Luca Mack M
mens 60–39 · mixed 70–36
+3.7 (+2.6…+4.7)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#97
of 286 active men (within gender only)
130–75
career record · 63% wins, 56% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.5) 2024-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.5) 2024-03 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.4) 2024-04 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.4) 2024-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.4) 2024-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.4) 2024-07 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.4) 2024-08 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.3) 2024-09 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.3) 2024-10 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.4) 2024-11 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.3) 2024-12 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.3) 2025-01 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.3) 2025-02 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.4) 2025-03 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.4) 2025-04 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.5) 2025-05 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.6) 2025-06 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.6) 2025-07 · +3.9 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.7) 2025-08 · +3.9 pts (90% band +3.0 to +4.8) 2025-09 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.8) 2025-10 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.3 to +4.9) 2025-11 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.5 to +5.0) 2025-12 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.5 to +5.0) 2026-01 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.6 to +5.0) 2026-02 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.6 to +5.0) 2026-03 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.5 to +5.0) 2026-04 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.3 to +4.9) 2026-05 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.9) 2026-06 · +4.0 pts (90% band +3.1 to +4.8) 2026-07 · +3.9 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.8) 2026-08 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.7) 2026-09 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.6) 2026-10 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.7) +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-12-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs To/Hirschler · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 62% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs To/Hirschler · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 62% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Palm/Estareja · w/ Samuel Gabet · model expected 33% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Palm/Estareja · w/ Samuel Gabet · model expected 33% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Murphy/Payetta · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 64% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-2 · vs Murphy/Payetta · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 64% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Campbell/Campbell · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 58% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-2 · vs Campbell/Campbell · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 58% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Amiri/Wolf · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 60% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Amiri/Wolf · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 60% of points 2025-01-06 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Amiri/Wolf · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 60% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Pham/Nahum · w/ Justin Graham · model expected 51% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Pham/Nahum · w/ Justin Graham · model expected 51% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Pham/Nahum · w/ Justin Graham · model expected 51% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 0-11 · vs Kawamoto/Vich · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 29% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 0-11 · vs Kawamoto/Vich · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 29% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Segars/Berg · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 65% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Segars/Berg · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 65% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-9 · vs Segars/Berg · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 65% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bacalla/Wild · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 52% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bacalla/Wild · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 52% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Bacalla/Wild · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 52% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Romano/Mogle · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Romano/Mogle · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-29 PPA · 9-15 · vs Miron/Braham · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 54% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-2 · vs Talmadge/Halski · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 76% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-0 · vs Talmadge/Halski · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 76% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Morelli/Shaffer · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 68% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Morelli/Shaffer · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 68% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Kim/Wei · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 49% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Kim/Wei · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 49% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Kim/Wei · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 49% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Yu/Yang · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 45% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Yu/Yang · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 45% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Emmrich/Loyd · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 42% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Emmrich/Loyd · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 42% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Marceau/Camron · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 53% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs Marceau/Camron · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 53% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Chaffin/Pascoe · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Chaffin/Pascoe · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Poe/Kayo · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 73% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Poe/Kayo · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 73% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cosma/Mercado · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 70% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Cosma/Mercado · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 70% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hollings/Rettke · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 70% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hollings/Rettke · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 70% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ampon/Madonia · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 68% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ampon/Madonia · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 68% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dizon/Vich · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 39% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 0-11 · vs Dizon/Vich · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 39% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dizon/Vich · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 39% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Smith/Alhouni · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 49% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Smith/Alhouni · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 49% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Slattery/Rastorgouev · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 73% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-1 · vs Slattery/Rastorgouev · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 73% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rangelov/Hamaguchi · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 61% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rangelov/Hamaguchi · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 61% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Shaw/Rettke · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 69% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Shaw/Rettke · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 69% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Weil/Taylor · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 58% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Weil/Taylor · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 58% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-6 · vs Ingram/Goins · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 52% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-10 · vs Harvey/Reyes · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 65% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Vollbach/Faletto · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 52% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Vollbach/Faletto · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 52% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-12 · vs Crouch/Rettenmaier · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 53% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-2 · vs Conard/Saez · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 61% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-12 · vs Evans/Patel · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 67% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-0 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 86% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 86% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Simon/Matos · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 77% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Simon/Matos · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 77% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bui/Sitar · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 61% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bui/Sitar · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 61% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Black/Alshon · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 31% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Black/Alshon · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 31% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Rahachou/Perez · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 74% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Rahachou/Perez · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 74% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Klinger · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 32% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Klinger · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 32% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Simon/Dickson · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 72% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Simon/Dickson · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 72% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Higginson/Greenlaw · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 68% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Higginson/Greenlaw · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 68% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ganti/Provost · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 74% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ganti/Provost · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 74% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Cavataio/Acevedo · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 50% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Cavataio/Acevedo · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 50% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Cavataio/Acevedo · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 50% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dizon/Vich · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 42% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dizon/Vich · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 42% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Dizon/Vich · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 42% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Martinez/Beasley · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 53% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Martinez/Beasley · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 53% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Protzek/Devilliers · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 41% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 3-11 · vs Protzek/Devilliers · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Evgamukov/Loftin · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 66% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Evgamukov/Loftin · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 66% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Tomassi/Dancuart · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Tomassi/Dancuart · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Greenlaw/Bardauil · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 66% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-1 · vs Greenlaw/Bardauil · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 66% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Benitez/Chaffin · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Benitez/Chaffin · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Benitez/Chaffin · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Centonze/Elliott · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 66% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Centonze/Elliott · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 66% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-3 · vs Orellana/Raga · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 83% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-2 · vs Orellana/Raga · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 83% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Garcia/Minniefield · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 73% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-9 · vs Garcia/Minniefield · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 73% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Radzikowska/Emmrich · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Radzikowska/Emmrich · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-0 · vs Johnson/Morris · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 58% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Johnson/Morris · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 58% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 34% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 34% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ignatowich/Rangelov · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 72% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ignatowich/Rangelov · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 72% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ignatowich/Rangelov · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 72% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 4-11 · vs Alshon/Patriquin · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 29% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 0-11 · vs Alshon/Patriquin · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 29% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-6 · vs Martinez/Beasley · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 57% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-3 · vs Fisher/Finnerty · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 70% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-4 · vs Garcia/Verma · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 70% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-0 · vs Garcia/Verma · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 70% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Iii/Ganesh · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 61% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Iii/Ganesh · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 61% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dancuart/Torresin · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 50% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dancuart/Torresin · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 50% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Dancuart/Torresin · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 50% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-8 · vs Jakovljevic/Whittaker · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-1 · vs Jakovljevic/Parker · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-5 · vs Jakovljevic/Parker · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 6-11 · vs Chaffin/Weil · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 50% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 5-11 · vs Chaffin/Weil · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 50% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-5 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 71% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 4-11 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 71% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-0 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 71% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dancuart/Gecheva · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-4 · vs Dancuart/Gecheva · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 13-15 · vs Pham/Dagnall · w/ Tom Protzek · model expected 61% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Cavataio/Benitez · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-8 · vs Cavataio/Benitez · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-6 · vs Cavataio/Benitez · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-6 · vs Diskin/Radermacher · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 67% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 8-11 · vs Diskin/Radermacher · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 67% of points 2026-02-22 PPA · 11-1 · vs Diskin/Radermacher · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Braham/Cavataio · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 57% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Braham/Cavataio · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 57% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 34% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 34% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 33% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 33% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ford/Caldarella · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ford/Caldarella · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Morisette/Rand · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 72% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Morisette/Rand · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 72% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Li/Radermacher · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Li/Radermacher · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Mudsam/Traxler · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 71% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Mudsam/Traxler · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 71% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mudsam/Traxler · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 71% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Scarpa/Schupp · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 1-11 · vs Scarpa/Schupp · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Scarpa/Schupp · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Humberg/Ge · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 39% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Humberg/Ge · w/ Estee Widdershoven · model expected 39% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ge/Sock · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 43% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ge/Sock · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 43% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Zilveti/Joseph · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 61% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Zilveti/Joseph · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 61% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Litvinov/Hitzeman · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 61% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Litvinov/Hitzeman · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 61% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Torresin/Cavataio · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Torresin/Cavataio · w/ Zoeya Khan · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Taylor/Wasson · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 72% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Taylor/Wasson · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 72% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ge/Sock · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 43% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ge/Sock · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 43% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Torresin/Quintanilla · w/ Lina Padegimaite · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Torresin/Quintanilla · w/ Lina Padegimaite · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-1 · vs Torresin/Quintanilla · w/ Lina Padegimaite · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Steiner/Mudsam · w/ Lina Padegimaite · model expected 64% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Steiner/Mudsam · w/ Lina Padegimaite · model expected 64% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ Lina Padegimaite · model expected 37% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ Lina Padegimaite · model expected 37% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ Lina Padegimaite · model expected 37% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hoover/Rangelov · w/ Donald Young · model expected 59% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hoover/Rangelov · w/ Donald Young · model expected 59% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hoover/Rangelov · w/ Donald Young · model expected 59% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Klinger/Oncins · w/ Donald Young · model expected 33% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Klinger/Oncins · w/ Donald Young · model expected 33% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Widdershoven/Emmrich · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 46% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Widdershoven/Emmrich · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 46% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Mercado/Young · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Mercado/Young · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mercado/Young · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Howells/Truong · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 40% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Howells/Truong · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 40% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 3–6 33% 7.3–9.3 2025 PPA 61–31 66% 9.7–7.5 2026 PPA 66–38 63% 9.3–7.2
13–8
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
9–11
overtime games (past the target)
68
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+6.3 (+5.7…+6.8)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
97 pro singles games
68–29
singles record · last 2026-04
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-14 PPA · mixed Mya Bui Howells/Truong 11-7 +21% 2026-10-14 PPA · mixed Mya Bui Howells/Truong 11-2 +44% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Anouar Braham Mercado/Young 11-8 +1% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Anouar Braham Mercado/Young 11-2 +27% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Anouar Braham Mercado/Young 12-14 OT -11% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Mya Bui Widdershoven/Emmrich 11-4 +28% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Mya Bui Widdershoven/Emmrich 16-14 OT+8% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Donald Young Klinger/Oncins 3-11 -11% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Donald Young Klinger/Oncins 1-11 -25% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Donald Young Hoover/Rangelov 11-4 +14% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Donald Young Hoover/Rangelov 11-9 -4% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Donald Young Hoover/Rangelov 3-11 -38%
Put Luca in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.