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nguyen/Krittayaweth · w/ Nicolas Almeida · model expected 68% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nguyen/Krittayaweth · w/ Nicolas Almeida · model expected 68% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Burkhardt/Rodrigo · w/ Nicolas Almeida · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 2-11 · vs Burkhardt/Rodrigo · w/ Nicolas Almeida · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Cross/Barber · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 49% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Cross/Barber · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 49% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-0 · vs Cross/Barber · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 49% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Kuhlman/Ward · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kuhlman/Ward · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Brown/Sidell · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Brown/Sidell · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Brown/Sidell · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Caruso/Benitez · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 32% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Caruso/Benitez · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 32% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Berryman/Growcott · w/ Jasper Schaadt · model expected 48% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Berryman/Growcott · w/ Jasper Schaadt · model expected 48% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Berryman/Growcott · w/ Jasper Schaadt · model expected 48% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Steiner/Leonard · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 50% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Steiner/Leonard · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 50% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-1 · vs Phiravong/Fan · w/ Jasper Schaadt · model expected 78% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-0 · vs Phiravong/Fan · w/ Jasper Schaadt · model expected 78% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pardus/Pogoretskyi · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 73% of points 2026-01-19 PPA · 11-1 · vs Pardus/Pogoretskyi · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 73% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Goins/Alhouni · w/ Jasper Schaadt · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Goins/Alhouni · w/ Jasper Schaadt · model expected 33% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Miron/Buyckx · w/ Mia Turcsany · model expected 33% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Miron/Buyckx · w/ Mia Turcsany · model expected 33% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Torres/Dages · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 70% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Torres/Dages · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 70% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Aninon/Parks · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 40% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Aninon/Parks · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 40% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Aninon/Parks · w/ Jaikin Gomez · model expected 40% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-12 · vs Goodman/Wasson · w/ Frank Welsher Iii · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 9-11 · vs Protzek/Mack · w/ Frank Welsher Iii · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 2-11 · vs Protzek/Mack · w/ Frank Welsher Iii · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Gorby/Sarthak · w/ Frank Welsher Iii · model expected 65% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Gorby/Sarthak · w/ Frank Welsher Iii · model expected 65% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Gorby/Sarthak · w/ Frank Welsher Iii · model expected 65% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-13 · vs Steiner/Frank · w/ Frank Welsher Iii · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 8-15 · vs Werbeck/Vries · w/ Frank Welsher Iii · model expected 60% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-12 · vs Trumeter/Morgan · w/ Frank Welsher Iii · model expected 60% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-0 · vs Alarcon/Hall · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 65% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-2 · vs Alarcon/Hall · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 65% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 8-15 · vs Wang/Stanchev · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 6-11 · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-7 · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Phillips/Phillips · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 46% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 2-11 · vs Hoover/Stanciu · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hoover/Stanciu · w/ Vritti Sethi · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 15-11 · vs Herminas/Castillo · w/ Kallan Arledge · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Metor/McRee · w/ Kallan Arledge · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Metor/McRee · w/ Kallan Arledge · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Metor/McRee · w/ Kallan Arledge · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 15-6 · vs Cooley/Clark · w/ Kallan Arledge · model expected 63% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 13-15 · vs Mody/Kim · w/ Kallan Arledge · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Duffin/Monson · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 51% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Duffin/Monson · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 51% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 5-15 · vs Lopez/Regalado · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 41% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Alexander/T · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 75% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alexander/T · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 75% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Almeida/Downing · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 57% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Almeida/Downing · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 57% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Almeida/Downing · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 57% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Gonnering/Summers · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Gonnering/Summers · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gonnering/Summers · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ayon/Rasmusen · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ayon/Rasmusen · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hamaguchi/Waddell · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Hamaguchi/Waddell · w/ Ethan Bakalinsky · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wright/Kovalova · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 28% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wright/Kovalova · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 28% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-7 · vs Finnerty/Duffin · w/ Martin Stanchev · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Finnerty/Duffin · w/ Martin Stanchev · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 2-11 · vs Nguyen/Lenhard · w/ Alicia Lai · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 5-11 · vs Nguyen/Lenhard · w/ Alicia Lai · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-2 · vs Beré/Vinueza-Daly · w/ Alicia Lai · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Beré/Vinueza-Daly · w/ Alicia Lai · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Beré/Vinueza-Daly · w/ Alicia Lai · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Radermacher/Mawji · w/ Martin Stanchev · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Radermacher/Mawji · w/ Martin Stanchev · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs French/Stone · w/ Martin Stanchev · model expected 39% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs French/Stone · w/ Martin Stanchev · model expected 39% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs McGowan/Chi · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 34% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs McGowan/Chi · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 34% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Zilys/Stanchev · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 46% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Zilys/Stanchev · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 46% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Zilys/Stanchev · w/ Braylon Ohrel · model expected 46% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 4–6 40% 8.9–9.8 2026 PPA 44–44 50% 8.6–8.6
10–3
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
5–5
overtime games (past the target)
23
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+0.5 (-1.2…+2.1)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
24 pro singles games
11–13
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Natalia Simson 29 14–15 49% +0.03 ±0.50 (noise) Frank Welsher Iii 9 5–4 52% -0.04 ±0.50 (noise) Vritti Sethi 8 4–4 49% -0.02 ±0.51 (noise) Mia Turcsany 7 2–5 43% +0.06 ±0.49 (noise) Jasper Schaadt 7 4–3 59% +0.17 ±0.50 (noise) Kallan Arledge 6 3–3 52% -0.04 ±0.53 (noise) Martin Stanchev 6 4–2 54% +0.06 ±0.51 (noise) Indigo Dagnall 5 2–3 45% -0.04 ±0.49 (noise) Jaikin Gomez 5 3–2 51% -0.02 ±0.49 (noise) Alicia Lai 5 2–3 46% -0.04 ±0.49 (noise) Nicolas Almeida 4 2–2 48% -0.05 ±0.50 (noise) Ethan Bakalinsky 4 2–2 57% +0.01 ±0.50 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-05 PPA · mens Braylon Ohrel Zilys/Stanchev 3-11 -24% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Braylon Ohrel Zilys/Stanchev 11-13 OT +0% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Braylon Ohrel Zilys/Stanchev 11-9 +9% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Natalia Simson McGowan/Chi 2-11 -19% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Natalia Simson McGowan/Chi 2-11 -19% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Martin Stanchev French/Stone 7-11 -0% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Martin Stanchev French/Stone 4-11 -12% 2026-09-29 PPA · mens Martin Stanchev Radermacher/Mawji 11-6 +11% 2026-09-29 PPA · mens Martin Stanchev Radermacher/Mawji 11-4 +20% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Alicia Lai Beré/Vinueza-Daly 11-4 +14% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Alicia Lai Beré/Vinueza-Daly 4-11 -33% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Alicia Lai Beré/Vinueza-Daly 11-2 +25%
Put Karthik in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.